Nyy +130

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  • leetreaper
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 10-23-10
    • 34841

    #1
    Nyy +130
    Check out that monster lineup, i'll take a chance on them at home in spoiler situation, good luck!
  • mattyheisman
    SBR Sharp
    • 05-25-09
    • 301

    #2
    Gardner CF
    Jeter SS
    Cano DH
    Rodriguez 3B
    Swisher RF
    Posada 1B
    Jones LF
    Nunez 2B
    Romine C
    (Noesi RHP)

    Far from Monster
    Comment
    • leetreaper
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 10-23-10
      • 34841

      #3
      exactly
      Comment
      • leetreaper
        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
        • 10-23-10
        • 34841

        #4
        all the top guys have hit shields pretty well lately...
        Comment
        • face
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 01-31-11
          • 14740

          #5
          love this play. yankees +130 home dog.
          Comment
          • cadillac pete
            SBR MVP
            • 01-15-06
            • 1675

            #6
            Too easy to take the Rays. Taking the Bombers @+145..
            Comment
            • leetreaper
              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
              • 10-23-10
              • 34841

              #7
              for shizzle, lets bring that biatch home/..
              Comment
              • stevenash
                Moderator
                • 01-17-11
                • 65760

                #8
                Might be onto something.

                Noesi can go only five innings max, he's a mop up middle guy, but yes, their starting doesn't scare anybody.
                Longoria is having an off year by his standards, Upton is hit or miss, and Kotchman has a nice stick, but he's not Pujols scary.
                Bottom of their lineup is butterscotch puddin' soft.

                Jennings LF
                Upton CF
                Longoria 3B
                Joyce RF
                Damon DH
                Kotchman 1B
                Lobaton C
                EJohnson 2B
                Brignac SS

                Not enough of a sampling, but Rays are only 3 for 19 versus Noesi, all in spot middle relief.

                However, Shields is Shields, and when he's on, he's Verlander tough.
                Look at the numbers, most of them pitching in the big boy division with the NYY, Bos sticks, (Orioles have sticks too, pitching that sucks there)
                Considering the division where Shields pitches, his numbers are beyond eye popping.
                2.78 earned run average 1.04 WH/IP (are you kidding me?) 214 K's (are you kidding me again?)
                Stack those numbers against Verlander (close)

                NYY line up lifetime versus Shields, not good, but not crap either
                83 for 345 (.241) He's given up 11 homers.

                Cano owns him
                20 for 50 3 homers .400

                Jeter and Rodriguez hit Shields too.

                OK, here's how NYY wins.

                NYY 'pen is very deep, league leaders in a lot of categories.
                NYY 'pen is rested, ready.

                Noesi can not give up more than 2 runs in the five innings he will pitch.
                If he does, I don't see Shields puking up 4 runs to the Yanks.

                If Noesi can go 5 full, 2 runs, and turn the game over to the 'pen say 2-1 down or 2-2 tied, I'll love my chances as a NYY fan.
                Logan in the sixth, to Soriano in the seventh, to Robertson in the eighth, to Mo in the ninth is as good as it gets.
                Lock down city.

                NYY line up should do what they do best, work Shield deep in the count.
                Make him get to 100 pitches in the sixth.
                If they don't, and Shields is stingy, you can flush the NYY ticket down the toilet.

                But if the NYY hitters work the pitch count on Shields, get Noesi some cheap runs, Gardner single, stolen base, Jeter RBI opposite field single to right, stuff like that, if Noesi can keep the Rays to two or less, NYY lock down relievers do their thing, then yes, NYY +130 is gold.

                Good luck
                Comment
                • SRBI
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 10-20-09
                  • 8393

                  #9
                  Originally posted by cadillac pete
                  Too easy to take the Rays. Taking the Bombers @+145..
                  Too easy to take the Rays?
                  Comment
                  • mattyheisman
                    SBR Sharp
                    • 05-25-09
                    • 301

                    #10
                    I don't see how its easy..... I would guess -160 Road favorite in Yankee stadium is one of the highest there has been all year.

                    I pounded the Rays. You could argue BOTH sides being a square bet. How many people see +145 for yankees and instantly bet it just because of who they are......
                    Comment
                    • mattyheisman
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 05-25-09
                      • 301

                      #11
                      As far as bullpen "Depth"...... I think your going to get a heavy dose of Scott Proctor today.... They want to save the big guns for CC you would think.
                      Comment
                      • stevenash
                        Moderator
                        • 01-17-11
                        • 65760

                        #12
                        Originally posted by mattyheisman
                        As far as bullpen "Depth"...... I think your going to get a heavy dose of Scott Proctor today.... They want to save the big guns for CC you would think.
                        I don't think you really need much 'pen with CC.
                        When he's on, he goes 7 innings plus
                        Comment
                        • stevenash
                          Moderator
                          • 01-17-11
                          • 65760

                          #13
                          Originally posted by mattyheisman
                          I don't see how its easy..... I would guess -160 Road favorite in Yankee stadium is one of the highest there has been all year.

                          I pounded the Rays. You could argue BOTH sides being a square bet. How many people see +145 for yankees and instantly bet it just because of who they are......
                          Even so called 'sharps' have a hard time resisting NYY at home +145
                          Comment
                          • HoulihansTX
                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                            • 02-12-09
                            • 30566

                            #14
                            Noesi is a scrub... line is fair.
                            Comment
                            • stevenash
                              Moderator
                              • 01-17-11
                              • 65760

                              #15
                              ^
                              He is what he is, young pitcher, better than average stuff, trying to crack the rotation, in the meantime, 5th inning middle guy
                              Comment
                              • mattyheisman
                                SBR Sharp
                                • 05-25-09
                                • 301

                                #16
                                Rays helped him out in the first. Gotta take pitches and work counts. Instead they hack at everything. Maddon has to make his guys more aware than this. He's suppose to be a super manager.
                                Comment
                                • leetreaper
                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                  • 10-23-10
                                  • 34841

                                  #17
                                  1 zip yanks in the fisrt already
                                  Comment
                                  • stevenash
                                    Moderator
                                    • 01-17-11
                                    • 65760

                                    #18
                                    Like I said in post 8, you beat Shields by working the count.

                                    Pitch #21 coming up, two outs in the first.
                                    Comment
                                    • mattyheisman
                                      SBR Sharp
                                      • 05-25-09
                                      • 301

                                      #19
                                      Can't run into outs if your the rays. Neosi looks pretty solid so far. Getting ahead in counts early.
                                      Comment
                                      • leetreaper
                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                        • 10-23-10
                                        • 34841

                                        #20
                                        kid's throwing some smoke so far...
                                        Comment
                                        • stevenash
                                          Moderator
                                          • 01-17-11
                                          • 65760

                                          #21
                                          ^
                                          He's always had good stuff, there's a reason why the Rays are only 3 for 19 off of him, he just needs a slot in the roster.
                                          Comment
                                          • mattyheisman
                                            SBR Sharp
                                            • 05-25-09
                                            • 301

                                            #22
                                            My question is how does Zobrist take a maternity leave at a time like this........
                                            Comment
                                            • mattyheisman
                                              SBR Sharp
                                              • 05-25-09
                                              • 301

                                              #23
                                              Shields heard you though.............6 pitches.. Rare sight for a yankees team.
                                              Comment
                                              • stevenash
                                                Moderator
                                                • 01-17-11
                                                • 65760

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by mattyheisman
                                                Shields heard you though.............6 pitches.. Rare sight for a yankees team.
                                                Yes, Jones has been swinging at the first pitch his whole career, he was a hacker all those years with the Braves.
                                                Posada took the first pitch, then the game plan went into the toilet.
                                                Comment
                                                • leetreaper
                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                  • 10-23-10
                                                  • 34841

                                                  #25
                                                  ah c.mon by bottom guy, ffs
                                                  Comment
                                                  • mattyheisman
                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                    • 05-25-09
                                                    • 301

                                                    #26
                                                    Not a bold comment. But I think the Yankees are going to need 6-7 to win this game.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • mattyheisman
                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                      • 05-25-09
                                                      • 301

                                                      #27
                                                      Yanks are already warming in pen too.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • leetreaper
                                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                        • 10-23-10
                                                        • 34841

                                                        #28
                                                        why they changing him in the 3rd?
                                                        Comment
                                                        • leetreaper
                                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                          • 10-23-10
                                                          • 34841

                                                          #29
                                                          its like a playoff game haha , cool
                                                          Comment
                                                          • mattyheisman
                                                            SBR Sharp
                                                            • 05-25-09
                                                            • 301

                                                            #30
                                                            More like they are going to trot out as many stiffs as they can to get through this game lol. If shields can keep it together this is going to be a blowout.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • HoulihansTX
                                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                              • 02-12-09
                                                              • 30566

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by HoulihansTX
                                                              Noesi is a scrub... line is fair.
                                                              2 (1/3) innings.

                                                              Scrub a dub dub.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • stevenash
                                                                Moderator
                                                                • 01-17-11
                                                                • 65760

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by HoulihansTX
                                                                2 (1/3) innings.

                                                                Scrub a dub dub.
                                                                He was on a strict pitch count
                                                                Comment
                                                                • leetreaper
                                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                  • 10-23-10
                                                                  • 34841

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by stevenash
                                                                  He was on a strict pitch count
                                                                  gotcha
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • stevenash
                                                                    Moderator
                                                                    • 01-17-11
                                                                    • 65760

                                                                    #34
                                                                    ^
                                                                    Noesi wasn't supposed to go past 50 pitches, he went 55.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • mattyheisman
                                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                                      • 05-25-09
                                                                      • 301

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Can't believe the Rays can't put up runs against these stiffs they are trotting out.
                                                                      Comment
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