Tuesday

[rjt721]

Yesterday: 1-2, -1.27

Sides: 184-149, +64.67
Totals: 36-26-4, +7.55
Overall: 220-175-4, +72.22

1* Red Sox -1.5 +120
1* Reds +142
1* Orioles/Blue Jays Under 8.5 -105
1* Braves/Dodgers Under 7.5 -110

[diogee]

Good luck rjt...going to be on the O's under for 1.5 units.

[head_strong]

Texas even@feist sp Harrison is the player they got from the Braves for M.Teixeira
Cleveland-110@feist if this line is correct the Tigers will have all the money on them prompting this play as bad as it may seem.
GL with the Reds I was looking at that play myself, Dempster 10-0@home makes me nervous though.

[BuddyBear]

Texas even@feist sp Harrison is the player they got from the Braves for M.Teixeira
Cleveland-110@feist if this line is correct the Tigers will have all the money on them prompting this play as bad as it may seem.
GL with the Reds I was looking at that play myself, Dempster 10-0@home makes me nervous though.

hmmm...CLEV -110 sure seems like a bad play. Tigers hit lefties extremely extremely well. Verlander is starting to turn it around. I really like DET here (and a lot in the 2H of the season) to beat a dispirited CLEV team. CLEV might be the one team I might not bet again this year as they've packed it in it seems.

[rjt721]

1* Yankees +100

[mistermark3]

GOOD LUCK RJT!!! i decided to tail your bets, except for the Braves Under 7.5 because the line moved WAAAAAY too much. I also threw in the Mets at -113.

[BuddyBear]

RJT: Any opinion on TOR. Leaning very strongly toward that side now that the price had gone down about 20 cents from its opening number. I really feel that TOR underachieved the first half of the season, while BAL overachieved. I think the season win total for BAL was like 66 or something like that....and TOR was 88, so that gives you a pretty clear indication that both teams haven't played to expectations.

McGowan has been shakey lately but he has pretty good numbers at home (4-2, 2.20 ERA, 1.204 WHIP, and 5 out of 7 QS at home). Cabrara is a talented pitcher but always eratic and shows control problems all the time and has struggled mainly on the road this year with an ERA of 4.30. I mentioned yesterday how LAD might be a good team to consider backing in the 2H, I also think TOR and DET are two teams that will be profitable the remaining stretch this year.

Thanks...

[MonkeyF0cker]

With you on the Reds, man. GL.

[Clueless_Norway]

Im on the O's today as McGowan got a 0-3 record when starting against the O's and ERA of 6.10 and a WHIP of 1.936. Also the O's plays best in night games with a 35-23 and they have a 10-3 record on Tuesdays.
The O's are outhitting the Jays in their L10 with a .300 batting avg with 6.52 R/9 vs Jays .230 batting avg and 4.45 R/9

The thing that goes against them is the 19-27 road record but neither teams are good at the moment..

Would have stayed away from the under as both pitchers can be rocked (I think McGowans ERA gonna fall to around 5.50 by the end of the season), both teams got days when their run production is realy high and the trends favour the over:
# Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings
# Over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in Toronto
# Over is 4-1 in Cabreras last 5 starts vs. Blue Jays

O's +115

Also like:
CWS/KC o9, 9 might be a bit hig but both pitchers have been bad lately with a 8.81 ERA on Contreras and a 11.58 ERA on Davies their L3.
Giants, Lincecum is the pitcher in MLB who I thrust most, but their pen might blow it..
Rays, I like the Rays today as I think they gonna respond to their loss yesterday with Kazmir on the mound who got a god road ERA at 3.52. Meanwhile the Yanks got two wins in a row and that means a loss in their next as they havn't manage to get 3 in a row for a while...
Cubs RL, Dempster is 9-0 at home with a 2.71 ERA and a 1.14 WHIP. Meanwhile Harang is 1-6 on the road with a 5.62 ERA and a 1.55 WHIP
Tigers RL, the Tigers are 17-6 vs lefties this year and on the mound for the Indians is Sowers who got a 0-4 record this year and have been awfull with a 7.53 ERA overall and even worse on the road with a 9.50 ERA and a 1.88 WHIP (7.87 ERA with a 2.00 WHIP in his L3). Meanwhile Verlanders got a 3.18 ERA in his L3 and a 3.94 ERA at home. Also like the over here, but gonna stay a way (don't know why tho as both pitchers got a hight ERA vs opposit team)
Con: The Tigers is 11-21 against division opponents this year.

[rjt721]

RJT: Any opinion on TOR. Leaning very strongly toward that side now that the price had gone down about 20 cents from its opening number. I really feel that TOR underachieved the first half of the season, while BAL overachieved. I think the season win total for BAL was like 66 or something like that....and TOR was 88, so that gives you a pretty clear indication that both teams haven't played to expectations.

McGowan has been shakey lately but he has pretty good numbers at home (4-2, 2.20 ERA, 1.204 WHIP, and 5 out of 7 QS at home). Cabrara is a talented pitcher but always eratic and shows control problems all the time and has struggled mainly on the road this year with an ERA of 4.30.

Yes, I think Toronto's the right side. Cabrera can be quite good, but he's still inconsistent, whereas McGowan's been remarkably consistent at Rogers Centre throughout his career. They may very well both turn in quality starts, but I think McGowan's the more likely candidate to pitch a very good game.

Honestly, I can't say I understand the line movement on this game. I thought -140 was an accurate line, and I felt this was a total that could easily close at 8. Now it's -125 and 9 respectively. Strange.

I mentioned yesterday how LAD might be a good team to consider backing in the 2H, I also think TOR and DET are two teams that will be profitable the remaining stretch this year.

Definitely agree on the Dodgers being a profitable team going forward.

I really don't know what to make of the Jays, but they could very well become a seller at the trade deadline. It's really an embarrassment with that starting rotation they're in last place and behind the Orioles, a team that doesn't have anything close to comparable talent.

Disagree on the Tigers. They will probably have to go approximately 42-32 over their final 78 games to turn a profit considering the prices they're likely to command. I don't see that, I still think they're a very flawed team. I think Armando Galarraga, in particular, will be one of the best fades in baseball over the second half, as I don't see him coming anywhere close to duplicating his performance thus far.

Good luck.