Jays v. A's 2morrow

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  • Jago2008
    SBR MVP
    • 05-18-11
    • 3047

    #1
    Jays v. A's 2morrow
    The Jays offense has been clicking lately, what do u guys see about the game 2morrow? Romero v. Cahill. Romero has been doing well as of late accumulating a 1.6 ERA in his last 5 starts, supported by an average of 6.2 runs (an 11 run win gives some skew to that stat) A's coming off a series win, but after a sweep from Texas. Cahill got roughted up by Texas in his last start, a 7-1 loss.

    ML Jays -110

    Over 6 1/2 -110

    opinions?
  • DemoralizdDreamr
    SBR MVP
    • 02-04-11
    • 4319

    #2
    jays TT over... proly be at 3.
    Comment
    • Jago2008
      SBR MVP
      • 05-18-11
      • 3047

      #3
      That's a good call, if @ 3 that's a good bet. With that said, Oakland has been scoring too, 14 points in the last 2 games, I'm sure they wont get shut out. I foresee 5-2, 4-3 win @ least. Depends which Cahill shows up.
      Comment
      • TwoWays
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 03-24-10
        • 13145

        #4
        Did you know that in the 2nd half of this baseball season the A's have only gone to under the total in about 4-5 games. And their last 8 games have all gone over the total. Just something to keep in mind.
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        • TwoWays
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 03-24-10
          • 13145

          #5
          Cahill really didn't get knocked around by Texas. A's defense made so many critical errors (4 in that game) that lead to extra outs and men in scoring position that it finally got to Cahill after the 6th inning. He pitched pretty darn well that game, I think giving up the first hit in inning 6.
          Comment
          • mossmk16
            SBR High Roller
            • 12-13-09
            • 176

            #6
            Both these pitchers dominated the other squad in the past and A's are a team that likes to commit errors on a regular bases. Taking Blue Jays is the best bet here.
            Comment
            • AdamStock1983
              SBR Sharp
              • 08-15-11
              • 387

              #7
              Oakland is 25-2-4 last 31 games since the All Star Break. That is 2 unders in 31 games. If Romero and Cahill both give you quality starts the game will still go over. The over streak continues. Plus Cahill can give up 7 ER in one inning
              Comment
              • mossmk16
                SBR High Roller
                • 12-13-09
                • 176

                #8
                that sounds like the bullpen is getting beat all to hell!!
                Comment
                • TwoWays
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 03-24-10
                  • 13145

                  #9
                  Originally posted by AdamStock1983
                  Oakland is 25-2-4 last 31 games since the All Star Break. That is 2 unders in 31 games. If Romero and Cahill both give you quality starts the game will still go over. The over streak continues. Plus Cahill can give up 7 ER in one inning
                  A couple of those games were determined by 1/2 run, so it's dependent on what line you got also.
                  Comment
                  • AdamStock1983
                    SBR Sharp
                    • 08-15-11
                    • 387

                    #10
                    It is public knowledge the they are 25-2-4 since the All Star break. If you bet the Oakland over every game since the All Star break you should be 25-2-4. 26-2-4 after tomorrow. You have to shop around and get the best number.
                    Comment
                    • TwoWays
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 03-24-10
                      • 13145

                      #11
                      You wrong. I can look at the schedule and clearly see at least 4 games that are definitely under. You can shop all around, unless you are willing to pay high juice, those games were under.
                      Comment
                      • AdamStock1983
                        SBR Sharp
                        • 08-15-11
                        • 387

                        #12
                        Your getting bad lines then. But don't take my word for it.



                        Read that, that is coming from a professional Teddy Covers.
                        Comment
                        • AdamStock1983
                          SBR Sharp
                          • 08-15-11
                          • 387

                          #13
                          Your getting bad lines
                          Comment
                          • TwoWays
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 03-24-10
                            • 13145

                            #14
                            If you look at the schedule, one of the A's vs. Yankees is under; one of the A's vs. Seattle game is under; one of the A's vs. Toronto game is under; and one of the A's vs. Angels is under. It might be the other way around and the overs were juiced more than the under in favor of 1/2 a point.
                            Comment
                            • AdamStock1983
                              SBR Sharp
                              • 08-15-11
                              • 387

                              #15
                              Here is the list of games off of covers sports with how they are graded as well. So I guess "You" wrong

                              covers.com/pageLoader/pageLoader.aspx?page=/data/mlb/teams/pastresults/2011/team2969.html
                              Comment
                              • TwoWays
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 03-24-10
                                • 13145

                                #16
                                Does this link even have the given out totals of all the second half games?
                                Comment
                                • AdamStock1983
                                  SBR Sharp
                                  • 08-15-11
                                  • 387

                                  #17
                                  Yes look at the covers link it has every game of the season and how they are graded.
                                  Comment
                                  • TwoWays
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 03-24-10
                                    • 13145

                                    #18
                                    And which sportsbook are they getting these totals from?
                                    Comment
                                    • TwoWays
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 03-24-10
                                      • 13145

                                      #19
                                      You can clearly see that some of the totals are juiced at around 20% So some of these totals that are being considered "over" on is juiced higher.
                                      Comment
                                      • mossmk16
                                        SBR High Roller
                                        • 12-13-09
                                        • 176

                                        #20
                                        I'm wondering why this guy come out in the past couple of days and has no points? I thought you get 300 when joining. I'm just wonder.. Personally I think if I had to pick the u/o I would go with the under
                                        Comment
                                        • mossmk16
                                          SBR High Roller
                                          • 12-13-09
                                          • 176

                                          #21
                                          The A's have been hitting well but not unless they are already way behind, in most of their games, when the other teams pitcher is relaxed and not worried about giving up a few.
                                          Comment
                                          • TwoWays
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 03-24-10
                                            • 13145

                                            #22
                                            He obviously is touting for the site. I can put some numbers in a pretty little spreadsheet and manipulate it in a way that makes it look like I know all too.
                                            Comment
                                            • mossmk16
                                              SBR High Roller
                                              • 12-13-09
                                              • 176

                                              #23
                                              I think under in the first five is the best bet if it goes at 3 1/2.
                                              Comment
                                              • mossmk16
                                                SBR High Roller
                                                • 12-13-09
                                                • 176

                                                #24
                                                I think so too
                                                Comment
                                                • Duby
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 01-26-09
                                                  • 3608

                                                  #25
                                                  Situational play on Oakland. Not a fan of it but following my system.

                                                  Romero is also due for a bad outing.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Pluthero
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 12-09-09
                                                    • 992

                                                    #26
                                                    Romero's due for a bad outing when he plays a team that can hit. I'm going big on Toronto. I've currently got it at -120, but I think I'll wait and see if the line drops.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • AdamStock1983
                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                      • 08-15-11
                                                      • 387

                                                      #27
                                                      Hey Two Ways you are talking about the games being juiced on the over at -120. Do you even know what juice means? That -120 juice does not affect the over under. Just because it was juiced at -120 does not mean the game did not hit. Do your homework. Oakland has hit 2 unders in the past 31 games. I am not touting anything, just stating a fact.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Ice House
                                                        Restricted User
                                                        • 07-21-10
                                                        • 4060

                                                        #28
                                                        Take the Jays for first 5 innings... Romero + Jays offense is solid. But.... if Joe Rauch has any say so in this game the A's will win.


                                                        Hell a week or 2 ago Joe Rauch had 2 blown saves in the same game. The other Jays relievers are not much better.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • TwoWays
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 03-24-10
                                                          • 13145

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by AdamStock1983
                                                          Hey Two Ways you are talking about the games being juiced on the over at -120. Do you even know what juice means? That -120 juice does not affect the over under. Just because it was juiced at -120 does not mean the game did not hit. Do your homework. Oakland has hit 2 unders in the past 31 games. I am not touting anything, just stating a fact.
                                                          You don't even have the sportsbook from which you are getting these totals. And it is a fact that the total changes from book to book depending on the juice. Stop touting man.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Jago2008
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 05-18-11
                                                            • 3047

                                                            #30
                                                            Guys, Guys... I posted this for some opinion, not some banter arguing about juice and totals.

                                                            c'mon we're all here to share opinion. Now I'm all for opinions w/ VALUE, but for the ones that don't know what they're talking about *cough*, just leave it be... seriously this is a forum afterall.

                                                            just keep it clean,

                                                            Two ways, Duby, Icehouse, Adam, Moss, thnx for the input.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Jago2008
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 05-18-11
                                                              • 3047

                                                              #31
                                                              Toronto v. Oakland now to 7. from 6 1/2.

                                                              Padres v. Marlines also now to 7. from 6 1/2.

                                                              Oakland ML moved from +110 to +104.

                                                              Jays changed from -116 to -114.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Jago2008
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 05-18-11
                                                                • 3047

                                                                #32
                                                                Hope you guys cashed this in.



                                                                good night, time to relax.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • camel
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 02-26-09
                                                                  • 1711

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Got a push on the 7.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • T4k
                                                                    SBR High Roller
                                                                    • 05-09-11
                                                                    • 105

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by camel
                                                                    Got a push on the 7.
                                                                    I wish i got on for the 6.5

                                                                    Had a 7team parlay and pushed this one so only got counted for 6.

                                                                    a win is a win though
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • mngambler
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 08-01-11
                                                                      • 2890

                                                                      #35
                                                                      squeeeker


                                                                      $100.00$73.53
                                                                      Win8/18/11 10:05pm MLB Baseball 967 Toronto Blue Jays/Oakland Athletics Over 6½ -136* (R Romero - L must Start T Cahill - R must Start)
                                                                      Comment
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