Looking back, what was with the StL/COL total?

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  • No coincidences
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 01-18-10
    • 76300

    #1
    Looking back, what was with the StL/COL total?
    Opened at 9, closed at 8.5 with the over at +113. Public 75% on the over.

  • JT OZ
    SBR MVP
    • 08-16-10
    • 2076

    #2
    Public isn't always wrong...
    Comment
    • JT OZ
      SBR MVP
      • 08-16-10
      • 2076

      #3
      With that being said the over hasn't cashed yet...
      Comment
      • JT OZ
        SBR MVP
        • 08-16-10
        • 2076

        #4
        I'm just happy I didn't jump at one of the huge live totals like 12/13.
        Comment
        • broadway6
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 11-14-09
          • 13337

          #5
          bro. 5dimes and bookmaker moved there number when pinny opened at 8.5. I'm willing to bet not one dollar was the reason for the move.
          Comment
          • No coincidences
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 01-18-10
            • 76300

            #6
            Originally posted by broadway6
            bro. 5dimes and bookmaker moved there number when pinny opened at 8.5. I'm willing to bet not one dollar was the reason for the move.
            But Pinny opened at 8.5 with the over at -115 and closed at 8.5 with the over at +113. That's a pretty significant swing, especially given the over was a public play.
            Comment
            • broadway6
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 11-14-09
              • 13337

              #7
              Originally posted by No coincidences

              But Pinny opened at 8.5 with the over at -115 and closed at 8.5 with the over at +113. That's a pretty significant swing, especially given the over was a public play.

              yeah... guess they were getting money on the under but didn't want to push it to 8.
              Comment
              • BigDofBA
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 09-30-09
                • 19313

                #8
                Over hasnt cashed yet.....

                A few months ago I bet an over and Only needed one run after the 5th inning. Needless to say, there wasn't another run scored.
                Comment
                • borednaz
                  SBR MVP
                  • 08-28-10
                  • 3809

                  #9
                  I live bet + on under 13, so happy right now.
                  Comment
                  • Cappinpicks
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 03-11-10
                    • 14986

                    #10
                    Originally posted by borednaz
                    I live bet + on under 13, so happy right now.
                    Same here for $500, need under 8.5
                    Comment
                    • BigDofBA
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 09-30-09
                      • 19313

                      #11
                      Originally posted by BigDofBA
                      Over hasnt cashed yet..... A few months ago I bet an over and Only needed one run after the 5th inning. Needless to say, there wasn't another run scored.
                      I bet over backers are starting to sweat. 6 runs in the first and no runs since.

                      This is why I quit betting totals. The Oakland/Texas games was like 0-0 in the 7th the other day and the game ended up going over.
                      Comment
                      • BernardMadoff
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 12-12-09
                        • 6679

                        #12
                        Paid the extra juice and got over 7.5 before game didn't think it'd make after so little scoring after the first.
                        Comment
                        • PD77
                          SBR MVP
                          • 12-11-09
                          • 2380

                          #13
                          I got over 8 -105 20 minutes before start at 5Dimes. Wish I would have bought it down now.
                          Comment
                          • No coincidences
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 01-18-10
                            • 76300

                            #14


                            Consider this a lesson learned folks.

                            Will this win every time? Of course not. But don't ever, ever mess with a total or a side that does this. Either tail it or don't play it. Period.

                            Sharp money and big money doesn't always win, but if you fade it, you're asking for trouble.
                            Comment
                            • hawley
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 05-10-10
                              • 14270

                              #15
                              The line movement was the only reason I played the under

                              Sure we may of got lucky as f\*\*k but with movement like this I would play it every time
                              Comment
                              • lolguy999
                                SBR MVP
                                • 01-28-10
                                • 3070

                                #16
                                oh btw where did you get the stats that 75% of public is on over?
                                Comment
                                • TwoWays
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 03-24-10
                                  • 13145

                                  #17
                                  Anyone that thinks line movement or vegas has anything to do with this game staying under the total is a joke. With the number of players in scoring position almost every inning, it was pure luck the game stayed under more than anything else. Edwin Jackson was well on his way to giving up at least one run when he was pulled with a bad hammy.
                                  Comment
                                  • No coincidences
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 01-18-10
                                    • 76300

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by TwoWays
                                    Anyone that thinks line movement or vegas has anything to do with this game staying under the total is a joke. With the number of players in scoring position almost every inning, it was pure luck the game stayed under more than anything else. Edwin Jackson was well on his way to giving up at least one run when he was pulled with a bad hammy.
                                    You're right. It was just a coincidence.
                                    Comment
                                    • chantrain
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 03-14-11
                                      • 3244

                                      #19
                                      ^ what he said
                                      Comment
                                      • hawley
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 05-10-10
                                        • 14270

                                        #20
                                        Coincidence or not the Books were right
                                        Comment
                                        • BigDofBA
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 09-30-09
                                          • 19313

                                          #21
                                          I tried to tell you guys in the second inning the over hadn't cashed yet. I've been screwed on totals way too many times. This game played out like a lot I have seen which is why I don't even mess with totals anymore.

                                          If they game starts off high scoring, it usually goes under. Likewise, if the game starts out low scoring, it usually goes over.

                                          I played basketball games in which the score was like 60-60 at halftime, the total was 190, and the game still went under.
                                          Comment
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