Talkin Fri Bases

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  • BigDan
    Restricted User
    • 04-28-11
    • 5104

    #1
    Talkin Fri Bases
    ok my friends after 2 subpar days (well one with not much action and yesterdays suckfest) it is time to right the ship...wont be around for a while as i should already be gone really but what can i say (degen priorities )

    not a ton i love but did take some early overnights as i think they are lines i cant lose with (again not saying bet cant lose just saying i think by game time i could buy back and make a few bucks if i so desire). so lets not call these plays as much as leans im willing to buy out of later at a good price if anything changes for me....i should have posted them last night as some have already moved and i apologize but i was exhausted, even for me life gets in the way of this thing we do sometimes

    STL +119...like i said just a line i know ill have the adv of buying back later. Westy been solid besides his bout of tiredness after locking cubs down for 5. seems to me it 2 pitchers going opposite directions and wouldnt be shocked if this line almost completely flips at some point.

    Rox-125...just like Niscasio's stuff and the kid seems to love pitching at Coors dont see him having problems with Nats offense... Lannen solid and pitched well last time these teams faced in wash, can he do it again at Coors? not sure but ill take Niscasio at home for a cheap price. lean under as well and the way my totals have went you may be best served to pound the over

    Bos-1.5 +130...just didnt see this line getting better as this would have to be the most appealing option for Sox backers as who the hell wants to lay over -150 against NYY? series not as important from a making the playoff standpoint as lets be real both these teams are in and not like wild card is big a disadvantage. rescpect what Colon has done at his advanced age and he easily could pitch well but i know he will have to work and just dont think he can go longer than 5 against this lineup.

    Buccos-1 -102...ok yea these guys are sliding bad and we all knew it would happen at some point, that said they are not as bad as they have played recently. Lets face it they not the only ones coming back to earth as Harang has been pitching a lot more like the guy we been used to seeing than the dominate pitcher he was early. Karstens got tagged against the hot phil bats but then again that was also a day gm were he struggles mightily. back at home and at night against a terrible lineup (granted better on the road) i gotta give pit the benefit of the doubt to find a way to get a W here.

    Hou tt un 3 ev....every time i see a very good righty against this offense ill be tempted to play this the rest of the season. who knows if Brew crew bats make the trip and light Happ up so while i like gm un this is just a thing im trying with stros. we will see how it turns out.


    not to interested in the day gm and wont be around to talk about it so just passing even tho i tried to talk myself into playing the cubs, just couldnt do it....

    Like i said lines i feel i shouldnt lose with so i bet them early hoping i have the option of buying back later on if i so choose.

    Hope to see what everyone is thinking when i get back in (should be by 3 or so)..so as always thoughts, comments, opinions, info you find relevant is always appreciated as this thread is as much about you guys as it is me, i just like to get the conversation rolling

    i could do w/o dipshit attention whores coming with their locks but im sure that is inevitable. i would ask that if you so choose to engage with such ppl to do it in their thread (as they prob would really love that anyway) and dont clog up what can be a great thread entertaining idiots
  • apwmel
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 03-26-09
    • 789

    #2
    Pitt, Col, and Bos are solid plays. Hou is a mess. They play bad in streaks, then score some games that they shouldn't
    Comment
    • BigDan
      Restricted User
      • 04-28-11
      • 5104

      #3
      Originally posted by apwmel
      Pitt, Col, and Bos are solid plays. Hou is a mess. They play bad in streaks, then score some games that they shouldn't

      i havnt really saw the games they scored in where they shouldnt have maybe with the exception of 4 off of Carp but that was before pence and bourn were gone..

      i guess we will see as this a gm i find very hard to believe they get more than 3.
      Comment
      • miyakuza
        SBR MVP
        • 05-03-10
        • 1411

        #4
        I like Boston, STL, Texas, and Twins so far.
        Comment
        • BigDan
          Restricted User
          • 04-28-11
          • 5104

          #5
          Originally posted by miyakuza
          I like Boston, STL, Texas, and Twins so far.

          understand Tex but respect Jimenez maybe more than i should and just not sure what to expect in this gm from him. Holland has also been considerably worse on this amount of rest (small sample and didnt bother to see his matchups in those games as im short on time) just something to consider. i just didnt want to be involved in that gm one way or the other...hope to hear you chiming in later as i know you bout to get back on track as well.
          Comment
          • LovetoSpooge
            SBR Sharp
            • 11-20-10
            • 426

            #6
            I took the ff on STL.

            liking hou tt under 3

            Also taking angels -1.5
            Comment
            • miyakuza
              SBR MVP
              • 05-03-10
              • 1411

              #7
              BigD, the NL is completely different than the AL as far as big hitters in their lineup. Ubaldo has yet to face Texas and this being his first start since coming to the Indians, I see Texas taking this one.

              Cleveland is 1-5 in their last six on the road against Texas.

              Thanks buddy, we'll win today for sure.
              Comment
              • Ice House
                Restricted User
                • 07-21-10
                • 4060

                #8
                wouldn't be surprised if the Yankees vs Red Sox game last 4 and half hours tonight
                Comment
                • miyakuza
                  SBR MVP
                  • 05-03-10
                  • 1411

                  #9
                  After looking at the series between Braves and Mets, I think Dickey and the Mets can win this one.
                  Comment
                  • BigDan
                    Restricted User
                    • 04-28-11
                    • 5104

                    #10
                    Originally posted by miyakuza
                    BigD, the NL is completely different than the AL as far as big hitters in their lineup. Ubaldo has yet to face Texas and this being his first start since coming to the Indians, I see Texas taking this one.

                    Cleveland is 1-5 in their last six on the road against Texas.

                    you dont have to convince me of this brother, still believe if he is right he is capable of shutting down most teams from either AL or NL. i just rather watch here, you wont catch me playing tribe that is for sure. who knows the day is young before it is over you may have me convinced
                    Comment
                    • BigDan
                      Restricted User
                      • 04-28-11
                      • 5104

                      #11
                      Originally posted by Ice House
                      wouldn't be surprised if the Yankees vs Red Sox game last 4 and half hours tonight

                      nothing surprises me when these teams meet. that is why no matter how it gets played i think it wise to play it at plus money. whether it be bos rl, nyy ml or rrl or anything else you can find that is plus. if im flipping a coin i want plus to do it.
                      Comment
                      • Razorbacks1
                        SBR MVP
                        • 01-04-07
                        • 2010

                        #12
                        Good day Dan and all...had a good day with KC and KC over 41/2. Got greedy and played Philly TT over 31/2 (+105). Dan Thursday was not good for you, but we've all been there. There have been days I'll pick 5 6 or 7 games and feel REAL good about them and go 0-5 0-6 or 0-7. Shake er off and get em today!

                        Right now just looking at 3. Leaning SD today. Harang and a plus ML might be a shot for me.

                        Dodgers with Billingsly. Just a hunch that AZ might be flat coming home for the first one.

                        Worley has been kind to me..hate to go against him and the Giants lineup doesn't really scare me. I'll give it more thought.

                        Be back later to finalize... Best of luck to everyone today
                        Comment
                        • borednaz
                          SBR MVP
                          • 08-28-10
                          • 3809

                          #13
                          I just want to lay low and relax today. I dont want to coin flip. That being said Im thinking of playing just Mil, I never miss a chance to fade Happ or Lyles.
                          Comment
                          • BigDan
                            Restricted User
                            • 04-28-11
                            • 5104

                            #14
                            Originally posted by Razorbacks1
                            Good day Dan and all...had a good day with KC and KC over 41/2. Got greedy and played Philly TT over 31/2 (+105). Dan Thursday was not good for you, but we've all been there. There have been days I'll pick 5 6 or 7 games and feel REAL good about them and go 0-5 0-6 or 0-7. Shake er off and get em today!

                            Right now just looking at 3. Leaning SD today. Harang and a plus ML might be a shot for me.

                            Dodgers with Billingsly. Just a hunch that AZ might be flat coming home for the first one.

                            Worley has been kind to me..hate to go against him and the Giants lineup doesn't really scare me. I'll give it more thought.

                            Be back later to finalize... Best of luck to everyone today
                            best thing i did yesterday was getting you on that kc tt ov

                            Harang has fell off as much as pit lately imho. but with the way buccos are sliding cant really blame anyone for fading them.

                            SF lineup certainly doesnt scare anyone as they didnt last year when they won it all. i Keep waiting for Worely to regress but think im done betting against it, not to mention Sanchez just coming off DL against this lineup has to be another plus for phils bats. may be tempted to play over but im really out of time for now and have to run...


                            Be back in the afternoon to try and figure it all out.....
                            Comment
                            • BigDan
                              Restricted User
                              • 04-28-11
                              • 5104

                              #15
                              Originally posted by borednaz
                              I just want to lay low and relax today. I dont want to coin flip. That being said Im thinking of playing just Mil, I never miss a chance to fade Happ or Lyles.

                              cant argue with Happ but i believe the days of fading Lyles are numbered as smarter ppl than me speak incredibly highly of the kid, and ive seen him preform at a high level against some tough offenses so i tend to agree with them.
                              Comment
                              • HOT WINGS
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 01-29-10
                                • 8055

                                #16
                                Locked in the Rox myself at -125 and -1 +112 Hit there TT O 5 in bottom of 8th last night which was pretty damn lucky. I always keep my eye on this team because it seems like they like to win or lose in bunches kind of like the fish. GL havent had time to look at much else yet. Kind of like Rangers O 9, Tigers O9 though at first glance.
                                Comment
                                • Razorbacks1
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 01-04-07
                                  • 2010

                                  #17
                                  [QUOTE=BigDan;10929164]best thing i did yesterday was getting you on that kc tt ov

                                  Comment
                                  • MisticalRitzy
                                    SBR High Roller
                                    • 06-02-10
                                    • 118

                                    #18
                                    I always see Happ as a probable every 5/6 days and think 'surely they've got someone else to put into the starting rotation, surely!' But no, it seems they don't have and until they do I'm going to ride him and his AAA team. I'm going to double the Brewers with LAA to get evens, Vargas has lost 5 straight and Weaver will want to put on a good show before his possible suspension. odds should be around evens.
                                    Comment
                                    • borednaz
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 08-28-10
                                      • 3809

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by MisticalRitzy
                                      I always see Happ as a probable every 5/6 days and think 'surely they've got someone else to put into the starting rotation, surely!' But no, it seems they don't have and until they do I'm going to ride him and his AAA team. I'm going to double the Brewers with LAA to get evens, Vargas has lost 5 straight and Weaver will want to put on a good show before his possible suspension. odds should be around evens.
                                      Your idea sounds perfect, but what suspension?
                                      Comment
                                      • vyomguy
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 12-08-09
                                        • 5794

                                        #20
                                        pit and tb.
                                        Comment
                                        • borednaz
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 08-28-10
                                          • 3809

                                          #21
                                          As a side note I actually felt like laying a bet on seattle. They like to show up in wierd spots against bad teams as sparatic as them.
                                          Comment
                                          • miyakuza
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 05-03-10
                                            • 1411

                                            #22
                                            Too much juice on tb and Pitt, would rather go 1-1 playing as and SD. I took cubs bigD!
                                            Comment
                                            • miyakuza
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 05-03-10
                                              • 1411

                                              #23
                                              Cleveland looks decent now. Books keep taking Texas bets and lines keep climbing and not going down. I'm probably gonna play padres as well.
                                              Comment
                                              • MisticalRitzy
                                                SBR High Roller
                                                • 06-02-10
                                                • 118

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by borednaz
                                                Your idea sounds perfect, but what suspension?
                                                He was suspended on Tuesday for aiming a pitch at Alex Avila's head. He's appealed it and it's being heard next week so he's probably got at least another start after today if he gets hit with the suspension.
                                                Comment
                                                • blackeyeshamus
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 02-19-11
                                                  • 6632

                                                  #25
                                                  cincy 2x
                                                  good luck!
                                                  Comment
                                                  • BigDan
                                                    Restricted User
                                                    • 04-28-11
                                                    • 5104

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by miyakuza
                                                    Too much juice on tb and Pitt, would rather go 1-1 playing as and SD. I took cubs bigD!

                                                    i played them on the rrl really small before i walked out the door. Home early, apparently someone finally sacrificed the right virgin around here cause we finally got some fukkin rain

                                                    i agree with to much juice on both tb and pit but i still played pit on the -1 at basically even. think Harang regressing just as badly as the Buccos....
                                                    Comment
                                                    • BigDan
                                                      Restricted User
                                                      • 04-28-11
                                                      • 5104

                                                      #27
                                                      dont know why i wrote Lannen as pitcher for Nats in my 1st post but obviously it is Zimmermann, think i will chalk it up to i was rushing this morning dont like to edit post tho so im just saying here. strange no one has said anything yet??????
                                                      Comment
                                                      • gangeriver
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 12-23-09
                                                        • 2138

                                                        #28
                                                        White Sox/Buehrle -105 is a solid play for me.I think that is an oddsmaker error. Also I like D'backs/Collmenter -130
                                                        Comment
                                                        • miyakuza
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 05-03-10
                                                          • 1411

                                                          #29
                                                          Big d, ill be on kc and twins for sure.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • BigDan
                                                            Restricted User
                                                            • 04-28-11
                                                            • 5104

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by gangeriver
                                                            White Sox/Buehrle -105 is a solid play for me.I think that is an oddsmaker error. Also I like D'backs/Collmenter -130

                                                            Minny owns cws (17-3 last 2 seasons!) not to mention the way chi been swinging the bats it real hard to take them. i love Buehrle as much as anyone but until sox show a little plate discipline its hard for me to back them regardless of who is pitching, and yes Blackburn is a bad outing waiting to happen but he is also capable of a solid outing (in fact he has had 2 good and 1 bad against chi this year)...

                                                            not saying im ready to jump on the twinks but backing a team that hasnt drawn a walk in god knows how long is a problem for me, think this team is on the brink of collapse yet again after their little push they have yet again regressed to the undisciplined group that they are (yes they were playing bos and nyy but for 4 of the games they wernt facing pitchers that strike a lot of fear and all handled them)....

                                                            Way i see it line should be about a pk cause this gm is pretty much just that....
                                                            Comment
                                                            • BigDan
                                                              Restricted User
                                                              • 04-28-11
                                                              • 5104

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by miyakuza
                                                              Big d, ill be on kc and twins for sure.

                                                              eying both of those right now.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • BigDan
                                                                Restricted User
                                                                • 04-28-11
                                                                • 5104

                                                                #32
                                                                also really looking at mil/hou and nats/rox unders..already on the hou tt un but kinda want a little of the gm total as well, until mil proves their bats can travel with them ill be tempted to play under, not to mention hou under is something im looking to take every chance i get atm.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • miyakuza
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 05-03-10
                                                                  • 1411

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Redsox
                                                                  Twins
                                                                  Kc
                                                                  SF
                                                                  Marlins
                                                                  Mets
                                                                  padres
                                                                  Dodgers
                                                                  Nationals.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Razorbacks1
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 01-04-07
                                                                    • 2010

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Here's my Friday 6 pack
                                                                    Sticking with my first 3...padres, dodgers and phillies
                                                                    Also going with Atlanta.. Cannot find any reason to take the Mets as a home dog.
                                                                    Toronto..same as above with the O's
                                                                    Stl/fla under 8 1/2

                                                                    Good luck everyone!
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • miyakuza
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 05-03-10
                                                                      • 1411

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Also taking jays. Bautista is tired of hearing he doesn't hit against the orioles.
                                                                      Comment
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