Very good call lta on both bets. Well done !
LTA's MLB Plays
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wilfor1SBR High Roller
- 09-06-10
- 129
#4831Comment -
Love The ActionSBR Posting Legend
- 11-08-10
- 10952
#4832MLB 2011 Playoffs 10/19/11
Play #1
Cardinals ML (-117) 1x (Locked)
I dont have much time for a writeup, so I will just give you the basics. I dont think this price gets any better, so I'm locking it now. I set the Cardinals as -129 favorites and will jump on the value of the home team in this spot. This game is played under NL rules, so you take a bat out of the rangers lineup which is an advantage for the cardinals. Other than the day he pitched on three days rest Carp has been sharper than Wilson throughout the playoffs. In addition, Wilson will be facing a right handed lineup and his platoon splits show he struggled more against righties than lefties. On the other side, Carp will also be facing mostly righties against texas (other than hamilton and murphy) and we all know Carp fares very well against righties. Both offenses are formidable and both bullpens solid, so with the Cards playing at home with the better pitcher at a cheap price, I am rolling with the Cardinals for 1x. Good luck.
Play #2
Rangers/Cards under (7.5)(+100) 2x (Locked)
Starting to move, but you can still get plus odds at Legends and similar books. No time for writeups. Back later with possible addition to cards ml or possible parlay. Good luck!
ACTION PARLAY
Cards ML (-125)/Under (7.5)(-115) Pays 2.6x for every 1x risked
The parlay does not count for the record, but I love both plays so I'm going to go for it. Good luck!Comment -
No coincidencesSBR Aristocracy
- 01-18-10
- 76300
#4833Nice work LTA. Under was never in doubt. I'd say the game was a toss-up, but that'd be a bitter, angry comment so I'll refrain.Comment -
DrStaleSBR Hall of Famer
- 12-07-08
- 9692
#4834Ha, we disagreed and both cashed. Nice work.Originally posted by Dark HorseIf with religion you mean belief system, your belief system is your religion. Again, it matters not what it is. You believe in it, you are loyal to it, would defend it, and yet have no proof of it, other than that, at one point or another, you chose to believe in it. Self-hypnosis. What if there were a snapping of fingers that broke the hypnosis?Comment -
Love The ActionSBR Posting Legend
- 11-08-10
- 10952
#4836Well I didn't have time to work on tomorrow's game yet and the money is coming in fast and furious on Texas. All the way up to -113. I could have gotten +103 yesterday and I'm kicking myself for not working on this game earlier if it turns out I would have taken Texas.Comment -
pacocnSBR Posting Legend
- 07-05-10
- 12934
#4838Lta, i like tex for the seriesComment -
Love The ActionSBR Posting Legend
- 11-08-10
- 10952
#4839
So what do you guys think about game 2?Comment -
Love The ActionSBR Posting Legend
- 11-08-10
- 10952
#4840Carpenter is now tied for the most postseason win in history with 8...that stat alone make all his detractors look stupid. Gotta love Carp!Comment -
Love The ActionSBR Posting Legend
- 11-08-10
- 10952
#4841I'm not big on betting series, only when I think there is great arb opportunities. This was a great opportunity, but I did not feel comfortable being on St. Louis if they lost the first game because they might not make it out of Texas in that case. Tomorrow is a huge game. If Texas wins, the same rules apply and the series might not go back to St. Louis so the price will go back up to the -150 range. That's why you should take them now around +115 if you still like them. If Texas loses, that changes things considerably. I think the books would have to completely switch positions from the first game and install Texas at the +140 or +150 range. Fun stuffComment -
Love The ActionSBR Posting Legend
- 11-08-10
- 10952
#4842MLB Final Numbers for Regular Season 2011
418 - 378 = +38.03x
MLB 2011 Playoff Recap 10/19/11
2 - 0 = +3x
A great game for Carpenter, just like we thought. Carp is just a great competitor. We beat the closer considerably on both plays and we cashed. Plus, I ended up hitting that parlay which worked out quite well for my overall BR. Can't get any better than that.
MLB 2011 Playoffs
16 - 9 = +8.182x
Onto game 2...Comment -
No coincidencesSBR Aristocracy
- 01-18-10
- 76300
#4843I'm not big on betting series, only when I think there is great arb opportunities. This was a great opportunity, but I did not feel comfortable being on St. Louis if they lost the first game because they might not make it out of Texas in that case. Tomorrow is a huge game. If Texas wins, the same rules apply and the series might not go back to St. Louis so the price will go back up to the -150 range. That's why you should take them now around +115 if you still like them. If Texas loses, that changes things considerably. I think the books would have to completely switch positions from the first game and install Texas at the +140 or +150 range. Fun stuffComment -
Love The ActionSBR Posting Legend
- 11-08-10
- 10952
#4844Redscot - thoughts on garcia tonight?
As far as the total goes, I think we can trust Lewis....what about Garcia?Comment -
RedscotSBR MVP
- 05-16-11
- 2571
#4845Gotta figure Garcia gives you 5 good innings at home. Texas batters have no familiarity with him. If we have similar conditions as last night and he keeps the ball down, would be hard to imagine him giving up more than 3 in 5 frames.....then onto Larussaville and the pen. Lewis too, should benefit from the ballpark and conditions. Cardinals have seen very little of him as well. However, any slight variation in that wind (blowing out in any way) and Lewis could be a BIG risk. Gibson behind the plate is a positive.....Last edited by Redscot; 10-20-11, 07:11 AM.Comment -
RedscotSBR MVP
- 05-16-11
- 2571
#4846Comment -
fitguy67SBR Hall of Famer
- 03-13-11
- 5082
#4847good luck on the game 2 deliberations guyz...this is an extremely evenly-matched series on paper...the whole series generally, and on a game-by-game basis as well...Comment -
firehoytSBR MVP
- 12-02-10
- 3569
#4848How would Gibson be a positive?For the over?
The Cards?
I've seen his stats with W/L on each team and it favors the Cards considerably.
Gotta figure Garcia gives you 5 good innings at home. Texas batters have no familiarity with him. If we have similar conditions as last night and he keeps the ball down, would be hard to imagine him giving up more than 3 in 5 frames.....then onto Larussaville and the pen. Lewis too, should benefit from the ballpark and conditions. Cardinals have seen very little of him as well. However, any slight variation in that wind (blowing out in any way) and Lewis could be a BIG risk. Gibson behind the plate is a positive.....Comment -
RedscotSBR MVP
- 05-16-11
- 2571
#4849This stat doesn't take into account the end of this season, but the trend is obvious:
If you are looking for a solid under umpire, look no further than Greg Gibson. Teams have only scored 7.2 runs per game and the under is 7-3 in games listed at 8.5 or greater. His two year total is what’s impressive. Since 2010, the under is 38-11 in games where Gibson has been behind the plate.Comment -
RedscotSBR MVP
- 05-16-11
- 2571
#4851Got me chomping at the bit for some pigskin my man........couple of NCAA games tonight, you liking anything?
Comment -
Love The ActionSBR Posting Legend
- 11-08-10
- 10952
#4852Gibson is a positive for the under firehoyt.This stat doesn't take into account the end of this season, but the trend is obvious:
If you are looking for a solid under umpire, look no further than Greg Gibson. Teams have only scored 7.2 runs per game and the under is 7-3 in games listed at 8.5 or greater. His two year total is what’s impressive. Since 2010, the under is 38-11 in games where Gibson has been behind the plate.Comment -
Love The ActionSBR Posting Legend
- 11-08-10
- 10952
#4853Maybe...I'm looking at those games when I get to work. Going to have a busy day though, so I will pass if I can't do a thorough job. Locked in the GT/Miamj over as a big play in my ncaaf thread....i expect a big scoring game in that one.Comment -
RedscotSBR MVP
- 05-16-11
- 2571
#4854I agree, the strike percentage is borderline....do you have his strike percentages for the last few years? I'd be interested in that.Comment -
Love The ActionSBR Posting Legend
- 11-08-10
- 10952
#4855Yeah....he's always in that mid 62.5% range. You can get full ump history for the last ten years or so at covers. Go to mlb, then umps, then click the name and in the top right there is an option for previous seasons....Comment -
RedscotSBR MVP
- 05-16-11
- 2571
#4857.
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RedscotSBR MVP
- 05-16-11
- 2571
#4858It's a good life. My budget is less than half it was in the States....and my day to day living is a lot healthier, virtually all the meat/fruit/veggies I eat are grown or raised locally, and the rum I drink too. Gambling is legal too
.
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diazmoney2300Restricted User
- 07-06-11
- 16
#4859yo red was out there for the first time with my fiances family and theres nothing like it loved santo domingo. I stayed in haya sure ur familiar but soon as i read ur last post so many flashbacks he's not liying either meat/fruit/veggies all fresh. Bancas on every corner and the beer and liquir is like water. lol thanks for the memories cant wait to go back.Comment -
diazmoney2300Restricted User
- 07-06-11
- 16
#4860as u can see on my avatar my beautiful lady is dominican and yes she is hot but i know u know red they r a handful lmao.... but hey they do take good care of us lol.Comment -
Donnie BrascoSBR Wise Guy
- 01-04-11
- 862
#4861Garcia at home as a dog? No brainer right? I already have birds +140 for series, if i take texas now at +115 that is free money right?Comment -
Donnie BrascoSBR Wise Guy
- 01-04-11
- 862
#4862Think we stay with the birds especially with garcia and one less ranger bat in the lineup. Now educate me and tell me why i am wrong.Comment -
RedscotSBR MVP
- 05-16-11
- 2571
#4863You got that right bro. I'm like a kid in a candy shop down here
. Glad you had a good visit here, like anywhere else it has it's good and bad. Best people you find are in the countryside.
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RedscotSBR MVP
- 05-16-11
- 2571
#4864
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diazmoney2300Restricted User
- 07-06-11
- 16
#4865best time of my life red and the best people ive ever met yes ur right has its good and bad but the diffrence in living jus amazing didnt have a problem adjusting we can clog up this whole page jus talkin about it lol but lots of respect to l.t.a. love all the info in here. Red im in paterson,nj and i dont know if u been around this area but this is becoming little D.R. grab ur plastic chair and ur beer and sit out front and play some dominoes lmao....Comment
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