LTA's MLB Plays

**No coincidences** · 04-18-12, 05:35 PM

Originally posted by fitguy67

NoCoin...love ur new avatar...1984 tigers had one of the clearly best years ever in baseball (100% "wire to wire" from opening day to WSchampionship...kicked off with a phenomenal 35-5 start)...back when they still played in Tiger Stadium on Michigan and Trumball...feel thirty years younger now!

**Les_Nuts** · 04-18-12, 05:36 PM

Originally posted by Love The Action

Like the underin the early met game, but the ump is over friendly and it looks like rain which may lead to early bullpen action. Good luck for those playing the early game.

Good pass lol

**Love The Action** · 04-18-12, 08:01 PM

Man, all these home runs off Morrow are annoying....gonna need some big time luck here....come on, one time.

**brucethebear** · 04-18-12, 09:30 PM

Originally posted by Love The Action

Man, all these home runs off Morrow are annoying....gonna need some big time luck here....come on, one time.

Almost got it to.
Talk about rub of the green being against us. Another fielding error leads to the under being blown.

**speez11** · 04-18-12, 10:11 PM

unders are not in our favor past 2 days, tomorrow?!

**Catchn_Picks** · 04-18-12, 10:43 PM

Originally posted by speez11

unders are not in our favor past 2 days, tomorrow?!

SF/Phil game seems to be going OK.

First under 5.5 game I have ever played. Feels good so far.

**speez11** · 04-18-12, 11:02 PM

Originally posted by Catchn_Picks

SF/Phil game seems to be going OK.

First under 5.5 game I have ever played. Feels good so far.

You are right, I actually chose SF on the ML so im sweating it out

**Love The Action** · 04-18-12, 11:19 PM

MLB 2012 Regular Season 4/19/2012

Play #1

Cubs/Marlins under (7.5)(-120) 1x (Locked)

Play #2

Astros ML (+150) 1x (Locked)

Play #3

Dodgers ML (+128) 1x (Locked)

Good luck.

**EricZ116** · 04-18-12, 11:40 PM

Anyone else like Braves/Dbacks under? I'm a huge fan of both Minor and Collmenter, definitely think we're getting solid value under 9 +105 since these guys aren't household names (yet), though Collmenter has been a bit shaky so far.

**Love The Action** · 04-19-12, 05:43 AM

MLB 2012 Regular Season 4/18/2012 Recap

1 - 1 = -0.2x

MLB 2012 Regular Season

27 - 21 = +6.5x

And yet another 9th inning loss keeps us from a winning day.....good luck on Thursday.

**Love The Action** · 04-19-12, 06:41 AM

Originally posted by Love The Action

MLB 2012 Regular Season 4/19/2012

Play #1

Cubs/Marlins under (7.5)(-120) 1x (Locked)

Play #2

Astros ML (+150) 1x (Locked)

Play #3

Dodgers ML (+128) 1x (Locked)

Good luck.

Play #4

Blue Jays ML (-110) 1x (Locked)

I am high on alvarez and think hell boy struggles tonight. No time for any writeups Good luck.

**brucethebear** · 04-19-12, 06:54 AM

Really like the dodgers at + money.

**Love The Action** · 04-19-12, 08:14 AM

Originally posted by brucethebear

Really like the dodgers at + money.

Its all about value. Wolf and Harang are very close in terms of advanced stats and the dodgr offense is proving much better than last season. I have this game at +113 so I got 15 cents of value. I think this will close around that number as well. GL

**pacocn** · 04-19-12, 08:18 AM

Lta, nice looking card, and looks like you will be spot on
with the closing dodger #. bol

**Love The Action** · 04-19-12, 09:03 AM

Originally posted by Love The Action

MLB 2012 Regular Season 4/19/2012

Play #1

Cubs/Marlins under (7.5)(-120) 1x (Locked)

Play #2

Astros ML (+150) 1x (Locked)

Play #3

Dodgers ML (+128) 1x (Locked)

Good luck.

Play #4

Blue Jays ML (-110) 1x (Locked)

I am high on alvarez and think hell boy struggles tonight. No time for any writeups Good luck.

Play #5

Reds/Cardinals over (7.5) 1x (Locked)

Jumping on this now at -110 before the juice gets even higher. This is my first over of the season and its well deserved with arroyo and wainwright who is still not himself. I have this game set at 8.7 and we cash on a final score of 8. The wind is blowing out and the ball carries better during the day in stl. Gorman is the ump with a higher strike rate but a long term record that favors the over. Based on the foregoing, I am rolling with the over for 1x. Good luck.

**pokerwhiz90** · 04-19-12, 09:16 AM

love harang today

**NoHero** · 04-19-12, 09:27 AM

5 Plays? LET'S GET IT

**Love The Action** · 04-19-12, 09:46 AM

Originally posted by NoHero

5 Plays? LET'S GET IT

I also like the braves but wont pay -120. I think it will come down in price later today. Would like to get -113ish.

**BigBoi** · 04-19-12, 09:53 AM

Marlins/ Cubs at 7 +110. Buy the hook?

**Love The Action** · 04-19-12, 10:00 AM

Wow....im very surprised about the move on the under in the cards game. Perhaps some sharps like what they see from arroyo this year. Not sure why the juice is on the under right now, but lets see what happens.

**RoadDog** · 04-19-12, 10:00 AM

Originally posted by Love The Action

Wow....im very surprised about the move on the under in the cards game. Perhaps some sharps like what they see from arroyo this year. Not sure why the juice is on the under right now, but lets see what happens.

This is the start Wainwright goes 7 scoreless. Just my opinion.

**BiffTFinancial** · 04-19-12, 10:07 AM

Originally posted by Love The Action

Wow....im very surprised about the move on the under in the cards game. Perhaps some sharps like what they see from arroyo this year. Not sure why the juice is on the under right now, but lets see what happens.

my guess is lineups. Berkman, Freese and of course Molina sitting. not that concerned. Molina sitting is actually not bad for over.

**Love The Action** · 04-19-12, 10:08 AM

Originally posted by Love The Action

Wow....im very surprised about the move on the under in the cards game. Perhaps some sharps like what they see from arroyo this year. Not sure why the juice is on the under right now, but lets see what happens.

The line moved because berkman and freese are out for stl. Hmmm, that does change things a bit. Need to think about this, but will probably stick with the over. Its -ev long term to buy out of plays because of lineup changes.

**Love The Action** · 04-19-12, 10:11 AM

Originally posted by RoadDog

This is the start Wainwright goes 7 scoreless. Just my opinion.

How about his next start so I can play the under

**RoadDog** · 04-19-12, 10:14 AM

Haha. If he doesnt do it today, for sure next one.

**Les_Nuts** · 04-19-12, 10:17 AM

Over in Texas/Detroit game looks a no-brainer to me. Two sides who have been hitting it extremely well against a rocky Darvish and Wilk. Could be 9-6 type game. Also leaning Dodgers/Brewers over and Dodgers ML.

**Love The Action** · 04-19-12, 10:22 AM

Originally posted by BiffTFinancial

my guess is lineups. Berkman, Freese and of course Molina sitting. not that concerned. Molina sitting is actually not bad for over.

Good luck Biff!!

**mikea33** · 04-19-12, 10:25 AM

Go get em LTA.

I finally cut down my unit size and feel a lot more comfortable and less anxious betting!

For anyone betting out of there comfort zone, I'd suggest cutting down your unit size as the best possible +ev thing you can do.

**Laissez Faire** · 04-19-12, 10:28 AM

Originally posted by Les_Nuts

Over in Texas/Detroit game looks a no-brainer to me. Two sides who have been hitting it extremely well against a rocky Darvish and Wilk. Could be 9-6 type game. Also leaning Dodgers/Brewers over and Dodgers ML.

already took the over in rangers game...was thinking the same way

**RockyTopGambler** · 04-19-12, 10:28 AM

Never bet more than you can afford to lose. Words to live by

**BiffTFinancial** · 04-19-12, 10:35 AM

Originally posted by Love The Action

Good luck Biff!!

thanks, LTA, you too!

**Manel88** · 04-19-12, 10:39 AM

Originally posted by Love The Action

Wow....im very surprised about the move on the under in the cards game. Perhaps some sharps like what they see from arroyo this year. Not sure why the juice is on the under right now, but lets see what happens.

Hi LTA. Can you explain me what do you mean with "not sure why the juice is on under right now"?

I mean...how do you see where the juice is?

Thanks

**RockyTopGambler** · 04-19-12, 10:55 AM

Normal juice is 10% or -110. Right now the under is -120 or 20% in most places while the over is paying out even money. Thus, the juice is on the under.

Edit: Currently it's back to juice on the over on most, but I assume it was around -120 when LTA posted. Either way it answers your questions

**absolutkaos** · 04-19-12, 10:58 AM

reds/card O +105 @ bet365 right now.

**apurvaas** · 04-19-12, 11:00 AM

Originally posted by Love The Action

Play #5

Reds/Cardinals over (7.5) 1x (Locked)

Jumping on this now at -110 before the juice gets even higher. This is my first over of the season and its well deserved with arroyo and wainwright who is still not himself. I have this game set at 8.7 and we cash on a final score of 8. The wind is blowing out and the ball carries better during the day in stl. Gorman is the ump with a higher strike rate but a long term record that favors the over. Based on the foregoing, I am rolling with the over for 1x. Good luck.

FYI
Reds/Cards game trending under due to both Berkman and Freese being OUT.. I was on over 7.5 for 1u and adding 1U more on 7
BOL