Wed Cards/Phils and Interleague

[BigDan]

Im working all day 2marro, and need some sleep. So got about a hr to bang out some winners, lets get started.

got the series bet on Phi but i still wanna try and attack these next games.

Phi-147 -1 maybe. I think Larussa spoon feeding phi bats that bum Trever Miller and then all the othr scrubs might have woke phi bats up a little. Ive never trusted Loshe since they gave him that money, dont get me wrong i rode him early this year when he looked good but it always made me nervous and lets face it he wasnt exactly pitching against the cream of the crop hitting teams. This ump might let him nibble but if that is the case Lee should have a field day. Surprisingly Berkman hits Lee pretty well in limited abs, but Berman from the right means limited Power in a power short lineup (he has got a few from the right and maybe he jumps on one early) Lee hasnt been sharp on the road but i just dont think stl offers enough threats to put much up against him, especially if the ump has a generous k-zone, works either way tho, if the ump is squeezing the pitchers that fine cause then Loshe will get rocked. obviously im not sure about the total.

Leaning a few more. but still looking.

like i said im running short on time so feel free to get this discussion going, felt like lot of guys made useful post yesterday

[Lord and Master]

betting against the philly big 3 when pitching away will be a great bet all year long. that price is ludicrous

[BigDan]

Bos/Sd ov 9.5. super square total

How doesnt this work out? Richard is gonna struggle against Bosox lineup, Latos has serious talent and they still needed a lot of the pen, nice win sd glad i passed, but now lets get series Bos wins series but you guys can score some runs and have a little fun as well.

Bos-1.5 probably parlay ml with a couple things.

[golfrulz]

philly and bos. $.

[BigDan]

betting against the philly big 3 when pitching away will be a great bet all year long. that price is ludicrous

You are right brother and i never do it, rarely ever do anything besides fade phi or pass or pick my spots. Thing is im fading stl right now and watching phi establish red sox type dominance. Trust me you wont catch me doing it often im mostly a dog better. Just lately certain things going certain ways where there is money in some square favs, when that stops ill stop.

[BigDan]

I figure im playing with house money with phi series bet -160 and rl tonight (i promise stl wont win the next 2).

[BigDan]

Its strange cause usually "sharp" betters hate my Cards. Now all a sudden you all want to jump on a sinking ship atm? they lose at least one of next two, kinda think 2marro cause westbrook will be solid on thur and i think Cards will hit Oswalt. Then win or lose Cards may be a good bet in next series with Carp starting (under will prob be ok cause he'll go 8) .

[BigDan]

philly and bos. $.

sounds like a winner to me.

[Bald Bull]

Then win or lose Cards may be a good bet in next series with Carp starting (under will prob be ok cause he'll go 8) .

didn't carpenter throw like 400 pitches in his last start though?

[bigballer891]

Havent done any research yet but a few things that stand out to me off an initial glance right now are:

Washington -107 - Theyve been rolling of late and anytime you get an improbable win like that scoring 5 runs and hitting the walkoff bomb, that momentum tends to carry over. As uplifting as it is for washington to steal one its just as devasting to seattle to have one taken away.

Minnesota +131 - With the way there playing right now, its hard not to look into them as a dogg.

Hou/Tex Over 9.5 - Depending on the ump and weather, colby lewis has been getting lit up lately and brett myers has struggled too, I think we may see runs in this one.

Arizona -117 - Kennedy is pitching much better than francis and this seems like a decent price to support the hotter ballclub with the better pitcher.

Gonna start to do my work now and see what else I may find, GL Dan

[BigDan]

i think i like the tex tt more than playing the over or the game actually. assuming it will be 5.5? that was at 1st glance i didnt look much.

I got a minny series bet pending and not sure if i wanna be play it.

Think i like the Nats play but they struggle against lefties (besides a few), and Bedard been pitching great. didnt look at how sea does against lefties but you right lannan been great. really wanna play the under and Nats as well.

[korbal29]

boston and phillies on the run line seems a great bet not too much to overcome

[raiders32]

I like Phillies to win Wednesday. I like their offense over the Cards.

[BigDan]

boston and phillies on the run line seems a great bet not too much to overcome

i think the wise thing to do is grab phi ml right now, -142 seems reasonable, if ump got wide k-zone it could be close.

[BigDan]

ok this is what i got....

locked.

phi-147.

Bos-1.5 -110, best i could get. if you got 5dimes it +100

that all im playing tonight but have to have these ready to bet by morning. stil can wait on them but wont be posting.

Bos tt ?? think this the best way to go about the total here, worried Lackey might go deep on these guys and not give up much.

Col/cle ov 8.5, juice kinda high and id like to hear from Bifft on this one, hopefully he chimes in by morning as wont be around for the live stadium update, the place i check says wind blowing out possible showers. Rox offense is to much for cle pitchers, Should be a fun game im sure tribe can knock Hammel around.

nats/sea un 7.5. two pitchers pitching really well, nats lineup doesnt hit lefties all that well. Lannan has been like a QS machine. kinda like Nats to bounce back but not sure if they can beat sea in a grind it out low scoring affair. so gotta decide on one or the other.

kc/arz ov 8.5. pushed this total yesterday i want my money.


Like i said my friends around 5:30 or 6 am cst last time i can check thread so let me here what you think about these or any others you like. i didnt look at day games so give me a solid play i can cash while im at work.

As always your thoughts, questions, comments appreciated...Gl everyone

[BigDan]

didn't carpenter throw like 400 pitches in his last start though?

Yea but he a warrior and my guess is Larussa/duncan putting a litttle some extra in the water he drinking. naw i don t really know yet that to far away, im just worried about trying to get money off my teams struggles right now.

[BigDan]

ok this is what i got....

locked.

phi-147.

Bos-1.5 -110, best i could get. if you got 5dimes it +100

that all im playing tonight but have to have these ready to bet by morning. stil can wait on them but wont be posting.

Bos tt ?? think this the best way to go about the total here, worried Lackey might go deep on these guys and not give up much.

Col/cle ov 8.5, juice kinda high and id like to hear from Bifft on this one, hopefully he chimes in by morning as wont be around for the live stadium update, the place i check says wind blowing out possible showers. Rox offense is to much for cle pitchers, Should be a fun game im sure tribe can knock Hammel around.

nats/sea un 7.5. two pitchers pitching really well, nats lineup doesnt hit lefties all that well. Lannan has been like a QS machine. kinda like Nats to bounce back but not sure if they can beat sea in a grind it out low scoring affair. so gotta decide on one or the other.

kc/arz ov 8.5. pushed this total yesterday i want my money.


Like i said my friends around 5:30 or 6 am cst last time i can check thread so let me here what you think about these or any others you like. i didnt look at day games so give me a solid play i can cash while im at work.

As always your thoughts, questions, comments appreciated...Gl everyone

gotta go, wont be back rest of the day, playing all these and bos tt ov and nats/sea un ff when it comes out. Gl everyone

[thebertshow]

I like Philly in this spot and will accept the chalk

[tshizzle]

I'm with the phills as well. Too much talent for the cards.

[Scalamanga]

Like the Boston -1.5, got burnt on Texas -1.5 last night

[BiffTFinancial]

my bad on not stopping in last night. i just posted my losing numbers then passed [back] out.

i woke up eyeing Rocks/Tribe over. so long as the wind isn't a huge under wind, i'll likely be on the over. will post late day conditions at Jake here and in my thread around 6 pm.

[HOT WINGS]

Good luck today.... Took Indians Over 9,Redsox O 10, Rays, Tigers,Reds game1 and small play on Jays. Might add more later.

[BiffTFinancial]

took Rocks/Tribe and Pads/Sox over, and also probably will play M's/Nats under.

other than the potential for a thunderstorm, the wind in Cleveland should be a decent over wind. will update if that changes, but i went ahead and locked in Tribe over 9 at -105.

[leetreaper]

cards for value at home vs lee sounds good tonihgt

[jay777]

Phils and Minn. Until SF can score runs, I'm gonna fade them everyday. Vogelson been good but they can't score and dont see that changing vs Blackburn.

[BiffTFinancial]

flag in right center at the Jake still looks solid for over in Rockies/Tribe.

[BigDan]

I gotta say the more i think about that game the more i like Rox to get the sweep. already on ov 8.5 (pretty happy about that). Seems like we have seen this movie before, better team comes to cle and starts winning, everyone takes tribe to avoid the sweep, and Bam tribe get swept. Crazy the way this line has gone up,i can get the better offensive team who we all know is streaky as hell, in what we agree will be a high scoring game at +121?. Like i said starting to like Rox.

[BiffTFinancial]

don't know if you saw or not, but Diaz is behind the plate for AZ/KC tonight. guess that's why the total is so low and getting steamed even lower.

[BigDan]

yea i saw. fuk it.


I think yo know you are going good when you make a stupid ass bet on Sox rl and it gets rained out in th 8th

Combine that with Nats miracle comeback that im never on the right side of and id say things are nice.

Nats-109

Rox+121

[HOT WINGS]

I just took Cleveland and Nats again

[BiffTFinancial]

i'm thinking about Phils/Cards under 7.5. can get it at -115 at 5D. in seven career games calling balls and strikes for either Lee or Lohse, Hudson 7-0 under. only one of those games went over 7 runs. the way that Lee is going right now, he could shut down even the best lineup. Lohse a bit of a concern, but then again, as you said, the Phils weren't hitting all game last night, just in the 8th.

[BigDan]

i'm thinking about Phils/Cards under 7.5. can get it at -115 at 5D. in seven career games calling balls and strikes for either Lee or Lohse, Hudson 7-0 under. only one of those games went over 7 runs. the way that Lee is going right now, he could shut down even the best lineup. Lohse a bit of a concern, but then again, as you said, the Phils weren't hitting all game last night, just in the 8th.

i went back and forth on this total all day, i think if you like under ff or stl tt un might be the way to go. Really dont trust Loshe, i could see him being good early but by the 3rd time thru this lineup he gonna have problems. Not sure why Lee has been so bad on the road but i would expect that to stop tonight, just like yesterday it really hard for me to pencil Cards in for more than 3 prob 2, just not sure how many phils will score, Ladoucheassa will probably be forced to use Boggs tonight who is prob our best arm in the pen, not sure if he fukked tony's daughter or what but for some reason they rather put in all kinds of scrubs before him.

Cards 2 left handed "specialists" are allowing lefties obp of .400 and .500 not so respectively. That sure is special tho, wonder who they go to tonight if they in a jam and Howard comes up?

yea id be a little scared phils put up some runs tonight.

[Bald Bull]

i'm thinking about Phils/Cards under 7.5. can get it at -115 at 5D. in seven career games calling balls and strikes for either Lee or Lohse, Hudson 7-0 under. only one of those games went over 7 runs. the way that Lee is going right now, he could shut down even the best lineup. Lohse a bit of a concern, but then again, as you said, the Phils weren't hitting all game last night, just in the 8th.

under ff maybe

i don't trust that shitty cardinals pen

[BigDan]

Played oak/nym ov7.5 +105..figure either of these pitchers is capable of being lit up, delays shouldnt do anything but help, hopefully it gets played.

[BiffTFinancial]

i went back and forth on this total all day, i think if you like under ff or stl tt un might be the way to go. Really dont trust Loshe, i could see him being good early but by the 3rd time thru this lineup he gonna have problems. Not sure why Lee has been so bad on the road but i would expect that to stop tonight, just like yesterday it really hard for me to pencil Cards in for more than 3 prob 2, just not sure how many phils will score, Ladoucheassa will probably be forced to use Boggs tonight who is prob our best arm in the pen, not sure if he fukked tony's daughter or what but for some reason they rather put in all kinds of scrubs before him.

Cards 2 left handed "specialists" are allowing lefties obp of .400 and .500 not so respectively. That sure is special tho, wonder who they go to tonight if they in a jam and Howard comes up?

yea id be a little scared phils put up some runs tonight.

under ff maybe

i don't trust that shitty cardinals pen

thanks, fellas. not sure how good i feel about FF under 3.5. Cards TT under okay, but maybe i'm better off passing and hoping that Hammel continues to balk home runs.