Tuesdays Interleague/and Phis/cards

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  • BigDan
    Restricted User
    • 04-28-11
    • 5104

    #1
    Tuesdays Interleague/and Phis/cards
    getting my smoke on trying to bang out a few winners to get on tonight. So lets get cracking.

    zona/kc ov9. This one kinda jumped out at me right off that bat. Both these offenses are capable, both starters have their moments but are inconsistent. What the odds of them both being lights out? like both these teams for at least 4 runs, maybe more for one depending on which pitcher doesnt bring his A gm. kc at home against lefties have a higher ba, obp, and score a half run a game more. D-bags ran into some tough pitching last hme stand and think it will benefit them getting out on the road and w/a dh. Grabbing tonight cause looks like it gonna go up if anything.


    leans

    Det-120. Think we will see Tigers take out a little frustration on Billingsly garbage ass 2marro. Scherzer has been a little inconstant but i seem to like him at the right times this year, and in this park against this team i think he will have a really strong game. I know this gonna be a popular play so gonna wait until 2marro and make sure i still like it, even if price is a little more i think it worth it to wait.

    Phils-165. Yes lets talk my team, Albert hurt, so sad. Bad timing with all the other injuries.

    Phi has to be the absolute money play, maybe even rl or -1 at least(even tho doc wins a lot of gms by 1). I mean i worry a little Cards rallying the troops at 1st but against Doc? thats a lot to ask for a lineup that already had some holes. How they score 3 is beyond me. Even if McClellan pitches well he not going past 6, that 3 innings of Cards pen. Puts me at givin phi 4-5 which would make anything but the ml dicey. honestly think 5-2 phils, makes sense that the rl is already been bet down to shit.


    still looking.

    Questions, comments, thoughts on games appreciated as always . Gl everyone
  • jboy4
    Restricted User
    • 02-18-10
    • 1950

    #2
    I like the Tigers. Dodgers are really bad
    Comment
    • BigDan
      Restricted User
      • 04-28-11
      • 5104

      #3
      kinda like a Phi/Col parlay 1 to 1.81.

      All a sudden Rox looking good to me.
      Comment
      • xxx
        SBR MVP
        • 11-28-05
        • 3884

        #4
        detroit should bounce back with Scherzer on the mound
        Comment
        • bigballer891
          SBR MVP
          • 06-12-10
          • 1683

          #5
          My Early Leans:

          Toronto/Atlanta Under 8.5 - Toronto has been struggling to hit lately and they are not nearly the same offensive ballclub on the road. Atlanta has just really struggled all year to score. I watched this game tonight and I know it was both of there aces out there but both teams just take a lot of really bad at bats. Neither team will have seen the other teams starter and I think the under is worth a look in this game depending on the umpire and weather conditions

          Seattle/Washington Under 8 - Not much to say about this one, 2 pretty weak lineups and 2 pretty underrated pitchers, I think the under is worth a second look in this one as well.

          Chicago White Sox -133 - This is one interleague series that actually means something and I think this is a good spot and price to support the better ball club at home here. Mark Buehle has been pitching very solid baseball of late, albeit against very average hitting ballclubs but its not like the cubs are anything special. Meanwhile Garza has been repeatedly lit up and lit up by this White sox team in the past as well. After dropping game 1 to there crosstown rivals, I think we can expect a strong effort from the white sox as they try and even the series.

          As far as your plays, I wouldnt bet under in that Arz/KC game, but as with any total you gotta check umpires and weather before pulling the trigger. Also I will say KC is a pitcher friendly ballpark unlike arizona, and at OV 9 -120 your not exactly getting a cheap price. Miguel Cabrera will be getting the day off tomorow, and I wouldnt be surprised if Billingsly throws a good game, you know hes going to focused after gettting rocked the last few times, his one career start against DET was a good one. I have no interest in this game.

          I like the PHI RL play but as we all know that is probably the squarest bet on the board and will somehow probably gett screwed in the end GL bud, let me know what you think
          Comment
          • BigDan
            Restricted User
            • 04-28-11
            • 5104

            #6
            I just read last line

            Look at my post in JJ thread about Rangers.
            Originally posted by BigDan
            Why lay the -185? Be a super square like me and play the rl at +105!!!!!! When tex wins they usually do it in bunches anyway, i wouldnt go "all in" cause then i wont be able to make the same bet 2marro if this so happens to lose.

            While your all at it hit the ov10 also. fly ball pitchers in a wind tunnel. Holland vs hou righty infested lineup. Happ vs Tex bats. OVER, TEX-1.5 . 8-4 Rangers. GOOOOOO SQUARES!!!!!!!!!!!!

            Think this is another square winner. Maybe Cards surprise me but we playing Holliday/Berkman/Rasmus (Doc will kill Colby and prob Holliday) then a bunch of really young guys and singles hitters. I guess there is a little worry about Cards playing tuf w/o albert. and wasnt any worries with tex today. Think ill pass on rl as 4-3 would be a good possibility, and put phi in a few parlays.

            Liking Col all a sudden, dont think Talbot can hold up to Col offense and Chacin is legit. good time to get back on the Fade Tribe train.

            phi/col 1 to1.81 sounds good to me.
            Comment
            • BigDan
              Restricted User
              • 04-28-11
              • 5104

              #7
              wouldnt mind under in STL with a good ump. except if Larrusa goes to Bautista/miller/tallbot/franklin out of the pen, then that would be toast

              Im not to worried about the ump in kc, i agree the price sux (i played half unit now and gonna see what happens with the line, didnt want it flying up like bos). I think a lot of ppl would see that gm as a under like you are saying, no disrespect but that kinda one of the reasons i like it.
              Comment
              • BigDan
                Restricted User
                • 04-28-11
                • 5104

                #8
                Im with on Chisox. i havnt really looked at that game yet but Burlie a interleague beast and has been pitching well lately. chisox have solid numbers against Garza a believe. Chw the only playable side.
                Comment
                • BigDan
                  Restricted User
                  • 04-28-11
                  • 5104

                  #9
                  I gotta sleep on it.

                  be up early before work so keep the thoughts coming, hopefully get a few solid bets in before i go to work.
                  Comment
                  • bigballer891
                    SBR MVP
                    • 06-12-10
                    • 1683

                    #10
                    not saying I dont like the over, just that it doesnt really stand out to me, thats all...Im really liking the white sox, also just looking into baltimore as well.
                    Comment
                    • BigDan
                      Restricted User
                      • 04-28-11
                      • 5104

                      #11
                      Oh yea, i like kc as well. just a last early thought. gotta get some sleep
                      Comment
                      • jay777
                        SBR High Roller
                        • 05-31-11
                        • 109

                        #12
                        BD... Like I said, DET and Phil. The plays for 2morrow. Gl.
                        Comment
                        • face
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 01-31-11
                          • 14740

                          #13
                          like your plays a lot. do you like twins? i think the giants are starting to suck. how about athletics vs mets? i think outman is pretty good, but i guess dillon gee is pretty good too.
                          Comment
                          • BigDan
                            Restricted User
                            • 04-28-11
                            • 5104

                            #14
                            Originally posted by face
                            like your plays a lot. do you like twins? i think the giants are starting to suck. how about athletics vs mets? i think outman is pretty good, but i guess dillon gee is pretty good too.

                            I lean twins but i struggle with sf gms so try and stay away from them, doenst matter which way i go that team has my number. The totals are a different story and id lean under here. Oak/Nym are 2 more teams i dont get involved with real often for one reason or another. At this point i think it be really hard to put money down against Gee-whiz.
                            Comment
                            • BigDan
                              Restricted User
                              • 04-28-11
                              • 5104

                              #15
                              I woke up with a scary thought that Cards come out playing strong rallying around there fallen leader. Obviously phi is the sensible play but dont like it as much now as i did last night. We also gonna have storms around all day in stl so if weather is a factor w/possible delays i might pass.
                              \
                              Col is quickly turning into a play i like a lot. They are more suited to play with a dh. Like fading tribe and right here we can do it for a good price with the better team and better sp. even tho Rox had to get kinda lucky yesterday and cle is tough at home and in interleague i like Rox when they start rolling.
                              Comment
                              • BiffTFinancial
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 01-29-09
                                • 22670

                                #16
                                i've liked Angels/Marlins over since i opened the paper. i would like the Rockies/Tribe over but Gibson is behind the plate. can't argue with Rocks ML but don't think i can fade my beloved first place Tribe.
                                Comment
                                • BigDan
                                  Restricted User
                                  • 04-28-11
                                  • 5104

                                  #17
                                  Cant argue with any over when Vasquez is on the mound. I just really have no interest getting involved in this series (would have been nice if i had made the laa series bet like i suggested to someone yesterday, hindsight is a bitch). These teams to out of whack for me to try and figure out wtf is gonna happen with them.
                                  Comment
                                  • BigDan
                                    Restricted User
                                    • 04-28-11
                                    • 5104

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by BiffTFinancial
                                    i've liked Angels/Marlins over since i opened the paper. i would like the Rockies/Tribe over but Gibson is behind the plate. can't argue with Rocks ML but don't think i can fade my beloved first place Tribe.

                                    Im fading my Cards i figured i could fade your Tribe Might as well line our pockets when our teams are gonna lose.
                                    Comment
                                    • BiffTFinancial
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 01-29-09
                                      • 22670

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by BigDan


                                      Im fading my Cards i figured i could fade your Tribe Might as well line our pockets when our teams are gonna lose.
                                      yeah, but the Cards being competitive is an annual occurrence. too bad Gibson is umping, with Hafner back the offense is looking much better.
                                      Comment
                                      • BigDan
                                        Restricted User
                                        • 04-28-11
                                        • 5104

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by BiffTFinancial
                                        yeah, but the Cards being competitive is an annual occurrence. too bad Gibson is umping, with Hafner back the offense is looking much better.

                                        Ahh the plight of the Cle fan. My apologies i forgot how rough you guys had it.
                                        Comment
                                        • BiffTFinancial
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 01-29-09
                                          • 22670

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by BigDan


                                          Ahh the plight of the Cle fan. My apologies i forgot how rough you guys had it.
                                          for the last decade, at least we had Tressel.

                                          right now, the Tribe is best thing we have going sports-wise. hope springs eternal, though - Colt McCoy and a bunch of the Browns' second rate WRs have been working out at a local D-III school!
                                          Comment
                                          • 305GURU
                                            Restricted User
                                            • 10-04-10
                                            • 1038

                                            #22
                                            Like the tor under and the brew crew...also on the angels...keep betting against the fish till they win back to back games...BOL to all
                                            Comment
                                            • BiffTFinancial
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 01-29-09
                                              • 22670

                                              #23
                                              agree with Jays/Braves and M's/Nats unders.

                                              like overs in Angels/Marlins, Astros/Rangers, Dbacks/Royals, Tigers/Dodgers, Pads/Red Sox.
                                              Comment
                                              • BigDan
                                                Restricted User
                                                • 04-28-11
                                                • 5104

                                                #24
                                                Played philly -160 for series. Doc and Lee next two days figure i have to get 1 of those, then we'll see where it at after 2marro night.
                                                Comment
                                                • BigDan
                                                  Restricted User
                                                  • 04-28-11
                                                  • 5104

                                                  #25
                                                  Another series i had to take a stab at.

                                                  Twinks +135... Think they will feel right at home in Sf monster ball park. two teams going opposite directions atm. dont usually play these series bets but for some reason i liked these today.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • HOT WINGS
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 01-29-10
                                                    • 8055

                                                    #26
                                                    I am on Brewers O 8(locked last night) now its down to 7.5 so it has me little concerned. Also played Angels -128 square as fukk but the Marlins are so horrible right now I cant resist. Plus I do believe there is something to the Pinny lean so that makes me feel a little more comfortable about being a square tonight. Also like My Tigers squad tonight with Mad Max. Leaning Whitesox, Rox, Brewers, Ranger TT over and O's
                                                    Comment
                                                    • BigDan
                                                      Restricted User
                                                      • 04-28-11
                                                      • 5104

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by HOT WINGS
                                                      I am on Brewers O 8(locked last night) now its down to 7.5 so it has me little concerned. Also played Angels -128 square as fukk but the Marlins are so horrible right now I cant resist. Plus I do believe there is something to the Pinny lean so that makes me feel a little more comfortable about being a square tonight. Also like My Tigers squad tonight with Mad Max. Leaning Whitesox, Rox, Brewers, Ranger TT over and O's

                                                      Yea that Brew crew total would scare me, i honestly dont know how that game gonna shake out. I expect Greinke to be good, and Hell Boy is tough on teams that havnt seen him before, seems his worst gms have been against teams that have had a few cracks at him. Mil is so good at home that i wanna take them to pull out the W, need to have Braun in the lineup tho.

                                                      No way could i argue any play against the fish, far as im concerned the ppl that keep playing Fla trying to be "sharp" are the square ones. When a team is inventing ways to lose i know im not "sharp" enough to figure out when they will win. Should have pulled the trigger on Laa series yesterday when we were talking about it. Didnt notice they were a pinny lean but tha has been really strong this year, what like 30-10?

                                                      Kind of like the under in the tex game but that is based more off thinking hou wont score, whats the tex tt? 5.5?

                                                      Hard not to like Chisox, Buerhle has been putting up lots of QS and he has a very good interleague record. Ive always liked Garza but that guy is a implosion waiting to happen.

                                                      Rox have been slowly becoming one of my fav plays on the board. you already know i like det even tho so does everyone else.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • BigDan
                                                        Restricted User
                                                        • 04-28-11
                                                        • 5104

                                                        #28
                                                        I hate that every play i like today is basically agreeing with the majority. with maybe with the exception of kc/zona ov.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • HOT WINGS
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 01-29-10
                                                          • 8055

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by BigDan
                                                          Yea that Brew crew total would scare me, i honestly dont know how that game gonna shake out. I expect Greinke to be good, and Hell Boy is tough on teams that havnt seen him before, seems his worst gms have been against teams that have had a few cracks at him. Mil is so good at home that i wanna take them to pull out the W, need to have Braun in the lineup tho.

                                                          No way could i argue any play against the fish, far as im concerned the ppl that keep playing Fla trying to be "sharp" are the square ones. When a team is inventing ways to lose i know im not "sharp" enough to figure out when they will win. Should have pulled the trigger on Laa series yesterday when we were talking about it. Didnt notice they were a pinny lean but tha has been really strong this year, what like 30-10?

                                                          Kind of like the under in the tex game but that is based more off thinking hou wont score, whats the tex tt? 5.5?

                                                          Hard not to like Chisox, Buerhle has been putting up lots of QS and he has a very good interleague record. Ive always liked Garza but that guy is a implosion waiting to happen.

                                                          Rox have been slowly becoming one of my fav plays on the board. you already know i like det even tho so does everyone else.

                                                          Yeah despite the line moving to 7.5 I still like the over. Alot of strong trends to the over in this one plus I have veen riding the Grienke Over train all year which is at 7-0 now. I expect Brewers to win this game and might just play there TT O 3.5 -120 instead of ML to be safe. Good Over ump in this game as well. Im thinking Brewers win 7-4. Looks like Braun is in as well.

                                                          Texas TT is at 5 -120 and think Im going to bite on that one.

                                                          Still not sure about Rox think I may lay off there.

                                                          Still liking Whitesox though Garza doesnt have a good history against them and Whitesox as a team have been 1 of best interleague teams going 31-12 in last 3 years although only 4-3 this year. Buerhle has won his last 3 against Cubs as well and is coming off a loss where he pitched a 3 hit 1ER loss against Twins where he bascically made 1 bad pitch all game and gave up a HR. Plus the Cubs dont win 2 games in a row too often
                                                          Comment
                                                          • vyomguy
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 12-08-09
                                                            • 5794

                                                            #30
                                                            like rangers and marlins today dan.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • face
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 01-31-11
                                                              • 14740

                                                              #31
                                                              marlins +1.5 for -137.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • DRZ
                                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                                • 02-24-10
                                                                • 918

                                                                #32
                                                                best of luck today cash em
                                                                Comment
                                                                • BigDan
                                                                  Restricted User
                                                                  • 04-28-11
                                                                  • 5104

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by vyomguy
                                                                  like rangers and marlins today dan.

                                                                  Like i posted somewhere, i dont feel im "sharp" enough to try and decide when Fish are gonna win a game. IMHO you either fade them or pass until they win a few in a row. Thinking about letting tex-1.5 ride another day here.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • BigDan
                                                                    Restricted User
                                                                    • 04-28-11
                                                                    • 5104

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Fukk the weather is crazy here in stl today, i went out to try and get some work in this afternoon as the radar loooked clear, i get rained on on and off for a few hours then out of nowhere sky's open up and start getting showers, take off work get back home and now it nice out again.

                                                                    Since im here might as well finish banging out this card.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • BiffTFinancial
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 01-29-09
                                                                      • 22670

                                                                      #35
                                                                      what do you make of the fact that Pads TT is 3.5 -115 over and Red Sox TT is 4.5 -115 over while game total is 9 -115 on the under? Red Sox TT over looks good, almost too good. think i will probably add M's/Nats under.
                                                                      Comment
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