Volquez, Reds +100 on 5-inning line
Game Time: 06/04/2008 07:05 PM -
By: Peter Loshak | sbrforum.com
Edinson Volquez gives the Reds the advantage on the starting pitcher front in their game against Brett Myers and the Philadelphia Phillies. Cash Cincinnati on the 5-inning line.
On Wednesday in MLB, I think there will be a pretty significant starting pitching disparity in the Cincinnati/Philadelphia game featuring Edinson Volquez against Brett Myers, and as such I will be backing the Reds in this one. But for a variety of reasons, I’m going to be taking the 5-inning line instead of the full game line of the Reds.
Myers is having a rough going on the mound this year. Even when he winds up with a good start in the stat line, it is still usually one where he struggled. Some of his peripheral stats are decent, but in general he is proving to be consistently hittable, and against a team loaded with lefty power hitters as the Reds are he is likely to be especially vulnerable to the long ball.
Myers hasn’t given up a home run in three straight starts now, but I think that streak will end today with a bit of a thud, as I expect him to yield at least two to Cincy’s power bats. Myers’ last start where he reached double digits in strikeouts against the lively Florida Marlins lineup was impressive, but he was also pitching with a big lead in that game, which can make things easier on a struggling starter. This game does not figure to unfold that way, and I think Myers will be vulnerable to a big inning in the early part of the game.
Reds’ starter Volquez has been truly impressive in his consistent excellence this year. He figured out how to be successful in the majors in a big way, and so far this year in his 11 starts he has not given up more than two runs in any of them. That is remarkable, and he has done it against some quality offenses while pitching in a hitter-friendly home park. The Phillies have some big bats in their lineup, but if Volquez’ form holds, he should be able to handle them as well.
I am going with the 5-inning line here however because Volquez does not go particularly deep into games, usually giving six innings. And if that happens here today, three innings of Phillie bats facing the Reds’ bullpen is an idea that scares me. So I am willing to take lesser odds and go with the 5-inning line, and not have to worry about that. If the Reds come out of the fifth inning with only a small lead, having money on them to win the whole thing will be an uncomfortable spot to be in.
The betting odds across the market have this line at about +100, which is only a modest reduction from the full game line. So I will go with the Reds 5-innings +100 on Wednesday.
Game Time: 06/04/2008 07:05 PM -
By: Peter Loshak | sbrforum.com
Edinson Volquez gives the Reds the advantage on the starting pitcher front in their game against Brett Myers and the Philadelphia Phillies. Cash Cincinnati on the 5-inning line.
On Wednesday in MLB, I think there will be a pretty significant starting pitching disparity in the Cincinnati/Philadelphia game featuring Edinson Volquez against Brett Myers, and as such I will be backing the Reds in this one. But for a variety of reasons, I’m going to be taking the 5-inning line instead of the full game line of the Reds.
Myers is having a rough going on the mound this year. Even when he winds up with a good start in the stat line, it is still usually one where he struggled. Some of his peripheral stats are decent, but in general he is proving to be consistently hittable, and against a team loaded with lefty power hitters as the Reds are he is likely to be especially vulnerable to the long ball.
Myers hasn’t given up a home run in three straight starts now, but I think that streak will end today with a bit of a thud, as I expect him to yield at least two to Cincy’s power bats. Myers’ last start where he reached double digits in strikeouts against the lively Florida Marlins lineup was impressive, but he was also pitching with a big lead in that game, which can make things easier on a struggling starter. This game does not figure to unfold that way, and I think Myers will be vulnerable to a big inning in the early part of the game.
Reds’ starter Volquez has been truly impressive in his consistent excellence this year. He figured out how to be successful in the majors in a big way, and so far this year in his 11 starts he has not given up more than two runs in any of them. That is remarkable, and he has done it against some quality offenses while pitching in a hitter-friendly home park. The Phillies have some big bats in their lineup, but if Volquez’ form holds, he should be able to handle them as well.
I am going with the 5-inning line here however because Volquez does not go particularly deep into games, usually giving six innings. And if that happens here today, three innings of Phillie bats facing the Reds’ bullpen is an idea that scares me. So I am willing to take lesser odds and go with the 5-inning line, and not have to worry about that. If the Reds come out of the fifth inning with only a small lead, having money on them to win the whole thing will be an uncomfortable spot to be in.
The betting odds across the market have this line at about +100, which is only a modest reduction from the full game line. So I will go with the Reds 5-innings +100 on Wednesday.