GOING ALL IN on the Rangers Tuesday, May 31

[jbart28]

Today is the day to place wagers confidently knowing the Texas Rangers Ballclub is firing on all cylinders.

This team is healthy for the first time in a long time and they are absolutely mashing. They hung crooked numbers up the whole series against KC.

Last night, I was at the game, and they destroyed Rays pitching. Mitch Moreland hit one that woulda ended up
in Clearwater if the TROP was a retractable roof.

Today The Rays have Alex Cobb making the start. This will be Alex's second big league start. He lasted 4.1 innings against the angels in his forst start, yielding 4 er while walking 4 and striking out 3.

The Rangers have CJ Wilson going. CJ has been a very consistent big league starter after moving over from the closers roll a couple years ago. CJ last start at the TROP was in the playoffs last year:On Oct. 7, 2010, Wilson pitched 6 1/3 scoreless innings in the Rangers' 6-0 victory over the Rays in Game 2 of the American League Division Series. He walked to the mound at Tropicana Field to pitch the biggest game of his life.

Current Rays hitters stats VS CJ Wilson:

BATTER AB H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO AVG OBP SLG OPS


Damon L 8 2 0 0 0 1 2 0 .250 .400 .250 .650

Lopez S 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 .000 .000 .000 .000

Kotchman 11 0 0 0 0 0 3 3 .000 .313 .000 .313

Upton 5 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 .000 .286 .000 .286

Shoppach 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 1.000 1.000 1.000 2.000

Zobrist 6 2 1 0 0 0 1 2 .333 .429 .500 .929
Longoria 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000 .000 .000 .000
Rodriguez 2 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 .500 .500 .500 1.000

And since Cruz and Hamilton have come back consider this::

Rangers: Cruz-ing with Hamilton
• After averaging 3.3 runs per game while both Josh Hamilton and Nelson Cruz were out with injuries, the Rangers have doubled that (6.7) in the seven games since they came off the DL.

• Texas has an American League-best record of 20-6 in games in which it has homered.

• Including his triumph in Game 2 of the 2010 ALDS, Wilson is 3-0 with a 1.82 ERA in his career against the Rays.



GL everyone- I am max betting Rangers TT, Ranger -130, Rangers first 5 -135, and a smaller play on the over 4 first 5 innings and the over 8 game total.

This is the lock of the year for me.

[Jroc85]

i like.. just boosted my confidence in the plays i made last night.... only time will tell GL and good play so far... im with ya

[WesJeffery]

I am from Texas and love them in this game, but don't understand why the line is so low? It was -140 or so yesterday

[Jroc85]

thats a great ? ... maybe the away factor, the mysteriousness of the pitcher,.... but shoot the rangers are finally healthy like jbart said and they crushed the rays yesterday as jbart said... lol you the man jbart!

[thebestthereis]

Rangers suck on the road and on turf. Yesterday was a fluke, good luck! Luckily Tampa sucks.

[SamWise]

Tampa is more likely going to win this game. Texas backers, bet lightly.

[jbart28]

Alex Cobb is from Vero Beach, Fl which is about a an hour drive my Jupiter home. I wasn't going to share this but I saw him pitch here in high school where he was like 5-3 with of course a great IP to H ratio and K>BB ratio. But even in high school baseball in florida if you have 2 good pitches you are going to have those numbers.

He went in like the 3rd or 5th round, but high school pitchers are drafted more on projections than college juniors or seniors. But Cobb is 6'2
195 which is a durable frame but not a frame considering his arm slot and arm speed, that is going to project past the 90-92 mph he throws now.

He has 89-92 mph stuff with a 82-84 straight change- not like Hellickson's. Cobb's change piece is more of a downward moving sinker whcih is his best pitch and why he has been successful thus far.

The problem he faces with the rangers is they are very patient like the yankees- they are currently 7th in MLB with a .361 OBP.

The Rays are 21st in MLB at .342 just FYI

Look at The Rangers stats for the last 10 games here: http://www.cleanuphitter.com/mlb/sta...form=GET+STATS


Strong

If Cobb does not get ahead of every single Rangers hitter he will last less than 5 innings. He cannot fall behind and get in hitters counts cause he does not have swing and miss stuff. He will have to try and get strike one no matter what and his 91 mph fast ball will get mashed.

COBB is a poor mans Jeremy Hellickson which on all accounts is enough to get him to the show- but not enough to keep the rangers from scoring 6 runs minimum off him.

GL

[HoulihansTX]

Neverv done it B4. Tell me how it goes.

[jbart28]

A little about me cause I know you are thinking WTF ..

-I played minor league baseball up to AA
-I had the same stuff as Alex Cobb
-I had Tommy John surgery and threw harder but lost command which is everything
-I FLAT OUT KNOW PITCHING
-I am in Florida and study a shit ton of baseball

A couple of the cappers on here have leaks regading understanding the importance and roll pitching has on the outcome of a game.

This is why I have been dissecting games myself and using my on the field experience to find games where I think I have an edge based on pitching.

[killawookie]

All in on those 75pts!! woot

[starfire]

U shouldve went all in yesterday
today is a bad spot for Tex

[jbart28]

I have about a 10 K roll on the only site I use which is a local that makes it easy. So risking 10% of my roll on one game is pretty substantial since I am new to betting. So I consider this an all in wager since I am pretty nitty and use strict bankroll mgmt.

Here are my picks LOL 75 pts nice level sir:

Ticket # Accepted Type Risk To Win Short Description
12908687-1 5/31/2011 3:00 PM Spread 50.00 62.50 Baseball - 967 Texas Rangers -1½ +125 for Game
12908687-2 5/31/2011 3:00 PM Money Line 133.00 100.00 Baseball - 967 Texas Rangers -133 for Game
12908687-3 5/31/2011 3:00 PM Total 55.00 50.00 Baseball - 967 Texas Rangers/Tampa Bay Rays over 8 -110 for Game
12908687-4 5/31/2011 3:00 PM Spread 135.00 100.00 Baseball - 967 Texas Rangers pk -135 for 1st 5 Innings
12908687-5 5/31/2011 3:00 PM Total 57.50 50.00 Baseball - 967 Texas Rangers/Tampa Bay Rays over 4 -115 for 1st 5 Innings
12908713-1 5/31/2011 4:01 PM Team Total 195.00 150.00 Baseball - 967 Texas Rangers team total over 4 -130 for Game
12908714-1 5/31/2011 4:03 PM Money Line 133.00 100.00 Baseball - 967 Texas Rangers -133 for Game

[jbart28]

U shouldve went all in yesterday
today is a bad spot for Tex

Yesterday looked like this for me - I bet Rangers pretty big with erratic holland:


Wager Type: Money Line
Wager Status: Win
Risk / To Win Amount: 105.00 / 100.00 (USD) Accepted 5/30/2011 1:02 PM - EST
Won: 100.00
Amount Paid: 100.00

Sport / Period: MLB Baseball / Game
Selection:
Texas Rangers 5/30/2011 6:40:01 PM - (EST)
-105
Pitchers: D Holland -L - Action W Davis -R - Action

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Wager details for ticket number 12907093-1:

Wager Type: Parlay (3 team)
Wager Status: Win
Risk / To Win Amount: 25.00 / 149.71 (USD) Accepted 5/30/2011 1:14 PM - EST
Won: 70.29
Amount Paid: 70.29


Item #1
Wager Type: Total
Outcome: Cancelled
Sport / Period: MLB Baseball / Game
Selection:
Baltimore Orioles/Seattle Mariners 5/30/2011 4:10:01 PM - (EST)
Over 7 -120
Pitchers: J Arrieta -R - Must Pitch D Fister -R - Must Pitch

Item #2
Wager Type: Money Line
Outcome: Win
Sport / Period: MLB Baseball / Game
Selection:
Texas Rangers 5/30/2011 6:40:01 PM - (EST)
-105
Pitchers: D Holland -L - Must Pitch W Davis -R - Must Pitch

Item #3
Wager Type: Total
Outcome: Win
Sport / Period: MLB Baseball / Game
Selection:
Cleveland Indians/Toronto Blue Jays 5/30/2011 7:05:01 PM - (EST)
Over 8½ -105
Pitchers: F Carmona -R - Must Pitch JJ Reyes -L - Must Pitch

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Wager details for ticket number 12907600-1:

Wager Type: Money Line
Wager Status: Win
Risk / To Win Amount: 90.00 / 75.00 (USD) Accepted 5/30/2011 6:24 PM - EST
Won: 75.00
Amount Paid: 75.00

Sport / Period: MLB Baseball / Game
Selection:
Los Angeles Dodgers 5/30/2011 8:10:01 PM - (EST)
-120
Pitchers: J Hammel -R - Action Bilingsley -R - Action

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Wager details for ticket number 12907600-2:

Wager Type: Money Line
Wager Status: Win
Risk / To Win Amount: 52.50 / 50.00 (USD) Accepted 5/30/2011 6:24 PM - EST
Won: 50.00
Amount Paid: 50.00

Sport / Period: MLB Baseball / Game
Selection:
Texas Rangers 5/30/2011 6:40:01 PM - (EST)
-105
Pitchers: D Holland -L - Must Pitch W Davis -R - Must Pitch

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Wager details for ticket number 12907600-3:

Wager Type: Total
Wager Status: Win
Risk / To Win Amount: 125.00 / 100.00 (USD) Accepted 5/30/2011 6:24 PM - EST
Won: 100.00
Amount Paid: 100.00

Sport / Period: MLB Baseball / Game
Selection:
Texas Rangers/Tampa Bay Rays 5/30/2011 6:40:01 PM - (EST)
Over 8½ -125
Pitchers: D Holland -L - Must Pitch W Davis -R - Must Pitch

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Wager details for ticket number 12907603-1:

Wager Type: Parlay (3 team)
Wager Status: Win
Risk / To Win Amount: 50.00 / 282.60 (USD) Accepted 5/30/2011 6:26 PM - EST
Won: 282.60
Amount Paid: 282.60


Item #1
Wager Type: Money Line
Outcome: Win
Sport / Period: MLB Baseball / Game
Selection:
Texas Rangers 5/30/2011 6:40:01 PM - (EST)
-105
Pitchers: D Holland -L - Must Pitch W Davis -R - Must Pitch

Item #2
Wager Type: Total
Outcome: Win
Sport / Period: MLB Baseball / Game
Selection:
Texas Rangers/Tampa Bay Rays 5/30/2011 6:40:01 PM - (EST)
Over 8½ -125
Pitchers: D Holland -L - Must Pitch W Davis -R - Must Pitch

Item #3
Wager Type: Money Line
Outcome: Win
Sport / Period: MLB Baseball / Game
Selection:
Toronto Blue Jays 5/30/2011 7:05:01 PM - (EST)
-112
Pitchers: F Carmona -R - Must Pitch JJ Reyes -L - Must Pitch

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

[pattymayo]

Good luck to you sir

[ExposingLines247]

Although it definetly seems like a solid find, I never recommend anyone going "all in" especially on a game in may. Texas seems to be hitting their stride and i hope it continues today. Best of luck

[LGHT]

I like the play TX is one of the few teams that are hitting OVER .300 the last 7 days. They have an OBP of .372 and lead the league in slugging the last 7 at .586!!

Now put that type of hitting against a AAA pitcher and what do you think is going to happen? I love TX in this one, but i'm also taking the OVER -115 because at 8 it should get to that in the first 5!

[psv777ua]

Good luck with your play!

[jbart28]

Although it definetly seems like a solid find, I never recommend anyone going "all in" especially on a game in may. Texas seems to be hitting their stride and i hope it continues today. Best of luck

See my post- ALL In for me is like 10% of my working bankroll.

It has nothing to do with my life roll.

BOL to you sir.

I am nitty mcnitterson so my risk of ruin is very low. Plus, I have a good career that can easily replenish my roll if for some reason I go busto-(which would really take a huge downswing and very high variance)

[MrShrink]

He cannot fall behind and get in hitters counts cause he does not have swing and miss stuff.

So how did he strikeout 25% of the batters he faced last year while walking only 7%? Also, 55% of his batted balls put in play hit the ground. Hmmmm...

They optioned B Gomes, who had posted a 3.09 era over his first 10, to make room for Cobb. Not exactly what I'd call shabby, especially in the AL. Maddon says that Cobb got rocked because he was tipping his pitches and claims that's been rectified. One thing that we know has been dealt with is his first-start jitters.

But, hey.... What does Joe Maddon and the entire TB organization (who are NOTORIOUS for having no idea how to produce quality pitchers from their farm system, as we're ALL well aware) and all of the linesmakers know about pitching compared to a guy that saw him pitch years ago in HIGH SCHOOL (yet has none of the info that I stated above)?

Not saying this is a bad play, bro. I see where you're coming from. I looked at the #'s and wanted to make a play myself. BUT, to ignore the stench of this line and go all-in, well... GL. Hope you don't Tommy John your roll.

[jbart28]

For those of you who are running bad and on a downswing- this is your chance to go from busto to ROBUSTO. Get your money in good and enjoy the LASER LIGHT SHOW FROM Michael Young, Nellie, Hammy and the boys.

[GGRIF82]

I WOULD NOT BET AGAINST THEM RIGHT NOW. THIS NEXT THREE SERIES ARE GOING TO TELL US ALOT ABOUT TEXAS
CLEV.DET,MINN,YANKS

[MrShrink]

Oh, ok.... "ALL" equals 10%... Thanks... I only took one year of "nonsense" in high school and never could quite grasp it anyways.

BTW, Cobb's middle name is Ty. Another strike against your play.

[jbart28]

So how did he strikeout 25% of the batters he faced last year while walking only 7%? Also, 55% of his batted balls put in play hit the ground. Hmmmm...

They optioned B Gomes, who had posted a 3.09 era over his first 10, to make room for Cobb. Not exactly what I'd call shabby, especially in the AL. Maddon says that Cobb got rocked because he was tipping his pitches and claims that's been rectified. One thing that we know has been dealt with is his first-start jitters.

But, hey.... What does Joe Maddon and the entire TB organization (who are NOTORIOUS for having no idea how to produce quality pitchers from their farm system, as we're ALL well aware) and all of the linesmakers know about pitching compared to a guy that saw him pitch years ago in HIGH SCHOOL (yet has none of the info that I stated above)?

Not saying this is a bad play, bro. I see where you're coming from. I looked at the #'s and wanted to make a play myself. BUT, to ignore the stench of this line and go all-in, well... GL. Hope you don't Tommy John your roll.

They optioned B GOMES BECAUSE:

To make room, the Rays optioned RHP Brandon Gomes back to Triple A.

Gomes didn't necessarily earn the demotion, having posted a 3.09 ERA over 10 games in his first big-league stint, but was most disposable, since he could be optioned. (RHP Adam Russell, another candidate, is out of options and could be lost on waivers.)


Cobb has 4.1 innings of big league experience. He has 4 walks and 4 strikeouts.

Do you realize that COBB is going to have to be UBER FINE with his pitching tonight?
He has no easy outs in the lineup. This isn't a AAA lineup-
Wade Davis missed zero bats last night. Rangers are locked in- 20 hits last night lol

Do you realize that he will have to try and make "perfect pitches on the black" tonight.

Do you realize that their is no wind in The Trop and he relies on changeup movement rather than speed difference. Wind is always a key component of movement. The Trop is such a banjo box- a hitters paradise


Please fade Texas tonight and put some money on rangers team total under 4. LOL

[jbart28]

Guys The Rangers are fuking LOCKED IN right now. 1-9 they are the most potent offense in baseball.

COBB is going to have an elevated pitch count from the start. The Rays have a very overworked bullpen already. I can hear the stupid Rays announcers now:

Cobb has thrown 84 pitches here through 4 and 2/3's innings LOL. He has given up 7 hits and 5 ER's. And here comes Maddon that's gonna be all for COBB- Andy LOLZ Sonnanstine will take over with 2 on and 2 out. He will be facing Josh Hamilton. WEEEEEEE cant wait for this massacre.

During the last 10 games the Rays bullpen is very bad:

http://www.cleanuphitter.com/mlb/stats/team_late_inning_pitching.php?numgames=10&pitchingrole=7-8-9-ALL&submitform=GET+STATS

[MrShrink]

They optioned B GOMES BECAUSE: To make room, the Rays optioned RHP Brandon Gomes back to Triple A. Gomes didn't necessarily earn the demotion, having posted a 3.09 ERA over 10 games in his first big-league stint, but was most disposable, since he could be optioned. (RHP Adam Russell, another candidate, is out of options and could be lost on waivers.) Cobb has 4.1 innings of big league experience. He has 4 walks and 4 strikeouts. Do you realize that COBB is going to have to be UBER FINE with his pitching tonight? He has no easy outs in the lineup. This isn't a AAA lineup- Wade Davis missed zero bats last night. Rangers are locked in- 20 hits last night lol Do you realize that he will have to try and make "perfect pitches on the black" tonight. Do you realize that their is no wind in The Trop and he relies on changeup movement rather than speed difference. Wind is always a key component of movement. The Trop is such a banjo box- a hitters paradise Please fade Texas tonight and put some money on rangers team total under 4. LOL

Do you realize that that's EXACTLY what I said? Do you realize that you then restated everything that YOU had previously said? Do you realize that this play is what they call "low-lying fruit"? Do you realize that it's quite probable that it's being dangled there for a reason? Anyways, couldn't care less about this game. I've learned to stay away from fruit like this and there's not much to support a play on TB. And oh, yeah... THERE'S 14 OTHER GAMES TONIGHT. Again, GL to you, sir. I'm done.

[doogtonmai]

Today is the day to place wagers confidently knowing the Texas Rangers Ballclub is firing on all cylinders.

This team is healthy for the first time in a long time and they are absolutely mashing. They hung crooked numbers up the whole series against KC.

Last night, I was at the game, and they destroyed Rays pitching. Mitch Moreland hit one that woulda ended up
in Clearwater if the TROP was a retractable roof.

Today The Rays have Alex Cobb making the start. This will be Alex's second big league start. He lasted 4.1 innings against the angels in his forst start, yielding 4 er while walking 4 and striking out 3.

The Rangers have CJ Wilson going. CJ has been a very consistent big league starter after moving over from the closers roll a couple years ago. CJ last start at the TROP was in the playoffs last year:On Oct. 7, 2010, Wilson pitched 6 1/3 scoreless innings in the Rangers' 6-0 victory over the Rays in Game 2 of the American League Division Series. He walked to the mound at Tropicana Field to pitch the biggest game of his life.

Current Rays hitters stats VS CJ Wilson:

BATTER AB H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO AVG OBP SLG OPS


Damon L 8 2 0 0 0 1 2 0 .250 .400 .250 .650

Lopez S 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 .000 .000 .000 .000

Kotchman 11 0 0 0 0 0 3 3 .000 .313 .000 .313

Upton 5 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 .000 .286 .000 .286

Shoppach 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 1.000 1.000 1.000 2.000

Zobrist 6 2 1 0 0 0 1 2 .333 .429 .500 .929
Longoria 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000 .000 .000 .000
Rodriguez 2 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 .500 .500 .500 1.000

And since Cruz and Hamilton have come back consider this::

Rangers: Cruz-ing with Hamilton
• After averaging 3.3 runs per game while both Josh Hamilton and Nelson Cruz were out with injuries, the Rangers have doubled that (6.7) in the seven games since they came off the DL.

• Texas has an American League-best record of 20-6 in games in which it has homered.

• Including his triumph in Game 2 of the 2010 ALDS, Wilson is 3-0 with a 1.82 ERA in his career against the Rays.



GL everyone- I am max betting Rangers TT, Ranger -130, Rangers first 5 -135, and a smaller play on the over 4 first 5 innings and the over 8 game total.

This is the lock of the year for me.

This is your first prediction on a thread, and it's the game of the year?!

[ColdBeerHere]

Almost seems too good to be true....Staying away from this one myself.....BOL to ya though.....

[ThaKidd]

LEGOOO TEXAS

[koscheckbaby]

The play makes sense to me. Even if Cobb is decent, CJ Wilson is likely the better pitcher. Texas has by far a better lineup. And although Texas has not been good on the road, Tampa hasn't been good at home either.

[jbart28]

Funny how some folks are superstitious and conspiracy theorists and think its a TARP LOLZ.

guys the books make mistakes too just like us. Think about this as a third party peering in at just the price and take a common sense approach:

* -130 on CJ WILSON- that alone is super value- I dont care where or who they are playing
* The fuking Rangers are destroying the ball right now
* The Rays have Cobb on the mound not David Price, not Big game James, or Helli.

If you don't see value in CJ Wilson at -130 with the fuking rangers lineup you are wasting your time.

You are probably the same person who would fold pocket jacks to a single raise 100 BB's deep

[jbart28]

ITS A TARP ITS A TARP LOLZ

DONT DO IT!

I would like to get some of you guys on twoplustwo just so I could level the shit outta ya

[koscheckbaby]

You like Oakland over Yankees today? I'm thinking of parlaying Texas and Oak. Gio Gonzalez is much better than Freddy Garcia. I really like that game too.

My bad, it's Anderson. They are both really good left-handers though. I watch Garcia and I'm amazed he doesn't get shellacked every outing.

[JT OZ]

A's have Anderson going today.

[CashMoney]

Funny how some folks are superstitious and conspiracy theorists and think its a TARP LOLZ.

guys the books make mistakes too just like us. Think about this as a third party peering in at just the price and take a common sense approach:

* -130 on CJ WILSON- that alone is super value- I dont care where or who they are playing
* The fuking Rangers are destroying the ball right now
* The Rays have Cobb on the mound not David Price, not Big game James, or Helli.

If you don't see value in CJ Wilson at -130 with the fuking rangers lineup you are wasting your time.

You are probably the same person who would fold pocket jacks to a single raise 100 BB's deep

I locked onto the Rangers this morning.

[jbart28]

Here is a hundred dollar parlay I just fired off. I love this:

BOL tonight to everyone


Select #1 : MLB Baseball
San Francisco Giants/St Louis Cardinals 5/31/2011 8:15 PM - (EST)
Total Points UNDER 7 +110 for Game
Vogelsong -R must Start Carpenter -R must Start
Select #2 : MLB Baseball
Colorado Rockies/Los Angeles Dodgers 5/31/2011 10:10 PM - (EST)
Total Points OVER 7 -125 for Game
C Mortensen -R must Start T Lilly -L must Start
Select #3 : MLB Baseball
Texas Rangers 5/31/2011 6:40 PM - (EST)
Money Line -130 for Game
C Wilson -L must Start A Cobb -R must Start
Select #4 : MLB Baseball
New York Yankees/Oakland Athletics 5/31/2011 10:05 PM - (EST)
Total Points OVER 7 -125 for Game
F Garcia -R must Start B Anderson -L must Start
Amount : Risking 100.00 To Win 1,103.78 USD