let's hear em I'm interested to see wat ur plays are only 1 I like
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Solid day today man. Keep up the good work!Comment -
Last 7 Days (all games) - No Run 1st Inning
51 games - Yes
45 games - NoComment -
What is your overall record for your bets now and units made?
I was considering doing something like this the other week, but never got around to looking up the stats for 1st inning.
I will start following your bets soon, but i think im going to labby the games instead.
Good luck
and please post the stats since you started this thread
--JMDComment -
Yes sir I am, post them pleaseComment -
They will be posted around noon. No games I really like a lot today.Comment -
Great picks yesterday. Will be tailing again today.Comment -
Went and added overall record for you guys asking. I started this on 5/24. This has been less than 1 month. The overall record is 70 wins and 45 lost. That is about 61%. I am not happy with the overall % but I am more than happy with all the money I have won so far in less than 1 month. I am +73.16 units (+$7,616.00) in less than 1 month. That is a lotta cash for me. I work 50-60 hours per week which is 200-240 hours worth of work a month and do not get that. I enjoy watching all sports so it has been a lot of fun with these props. I have tighted up a little bit on the games I play bc I have come to realize that there will always be more games the next day. I know this is still a small sample size but I hope to have the same results for the season. Time will tell. Tail at your own risk.Comment -
Todays plays will be posted soon. 1 game i like a lot more than the other 2. i may play that 1 for more units and the other 2 for small amounts just for funComment -
Here are the stats for today:
Away Team Pitcher Yes No Home Team Pitcher Yes No
Colorado Rockies J Nicasio 1 3 Cleveland Indians F Carmona 5 11
Baltimore Orioles J Arrieta 4 11 Pittsburgh Pirates C Morton 3 10
San Diego Padres W LeBlanc 0 2 Boston Red Sox A Miller 0 0
New York Yankees I Nova 2 11 Cincinnati Reds J Cueto 1 7
Toronto Blue Jays R Romero 3 11 Atlanta Braves T Hudson 8 6
Los Angeles Angels J Weaver 3 12 Florida Marlins A Sanchez 8 6
Houston Astros J Happ 6 8 Texas Rangers D Holland 3 11
Chicago Cubs C Zambrano 5 10 Chicago White Sox G Floyd 2 11
Tampa Bay Rays J Niemann 4 2 Milwauke Brewers C Narveson 1 13
Detroit Tigers B Penny 4 10 Los Angeles Dodgers C Kershaw 2 13Comment -
I appreciate you posting your record, win %, as well as your units made. I have some advice for you after reading through the pages on this thread, you keep asking why there are not more people in this thread and just views? I think its because of the # of units you are betting on each game. I think on one game you posted you were betting 25 units or something. Most people would view this thread almost as a chase because you range mostly any where from 1-8 units that i seen with a couple bigger ones.
Would I would do if I were you and what im going to be doing is labbying your plays for 1-2 units each.
For example:
Start with $50 - $50 - $50 - $50 as your starting labby line; of course you will have to run more lines then this due to the number of bets you have each day, but this is just an example.
50 50 50 50 if you lose first bet your new line becomes
50 50 50 50 (-$100) *this is assuming +100 odds or even money just to make the example easy.
with your next bet say you want to win 2 units on it, take those 2 units ($200) and spread it out over your five (5) # labby line
so 50 50 50 50 100 + $200 becomes
$90 $90 $90 $90 $140
so on your next bet you are betting to win $230 (1st and last # on the line). Of course there are different variations of the labby. The way I have posted it will win the amount of units you want to win as well as recover all your losses. I strongly suggest only doing 1 unit a play if you are doing it this way, so that your labby line does not get too out of hand. Maybe even do a smaller unit size like .25% of bankroll per bet.
I know that seems really small, but you have to remember that you are recovering all your losses + adding .25% to the labby line for every play.
I hope this advice helps and im not trying to criticize how you do your plays at all. This was just a long answer on how to get more people into this thread to follow your plays and make some easy money.
Best of luck today and im looking forward to your plays.
--JMDComment -
Todays plays
No run 1st inning
LAA/Flo for 4 units (I would like to go more on this but gonns stay smart. I hope dirty sanchez doesnt burn me here)
Balt/Pitt for 1 unit (This one I am playing for fun. I will still count on record but not a normal play)
Atl/Tor for 1 unit (This one I am playing for fun. I will still count on record but not a normal play)
I am playing last 2 games listed above bc they are very close to fitting my peramiters on these and there is not a lot of games I like. Play all three at your own risk. Just wanted to let you know where I was coming from on these plays. I hope to just hit the first one. I will settle for a split on the 2nd 2 if that is the case. Lets just see em all hit.Comment -
Thanks for the advice but what I am doing has clearly worked up til this point. I am not too concerned if other people are in the thread. I would like more comments, advice or stats but I am really just trying to help others. I just figured with all the views that more people would comment or have some input. I figured if I started to show the results that I have shown that more people would become interested and also add some input themselves. Its fine either way. I am not going to change how I bet to make it easier for other people. If you want to win you can either make ur own plays or u can follow as i do. its not like u need to bet the same amount as me. we all have different bankrolls and will decide to bet based on that. good luck to u all, especially the ones who follow these playsComment -
We are all here to make money. Just as you are trying to help people and like stats provided; thats all i was trying to do as well. The labby system is a proven money management system that has made people millions in sports betting. The way you bet is clear and easy ill give you that. If you ever want to make more $$$ though just remember the labby. I am going to do some back testing on it today based on this season to see how it pans out. Should be easy money though espcially when games hit 70 or 80%. Just have to consider the juice on these plays.
What do you think the average juice is for these plays; -150? I think in my back test ill Use -150 to make the math a bit easier.
BOL today.
--JMDComment -
interesting prop.. what do you weigh more, the pitchers or the teams offenses?Comment -
# of starts where the pitcher has allowed a run in the first inning and not allowed a run in the first inning respectively
balls2wall 0 12 would mean I had zero games where I allowed a run and 12 games where I didn't allow a run in the first inning
,,,not to mention my whip of .8 and era of 1.2
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it ranges from even to -190. i use a local and usually the highest # he has at the open is -140. i always try to get in early bc i have seen them jump up fast. i believe they correlate with the over under. When that number is low your juice will be high. When the o/u is high the juice will be low. -150 will be a good # to use for your math purposes.Comment -
to me pitching is most important. u obviously have to take the offense into consideration. there are a few other things such as umpire, wind/weather, last appearances, matchups against same team. there are several things to weigh into these. somedays it does not matter how much u like a game, so many different things can happen in these. u can lose on 1 swing of the bat. pitchers have off days, fielders make errors, stolen bases......they are not as easy as they appear to be but they are not as hard as some want to make them. good luckComment -
Todays plays
No run 1st inning
LAA/Flo for 4 units (I would like to go more on this but gonns stay smart. I hope dirty sanchez doesnt burn me here)
There won't be any later game plays will there? Trying not to constantly login to this forum to check the plays. Would be nice to have all the plays listed early.
Thanks
JMDComment -
on www.betus.com i only see the NYY / CIN game as 1st run inning scored available. Do they not allow interleague games into this prop?Comment -
nvm... i actually clicked on "game" instead of "mlb" on betus thats why all the games did not appear. Ignore my previous post.Comment -
I like your LAA / FLO bet
LAA hasn't allowed a 1st run inning in the last 3 games.
FLA has only allowed 1 run last 3 games
FLA has scored 2 runs 1st inning last 3 games, LAA has scored 1 run 1st inning last 3 games.
maybe it will be a little closer then i thought.
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Let's make it 5 consecutive days upComment -
Split the 2 small ones. 1 win and 1 loss -.3 units for day. Waiting for the only game I care about, rain delay. Those don't usually turn out well. I hope they don't delay too long.Comment -
So far today 5 games played and only 1 had no run in 1st inningComment -
So far tonight there has been 8 games and only one game has had no run in the 1st inning. Atl/tor.Comment -
I was going to say the same thing. I went back through covers.com for this month and looked at all the yes / no for 1st inning runs.
Record: 132 no / 131 yes.
my #s might be off by 1 # since i did it manually, but its pretty much a toss up, so it may be better to bet on the YES given its 50/50 and have better odds most of the time. Would of made a killing today it seems.
Obv need a better sample size then just 19 days. My #s did not include todays games.Comment -
Lead off double
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One out away should've already had it but an stupid error come on halosComment -
cash LAA, nice call.Comment -
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