1st Inning Stats and Betting

**Bob734** · 05-29-11, 11:17 AM

BOL dd today, hope my infos help you

**Bob734** · 05-29-11, 11:26 AM

MLB Stats - MLB Team 1st Inning Runs per Game | TeamRankings.com

http://www.teamrankings.com/mlb/stat/1st-inning-runs-per-game

MLB 1st inning runs per game, by team.

I like this site for make my bets..

**jnsbanman** · 05-29-11, 11:27 AM

So I think my Final plays will be

Cle/TB NO Masterson Hellickson
Laa/Min NO Haren Pavano
Stl/Col NO Lohse Chacin
Fla/LAD NO Nolasco Kershaw
Bos Det NO (Game 2) Beckett Verlander

If the is a * on my spreadsheet that means it is official and I have bet it

**doubledime** · 05-29-11, 11:30 AM

Originally posted by Bob734

BOL dd today, hope my infos help you

Your info was great. IMO the site you reference is very important for first inning wagers, but the pitcher information is the most important. Still waiting for jsnb or some others to weigh in before I wrap it up.

**Bob734** · 05-29-11, 11:36 AM

The big play today is :

NO score OAK/BAL -135

With Zach Britton and Guillermo Moscoso..
Oakland have the better Team Opponent 1st Inning Runs per Game with 0.19 On average
Balti is the worst team 1st Inning Runs per Game with 0.18 On average.

Britton : yes=1 no=9
Guillermo Moscoso : yes=0 no=1

gl

**jnsbanman** · 05-29-11, 11:36 AM

Due to HEAVY juice BAL/OAK No may become the play at 4,

and the odds are backwards on Stl/Col. I will be watching line movement before betting this one.

**Bob734** · 05-29-11, 12:55 PM

Cash No score TB/CLE DD

On the next one

**Bob734** · 05-29-11, 03:19 PM

Britton

**Bob734** · 05-29-11, 04:00 PM

BOS/DET GAME2 : Josh Beckett yes= 0 no=10 Justin Verlander yes=2 no=9

ATL/CIN : Jair Jurrjens yes=0 no=8 Johnny Cueto yes=0 no=4

**Bob734** · 05-29-11, 04:08 PM

1-1 tonight with BAL and TB..

For this night :

No score 1st CIN/ATL -130 2Units

gl

**doubledime** · 05-29-11, 04:09 PM

Originally posted by Bob734

BOS/DET GAME2 : Josh Beckett yes= 0 no=10 Justin Verlander yes=2 no=9

ATL/CIN : Jair Jurrjens yes=0 no=8 Johnny Cueto yes=0 no=4

The Cinci/Atl game has high average first inning runs, but the pitchersare strong first inning pitchers. Tough call. I think if it gets by the top of the first it will be a NO. Not sure what, if anything I'm doing with this one.

**jnsbanman** · 05-29-11, 07:23 PM

Wow what a horrible day... At least Cin/Atl came thru... the delay screwed up my chase.. big losses today

**Bob734** · 05-30-11, 12:00 AM

Originally posted by Bob734

1-1 tonight with BAL and TB..

For this night :

No score 1st CIN/ATL -130 2Units

gl

Cash it guys
Great work DD.

come back later for enter the data..

Have a safe day all
YTD: 2-1

**VicVega91** · 05-30-11, 07:41 AM

Thanks for all of the hard work guys, much appreciated

**doubledime** · 05-30-11, 07:46 AM

Been working on this for about 2 hours to try to constantly fine tune it. I started with taking the first inning average runs and the first inning average runs against. From that I got my teams that made that cut. Then I took the pitcher info and used the other smaller filters I think are relevant, and came up with the following games:

Philly/Wash = NO Combined pitcher = 17-3 (no)
Pitt/Mets = NO Combined pitcher = 15-3 (no)
FL/AZ = YES Combined pitcher = 12-7 (no)
Balt/KC = NO Combined pitcher = 16-4 (no)
ANA/KC = NO Combined pitcher = 17-3 (no)
TX/TB = NO Combined pitcher = 15-5 (no)

Good luck to all

**cash$bro91** · 05-30-11, 09:50 AM

Doubledime, just curious about why the MIN/DET game did not pass your filters. Both pitchers look like they are 8 no 2 yes but MIN scores .37 runs away and DET scores .72 runs at home which totals over 1.

**doubledime** · 05-30-11, 09:58 AM

Originally posted by cash$bro91

Doubledime, just curious about why the MIN/DET game did not pass your filters. Both pitchers look like they are 8 no 2 yes but MIN scores .37 runs away and DET scores .72 runs at home which totals over 1.

Runs scored by opposing team are .37 and .32. Also Minn scores less runs against right handed pitchers, while Det does better against righties. Too much conflicting info IMO.

**Bob734** · 05-30-11, 10:50 AM

ATL/SD : Aaron Harang yes=4 no=5 Tim Hudson yes=5 no=5

DET/MIN : Nick Blackburn yes=2 no=8 Brad Penny yes=2 no=8

WSH/PHI : Roy Halladay yes=1 no=10 Livan Hernandez yes=3 no=8

CHC/HOU : Aneury Rodriguez yes=5 no=9 ( 5 no last 5 starts ) Rodrigo Lopez yes=0 no=0

Probably more later..

BOL

**cash$bro91** · 05-30-11, 11:17 AM

Thanks, I was looking at just 1st inning runs per game, so opponent 1st inning runs per game is the stat to check. How many different filters do you use? You mentioned in an earlier post that you chart umpires.

**doubledime** · 05-30-11, 11:19 AM

Not using umpires today since we won't know the ump until right before the game. Can use umpires after the first game of the series since the umpires rotate.

**SimonSayz** · 05-30-11, 11:27 AM

Originally posted by Bob734

ATL/SD : Aaron Harang yes=4 no=5 Tim Hudson yes=5 no=5

DET/MIN : Nick Blackburn yes=2 no=8 Brad Penny yes=2 no=8

WSH/PHI : Roy Halladay yes=1 no=10 Livan Hernandez yes=3 no=8

CHC/HOU : Aneury Rodriguez yes=5 no=9 ( 5 no last 5 starts ) Rodrigo Lopez yes=0 no=0

Probably more later..

BOL

I have been following this thread for a week or So now. Good info here. My question is how do you use this info to determine if there is a play? If it is a play, how do you determine unit size? Thanks

**Bob734** · 05-30-11, 11:35 AM

First play of the day:

No score 1st DET/MIN -105 ( 2 units )

I know that both of teams have score yesterday but i like this play, Nick Blackburn, RHP and Brad Penny, RHP play better and better.. They are two strong pitcher in 1st inning
Detroit are ranking 12th for MLB Team 1st Inning Runs per Game and Minnesota 23..

BOL to all

YTD: 2-1 +1.02U

**Bob734** · 05-30-11, 11:42 AM

Originally posted by SimonSayz

I have been following this thread for a week or So now. Good info here. My question is how do you use this info to determine if there is a play? If it is a play, how do you determine unit size? Thanks

For me the most important info are:

-Pitchers stong or not in the 1st inning
-The wind for the game
-Team 1st Inning Runs per Game
-Team Opponent 1st Inning Runs per Game

**doubledime** · 05-30-11, 12:01 PM

Originally posted by Bob734

For me the most important info are:

-Pitchers stong or not in the 1st inning
-The wind for the game
-Team 1st Inning Runs per Game
-Team Opponent 1st Inning Runs per Game

Definetly important factors. One has to remeber though, wind is less important if both pitchers are "ground ball" pitchers.

BOL today to all!!!!

**jnsbanman** · 05-30-11, 12:01 PM

My first plays are:

SD/Atl No (Little leary of Harang)
Phi/Was No

**Bob734** · 05-30-11, 12:19 PM

Originally posted by Bob734

First play of the day:

No score 1st DET/MIN -105 ( 2 units )

I know that both of teams have score yesterday but i like this play, Nick Blackburn, RHP and Brad Penny, RHP play better and better.. They are two strong pitcher in 1st inning
Detroit are ranking 12th for MLB Team 1st Inning Runs per Game and Minnesota 23..

BOL to all

YTD: 2-1 +1.02U

Blackburn

on the next one..

**Bob734** · 05-30-11, 12:30 PM

OAK/NYY : Bartolo Colon yes=4 no=6 Trevor Cahill yes=1 no=10

KC/LAA : Ervin Santana yes=0 no=11 Luke Hochevar yes=3 no=8

SEA/BAL : Jake Arrieta yes=1 no=10 Doug Fister yes=4 no=6

**jnsbanman** · 05-30-11, 12:36 PM

I am going with

NYY/Oak = No
SF/Stl = NO

**Bob734** · 05-30-11, 12:44 PM

Nice juice for:

No score 1st CHC/HOU +135. ( 1unit )

both of team did not score runs in first inning last two games..
Aneury Rodriguez is better last 5 games.
Yesterday Astros beat only 5 hits.

gl guys

**Bob734** · 05-30-11, 01:42 PM

Wow 0-2 today

I work for the 4h05 games.. hope i clean this bad start.

**hanziman** · 05-30-11, 01:44 PM

Thanks for Philly/Wash no score first innning!

**Bob734** · 05-30-11, 01:50 PM

STL/SF : Madison Bumgarner yes=0 no=10 Kyle McClellan yes=2 no=8

**doubledime** · 05-30-11, 02:16 PM

Originally posted by Bob734

STL/SF : Madison Bumgarner yes=0 no=10 Kyle McClellan yes=2 no=8

Did not have this in my original list, but I played the NO for a touch.

**Bob734** · 05-30-11, 02:36 PM

Originally posted by doubledime

Did not have this in my original list, but I played the NO for a touch.

oh, i check again dd, my info are true

**Bob734** · 05-30-11, 02:50 PM

ok try to stop this dark day..

two plays for 4H05:

No score 1st SF/STL -130 ( 2units )

No score 1st KC/LAA -120 ( 2units )

gl