Rays ML -135 Streak ends tonight

[tatddy]

I can't see TB losing tonight. I understand that CLE has a ridiculous home win streak going but this is a perfect night for it to end. Also like over 8 here (see note about Price)

Someone talk me out of a big bet on the Rays here. The only thing I don't like is that Price threw 118 pitches into the 9th inning last time out against TOR.

Things I like...

Sizemore is out of the lineup
Longoria is starting to put together solid at bats
Price was 2-0 2.08/1.08 last year vs CLE
Carrasco first start off the DL
Rays are 8-1 in their last 9 road games
Rays are 4-0 in their last 4 games following a loss
Rays are 7-1 in Prices last 8 road starts
Indians are 1-6 in Carrascos last 7 home starts
Rays are 7-3 in the last 10 meetings
Rays are 4-1 in their last 5 games with Meals behind home plate
Indians are 3-7 in their last 10 games with Meals behind home plate

Things I don't like...

CLE is one of the hottest teams in baseball
Price (noted above) extended last start
Carrasco was solid at home last year (although torched last start at home)
Rays have never faced Carrasco
Rays are 1-5 in their last 6 vs. a team with a winning record
Rays are 0-4 in Prices last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record
Rays are 7-22 in the last 29 meetings in Cleveland
I got a bad line...should have jumped on earlier

Where do you guys stand on this game? I already have a 1.5 units on TB ML. Exploring thoughts on another play.

[killawookie]

This game isn't going to be a one point game either way. The way I see it is this. Take the runline for TB and the adjusted run line for CLE ... and just middle yourself to win either way. The way I see it is this, there are two options of what is going to happen.

1. Price gets ROCKED after a slightly tired arm that he will be playing in safe and not take any risks this early in the season. Clevland continue to roll through another home win.

CLE -1.5 (+210)


2. Price has a solid game, allows 1-2 run .. MAYBE 5-6 hits. and TB lights up Carrasco just like shitty MIN did a few weeks ago in just 3 innings. I predict this is most likely going to happen with a score of 6-2 TB Win

TB -1.5 (+130)

[tatddy]

This game isn't going to be a one point game either way. The way I see it is this. Take the runline for TB and the adjusted run line for CLE ... and just middle yourself to win either way. The way I see it is this, there are two options of what is going to happen.

1. Price gets ROCKED after a slightly tired arm that he will be playing in safe and not take any risks this early in the season. Clevland continue to roll through another home win.

CLE -1.5 (+210)


2. Price has a solid game, allows 1-2 run .. MAYBE 5-6 hits. and TB lights up Carrasco just like shitty MIN did a few weeks ago in just 3 innings. I predict this is most likely going to happen with a score of 6-2 TB Win

TB -1.5 (+130)

I don't necessarily disagree with you but I'm not sure that I'm mitigating risk by taking opposing RLs.

[No coincidences]

I don't know what to think of this one.

I do know this: I highly doubt both Tampa and Seattle cash tonight.

[tatddy]

I don't know what to think of this one.

I do know this: I highly doubt both Tampa and Seattle cash tonight.

Hey...let's not bring the Mariners into this!

[quant]

best of luck on your play. I'm sticking with CLE until the streak stops.

[brock]

My thoughts are TB and the under.

[brock]

Good luck though. My plays havn't been the best this year.

[kbr420]

like the value of over 8 even money

[BigDan]

toughest team cle has seen at home all year, liked tb last night (even with bad pitching matchup) only to lose when some jerkoff walked the winning run in, like them again tonight...if this home win streak makes it threw tampa it is gonna cost me

[tatddy]

Final plays:

TB ML -135 3X
TB -1 -113 2X
TB RL +115 .75X

[DigBick86]

think im also bombing it

[BigJ]

This game isn't going to be a one point game either way. The way I see it is this. Take the runline for TB and the adjusted run line for CLE ... and just middle yourself to win either way. The way I see it is this, there are two options of what is going to happen.

1. Price gets ROCKED after a slightly tired arm that he will be playing in safe and not take any risks this early in the season. Clevland continue to roll through another home win.

CLE -1.5 (+210)


2. Price has a solid game, allows 1-2 run .. MAYBE 5-6 hits. and TB lights up Carrasco just like shitty MIN did a few weeks ago in just 3 innings. I predict this is most likely going to happen with a score of 6-2 TB Win

TB -1.5 (+130)

This is solid info here. This makes the most sense to me. I took Clev. last night & won. I would normally stay away from these games, but the Indians are for real right now. But covering both bases seems to be great advice here.

[ExposingLines247]

you make a great argument for your play i enjoyed the read, being said i like the rays myself here gl

[tatddy]

I'm happy to see the late line movement favor TB. Let's go Rays!

That first half inning was from hell. Carrasco walks first 2 batters. Damon hits a squibber off the end of the bat but doesn't run right away and is barely thrown out at first (runners advance). Longo gets a backwards K and Joyce bounces the first pitch he sees to the 2nd baseman. Big inning cancelled. Price, please throw strikes today.

[BigDan]

so far so good........

[qsilver335]

Good call, unless the Tribe mount some crazy come back you are a winner.

[tatddy]

Good call, unless the Tribe mount some crazy come back you are a winner.

[tatddy]

Had a little bit sprinkled on over 8 in this game at +105. Would be a huge night for me if I'd just stayed away from that damn Heat/Celts under. Had that parlayed with OKC -3. Oh well, I'll take what I got.

[No coincidences]

Nice call tat.

[Reds_FAN]

Great job guys. Big win there.

[tatddy]

Nice call tat.

Thanks. Tough break with your unconfirmed bets.

[DANO74]

Rays are playing surprisingly well

[No coincidences]

Thanks. Tough break with your unconfirmed bets.

Shit happens. Couldn't have gone 0-2, you know....

[killawookie]

I didn't play this yesterday as I was in mid-withdrawal from one book to move it to another. But I'm glad my prediction on multiple points was pretty spot on. Good job on all three picks you made!

[tatddy]

I didn't play this yesterday as I was in mid-withdrawal from one book to move it to another. But I'm glad my prediction on multiple points was pretty spot on. Good job on all three picks you made!

Thanks buddy.