John Morrison 2011 MLB

[dlunc3]

Hi BetaB,

Thanks for your information about RICH ALLEN.

So, about his NBA and NFL systems, what are the winning % of all his picks for a whole season so far, according to your practical experience?

Thanks for your further information, my friend.

James Phuc

Is your last name really phuc?

[BetaB]

Hi BetaB,

Thanks for your information about RICH ALLEN.

So, about his NBA and NFL systems, what are the winning % of all his picks for a whole season so far, according to your practical experience?

Thanks for your further information, my friend.

James Phuc

I've used his pick for the pas 2years and the first year was fantastic. As you may know he play ABC chase on specific point spread (no point bought) probably won around 60%. The second year however, was not that convincing. His play hit around 51-52%(until mid NBA season when i lost interest). The season started with an early season lost, then he introduced a new system on NBA+NFL making me wonder about his integrity and stop follow soon after.

You can also look in to the service play section to see the past record.

[BetaB]

here is what i found on service play section

The Suns were able to take it into three overtimes last night against the Lakers and keep it close in the end. We going to try and turn this thing around here on Wednesday with one more play.

2011 until 20something march 2011

Wednesday's NBA pick:

Philadelphia 76ers -6.5*


Season 2010-2011

(-> 03/22)

NBA Original

61-6 system and 95-88-2 straight up

Next ==> a


NBA Updated

66-4 system and 95-71-4 straight up

Next ==> b

2010

NBA system plays--
YTD: 84-2
All plays: 127-62-1
Playoff system plays: 3-0
All playoff plays: 3-1

Link http://forum.sbrforum.com/service-pl...ba-4-21-a.html

..... Strange 127 win should = 127 series win..... i dont know

[BetaB]

Oh, i see that include his side play.

Note: NBA update is what i was talking about as "a new system"

[oklahoma]

Is your last name really phuc?

, just the fact that he adds it as a signature in his posts makes it all the better.

[Glada Tartan]

Thanx Hagball... solid win for Brewers!

[Kev the Brit]

I have watched this thread for a few weeks now and decided to sign up to SBR. I have used Morrisons system for a few years and had some good luck. I have another website that I subscribe to that is similar but I think alot better. Its called sportsbettingstar. I might start a forum and post this websites picks there unless I can do so here. I work crazy hours so I don't know if I would have time to post all of them but this system is exactly like Morrison but this guy doesn't BS his record like morrison does LOL. Anyways let me know if I can post here or check out my forum if I decide to create one. The site im talking about is sportsbettingstar. Owner of this thread let me know if I can post picks here Thanks

There is no "owner" of this thread. It was started by Imotiv8 who hasn't been on here for some time now. But that doesn't really matter. Web forum protocol is that a new or different topic should start on another thread. IMHO you should post your stuff elsewhere in SBR. You only need to tell us the name of your new thread and those of us interested in what you are doing will bookmark your pages on their desktop and everyone will be happy.

[elbabel]

How effective is John Morrisons System? I really do not understand his system bets.............. Is everything that comes out in his website about how he cashes in thousands of dollars every month true? And all the testimonials, are they true? It looks like everybody has been following this system for quite a while now that is why I ask........... I know the records are here in the forum but i really dont understand them, Can anyone please tell me if it is effective as he promises? how much money have all you guys following his mlb system profited since the start of the season? THANKS A LOT!!!!!!!

and sorry for my ignorance about his system

[Kev the Brit]

Hi elbabel, Morrison's systems are basically sound. They all work on statistics, rather than individual team peformance. Regardless of a team's recent form, if they meet the selection criteria, the system chases them for 3 games with the objective of winning a target amount (1 unit). A winning chase (A Bet, B Bet and C Bet, stopping at the winning Bet) therefore wins the bettor 1 unit. Due to the accumulative effect of losing 3 bets, which each seek to win the unit plus the preceeding losses, a failed chase will result in losing approx 20 units. So, JM has to win at least 20 chases for every losing chase. It works. This year the MLB system is 29 wins with 1 loss, so there is profit. There are few nuances that need to be considered by the bettor that JM does not help with and these issues are discussed on these pages when they come up: RPI differential erosion during a chase, promotion of an opponent to a top spot on the RPI table during a chase and the September factor when selected teams are out of the hunt for the play-offs. The last point being very much the current subject for discussion.

If you are interested in following JM, you would be best advised to pass on the remains of the MLB system, just in case there is a failure in September and you don't have the accumulated wins to cover the loss. The NFL season kicks off soon, but there will be a minimum of 3 weeks before the first chase appears due to the selection criteria. NBA and NHL start in October and there is money to be made in those systems, too, although the NHL requires a large bankroll and lots of confidence.

Good luck

[elbabel]

Hi elbabel, Morrison's systems are basically sound. They all work on statistics, rather than individual team peformance. Regardless of a team's recent form, if they meet the selection criteria, the system chases them for 3 games with the objective of winning a target amount (1 unit). A winning chase (A Bet, B Bet and C Bet, stopping at the winning Bet) therefore wins the bettor 1 unit. Due to the accumulative effect of losing 3 bets, which each seek to win the unit plus the preceeding losses, a failed chase will result in losing approx 20 units. So, JM has to win at least 20 chases for every losing chase. It works. This year the MLB system is 29 wins with 1 loss, so there is profit. There are few nuances that need to be considered by the bettor that JM does not help with and these issues are discussed on these pages when they come up: RPI differential erosion during a chase, promotion of an opponent to a top spot on the RPI table during a chase and the September factor when selected teams are out of the hunt for the play-offs. The last point being very much the current subject for discussion.

If you are interested in following JM, you would be best advised to pass on the remains of the MLB system, just in case there is a failure in September and you don't have the accumulated wins to cover the loss. The NFL season kicks off soon, but there will be a minimum of 3 weeks before the first chase appears due to the selection criteria. NBA and NHL start in October and there is money to be made in those systems, too, although the NHL requires a large bankroll and lots of confidence.

Good luck

Hey Kev, Thanks for the reply........ Thanks I now understand the betting system, here is my next question: WIth the current 29-1 in this mlb season about how much money has been profited following the system to the letter? Lets say I bet 100 dollars the unit.

Thanks

[BetaB]

Hey Kev, Thanks for the reply........ Thanks I now understand the betting system, here is my next question: WIth the current 29-1 in this mlb season about how much money has been profited following the system to the letter? Lets say I bet 100 dollars the unit.

Thanks

around 900 + or - depend on the line you get.

Last season was not profitable right? I remember 1 lost on Astros.

[Kev the Brit]

Hey Kev, Thanks for the reply........ Thanks I now understand the betting system, here is my next question: WIth the current 29-1 in this mlb season about how much money has been profited following the system to the letter? Lets say I bet 100 dollars the unit. Thanks

If you followed the system to the letter (ignoring JM's e-mails, which differ from his system occasionally), you would now have approx $3000 profit. Hagball has recorded JM's e-mails as 29-1, and there were 2 more winners last night, taking the system to 31-1. The one series that lost was, strictly speaking, not a loss because the opponent won the A Bet and moved into 2nd place on the RPI table. Once that happened the selection criteria was not met and the bettor should have stopped, and accepted the lost stake (approx 2 units). Therefore I calculate that the system is approx 30 units in profit, which for a $100 unit is $3000.

A serious note of caution is that the bettor should have a minimum of 50 units as a bankroll dedicated to the system alone.

Regards
Kev

[Kev the Brit]

JM MLB System Results Sep 5 (Labor Day)
(In the absence of Hagball, who deserves the time off)

The following teams met the criteria for Official status and are still in the hunt for a play-off spot:

Mil (A Bet: RL)) win (straight up)
Pit (A Bet: ML) win
Cle (A Bet: alt +1.5 RL or ML) lost (by 2 runs)

The following team does not meet the criteria for Official status but is still arithmetically (0.1% chance) in the hunt:

Col - unofficial (A Bet: ML) lost

When Hagball returns to the plate we can discuss how he will record the above results.


Bets for Sep 6th:

Cle (B Bet: ML or poss alt +1.5RL)

Col - unofficial (B Bet: ML but prob alt +1.5RL)

Regards
Kev

[delbiand]

Thanks Kev

CLE B bet

[jamesphuc]

Hi Dlunc3,

Yes, Vietnamese people always call each other by last name. My real name is PHUC. But I just James so that all of you can remember me more easily than to remember my Vietnamese name.

But what is it for to know about my real last name "PHUC" ? You can call me PHUC or JAMES, it does not matter at all, my friend. I am living in Vietnam.

Yesterday, among 5 picks of Rich Allen, 4 were winners, and 1 was loser, just for your information.

I noted that his picks on MLB was around 50 - 60% right, but for last 2 days, his picks were very good, maybe, he got luck.

2 days ago, he had 3 picks and all 3 were winners, and yesterday, 4 winners versus 1 loser.

How about JM ? Is there anybody here using JM's new service called "Sports Picks Buffets" which is around 125 usd per month, which he claimed that he scanned all picks of reputable handicappers and posted their picks on which team against which team. Then, if we see that most handicappers lean towards a team versus nobody / or only 1 or 2 handicappers select the opponent, then, we just follow the CROWDS (the team that most handicappers pick) to place a BET for that team to WIN.

I don't know about his past records on Sports Picks Buffets, but I have used this service of JM for 3 days, and all were winners (I only betted on Ultimate bets of the day and Next Best of the day, and forget about GOOD BET of the day). Then, I don't know why he suddenly stopped delivering his Sports Picks Buffet without any explanations.

So, I just wonder if any of you have been using this service long enough to give a fair judgement on this service.

His Champ Selections Picks are not good at all, winning % around 55 - 65% only.

To : pwireless: I just purchased the service "Sports Betting Star" as you recommended about 3 hours ago (17:00 pm VIETNAM TIME, Vietnam time is : gmt + 7). So, when will I expect to receive the daily picks from the author of this website ?

By the way, please do not subscribe to JM's Elite service of Sports Picks Buffets at 29.95 usd per month, because I asked for refund to Clickbank for last 2 days, but no refund yet. But for Sports Picks Buffet service, you can try for 10 days at 5 usd only, and after this 10-day trial, you will be charged 125 usd per month. This service is money-back guaranteed by Clickbank. But after that, when we purchase his Elite service for Sports Picks Buffets at 29.95 usd, no money-back guarantee by clickbank, even though payment is still processed via clickbank (because on this page, there is nothing to mention about money-back guaranteed by clickbank).


Waiting for all comments from all of you here.

Thanks and regards,
James Phuc

[Glada Tartan]

There is no "owner" of this thread. It was started by Imotiv8 who hasn't been on here for some time now. But that doesn't really matter. Web forum protocol is that a new or different topic should start on another thread. IMHO you should post your stuff elsewhere in SBR. You only need to tell us the name of your new thread and those of us interested in what you are doing will bookmark your pages on their desktop and everyone will be happy.

I own this thread. Got a signed contract here

G´s Pks can verify it

[hagball52]

JM MLB System
2011 Official season series record 29-1 (v1)
(A) 16-14
(B) 10-4
(C) 3-1
V2 plays 9-7
V3 system 5-1
Unofficial series 39-2 (2 series pending)

*Unofficial*
(9/05/2011) Cleveland (.502) v Detroit (.512) M/L (A) Loss
(9/05/2011) Pittsburgh (.482)v Houston (.458) M/L (A) Win
(9/05/2011) Colorado (.494) v Arizona (.514) M/L (A) Loss
(9/05/2011) Milwaukee (.517)@ St Louis (.498) R/L (A) Win


Next Plays
*Unofficial*
(9/06/2011) Cleveland (.501) v Detroit (.513) +1.5 Alt. R/L (B) (9/07 (C) if necc.)
(9/06/2011) Colorado (.493) v Arizona (.514) +1.5 Alt. R/L (B) V2 (9/07 (C) if necc.)

Upcoming Plays
(9/08/2011) San Diego @ Arizona
(9/09/2011) Pittsburgh v Florida
(9/09/2011) Oakland @ Texas

Notes: At least a couple cashed yesterday. I was at the Indians game. Extremely frustrating to watch. Cleveland had several chances but just couldn't get anything going. They made Fister look like an all star. Both of today's plays meet the alternate run line rule. So if you like high juice feel free to play it that way. I can't and never have played a plus alt. run line. With the pitching matchups today both games could go either way. Hopefully we'll all get lucky. GL all

P.S. Note that COL meets the V2 criteria.

[hagball52]

JM MLB System Results Sep 5 (Labor Day)
(In the absence of Hagball, who deserves the time off)

The following teams met the criteria for Official status and are still in the hunt for a play-off spot:

Mil (A Bet: RL)) win (straight up)
Pit (A Bet: ML) win
Cle (A Bet: alt +1.5 RL or ML) lost (by 2 runs)

The following team does not meet the criteria for Official status but is still arithmetically (0.1% chance) in the hunt:

Col - unofficial (A Bet: ML) lost

When Hagball returns to the plate we can discuss how he will record the above results.


Bets for Sep 6th:

Cle (B Bet: ML or poss alt +1.5RL)

Col - unofficial (B Bet: ML but prob alt +1.5RL)

Regards
Kev

Thanks for the help Kev. I am posting from my parents computer but it takes awhile. It's older and works differently than mine. As you can see I'm scoring everything unofficial right now but that can be changed. I'll be back home tomorrow and we can adjust then. I haven't been getting JM emails like I used to. Right now he's trying to sell me his "NFL never lost" system. I think he's frustrated I haven't purchased his "champselections". He's been really pushing that. I guess I should tell him I already have his "NFL never lost". Got it off the internet for free. He ought to like that.

[Wallco99]

Wallco MLB PLU$$$
2011 System to date: 263-24 (v2:67-8)
System profit/loss: -27.87 units(finished series)
Since my first post: -48.14 units (248-24) (fin. series)
Current open series: 5 (-8.25 units)

(9/5/11):
#282 Philadelphia (M/L) v2 (C) - Win
#283 Colorado (-1½) v2 (B) - Loss
#284 San Francisco (M/L) v2 (B) - Win
#285 Pittsburgh (M/L) (A) - Win
#286 Pittsburgh (-1½) (A) - Win
#287 Boston (M/L) (A) - Loss
#288 Boston (-1½) (A) - Loss
#289 N.Y. Yankees (-1½) v2 (A) - Loss
#290 L.A. Dodgers (M/L) v2 (A) - Loss
#291 Chicago W. Sox (M/L) v2 (A) - Win
#292 Detroit (M/L) (A) - Win

(A) 140-152
(B) 71-77
(C) 34-42
(D) 18-24


Games for (9/6/11):
#283 Arizona @ Colorado (M/L) v2 (C) (8:40 pm EDT)
#287 Boston (M/L) @ Toronto (B) *Official* (7:05 pm EDT)
#288 Boston (-1½) @ Toronto (B) *Official* (7:05 pm EDT)
#289 Baltimore @ N.Y. Yankees (-1½) v2 (B) *Official* (7:05 pm EDT)
#290 L.A. Dodgers (M/L) @ Washington v2 (B) *Official* (7:05 pm EDT)
#293 Seattle @ L.A. Angels (-1½) v2 (A) *Official* (10:05 pm EDT)
#294 Kansas City @ Oakland (-1½) v2 (A) *Official* (10:05 pm EDT)



** Do not place any wagers on teams unless the word “Official” appears next to the game. All lines and standings are based on final lines from ScoresandOdds.com. Some of the unofficial plays may change to the other team by game time. Official plays will not change. Keep checking for updated posts until all games are marked “official”. If your book is offering (+1½) on the (-1½) plays above, buy the alternate line for (-1½) on the team I have listed at (-1½), not the other team. NEVER PLAY (+1½) LINE ON ANY GAME IN THIS SYSTEM.
System backtest can be found in post #3446.

The v1 plays may change to the other team by game time. The v2 plays will not change teams, but may change (M/L) or (R/L), the team will usually remain the same. Once Official, nothing will change. We have to be careful when playing a game that qualifies for both v1 and v2, because if a team should switch, we may be playing both sides later in the series, or we could even start out on both sides. The system will count all games as wins/losses, how you play them is your discretion. If not otherwise marked, the play will be v1.

[jamesphuc]

Hi Haghall52,

Sorry to ask you simple, basic questions:

Next Plays
*Unofficial*
(9/06/2011) Cleveland (.501) v Detroit (.513) +1.5 Alt. R/L (B) (9/07 (C) if necc.)

+ So, we will bet on Cle Indians on MONEY LINE, right ?

What do you mean by " + 1.5 Alt R/L" ? Does it mean that we can bet on Detroit on RUN LINE side to WIN ?

(9/06/2011) Colorado (.493) v Arizona (.514) +1.5 Alt. R/L (B) V2 (9/07 (C) if necc.)

+ We will bet on Colorado on MONEY LINE, right ? And with +1.5 R/L, We will bet on Arizona to WIN ON R/L ?

Upcoming Plays
(9/08/2011) San Diego @ Arizona : Bet on San Diego on MONEY LINE to WIN ?
(9/09/2011) Pittsburgh v Florida : Bet on Pittsburgh on MONEY LINE to WIN ?
(9/09/2011) Oakland @ Texas : Bet on Oakland on MONEY LINE to WIN ?

Please explain and confirm if my understanding is correct. I just started to bet on MLB since last Aug, 2011, and I don't have enough knowledge to study on MLB. So, hope all of you here can help me on these terms. Thanks.

Waiting for your prompt reply and explanations soon.

James Phuc

[Wallco99]

SportsBettingChamp.com MLB Betting System
Here’s the MLB betting system in detail. As long as you strictly follow my betting guidelines below, you will be winning almost all of your MLB bets.
In a nutshell, you will be betting that one team is going to win at least one game in either 3 or 4 game series versus an opposing team that has swept them in their most recent series. This is a bet that you will win more than 97% of the time.
Before I go into detail on how to make the bets, I will go over the money management system. There are only three bet values you should stick to: Bet A; Bet B; and Bet C.
Bet A = Your beginning bet. You can, for example, set your beginning bet to win $100 when you first start out.
Bet B = In case Bet A fails, you make bet B to make up for any loss you’ve suffered from Bet A, plus any profit you would have achieved from bet A. So, if your to-win Bet A was $100, your to-win Bet B can be $200.
Bet C = In case Bet B fails, you make bet C to make up for any loss you’ve suffered from Bet A plus Bet B, plus profit you would have achieved from bet A. So, if your to-win Bet A plus Bet B was $300, your to-win Bet C can be $400.
If you lose Bet C, you lose the bet. There may be an occasion when you place a "D" bet, but it’s extremely rare. We will talk more on that later.
However, do not be concerned, because losing a Bet C is something that will almost never happen. Here’s the betting system:
1. Check the MLB results and mark down any series where one team goes winless versus the opposing team (a sweep)
2. For the teams that were swept (winless in those series), mark the schedule for their upcoming series versus the same team that swept them previously
3. On the first day of the rematch between the two teams, as long as the team that was swept previously has an RPI value of no less than .015 than the opposing team, AND the opposing team is not a top-2 RPI team, make a bet for the team that was swept. (Note: The RPI will be explained in greater details in a later section of this manual)
4. If you lose bet A, make bet B on the next day for the same team
5. If you lose bet B, make bet C on the next day for the same team
And keep this in mind: ALWAYS bet on the money line if the team you’re betting on is the favorite to win (shows -1.5 on the run line). ALWAYS bet on the run line (+1.5 runs) if the team you’re betting on is the underdog (shows +1.5 on the run line). You can check to see which team is the favorite or the underdog by looking at the run line in the
bet lineup. A team showing a +1.5 in the run line means they are the underdog. A team showing a -1.5 in the run line means they are the favorite.
If you are unfamiliar with betting, below is a screenshot of what you may see on BetUS (http://sportsbettingchamp.com/betus):
The only two columns you’re going to bet on are the Run Line and the Money Line. For example, if the picks on that day were Milwaukee, Atlanta, Florida, Houston, St. Louis, and Arizona, then you would bet where the X’s are located above. We bet on the run line for Milwaukee because their run line shows +1.5. We bet on the run line for Atlanta because their run line shows +1.5. We bet on the money line for the Florida because their run line shows -1.5. We bet on the run line for Houston because their run line shows +1.5. We bet on the money line for the St. Louis because their run line shows -1.5. We bet on the money line for Arizona because their run line shows -1.5.
Basically, the rule of thumb is bet on the run line if the run line shows +1.5 for the team you’re betting on, and bet on the money line if the run line shows -1.5 for the team you’re betting on.
In some extremely rare circumstances, a bookie may offer a -1.5 run line even if your team is the underdog in the game. To be safe rather than sorry, you should always bet on the +1.5 run line if the Money Line odds for your team to win is -115 or less (-110 for example would be considered less). If the +1.5 run line is not offered if your team has a money line odd to win of -113 for example, then you should look for it in the "Alternate Run Line" or "Reverse Run Line" section of your bookmaker.
Keep in mind: Whenever you are betting on the +1.5 run line, you’ll win the bet even if your team loses by 1 run.
Check up on the injuries before making a bet. If your team’s best hitter or pitcher is out due to an injury, then you should just pass on that series. Click here for a good place to check for injuries.
Finally, it’s also a good idea to pass on a betting series if your team has the worst road record in the league, and they are playing on the road. It’s okay to wager on them if they are playing at home, but if they are the worst road team, and are playing on the road, then it’s simply too risky to put any money on them.
Here’s a picture walkthrough of how to place a wager at BetUs (http://sportsbettingchamp.com/betus):
Just follow the instructions above by first clicking on "Sportsbook" at the top of the screen- then "Baseball" on the left side of the screen - then click on "Game" under the MLB section.
On the next page is where you select your team. For example, let’s say that you want to bet on the Milwaukee Brewers in their game versus the San Francisco Giants, you would need to do as follows:
Note that you’ll be betting on the +1.5 run line for Milwaukee since the +1.5 run line is offered.
Finally, it’s time to set your wager amount:
Your MLB betting season ends at some point in August, depending on the teams playing. I will let you know each year when you should stop making wagers. You
shouldn’t bet on games under the system in September because by that time, the playoffs may be decided for a number of teams, and not all teams will give 100% into their games. In addition, new rookies will be used late in the season as it is a time when teams enlarge their rosters.
To check on the MLB schedule, you can do so here.
To check on the sweep records, click here and then at the top left corner where you find the "Team Schedules" dropdown box, just go through each individual teams that are playing on that day (or the upcoming day). There, you will be able to view a complete listing of all their games played that season, and the results.
Ignore 2-game series unless the results from the 2-game series further adds to the previous 3 or 4 game sweep. For example:
Example#1: Atlanta sweeps Florida in a 3-game series, then sweeps them again in a 2-game series. If they play a 3 game series next time, then that would qualify for a system play on Florida.
Example#2: Atlanta sweeps Florida in a 3-game series, then goes 1-1 against Florida a 2-game series. If they play a 3 game series next time, then that would not qualify for a system play.
Here is an example from the 2005 season. Let’s say that on 7/29, the Detroit Tigers went 0-3 vs the Oakland Athletics in their 3-game series. So, you’ll look at the schedule and see that these two teams will play each other again on 8/23. This means that on
8/23, you will bet on the Detroit Tigers to beat the Oakland Athletics in the 3-game series rematch, starting with a $100 bet (or Bet A). On 8/23, Detroit did beat Oakland, therefore you have won bet A. Stop at this point and do not make any more bets in this series. Move on to the next one.
But what if Detroit lost to Oakland on 8/23? Then, on the next day (8/24), you’ll make a bet for Detroit again, this time with a $250 (or Bet B) to make up for the loss you’ve suffered yesterday, as well as to win a profit.
If Detroit lost to Oakland again on 8/24, then on 8/25 bet $650 (or Bet C) to make up for the losses you’ve suffered on the last 2 days, as well as to win a $100 profit
You must be wondering, what if Detroit loses to Oakland again on 8/25? Well, then that means you lose the bet. I can assure you, however, you will almost never see this happen. In an entire MLB season, as long as you follow my guidelines, your chances of losing Bet B in any series is less than 10%. Your chances of losing bet C in any game is close to 0%. Bet under these rules and you will profit. Whenever you win a bet in any series, stop and move on to the next one.
One rare exception where it is okay to bet beyond C level is if your team is playing a 4-game series in their rematch, and ends up losing the C bet. In this case, you can make the extremely rare "D" bet on the final game. Such a situation is quite extraordinary because losing a C bet is awfully rare as it already is, and for it to fall on series that spans 4 games instead of 3 games is something that almost never happens! But if it does, you can make a D bet on the final game to complete the win in the series.
If you have a larger bankroll, your Bet A amount can start out higher, provided that you have enough in your bankroll to make a Bet B and a Bet C if needed. Similarly, if you have a smaller bankroll, your Bet A amount can be lower.
Relative Power Index (RPI)
I want to introduce you to the Relative Power Index (RPI). Each team in the MLB is rated by an RPI score - the higher the score, the better the team. The RPI is calculated using the team's winning percentage with consideration of the quality of their opponents / strength of their schedule. Luckily, the RPI is calculated for you and kept up-to-date at all time. You can check for each team's RPI score at:
http://sports.espn.go.com/mlb/stats/rpi
What you want to do is:
1. Pass on any series where the team you’re supposed to wager on has an RPI value that's more than .015 lower than our opponent's.
2. Pass on any series where the team you’re supposed to wager on is playing against a team who’s within the top 2 highest ranked RPI teams.
Here’s an example. Let's say that the RPI chart looks like this:
Let’s say that Detroit started a 3-game series against Boston, who had swept them previously. Playing according to the system means that we would wager on Detroit under the A-B-C money management formula.
However, taking a look at the RPI chart we can see that Detroit has an RPI score of .503 while Boston has an RPI score of .526. That means Boston is better than Detroit by an RPI margin of .023.
Since Detroit’s RPI is more than .015 below their opponent's RPI, we can conclude that they are not reasonably capable of winning against Boston under acceptable risks, therefore we should pass on this series.
Note that whenever your team’s RPI is lower than .015 during any time in a betting series, it is best to walk away.

[hagball52]

Thanks Wallco. I'm busy, headed for the airport back to Vegas.

[Kev the Brit]

Hi Haghall52, Sorry to ask you simple, basic questions: Next Plays *Unofficial* (9/06/2011) Cleveland (.501) v Detroit (.513) +1.5 Alt. R/L (B) (9/07 (C) if necc.) + So, we will bet on Cle Indians on MONEY LINE, right ? What do you mean by " + 1.5 Alt R/L" ? Does it mean that we can bet on Detroit on RUN LINE side to WIN ? (9/06/2011) Colorado (.493) v Arizona (.514) +1.5 Alt. R/L (B) V2 (9/07 (C) if necc.) + We will bet on Colorado on MONEY LINE, right ? And with +1.5 R/L, We will bet on Arizona to WIN ON R/L ? Upcoming Plays (9/08/2011) San Diego @ Arizona : Bet on San Diego on MONEY LINE to WIN ? (9/09/2011) Pittsburgh v Florida : Bet on Pittsburgh on MONEY LINE to WIN ? (9/09/2011) Oakland @ Texas : Bet on Oakland on MONEY LINE to WIN ? Please explain and confirm if my understanding is correct. I just started to bet on MLB since last Aug, 2011, and I don't have enough knowledge to study on MLB. So, hope all of you here can help me on these terms. Thanks. Waiting for your prompt reply and explanations soon. James Phuc

It means that you should find the alternative runline menu at your bookmaker's site and play the selected team on the +1.5RL. This is because the bookmakers believe that the selected team is a narrow favourite and have offered -115 or better odds on the ML. Therefore, to cater for a close game that goes against the selected team, the system states that the bettor should play +1.5RL, which is not the standard RL for a fav. Hence the term, "alt +1.5RL" Hope this helps

Kev

[jamesphuc]

Hi Kev,

Thanks for your explanations. But sorry that I still can not understand well about +1.5 R/L.

Right now, I am looking at match between SEA Mariners vs LA Angles for today, SEP. 6, 2011, and I see as follows:

+ On the Money line: I see that :

a. Sea Mariners : 2.20 (decimal) is the Odds

b. LA Angels : 1.76 (decimal) is the Odds

So, does it mean that my Sportsbook (BET365) thinks that LA Angels has higher chance to win the match, right ?

+ On the Run Line, I see as follows:

a. SEA Mariners +1.5 : 1.54 (Odds)

b. LA Angels -1.5 : 2.65 (Odds)

So, according to above post, I should pick LA Angels to WIN straight up, right ? But then, should I select MONEY LINE or RUN LINE in this case ?

I am still confused about Money Line and Run Line, because I don't know why the Odds on Money Line and the Odds on Run Line are quite OPPOSITE like above case ?

Hope you can explain me further, and tell me in this example, where should I select the LA Angels ? On the Money Line or on the Run Line above ?

Waiting for your detailed explanations, my friend.

Thanks a lot
James Phuc

[G's pks]

What the Phuc is going on in here?

[G's pks]

Kev are you familiar with the term twit?

[bruloc]

Hi Kev,

Thanks for your explanations. But sorry that I still can not understand well about +1.5 R/L.

Right now, I am looking at match between SEA Mariners vs LA Angles for today, SEP. 6, 2011, and I see as follows:

+ On the Money line: I see that :

a. Sea Mariners : 2.20 (decimal) is the Odds

b. LA Angels : 1.76 (decimal) is the Odds

So, does it mean that my Sportsbook (BET365) thinks that LA Angels has higher chance to win the match, right ?

+ On the Run Line, I see as follows:

a. SEA Mariners +1.5 : 1.54 (Odds)

b. LA Angels -1.5 : 2.65 (Odds)

So, according to above post, I should pick LA Angels to WIN straight up, right ? But then, should I select MONEY LINE or RUN LINE in this case ?

I am still confused about Money Line and Run Line, because I don't know why the Odds on Money Line and the Odds on Run Line are quite OPPOSITE like above case ?

Hope you can explain me further, and tell me in this example, where should I select the LA Angels ? On the Money Line or on the Run Line above ?

Waiting for your detailed explanations, my friend.

Thanks a lot
James Phuc

Lets suppose that Angels has swept by Mariners in their most recent series (JM system), and that is the first game of a new series. So, according JM system, you have to bet in Angels. How Angels is favorite to win this game, you need to bet Angels ML. If the odds of Angels ML is better than 1.86 (1.87 for exemple), you will need to bet Angels +1.5. That is it.

[Kev the Brit]

James,
You are at risk of losing lots of money if you do not know about the ML and RL. The Money Line (ML) is betting that the selected team will win straight up.

The Run Line (RL) is betting that the team will win the bet with a handicap applied to their score, either by adding runs (+RL) or deducting runs (-RL). The standard runline offered by the bookmakers adds 1.5 runs to the underdog (+1.5RL) or deducts 1.5 runs from the favourite (-1.5RL).

A big favourite will attract very poor odds on the ML, but there might be good odds on the -1.5RL. A big dog will attract very good odds on the ML, but the odds on the +1.5RL might not be so attractive.

A marginal favourite will attract good odds on the ML and even better odds on the -1.5RL. A marginal underdog will attract good odds on the ML but poor odds on the +1.5RL.

Your job as the bettor is to anticipate the winner and the score spread and place your bet on the line that gives your belief the best value for money.

Tonight LAA on the ML is quite attractive. The current odds on the -1.5RL indicate that the bookmakers think it is more likely, than not, that LAA will not win by 2 runs or more, so their odds on the -1.5RL are very attractive. LAA is the favourite, but the odds on the -1.5RL suggest that the bookies think they will win by 1 run. If you believe the bookies, bet for LAA on the ML. If you think that LAA will win by 2 or more runs, bet the 1.5RL. If you know something that the bookies don't, and you believe Seattle will win straight up, bet for them on the ML, which offers good odds. If you think Seattle will lose by less than 1 run or might even win the game straight up, bet for them on the +1.5RL, which offers reasonable odds.

Somewhere in the above paragraph is the answer. I cannot tell you where to bet your money. Based on recent performances, LAA should win the game straight up. Seattle is out of the play-offs but LAA is still in the hunt with a slight chance, so they are motivated to win, whereas Seattle are already on vacation in their minds. LAA is at home, so if they are winning by only 1 run at the middle of the 9th innings, they will not get the chance to score more runs, because they have already won the game. So, the question is this; will LAA lead the scoring by 2 or more runs after they have had 8 innings? I think they will. Also, stats suggest that most games (but not a huge %) are won by more than 1 run. If I were to bet on this game I would probably go for LAA on the -1.5RL

Finally, regarding JM's selection tonight: you should bet for Cleveland on the +1.5RL. Unfortunately, Bet365 does not offer that option so, with better odds, you should simply bet for Cle on the ML or find another bookmaker.

Good luck

Kev

[Kev the Brit]

Kev are you familiar with the term twit?

Hi G, whats your point? I simply answered a query about JM's system.

[pwireless]

Just got an email from sportsbettingstar saying their next system bet won't be until September 8 or 9. I have work that day but will try to post if I can

[jcygts6]

Thanks pwireless... Are u a subsruber to sportsbettingstar and have you followed their other sports previous years? I have a feeling many of his plays overlap the JM plays

[king3chaz]

Now, here are my Champ Selections picks for today:

3* Star Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks

1* Star Pick: Chicago Whitesox

Here are John Morrisons champ selection picks. I have been getting these picks for about 2 weeks now and he has shown a nice profit. But he says he splits for the day when he loses the higher rated pick, and if the higher rated pick wins with a split, he calls it a winning day. He is very vague, but his picks are solid.

[pwireless]

Jcygts6
Some of the picks can match JM but not consistently. As example their picks for 9/5 were nationals,tigers and Phillies. None of them matching JM and one of them even going against JMs picks cause JM had Cleveland. Yes I have subscribed since about November of 2010. It definitely wins more than JMs system my personal opinion. Not many bets go to Bet 3 or as JM calls it Bet C

[knugen]

This sportbettingstat, does they have mfl and NBA also, and what were the record from last seasons?

[jcygts6]

Thanks. I may have to give this guys picks a try. Interested in seeing his hockey, NFL, and NBA systems also

Jcygts6
Some of the picks can match JM but not consistently. As example their picks for 9/5 were nationals,tigers and Phillies. None of them matching JM and one of them even going against JMs picks cause JM had Cleveland. Yes I have subscribed since about November of 2010. It definitely wins more than JMs system my personal opinion. Not many bets go to Bet 3 or as JM calls it Bet C