Do Phils Come Back??

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  • daneault23
    SBR MVP
    • 09-08-09
    • 3868

    #1
    Do Phils Come Back??
    I have a series bet pending on the Phils. Anyone think Giants win game 6? I'm thinkin bout maybe hedging by puttin some money on Sanchez at + money to salvage a profit. Thoughts?
  • Dukebluejms
    SBR MVP
    • 10-21-09
    • 1633

    #2
    If the Giants are going to win the series it'll be in game 6. I like the hedge if your series bet is for a significant sum (a significant percentage of your bankroll not just a lot of money). Sanchez has been awesome and he can neutralize the big lefties in the Phillies already struggling lineup. I still think the Phils pull it out though. BOL
    Comment
    • daneault23
      SBR MVP
      • 09-08-09
      • 3868

      #3
      Originally posted by Dukebluejms
      If the Giants are going to win the series it'll be in game 6. I like the hedge if your series bet is for a significant sum (a significant percentage of your bankroll not just a lot of money). Sanchez has been awesome and he can neutralize the big lefties in the Phillies already struggling lineup. I still think the Phils pull it out though. BOL
      I agree with you that if the Giants win, it will be game 6. Sanchez is filthy and no one can hit shit off of him, his only problem is his control. I have a bad price on the series cuz I wouldn't think that the giants would beat halladay in game one or beat oswalt in game 2, so I got it at -230. And yea I do have them for a significant percentage of my roll. I also have the Rangers for about half as much, and I'm thinking they close it out at home tomorrow hopefully.
      Comment
      • SR
        SBR MVP
        • 09-10-08
        • 1317

        #4
        Hedge for sure, and Yanks will win tomorrow.
        Comment
        • CollegeOverUnder
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 10-20-10
          • 5520

          #5
          In all honesty I think Philly is gonna end up winning game 6 and 7 and I live in the Bay Area
          Comment
          • denn333
            SBR MVP
            • 09-16-05
            • 1191

            #6
            got to play sanchez.
            Comment
            • ger25pic25
              SBR Sharp
              • 01-19-09
              • 373

              #7
              i have phils to win it all! so i'm with you!
              Comment
              • Godsmack
                SBR MVP
                • 10-04-08
                • 1226

                #8
                i hope they pull it out as well. sweet win last night
                Comment
                • smitch124
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 05-19-08
                  • 12566

                  #9
                  Ya the Giants needed to win game 5 and choked, Phillies roll in final 2.

                  Panda get your fat ass back to cover 3rd!!
                  Comment
                  • Eagle1958
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 01-23-10
                    • 577

                    #10
                    Oswalt and Hamels don't lose at home. Ever... Period....
                    Comment
                    • Sportsbetting123
                      SBR MVP
                      • 03-01-08
                      • 1400

                      #11
                      Hedging is always a good idea to limit losses in situations like this.
                      Comment
                      • fernasta
                        Restricted User
                        • 09-07-10
                        • 145

                        #12
                        I hope so!
                        Comment
                        • Blax0r
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 10-13-10
                          • 688

                          #13
                          For your Phil/SF hedge, I think these are the options if you want to cut your losses right now:

                          1. Hedge game 6 SF ML (+150) - you'll want to take your series bet, divide it by 1.74, and put it on the SF ML. You'll sort of lock in a 9% loss of the total positions (the hedge + your original series bet); I am going off of your assumption that the Phillies will win a game 7.

                          2. Hedge with SF series win (1.55 in decimal odds according to Betfair) - you'll really be biting the bullet, but put a little bit less than your original bet on the Giants (about your bet divided by 1.08) winning the series. You'll lock in a 25% loss on your total positions (hedge + original bet), but should be significantly better than completely losing your series bet (cutting your losses in half I believe).

                          Personally, unless you direly need to protect against a total loss, I'd just let it ride...
                          Comment
                          • BookieOweMe
                            SBR MVP
                            • 05-01-10
                            • 2106

                            #14
                            maybe
                            Comment
                            • warriorfan707
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 03-29-08
                              • 13698

                              #15
                              Please God let Sanchez pitch a gem
                              Comment
                              • khaden
                                SBR MVP
                                • 01-19-09
                                • 1864

                                #16
                                I'm a life long phillies fan and I don't see them winning the last two. Let's face it they should have lost night- that was a terrible call that went their way. Fwiw if you hit the rangers series tonight I personally would hedge the phils but don't listen to any of us it's your cash.
                                Comment
                                • Vortexx00
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 06-18-09
                                  • 1392

                                  #17
                                  No..Phillies are done. They might win game 6..but game 7 Matt Cain will pitch a gem
                                  Comment
                                  • daneault23
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 09-08-09
                                    • 3868

                                    #18
                                    Hmm some pretty good options here. I live in the Bay Area and saw in the paper today that the Giants have done this before and lost both situations in the past (losing games 6 and 7 when up twice) and Will Clark was pissed when the reporter or w/e was asking him about it last night . I'm still on the edge tonight, and I'll decide what to do after tonights Rangers/Yanks game.
                                    Comment
                                    • branrave
                                      Restricted User
                                      • 10-26-09
                                      • 292

                                      #19
                                      just let it ride, i think phillies might pull a comeback..
                                      Comment
                                      • fury
                                        Restricted User
                                        • 02-20-10
                                        • 1651

                                        #20
                                        Giants in 6.
                                        Comment
                                        • gryfyn1
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 03-30-10
                                          • 3285

                                          #21
                                          i think the Phils win these two games, the only question I have is of the brief appearance by Oswalt in game four will have some ill effects early for him.
                                          Comment
                                          • Bostongambler
                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                            • 02-01-08
                                            • 35581

                                            #22
                                            No,, At least I hope not.
                                            Comment
                                            • astrodomer
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 08-03-10
                                              • 1665

                                              #23
                                              nope Giants win it.....gonna be a good series
                                              Comment
                                              • Nookx
                                                SBR Sharp
                                                • 12-17-07
                                                • 486

                                                #24
                                                Giants ml!
                                                Comment
                                                • MrZ
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 09-27-10
                                                  • 1552

                                                  #25
                                                  Hedge


                                                  Giants are winning this series
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Jiggy Fly
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 05-02-08
                                                    • 1256

                                                    #26
                                                    Phils have the talent to win the next 2. They just have to show up. They led the league this year with 3 game win streaks.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Mikail
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 07-19-09
                                                      • 21689

                                                      #27
                                                      They could do it with relative ease. I am not so convinced the will though. One game at a time. If they get the win tomorrow I think Hamels can close it out. Tomorrow is the big game.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • kfranz31
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 02-09-10
                                                        • 1186

                                                        #28
                                                        giants dont look back and cruise in game 6
                                                        Comment
                                                        • AceofSP2107
                                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                                          • 07-28-09
                                                          • 717

                                                          #29
                                                          i live in south philly and phillies will shit on sf
                                                          Comment
                                                          • will2survive
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 11-26-09
                                                            • 8099

                                                            #30
                                                            It's a 50/50 chance.Halladay was what they counted on
                                                            Comment
                                                            • thisisit
                                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                                              • 08-01-10
                                                              • 733

                                                              #31
                                                              Need the Phills so bad, I hope they are going to be pumped tonight, cause if we can get it to game 7 I think it is ours
                                                              Comment
                                                              • nulldah
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 01-27-10
                                                                • 1473

                                                                #32
                                                                hedge is better if you dont want any risk... sanchez at +money? even without hedging, i will take it
                                                                Comment
                                                                • oiler
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 06-06-09
                                                                  • 6585

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by daneault23
                                                                  I have a series bet pending on the Phils. Anyone think Giants win game 6? I'm thinkin bout maybe hedging by puttin some money on Sanchez at + money to salvage a profit. Thoughts?
                                                                  giants are doing what they have done all year.scoring just enough to win and the pirching is fantastic.dont see a reason why it would stop now
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • rickbo528
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 10-22-08
                                                                    • 1842

                                                                    #34
                                                                    The best game pitched by a starter in this series was Matt Cain in game 3. If it goes to game 7 the Giants will be in good hands pitchingwise. But you never know who will step up and be a hero. Neither team is bashing the ball so one big hit in either game 6 or 7 will decide it. No matter which team gets that hit it's a safe bet it won't be Ryan Howard. When was the last clutch hit he had in a postseason game? If I'm a Giants fan the last guy I want at to face for Philly with the game on the line is Polanco.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Wulfman14
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 08-24-10
                                                                      • 8869

                                                                      #35
                                                                      going to be a tough one to win but i think the phillies take the series
                                                                      Comment
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