I have a series bet pending on the Phils. Anyone think Giants win game 6? I'm thinkin bout maybe hedging by puttin some money on Sanchez at + money to salvage a profit. Thoughts?
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If the Giants are going to win the series it'll be in game 6. I like the hedge if your series bet is for a significant sum (a significant percentage of your bankroll not just a lot of money). Sanchez has been awesome and he can neutralize the big lefties in the Phillies already struggling lineup. I still think the Phils pull it out though. BOLComment -
I agree with you that if the Giants win, it will be game 6. Sanchez is filthy and no one can hit shit off of him, his only problem is his control. I have a bad price on the series cuz I wouldn't think that the giants would beat halladay in game one or beat oswalt in game 2, so I got it at -230. And yea I do have them for a significant percentage of my roll. I also have the Rangers for about half as much, and I'm thinking they close it out at home tomorrowOriginally posted by Dukebluejms
hopefully.
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Hedge for sure, and Yanks will win tomorrow.Comment -
In all honesty I think Philly is gonna end up winning game 6 and 7 and I live in the Bay AreaComment -
got to play sanchez.Comment -
i have phils to win it all! so i'm with you!Comment -
i hope they pull it out as well. sweet win last nightComment -
Ya the Giants needed to win game 5 and choked, Phillies roll in final 2.
Panda get your fat ass back to cover 3rd!!
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Oswalt and Hamels don't lose at home. Ever... Period....Comment -
Hedging is always a good idea to limit losses in situations like this.Comment -
I hope so!Comment -
For your Phil/SF hedge, I think these are the options if you want to cut your losses right now:
1. Hedge game 6 SF ML (+150) - you'll want to take your series bet, divide it by 1.74, and put it on the SF ML. You'll sort of lock in a 9% loss of the total positions (the hedge + your original series bet); I am going off of your assumption that the Phillies will win a game 7.
2. Hedge with SF series win (1.55 in decimal odds according to Betfair) - you'll really be biting the bullet, but put a little bit less than your original bet on the Giants (about your bet divided by 1.08) winning the series. You'll lock in a 25% loss on your total positions (hedge + original bet), but should be significantly better than completely losing your series bet (cutting your losses in half I believe).
Personally, unless you direly need to protect against a total loss, I'd just let it ride...Comment -
maybeComment -
Please God let Sanchez pitch a gemComment -
I'm a life long phillies fan and I don't see them winning the last two. Let's face it they should have lost night- that was a terrible call that went their way. Fwiw if you hit the rangers series tonight I personally would hedge the phils but don't listen to any of us it's your cash.Comment -
No..Phillies are done. They might win game 6..but game 7 Matt Cain will pitch a gem
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Hmm some pretty good options here. I live in the Bay Area and saw in the paper today that the Giants have done this before and lost both situations in the past (losing games 6 and 7 when up twice) and Will Clark was pissed when the reporter or w/e was asking him about it last night
. I'm still on the edge tonight, and I'll decide what to do after tonights Rangers/Yanks game.
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just let it ride, i think phillies might pull a comeback..Comment -
Giants in 6.Comment -
i think the Phils win these two games, the only question I have is of the brief appearance by Oswalt in game four will have some ill effects early for him.Comment -
No,, At least I hope not.Comment -
nope Giants win it.....gonna be a good seriesComment -
Giants ml!Comment -
Hedge
Giants are winning this seriesComment -
Phils have the talent to win the next 2. They just have to show up. They led the league this year with 3 game win streaks.Comment -
They could do it with relative ease. I am not so convinced the will though. One game at a time. If they get the win tomorrow I think Hamels can close it out. Tomorrow is the big game.Comment -
giants dont look back and cruise in game 6Comment -
i live in south philly and phillies will shit on sf
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It's a 50/50 chance.Halladay was what they counted onComment -
Need the Phills so bad, I hope they are going to be pumped tonight, cause if we can get it to game 7 I think it is oursComment -
hedge is better if you dont want any risk... sanchez at +money? even without hedging, i will take itComment -
giants are doing what they have done all year.scoring just enough to win and the pirching is fantastic.dont see a reason why it would stop nowOriginally posted by daneault23Comment -
The best game pitched by a starter in this series was Matt Cain in game 3. If it goes to game 7 the Giants will be in good hands pitchingwise. But you never know who will step up and be a hero. Neither team is bashing the ball so one big hit in either game 6 or 7 will decide it. No matter which team gets that hit it's a safe bet it won't be Ryan Howard. When was the last clutch hit he had in a postseason game? If I'm a Giants fan the last guy I want at to face for Philly with the game on the line is Polanco.Comment -
going to be a tough one to win but i think the phillies take the seriesComment
