Well, we were up to 42 units have been trending down a bit lately. Let's break out today.
TEX -120 7.2 to win 6
PIT +210 6 to win 12.6
STL -125 7.5 to win 6
SDG -105 6.3 to win 6
OAK +145 6 to win 8.7
I calculate these plays by taking the difference in the starting pitchers' ERA, turning that into a ratio, then multiplying that number by the line turned into a ratio. When the ERAs are really close I just call the ratio a 1, so big dogs make the list where the pitching matchup is really close.
Pittsburgh made the list because with a +210 line, the pitching matchup ratio gets multiplied by 2.1 and for the Pit game we have a 3 ERA pitcher going up against a 4.88 ERA pitcher.
I filter these by mismatches in the W-L record of the two teams, I don't want to be backing some scrub team that is playing a top team.
TEX -120 7.2 to win 6
PIT +210 6 to win 12.6
STL -125 7.5 to win 6
SDG -105 6.3 to win 6
OAK +145 6 to win 8.7
I calculate these plays by taking the difference in the starting pitchers' ERA, turning that into a ratio, then multiplying that number by the line turned into a ratio. When the ERAs are really close I just call the ratio a 1, so big dogs make the list where the pitching matchup is really close.
Pittsburgh made the list because with a +210 line, the pitching matchup ratio gets multiplied by 2.1 and for the Pit game we have a 3 ERA pitcher going up against a 4.88 ERA pitcher.
I filter these by mismatches in the W-L record of the two teams, I don't want to be backing some scrub team that is playing a top team.