2010 MLB Playoffs??? You kidding me???

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • Regul8er
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 11-06-07
    • 10666

    #1
    2010 MLB Playoffs??? You kidding me???
    My favorite time of the year.....with march madness being a close second. I figured I would make a thread to track my playoff success/failure. Tail or fade as you will.

    1st Play
    ALDS: Game 1 - Texas Rangers (+119) @ Tampa Bay Rays (-129)

    With the horrible scheduling times, this figures to be the least anticipated matchups of this years playoffs. I mean come on, games 1 and 2 are weekday early starts and potential game 4 conflicts with NFL at 1:00pm Sunday. Oh well, I'll be keeping a close eye on this series.

    My brain is telling me to play the Rangers for statistical reasons, but my heart is telling me to play the Rays for intangible reasons.

    The Rangers made a push for Cliff Lee in July in hopes of him recapturing the magical playoff run he had with the Phillies in 09. Things have not gone quite as expected to date for Mr. Lee as he had quite a few ugly pitching lines this year. What's encouraging is 3 fantastic performances of his last 4 heading into the postseason. The Rangers have finally returned to full strength, and will feature a very potent lineup 1 through 6, the best in baseball in my opinion.

    The Rays send electric David Price to the hill after a tremendous sophomore season, highlighted by an All Star game start. Price has been shut down all season at home, and looks to continue his success this afternoon. Surprisingly (to me at least) the Rays only feature two players who hit above .265. They rely on drawing walks (led the majors), and running the bases with their blazing speed. The problem here is that Cliff Lee doesn't issue walks, and being a lefty, holds runners in check.

    With everything said, I think the intangibles will be the difference here. Outside of Vlad and Bengie, the Rangers don't have any playoff experience in their lineup. Nerves could very well get to these guys, as facing Price won't help. The Rays have been to the rodeo, making a run to the WS two years ago, with many of the same regulars. The past few years, Texas has really struggled indoors, and Tropicana can be a difficult place for opposing teams to play, especially opposing teams who play under .500 on the road. The Rays have been a loose bunch all year, and I don't see anything changing today. From a coaching standpoint, Washington can't come close to matching the wits of Madden, and the bullpen nod goes to the Rays should the game be tight late, which I fully expect.

    MY PICK: Tampa Bay Rays (-129)
    RISKING $129 to WIN $100
  • l7ustin
    SBR MVP
    • 10-09-08
    • 3914

    #2
    good luck nice write up, only thing i disagree with is who wins, the rangers...

    and i think texas has the better pen but we will see
    Comment
    • Regul8er
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 11-06-07
      • 10666

      #3
      2nd Play
      ALDS: Game 1 - New York Yankees (-145) @ Minnesota Twins (+135)

      Here's a matchup we've seen in playoff years past.....and the Yankees have absolutely owned the Twinkies.

      The Yankees hand the ball to C.C. who had another impressive, CY Young type season. I believe the Yanks own a decisive edge offensively at just about every position, except maybe catcher and DH. Sometimes I look at the Yanks lineup, and my jaw drops seeing guys like Granderson and Berkman occasionally hitting 7th or 8th. They have the perfect playoff mixture filled with guys who have potential to hit the 3 run bomb, loaded with experience and are the defending champs. I think their weakness lies in the 7th and 8th inning, if there starters can't get that deep into the game.

      The Twins put together another impressive season under Ron Gardenhire, something you come to expect. Liriano gets the ball tonight under the lights. He has been solid in his career against the Yankees, and has been in this spot before, so you can't expect him to come outside of his shell too much. The Twins play the traditional NL game, with a lot of small ball, running and defense. There bullpen is stout with solid mix of righties and lefties. This will allow Gardenhire to mix and match in the late innings.

      I don't know if the Twins win the series, but I do expect this one to go the distance. I think the Twins have assembled a squad that matches up slightly better then the Yankees in past years. I think the Twins hold a decisive managerial edge, as Gardenhire knows exactly how to get the most out of his guys. I can't help but think that home field advantage will benefit the Twins, and I expect a solid 9 inning performance behind the Minneapolis faithful tonight. Over the past 2 months it seemed like it didn't matter how much the Twins trailed, they would always seem to scrape and claw and make it a game. I can't accurately describe the moxy this team has, but they have it I expect the same tonight, and put the Yanks in an early hole.

      MY PICK: Minnesota Twins (+135)
      RISKING $74 to WIN $100
      Comment
      • goucla
        SBR MVP
        • 09-11-10
        • 1288

        #4
        yankees win big today, then go home with their tales between their legs as minnesota takes the series 3-1 or maybe 3-2, in my opinion of course
        Comment
        • Regul8er
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 11-06-07
          • 10666

          #5
          Well Guys.....my analysis' were about as far off as possible yesterday, which resulted in an embarassing 0-2 day for me. I'm upset, I'm disappointed in myself, but today's a new day.....and I'm determined to get back what I lost.

          3rd Play
          ALDS: Game 2 - Texas Rangers (+111) @ Tampa Bay Rays (-121)

          Cliff Lee got out of a bases loaded jam in the 1st inning yesterday, and that seemed to spark the Rangers and lead to a 5-1 cakewalk. The Rays seemed to hit the ball hard on many occasions, but fell victim to a number of lineouts in critical spots. The Rangers got a few timely hits, which included Nelly Cruz and Bengie Molina depositing 3-0 cookies into the bleachers.

          The Rays come back today with James Shields, who lost 15 games this season and had a difficult time finding any type of rhythm. His problem ALL year has been the long ball. The Rangers counterattack with CJ Wilson, who had a breakout season. CJ's only downfall has been his September results, which included 3 starts of giving up 4 or more runs and only advancing to the 7th inning once.

          I expect to see VERY similar lineups as we did yesterday, except possibly Moreland playing over Cantu. The Rays should throw the same lineup out as yesterday, batting as few lefties as possible, because of Wilson's dominance against lefties.

          I will take the angle I should have taken yesterday.....EXPERIENCE. Cliff Lee has big time playoff experience, and it really paid off for Ranger backers. On the other hand, James "Big Game" Shields was instrumental in the Rays run to the World Series in 2008. He was 2-2 with a 2.88ERA in 4 starts against the White Sox, Red Sox and Phillies in that improbable playoff run. This is a new season for Shields, and he has an opportunity at a fresh start, which I'm sure he's been looking forward to for months now. A lot of cappers are asking why Shields for Game 2.....but I'm not going to question Joe Madden, as he has proven himself to be a great baseball mind. On the other hand, CJ Wilson has never pitched in a playoff game before. This is a different animal, as we saw yesterday with Edison Volquez. The Rays need this game in the worst way, and will find a way to get more base runners today, and play THEIR game. Don't expect the AL East Champs to get shutdown two games in a row here.

          MY PICK: Tampa Bay Rays (-121)
          RISKING $121 to WIN $100
          Comment
          • Regul8er
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 11-06-07
            • 10666

            #6
            FU(K ME......Im done guys. Short lasting for my favorite time of the year, but apparently my capping has gone to sh!t. I never in 1,000,000 million years could have imagined Tampa coming out this flat...Ive watched them pound the Yanks, etc ALL year.

            And then icing on the cake is Michael Young CLEARLY striking out..........1st base ump gives him a new life, and then bang 3 run HR.

            Now that I'm in a miserable mood, I won't even watch my favorite time of the year, or else I'll go off the deep end and turn into Brock Landers. I do have self control, but I'm disgusted right now. See what gambling can do to you kids? You won't even care to watch a sporting event unless you have a wager down.

            I will be back for NBA, but until then, it's not even worth it. Goodluck kids, don't even bother capping......no value added, just a waste of time.
            Comment
            • Pauulzcappin
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 04-23-10
              • 20295

              #7
              who could have called back to back wins for the rangers?
              Comment
              • jeeves
                Restricted User
                • 09-27-10
                • 146

                #8
                Tough luck, sir
                Comment
                • Regul8er
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 11-06-07
                  • 10666

                  #9
                  Originally posted by Pauulzcappin
                  who could have called back to back wins for the rangers?
                  I know paul...thats what I'm saying.
                  Oh well, what can ya do right.

                  Game 1 I take against the pitcher in bad form, but strong playoff experience, and it burns me.
                  Game 2 I take the pitcher in bad form, but strong playoff experience, and it burn me too.

                  Way too unpredictable.
                  Comment
                  • Cuse0323
                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                    • 12-09-09
                    • 30169

                    #10
                    You make this same post and say you're done once a month, you'll be back in a week.
                    Comment
                    • Rixsaw
                      SBR MVP
                      • 10-23-08
                      • 4532

                      #11
                      I think the Rays was doing better without Upton in the lineup. His teammates hated him. With him in the lineup ruin the chemistry. With that said, Rays' pitching aren't up to par in this series.
                      Comment
                      • Pauulzcappin
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 04-23-10
                        • 20295

                        #12
                        I called the two wins bro, sorry... i was just kidding with you. if you want to unload and get some money back, take yanks on game 3.
                        Comment
                        • Regul8er
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 11-06-07
                          • 10666

                          #13
                          Cuse0323....I mentioned that I will be back for NBA, 3 weeks away.

                          I just can't cap baseball anymore....completely lost a skill I once had.
                          Besides, losing money isn't fun...especially when the games aren't even close and I can't even enjoy them.
                          Comment
                          • Regul8er
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 11-06-07
                            • 10666

                            #14
                            Paul....no thank you sir. I am done with MLB playoffs......way too unpredictable at this point.

                            You may have picked the Rangers both games, but realistically, did you think you'd win them both? 1-1 would have given you a profit, and I'm sure that's what you were hoping for. It's all good guys, I can deal with it.
                            Comment
                            • Rixsaw
                              SBR MVP
                              • 10-23-08
                              • 4532

                              #15
                              NBA is right around the corner. You are better off saving your money for what you know best.
                              Comment
                              • Pauulzcappin
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 04-23-10
                                • 20295

                                #16
                                Originally posted by Regul8er
                                Paul....no thank you sir. I am done with MLB playoffs......way too unpredictable at this point. You may have picked the Rangers both games, but realistically, did you think you'd win them both? 1-1 would have given you a profit, and I'm sure that's what you were hoping for. It's all good guys, I can deal with it.
                                i knew cliffy would. give me a strike thrower against a lineup that strikes out/walks a lot anytime and i'll take it.

                                i was worried about shields actually showing up, glad he didn't
                                Comment
                                • Pauulzcappin
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 04-23-10
                                  • 20295

                                  #17
                                  Looking forward to NBA also, gonna be a great season.
                                  Comment
                                  • Regul8er
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 11-06-07
                                    • 10666

                                    #18
                                    Well, Shields wasn't really given much of an opportunity to show up.....pulled way too quick.

                                    Question....have you seen as many lineouts before, as the Rays have hit these last 2 games. I think I can remember about 12-14 of them now. It feels like I'm having the worst case of de ja vu you could ever imagine!

                                    Guys this hurts me....it really does. Gambling has completely ruined my love for sports. I used to love watching ALL big stage sporting events, but I could care less now unless I've money on the game.

                                    I wish I could eliminate this disgusting habit, but I can't.....there really isnt much point in trying. I can limit myself and take breaks as needed, but I don't think I'll ever beable to just quit, and enjoy sports again one day.
                                    Comment
                                    • shantystar
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 11-13-05
                                      • 7299

                                      #19
                                      gllllllllllllll
                                      Comment
                                      • capone8585
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 09-27-10
                                        • 972

                                        #20
                                        you should have rode me
                                        Straight Wager10/07/10 00:51 ETbet 25.53 to win 28.08 Result: PendingRangers(Texas) Wilson
                                        Rays(TampaBay) Shields 10/07/10(14:40 ET)
                                        Rangers(Texas) +110
                                        Comment
                                        • capone8585
                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                          • 09-27-10
                                          • 972

                                          #21
                                          who picks shields to win a game hahahahha
                                          Comment
                                          Search
                                          Collapse
                                          SBR Contests
                                          Collapse
                                          Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
                                          Collapse
                                          Working...