Twins/Royals

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  • No coincidences
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 01-18-10
    • 76300

    #1
    Twins/Royals
    Watch the line movement late.

    Twins have been going back and forth between being a dog and fave quite a bit in the last 20 minutes or so.

    Just keep an eye on it. I think MIN is the play and the line will reflect so late, but I've been wrong before.
  • ahhlenn
    Restricted User
    • 04-13-10
    • 444

    #2
    really? i kinda like KC again here...
    Comment
    • jbhomerun
      SBR Hustler
      • 07-19-10
      • 82

      #3
      No co I think youre right. I cant see the royals sweeping the twins. A lot of royals hitters have poor career numbers against baker.
      Comment
      • HoulihansTX
        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
        • 02-12-09
        • 30566

        #4
        Twin for me.

        Line movement is weapon that is to be used a compliment to your handicapping arsenal.

        Can not be relied upon 100%

        Just think about it... If every line movement was correct, and identified a winner then Pinnacle wouldn't be in business for long. I use line moment to identify value.

        So if piney is dealing 7.5 -130under, and another book is dealing 7.5 -115under. I grab the -115' and consider my play as one being full of value.
        Comment
        • No coincidences
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 01-18-10
          • 76300

          #5
          I'm not playing the "Twins are due" factor.

          I like the matchup for MIN, even without Mauer.
          Comment
          • No coincidences
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 01-18-10
            • 76300

            #6
            Originally posted by HoulihansTX
            Twin for me.

            Line movement is weapon that is to be used a compliment to your handicapping arsenal.

            Can not be relied upon 100%

            Just think about it... If every line movement was correct, and identified a winner then Pinnacle wouldn't be in business for long. I use line moment to identify value.

            So if piney is dealing 7.5 -130under, and another book is dealing 7.5 -115under. I grab the -115' and consider my play as one being full of value.
            True, Houli.

            I wouldn't ignore line movement -- especially if it unveils RLM -- but I wouldn't just dismiss it either. It can be used to your advantage as long as you aren't following it blindly.
            Comment
            • Cappinpicks
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 03-11-10
              • 14986

              #7
              Going to take a stap at the royals after reading this.
              Comment
              • No coincidences
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 01-18-10
                • 76300

                #8
                Baker's 8-4 in his career vs. KC, and has given up just 5 ER in his last 20.2 IP.

                I just don't think taking Hochevar at virtually even money is a good bet. The value is with MIN IMHO.
                Comment
                • No coincidences
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 01-18-10
                  • 76300

                  #9
                  Originally posted by Cappinpicks
                  Going to take a stap at the royals after reading this.
                  I'm not the one to fade, moron.

                  You are.
                  Comment
                  • HOT WINGS
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 01-29-10
                    • 8055

                    #10
                    What about the under? I like Twins as well though. GL
                    Comment
                    • Mikail
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 07-19-09
                      • 21689

                      #11
                      Originally posted by No coincidences
                      I'm not the one to fade, moron.

                      You are.
                      Comment
                      • 815Sox
                        SBR MVP
                        • 09-13-10
                        • 1078

                        #12
                        Hochevar isn't that good of a pitcher, I played the Twins (even though I hate them)
                        Comment
                        • No coincidences
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 01-18-10
                          • 76300

                          #13
                          Under was the play at 9.

                          I missed it, and don't like going with the 8.5 because it takes away the ability to push.
                          Comment
                          • Rixsaw
                            SBR MVP
                            • 10-23-08
                            • 4532

                            #14
                            Originally posted by 815Sox
                            Hochevar isn't that good of a pitcher, I played the Twins (even though I hate them)
                            you will be better off passing on this game.
                            Comment
                            • emat
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 08-03-07
                              • 650

                              #15
                              Royals win again. Blackburn had good numbers vs. the Royals as well and that did not help. These are all new players for the Royals so saying the Royals have weak numbers vs. Baker is irrelevant. Mauer being out is not just a hitting issue. Him not being behind the plate is a big factor with pitching. Its like Peyton Manning not having Harrison a few years ago. Royals 5 Twins 2
                              Comment
                              • 815Sox
                                SBR MVP
                                • 09-13-10
                                • 1078

                                #16
                                Originally posted by Rixsaw

                                you will be better off passing on this game.
                                Its a small one and I got them at -105... we will see.

                                Just wondering What don't you like about this game? (I am always trying to learn more)
                                Comment
                                • bhssoccer89
                                  SBR Sharp
                                  • 06-17-10
                                  • 291

                                  #17
                                  twins can take this one down
                                  Comment
                                  • Duff85
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 06-15-10
                                    • 2920

                                    #18
                                    I got Royals at -101. Lets go KC!
                                    Comment
                                    • emat
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 08-03-07
                                      • 650

                                      #19
                                      Baker looks awful. Twins just look like they want to go home. There is no easy money in gambling, but this one was as easy as it gets.
                                      Comment
                                      • drfunkmaster
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 11-29-08
                                        • 11162

                                        #20
                                        TWINS SUCK!!! how the hell they made it this far.. they gonna lose again to KC tonight??? what a joke of a team they are.
                                        Comment
                                        • No coincidences
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 01-18-10
                                          • 76300

                                          #21
                                          So glad I went with MIN instead of BAL.

                                          Comment
                                          • ahhlenn
                                            Restricted User
                                            • 04-13-10
                                            • 444

                                            #22
                                            hey, it's still early in the game! (btw, i went with you on MIN instead of KC )

                                            so, LET'S GET YOUR SH!T TOGETHER AND SCORE SOME RUNS, TWINKIES!!!
                                            Comment
                                            • Rixsaw
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 10-23-08
                                              • 4532

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by 815Sox
                                              Its a small one and I got them at -105... we will see. Just wondering What don't you like about this game? (I am always trying to learn more)
                                              Well, Twins don't care about winning this game. They are just kicking back waiting for the playoff. Bet tracker show 77% on the Twins. Twin ML is #1 on the money trend. If Twins wins, the Books stand to loose. The book rarely lose.
                                              Comment
                                              • Rixsaw
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 10-23-08
                                                • 4532

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by No coincidences
                                                So glad I went with MIN instead of BAL.
                                                I take it that you haven't notice that lately both the Yanks and Rays lose on the same night. Since you like Jays to win, why not the O's too? I did play the Jays, but I pass on the O's game.
                                                Comment
                                                • emat
                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                  • 08-03-07
                                                  • 650

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by ahhlenn
                                                  hey, it's still early in the game! (btw, i went with you on MIN instead of KC )

                                                  so, LET'S GET YOUR SH!T TOGETHER AND SCORE SOME RUNS, TWINKIES!!!
                                                  Are you watching this game? Its a joke. The twins obviously did not show up to this series. The royals are kicking their butts with a bunch of minor leaguers. Foul outs, poor hitting with RISP, errors, etc. Easy money.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • drfunkmaster
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 11-29-08
                                                    • 11162

                                                    #26
                                                    baltimore is better than the twins.. at least they come out firing.. and they want to win.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • 815Sox
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 09-13-10
                                                      • 1078

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by Rixsaw

                                                      Well, Twins don't care about winning this game. They are just kicking back waiting for the playoff. Bet tracker show 77% on the Twins. Twin ML is #1 on the money trend. If Twins wins, the Books stand to loose. The book rarely lose.
                                                      Alright that is what I figured.... I don't think the Twins want to get swept, but like I was saying yesterday... they tend to do this stuff at the end of the season.

                                                      Twins just need to get into KCs pen, Hochevar is pitching better then expected, which he can do (I think he is around 500 this season)
                                                      Comment
                                                      • 815Sox
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 09-13-10
                                                        • 1078

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by drfunkmaster
                                                        baltimore is better than the twins.. at least they come out firing.. and they want to win.
                                                        Everyone in the AL is looking really flat this year, combine that with home field advantage and I see a National League world champion...
                                                        Comment
                                                        • j_dunn2
                                                          SBR Hustler
                                                          • 03-24-10
                                                          • 56

                                                          #29
                                                          but how many times are the twins gonna leave runners stranded in scoring position? 4 in 2 innings so far, once by the 4 hole. not good.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • brxbmbers42
                                                            Restricted User
                                                            • 07-26-10
                                                            • 4312

                                                            #30
                                                            1100.00 in baseball bets today. three sides. 1 run. three fukkin teams. my three fukkin sides one run total. mother fukker
                                                            Comment
                                                            • emat
                                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                                              • 08-03-07
                                                              • 650

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by j_dunn2
                                                              but how many times are the twins gonna leave runners stranded in scoring position? 4 in 2 innings so far, once by the 4 hole. not good.
                                                              Exactly. They mailed this one in 2 days ago.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • 815Sox
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 09-13-10
                                                                • 1078

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by brxbmbers42
                                                                1100.00 in baseball bets today. three sides. 1 run. three fukkin teams. my three fukkin sides one run total. mother fukker
                                                                Yikes... and I thought I was having a bad day... You will get them next time!
                                                                Comment
                                                                • ahhlenn
                                                                  Restricted User
                                                                  • 04-13-10
                                                                  • 444

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by emat

                                                                  Are you watching this game? Its a joke. The twins obviously did not show up to this series. The royals are kicking their butts with a bunch of minor leaguers. Foul outs, poor hitting with RISP, errors, etc. Easy money.
                                                                  i'm not watching it actually...
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • brxbmbers42
                                                                    Restricted User
                                                                    • 07-26-10
                                                                    • 4312

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by 815Sox
                                                                    Yikes... and I thought I was having a bad day... You will get them next time!
                                                                    bases are fukkin terrible. nothing to get down on with no football.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • 815Sox
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 09-13-10
                                                                      • 1078

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by brxbmbers42
                                                                      bases are fukkin terrible. nothing to get down on with no football.
                                                                      Today is my last day with bases (and its not looking good) until the playoffs. I do way better with football even though I am a big Hockey and Baseball fan mainly (I love sports in general though).
                                                                      Comment
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