Anybody want SD +100 or SL -124 for Friday ?

simp def · 09-10-10, 01:48 PM

I will take san diego..... but i only have 76 sbr points.

are you in?

Doug · 09-10-10, 02:09 PM

Originally posted by simp def

I will take san diego..... but i only have 76 sbr points.

are you in?

OK on the 76 points. Loser pays after the game, listed pitchers. Good Luck !

124 left

simp def · 09-10-10, 02:46 PM

sounds good... 4-3 padres score!!

Doug · 09-10-10, 02:58 PM

San Francisco –1.03 over SAN DIEGO Pinnacle

The Giants are now within one game. They have some strong momentum after last night’s blowout win and after the Padres seven-game lead has all but evaporated. The Padres have not responded well to this pressure and once again they’ll feature the second best pitcher on the bump for game two of this series. Clayton Richard’s surface stats over the last month are good but his xERA is not. In fact, Richard’s ERA of 1.67 over that stretch is 1.67 while his xERA is almost three full runs higher at 4.63. xERA does not lie. We see it over and over again that the gap always narrows when it’s so large and no gap is bigger than Richards’. That’s not to say Richard can’t have a good game because he certainly can, as he has a strong GB profile. Thing is, the league is still hitting .262 off him, he’s had an eye-opening 90% strand rate over the last month and the team he’s throwing for is laboring badly. Jonathan Sanchez has filthy stuff. When he’s throwing strikes he’s as tough as any pitcher in the game. His BAA on the year is 50 points lower than Richard at .212. Sanchez has allowed one run or less in three of his last four starts. He’s 0-3 vs the Padres this season in four starts but don’t be fooled by that. He received no run support in those three starts and the Padres hit a puny .176 against him and that’s when they were going good. In 26 IP vs the Padres this year, Sanchez has allowed 16 hits, struck out 26 and did not surrender a single jack. Experience, more talent, momentum and the better chucker gets the call. Play: San Francisco –1.03 (Risking 2.06 units to win 2).

ATLANTA +1.22 over St. Louis Pinnacle

The Cards took the opener of this series last night but so what. They’ve been reeling for close to a month now and it should come as no surprise. This was predictable, as noted in our blog dated April 4. Tony LaRussa and his genius move of hiring Mark McGwire hasn’t panned out. His ploy of having all his reliever’s sport a biker-looking goatee in an attempt to intimidate batters hasn’t panned out and is the lamest move ever. His genius plan of batting the pitcher eighth for a good portion of the season was scrapped after it cost the Cardinals a bunch of potential early game rallies. Anyway, the Braves are an incredible 33-11 v right-handers starters at home and while Chris Carpenter is the straight goods and needs no introduction, this one is all about playing against the Cardinals in what has been an extremely favorable spot for Atlanta all season long. The Card have just eight wins in 22 tries v southpaws on the road and they’ll face a good one here that they’ve never seen before. Mike Minor had a 1.89 ERA in Triple-AAA before his call-up. He was a strikeout pitcher in the minors and that skill has carried over very well to the majors. There has been a lot to like in Minor's first five MLB starts, and his xERA of 3.67 is a strong indication that there’s big potential. His ERA has been inflated by one bad start (6 ER in his last outing) but prior to that he had four quality starts, and his performance this fall may be enough to convince Atlanta to keep him in their rotation for 2011, where he has the potential to emerge as an impact pitcher.

Doug · 09-10-10, 03:52 PM

I'll sweeten SL to -120

simp def · 09-10-10, 04:08 PM

Originally posted by Doug

San Francisco –1.03 over SAN DIEGO Pinnacle

The Giants are now within one game. They have some strong momentum after last night’s blowout win and after the Padres seven-game lead has all but evaporated. The Padres have not responded well to this pressure and once again they’ll feature the second best pitcher on the bump for game two of this series. Clayton Richard’s surface stats over the last month are good but his xERA is not. In fact, Richard’s ERA of 1.67 over that stretch is 1.67 while his xERA is almost three full runs higher at 4.63. xERA does not lie. We see it over and over again that the gap always narrows when it’s so large and no gap is bigger than Richards’. That’s not to say Richard can’t have a good game because he certainly can, as he has a strong GB profile. Thing is, the league is still hitting .262 off him, he’s had an eye-opening 90% strand rate over the last month and the team he’s throwing for is laboring badly. Jonathan Sanchez has filthy stuff. When he’s throwing strikes he’s as tough as any pitcher in the game. His BAA on the year is 50 points lower than Richard at .212. Sanchez has allowed one run or less in three of his last four starts. He’s 0-3 vs the Padres this season in four starts but don’t be fooled by that. He received no run support in those three starts and the Padres hit a puny .176 against him and that’s when they were going good. In 26 IP vs the Padres this year, Sanchez has allowed 16 hits, struck out 26 and did not surrender a single jack. Experience, more talent, momentum and the better chucker gets the call. Play: San Francisco –1.03 (Risking 2.06 units to win 2).

ATLANTA +1.22 over St. Louis Pinnacle

The Cards took the opener of this series last night but so what. They’ve been reeling for close to a month now and it should come as no surprise. This was predictable, as noted in our blog dated April 4. Tony LaRussa and his genius move of hiring Mark McGwire hasn’t panned out. His ploy of having all his reliever’s sport a biker-looking goatee in an attempt to intimidate batters hasn’t panned out and is the lamest move ever. His genius plan of batting the pitcher eighth for a good portion of the season was scrapped after it cost the Cardinals a bunch of potential early game rallies. Anyway, the Braves are an incredible 33-11 v right-handers starters at home and while Chris Carpenter is the straight goods and needs no introduction, this one is all about playing against the Cardinals in what has been an extremely favorable spot for Atlanta all season long. The Card have just eight wins in 22 tries v southpaws on the road and they’ll face a good one here that they’ve never seen before. Mike Minor had a 1.89 ERA in Triple-AAA before his call-up. He was a strikeout pitcher in the minors and that skill has carried over very well to the majors. There has been a lot to like in Minor's first five MLB starts, and his xERA of 3.67 is a strong indication that there’s big potential. His ERA has been inflated by one bad start (6 ER in his last outing) but prior to that he had four quality starts, and his performance this fall may be enough to convince Atlanta to keep him in their rotation for 2011, where he has the potential to emerge as an impact pitcher.

sanches is a trap.... was on the national tv game against a putrid offense of dodgers. i think giants wins the series but this maybe the only game that padres will win. numbers is not everything when it comes to capping.

Doug · 09-10-10, 05:02 PM

You can't have a bet unless someone wants the other side !

Mybologne · 09-10-10, 06:44 PM

doug,

Sep 10 959 LOS H KURODA -R -111 o7EV -1½+160
8:05 PM 960 HOU J HAPP -L -109 u7-120 +1½-180

you still taking?

Doug · 09-10-10, 09:18 PM

Originally posted by Mybologne

doug,

Sep 10 959 LOS H KURODA -R -111 o7EV -1½+160
8:05 PM 960 HOU J HAPP -L -109 u7-120 +1½-180

you still taking?

No, I didn't even offer that game !

simp def · 09-11-10, 10:41 AM

nice day yesterday.... here is my payoff

Doug · 09-11-10, 10:51 AM

received, TY