First the recap, won yesterday with the Indians as they took care of business winning 4-1. For tonight, I'm going for the double dip and playing 2 games. Let's breakdown the first one, Diamondbacks vs. the Nationals. We have Joe Saunders going for the D'Backs and John Lannan for the Nationals. Let's talk about Saunders first. He is 7-11 on the year with a 4.42 ERA but most of those numbers were when he was with the Angels. Since being traded to the D'Backs he is 1-1 with a 3.27 ERA and a no decision. Since switching teams, he has pitched 22 innings with an ERA of 3.27 and his WHIP is 1.14. He has given up 22 hits, 9 runs, and struck out 11 since joining the D'Backs. Saunders actually just pitched against this same team on August 3rd and was outstanding. He pitched a complete game, giving up 5 hits, 1 run, and struck out 5. D'backs went on to win 6-1.
John Lannan is 3-5 on the year with a 5.44 ERA and a 1.79 WHIP. In his last 3 starts he is 1-1 with a 5.40 ERA and hitters having been teeing off on him. In his last 3 starts he has pitched 15 innings giving up 23 hits, 10 runs, and his opponents on base percentage is a whopping .391. Pitching at home doesn't make it any better for Mr. Lannan as he is 0-2 at home with a 5.80 ERA. This guy is like batting practice. In 35.2 innings pitched at home this year he has given up 55 hits, 24 runs, and 14 walks. His opponents on base percentage is an amazing .407, and his WHIP balloons to 1.93. What else I noticed is how easy it is for his opponents to steal on him. In home starts the opponent has tried to steal on him 14 times, guess how many have been thrown out? The answer is ZERO. Diamondbacks should be able to hit, run, steal, walk, and do everything in between against this guy in my opinion.
I do not have any umpire info for this game, but I do have some nice angles that support my play. Diamondbacks are 5-0 in their last 5 games following a loss. Diamondbacks are 6-1 in their last 7 games vs. a left-handed starter. Diamondbacks are 6-1 in their last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Nationals are 13-32 in their last 45 home games vs. a left-handed starter (28%). Nationals are 0-4 in their last 4 games following a loss. Nationals are 7-20 in Lannans last 27 starts during game 1 of a series. Nationals are 1-5 in Lannans last 6 starts with 6 days of rest. I know the D'Backs have not had great success when visiting our capital, but the Nationals are playing poorly and Lannan is just a hitter's dream. D'Backs should be able to put up some numbers on him and I have faith that Saunders will get it done tonight
Arizona Diamondbacks +100
Risking 200 to Win 200
Now to the next game. Looking at this Dodgers/Braves game. We have Hiroki Kuroda going for the Dodgers and Tim Hudson for the Braves. Kuroda is 8-10 on the year with a 3.64 ERA. In his last 3 starts he is 0-2 with a 4.76 ERA. His team is giving him 3 runs of support while his opponent is doubling that effort with 6 runs per his starts. It doesn't get any better for him when he starts on the road. He is 4-6 this year in road starts with a 3.81 ERA. In 56.2 innings pitched on the road, he has given up 58 hits and 31 runs. His opponents on base percentage is .317. He pitched against this same Braves team at home on June 3rd and took the loss. He went 6 innings, giving up 7 hits, 4 runs, and walked 4. His last start at Turner field was back in '08 and that one resulted in a 6-1 loss as well.
Tim Hudson is going for the Braves tonight and he has been in good form as of late. He is 13-5 on the year with a 2.24 ERA and a 1.10 WHIP. In his last 3 starts he is 3-0 with an awesome ERA of 0.83. He has pitched 21.2 innings, giving up 16 hits, only 2 runs, and striking out 16. His opponents on base percentage is a lousy .265 and his WHIP is a terrific 0.97. Hudson pitching at home is always a good thing. He 8-3 on the year with a 2.00 ERA and a WHIP of 1.01. In those 11 starts his team is giving him 5.27 runs of support while his opponent is only mustering out 1.64 runs when he takes the rubber at Turner Field. He is basically giving the Braves a quality start 90% of the time when at home and I expect that to happen tonight. He's in a great form, been mowing batters down and the Dodgers will struggle against him tonight. A couple of other things I found that support my play. Dodgers are 1-5 in their last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Dodgers are 0-4 in their last 4 Friday games. Dodgers are 2-5 in the last 7 meetings in Atlanta. Braves are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. National League West. Braves are 4-1 in their last 5 games following an off day. Braves are 20-6 in Hudsons last 26 starts vs. National League West. The Braves will complete my double dip for Friday night. I wish all my friends here the best of luck, let's start the weekend off right!
Atlanta Braves -1 (-113)
Risking 226 to Win 200
John Lannan is 3-5 on the year with a 5.44 ERA and a 1.79 WHIP. In his last 3 starts he is 1-1 with a 5.40 ERA and hitters having been teeing off on him. In his last 3 starts he has pitched 15 innings giving up 23 hits, 10 runs, and his opponents on base percentage is a whopping .391. Pitching at home doesn't make it any better for Mr. Lannan as he is 0-2 at home with a 5.80 ERA. This guy is like batting practice. In 35.2 innings pitched at home this year he has given up 55 hits, 24 runs, and 14 walks. His opponents on base percentage is an amazing .407, and his WHIP balloons to 1.93. What else I noticed is how easy it is for his opponents to steal on him. In home starts the opponent has tried to steal on him 14 times, guess how many have been thrown out? The answer is ZERO. Diamondbacks should be able to hit, run, steal, walk, and do everything in between against this guy in my opinion.
I do not have any umpire info for this game, but I do have some nice angles that support my play. Diamondbacks are 5-0 in their last 5 games following a loss. Diamondbacks are 6-1 in their last 7 games vs. a left-handed starter. Diamondbacks are 6-1 in their last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Nationals are 13-32 in their last 45 home games vs. a left-handed starter (28%). Nationals are 0-4 in their last 4 games following a loss. Nationals are 7-20 in Lannans last 27 starts during game 1 of a series. Nationals are 1-5 in Lannans last 6 starts with 6 days of rest. I know the D'Backs have not had great success when visiting our capital, but the Nationals are playing poorly and Lannan is just a hitter's dream. D'Backs should be able to put up some numbers on him and I have faith that Saunders will get it done tonight
Arizona Diamondbacks +100
Risking 200 to Win 200
Now to the next game. Looking at this Dodgers/Braves game. We have Hiroki Kuroda going for the Dodgers and Tim Hudson for the Braves. Kuroda is 8-10 on the year with a 3.64 ERA. In his last 3 starts he is 0-2 with a 4.76 ERA. His team is giving him 3 runs of support while his opponent is doubling that effort with 6 runs per his starts. It doesn't get any better for him when he starts on the road. He is 4-6 this year in road starts with a 3.81 ERA. In 56.2 innings pitched on the road, he has given up 58 hits and 31 runs. His opponents on base percentage is .317. He pitched against this same Braves team at home on June 3rd and took the loss. He went 6 innings, giving up 7 hits, 4 runs, and walked 4. His last start at Turner field was back in '08 and that one resulted in a 6-1 loss as well.
Tim Hudson is going for the Braves tonight and he has been in good form as of late. He is 13-5 on the year with a 2.24 ERA and a 1.10 WHIP. In his last 3 starts he is 3-0 with an awesome ERA of 0.83. He has pitched 21.2 innings, giving up 16 hits, only 2 runs, and striking out 16. His opponents on base percentage is a lousy .265 and his WHIP is a terrific 0.97. Hudson pitching at home is always a good thing. He 8-3 on the year with a 2.00 ERA and a WHIP of 1.01. In those 11 starts his team is giving him 5.27 runs of support while his opponent is only mustering out 1.64 runs when he takes the rubber at Turner Field. He is basically giving the Braves a quality start 90% of the time when at home and I expect that to happen tonight. He's in a great form, been mowing batters down and the Dodgers will struggle against him tonight. A couple of other things I found that support my play. Dodgers are 1-5 in their last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Dodgers are 0-4 in their last 4 Friday games. Dodgers are 2-5 in the last 7 meetings in Atlanta. Braves are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. National League West. Braves are 4-1 in their last 5 games following an off day. Braves are 20-6 in Hudsons last 26 starts vs. National League West. The Braves will complete my double dip for Friday night. I wish all my friends here the best of luck, let's start the weekend off right!
Atlanta Braves -1 (-113)
Risking 226 to Win 200
