SD padres
Pittsburgh Pirates vs San Diego Padres
By kraghen at 2010-08-10
By kraghen at 2010-08-10
By kraghen at 2010-08-10
The San Diego Padres are 33-22 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Pittsburgh Pirates who are 13-42 on the road this season. The Padres have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Padres' starter Wade LeBlanc is forecasted to have a better game than Pirates' starter Jeff Karstens. Wade LeBlanc has a 58% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Jeff Karstens has a 46% chance of a QS. If Wade LeBlanc has a quality start the Padres has a 73% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3 and he has a 29% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Padres win 67%. In Jeff Karstens quality starts the Pirates win 54%. He has a 20% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 54% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the San Diego Padres is Miguel Tejada who averaged 2.17 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 37% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Padres have a 75% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Pittsburgh Pirates is Garrett Jones who averaged 1.92 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 31% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Pirates have a 50% chance of winning.
By kraghen at 2010-08-10
By kraghen at 2010-08-10
By kraghen at 2010-08-10
The San Diego Padres are 33-22 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Pittsburgh Pirates who are 13-42 on the road this season. The Padres have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Padres' starter Wade LeBlanc is forecasted to have a better game than Pirates' starter Jeff Karstens. Wade LeBlanc has a 58% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Jeff Karstens has a 46% chance of a QS. If Wade LeBlanc has a quality start the Padres has a 73% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3 and he has a 29% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Padres win 67%. In Jeff Karstens quality starts the Pirates win 54%. He has a 20% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 54% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the San Diego Padres is Miguel Tejada who averaged 2.17 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 37% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Padres have a 75% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Pittsburgh Pirates is Garrett Jones who averaged 1.92 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 31% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Pirates have a 50% chance of winning.
