Team’s records in games decided by 1 run are public knowledge available for years at a number of sites. For the record, about 30% of games are decided by 1 run. Through June 27, 2010 781 of 1,119 games 69.8% were decided by 2+ runs.
The run-line in MLB is a proposition featuring 1 ½ runs, plus a money line. It seems much more important to know a team’s record in games decided by 2 or more runs, if you believe they will win or lose the game.
This VERY UNIQUE and VERY INFORMATIVE chart for the first half of MLB 2010 TELLS YOU EXACTLY WHAT THE RESULTS HAVE BEEN WHEN A TEAM WINS, OR LOSES A GAME BY 2+ RUNS, HOME AND AWAY. In other words, IF YOU HANDICAP YOUR TEAM TO WIN THE GAME IT TELLS YOU WHETHER YOUR PLAY IS A GOOD BET, HISTORICALLY, ON THE RUN LINE! This means A LOT OF EXTRA MONEY IN YOUR POCKET!
Frequently, the away team always bats 9 times, but the home team bats only 8 times if leading in the middle of the 9th inning. For that reason the linemaker makes the road team an even bet on the road, laying 1 ½ runs if the money line is -150. Conversely, at home if the money line is around -200, then the -1 ½ runs is an even bet.
Let’s take an example: The NYY are 25-10 at home. Of those 25 home wins, 24 are by more than 2 runs. I calculate that to 96% winners! In fact, the NYY play fewer close games than any other team; 40/47 wins are by 2+ runs, well above the 70% average.
Study the chart closely. It can make you money. Lots of it! But remember PAST PERFORMANCE IS NO GUARANTEE OF FUTURE RESULTS.
If you like the kind of work I’ve done with the chart, but don’t have extra hours of your day to handicap, consider putting my 30+ years of experience to work for you.
The run-line in MLB is a proposition featuring 1 ½ runs, plus a money line. It seems much more important to know a team’s record in games decided by 2 or more runs, if you believe they will win or lose the game.
This VERY UNIQUE and VERY INFORMATIVE chart for the first half of MLB 2010 TELLS YOU EXACTLY WHAT THE RESULTS HAVE BEEN WHEN A TEAM WINS, OR LOSES A GAME BY 2+ RUNS, HOME AND AWAY. In other words, IF YOU HANDICAP YOUR TEAM TO WIN THE GAME IT TELLS YOU WHETHER YOUR PLAY IS A GOOD BET, HISTORICALLY, ON THE RUN LINE! This means A LOT OF EXTRA MONEY IN YOUR POCKET!
Frequently, the away team always bats 9 times, but the home team bats only 8 times if leading in the middle of the 9th inning. For that reason the linemaker makes the road team an even bet on the road, laying 1 ½ runs if the money line is -150. Conversely, at home if the money line is around -200, then the -1 ½ runs is an even bet.
Let’s take an example: The NYY are 25-10 at home. Of those 25 home wins, 24 are by more than 2 runs. I calculate that to 96% winners! In fact, the NYY play fewer close games than any other team; 40/47 wins are by 2+ runs, well above the 70% average.
Study the chart closely. It can make you money. Lots of it! But remember PAST PERFORMANCE IS NO GUARANTEE OF FUTURE RESULTS.
If you like the kind of work I’ve done with the chart, but don’t have extra hours of your day to handicap, consider putting my 30+ years of experience to work for you.