First the recap, won earlier with the Cubs easily as they clobbered the Brewers 15-3. Tonight, I have my eyes on the Mets/Braves game. We have Michael Pelfrey going for the Mets and the Braves counter with Kris Medlen. Let's talk about Pelfrey first. He is 10-5 on the year with a 4.10 ERA. BUT, He is 0-1 with a 9.00 ERA in his last 3 starts though. He is having some big problems lately, and has not recorded a winning start since June 30th against the Marlins. He has dropped 5 straight starts as a matter of fact. He just pitched against this same Braves team on July 10th where he couldn't get past the 4th inning. He gave up 12 hits, 4 runs, and walked 3. His team failed to even give him 1 run as they were shutout 4-0. The Braves counter with Kris Medlen who is 6-2 on the year with a 3.66 ERA. He is 1-0 in his last 3 starts with a 6.11 ERA. 5 of his 6 wins this year have come in night starts. He faced this same Mets team back in May and he dominated. He went 6.1 innings, giving up only 4 hits, and surrendered 2 runs. He struck out 6 and only walked 2 in that game and I expect the same type of performance tonight.
The umpire in today's game is Jame Hoye. Home teams are 12-10 in his 22 starts behind home plate. He calls a strike only 61% of the time and his games average 7.5 walks. Not good news for a pitcher like Pelfrey. Pelfrey is no stranger to Mr. Hoye either. He has called 4 of his career starts and Pelfrey has only won 1 start when he is behind the plate. Jame also called Medlen's start against the Phillies back in May and the Braves got the 4-1 win. Home team is 6-1 in Hoyes last 7 games behind home plate. Braves are 5-1 in their last 6 games with Hoye behind home plate. Home team is 8-3 in Hoyes last 11 games behind home plate vs. New York. To make matters worse the Mets are 2-5 in their last 7 games with Hoye behind home plate.
As I looked into the match up, I find it hard to believe the Mets will come out victorious in this one. Mets are 18-37 in their last 55 road games vs. a team with a winning record (32%). Mets are 5-17 in their last 22 Wednesday games. Mets are 2-8 in their last 10 road games vs. a right-handed starter. As I looked onto the Braves side I found out that they are 12-3 in their last 15 home games vs. a team with a winning record. Braves are 19-7 in their last 26 home games vs. a right-handed starter, and Braves are 21-8 in their last 29 games following a loss (72%). To anybody wanting to back the Mets tonight, I must tell you that they are also a dismissal 24-51 in the last 75 meetings in Atlanta (32%). I don't know about you guys, but there is no way I cannot back the Braves in this one. I will not lay the -160 as I do not play high juiced teams, but I will happily take them -1 at less juice. Fade or play I wish you all luck. Let's finish tonight off on a high note.
Atlanta Braves -1 (-120)
Risking 240 to Win 200
I also have a 4 team parlay that is still alive. Root those Angels on for me fellas!!
CINCINNATI: J CUETO (-160)
NEW YORK A: P HUGHES (-180)
CHICAGO N: R DEMPSTER (-150)
LOS ANGELES A: E SANTANA (-140)
Risking 40.00 to Win 248.89
The umpire in today's game is Jame Hoye. Home teams are 12-10 in his 22 starts behind home plate. He calls a strike only 61% of the time and his games average 7.5 walks. Not good news for a pitcher like Pelfrey. Pelfrey is no stranger to Mr. Hoye either. He has called 4 of his career starts and Pelfrey has only won 1 start when he is behind the plate. Jame also called Medlen's start against the Phillies back in May and the Braves got the 4-1 win. Home team is 6-1 in Hoyes last 7 games behind home plate. Braves are 5-1 in their last 6 games with Hoye behind home plate. Home team is 8-3 in Hoyes last 11 games behind home plate vs. New York. To make matters worse the Mets are 2-5 in their last 7 games with Hoye behind home plate.
As I looked into the match up, I find it hard to believe the Mets will come out victorious in this one. Mets are 18-37 in their last 55 road games vs. a team with a winning record (32%). Mets are 5-17 in their last 22 Wednesday games. Mets are 2-8 in their last 10 road games vs. a right-handed starter. As I looked onto the Braves side I found out that they are 12-3 in their last 15 home games vs. a team with a winning record. Braves are 19-7 in their last 26 home games vs. a right-handed starter, and Braves are 21-8 in their last 29 games following a loss (72%). To anybody wanting to back the Mets tonight, I must tell you that they are also a dismissal 24-51 in the last 75 meetings in Atlanta (32%). I don't know about you guys, but there is no way I cannot back the Braves in this one. I will not lay the -160 as I do not play high juiced teams, but I will happily take them -1 at less juice. Fade or play I wish you all luck. Let's finish tonight off on a high note.
Atlanta Braves -1 (-120)
Risking 240 to Win 200
I also have a 4 team parlay that is still alive. Root those Angels on for me fellas!!
CINCINNATI: J CUETO (-160)
NEW YORK A: P HUGHES (-180)
CHICAGO N: R DEMPSTER (-150)
LOS ANGELES A: E SANTANA (-140)
Risking 40.00 to Win 248.89
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