Hot as fuk at wrigley

[bostonboss]

any side thoughts?

[2daBank]

any side thoughts?

id like to play cubs but i got a firm rule that i dont bet them two games in a row.....

[Rixsaw]

id like to play cubs but i got a firm rule that i dont bet them two games in a row.....

Just the Cubs or any team?

[2daBank]

Just the Cubs or any team?

just the cubs

[Chi_archie]

smart rule


although I wouldn't rule out a small run/streak from them, if dlee and aram's bats stay hot....

those 2 are 70% of the reason for the cubs first half failure

[suicidekings]

the over getting pounded Arch and almost every one of these easy Wrigley overs has either opened higher or went up fast, this one is doing no such thing....feels like big time set up, ill probably be kicking myself later for not sticking with my original thoughts last night but fuk it im on under 10.......

This statement implies that the books won't make adjustments even when they repeatedly get burned on the "easy overs".

[2daBank]

smart rule


although I wouldn't rule out a small run/streak from them, if dlee and aram's bats stay hot....

those 2 are 70% of the reason for the cubs first half failure

yea i certainly agree arch, they just gotta show me 1st, ive done pretty well so far fading them the day after a cash with them...im off of that now but not ready to take them at minus money 2 days in a row just yet....i actually think at some point they should be a good bet as no way they just keep burning money the rest of the year, i wouldnt think anyway.....honestly think they win today but will just be happy with what i won yesterday......

[bostonboss]

i took the cubs -128.....i think they might do ok...and the phillies with blanton are not very appealing

[2daBank]

This statement implies that the books won't make adjustments even when they repeatedly get burned on the "easy overs".

so the adjustment was to open it low enough to have everyone on the over? maybe you right hell if i know, i just feel like this game doesnt have the same characteristics as some of the games that flew over...ive been wrong before so at least it wont be a culture shock to me.......

[Pauulzcappin]

I like the over even without the wind, don't know if I already posted this.

[mathdotcom]

Squares on over

Pounded under 10

[bostonboss]

i think lilly has a big day

[landers781]

Just going off numbers from my mind but isnt lilly a day time pitcher? Not playing this, but someone should just look at his daytime stats quickly

[suicidekings]

so the adjustment was to open it low enough to have everyone on the over? maybe you right hell if i know, i just feel like this game doesnt have the same characteristics as some of the games that flew over...ive been wrong before so at least it wont be a culture shock to me.......

No. The Over in hot CHC day games is typically a stronger play on average, and has been money repeatedly this year. They release the line at 9 and everyone sees value in the over. They release it at 11 and people still like the Over because they think they've caught the books leaning. However today it comes out at 10 and it has people questioning it because it doesn't appear to have obvious value/bias in it, and all of a sudden people are jumping on the Under? It's a great line from the books because it's splitting action.

If it goes Under 10 I'll accept my loss, but I could never play the Under in a Blanton start.

[2daBank]

No. The Over in hot CHC day games is typically a stronger play on average, and has been money repeatedly this year. They release the line at 9 and everyone sees value in the over. They release it at 11 and people still like the Over because they think they've caught the books leaning. However today it comes out at 10 and it has people questioning it because it doesn't appear to have obvious value/bias in it, and all of a sudden people are jumping on the Under? It's a great line from the books because it's splitting action.

If it goes Under 10 I'll accept my loss, but I could never play the Under in a Blanton start.

i respect your opinion and i certainly understand not wanting any part of the under as when i went to sleep i thought for sure i was taking this over, but in all fairness this line did not split action, maybe the ppl on under are betting more (know way to know that) but clearly everywhere i look the over is being hit at a very high clip....gl sk

[Pauulzcappin]

Just going off numbers from my mind but isnt lilly a day time pitcher? Not playing this, but someone should just look at his daytime stats quickly

Not really

[Chi_archie]

players aren't seeing the ball too well

[bostonboss]

wind is only blowing out at 4mph...the games where the line was 13 etc it was 25mph

[Brock Landers]

Too many strikeouts.... two fly outs to the warning track

[paco]

Great call Under backers

[JohnnyC]

1-0 cubs win

[Chi_archie]

square chumps got baited by poor wind info again......

[Dad]

I did not play the total. But I am on the Philly Phillies.

[paco]

Both pitchers will probably have a no hitter into the 9th

[wal66]

Tell Coug"s to answer my text.

[suicidekings]

Just going off numbers from my mind but isnt lilly a day time pitcher? Not playing this, but someone should just look at his daytime stats quickly

Looking at Ted Lilly's numbers, he's got a unique/interesting stat:

After the first pitch of an at-bat, Lilly's BAA on the second pitch is .350. Batters have 21 hits and 5 home runs off of him in this situation. So I assume that he likes the fastball in that second pitch.

[starfire]

0-0 2 outs bottom 3rd

[mathdotcom]

Squares on over

Pounded under 10

Idiots think they are the only ones who've thought about Wrigley wind direction.. unreal.

Books juice up the over and watch the sheep walk into the slaughter

[2daBank]

so far so good....to early to be real excited though...

[Chi_archie]

19 up 19 down

[suicidekings]

Blanton's magic number is in the ~75 pitch range. After that, batters are hitting over .400 against him. Although we're going to need some offense before that point for the Over...

[Chi_archie]

funny thing, is that the ump is squeezing the pitchers like crazy, and the hitters still can't hit a good pitch

[2daBank]

funny thing, is that the ump is squeezing the pitchers like crazy, and the hitters still can't hit a good pitch

after hitting against Moyer yesterday 92 probably looks really fast.......

[obamaismyuncle]

Two rag arms going...balls will be flying, you know what to do!

[landers781]

Not really

Yea you are right about that, although he has pretty good numbers at Wrigley 3.65 with a 1.10 whip in 350= innings