MLB Friday
Florida @ Baltimore
Nate Robertson is 5-5 with a 4.44 ERA.
Millwood is 1-8 with a 5.12 ERA and 1.490 WHIP in 15 starts this year. Millwood is 1-3 with an 8.74 ERA over his last 4 starts, allowing 6 or more earned runs in three of them. Millwood is also just 6-9 with a 5.47 ERA in 23 career starts vs. Florida. Baltimore is 6-19 vs. lefty starters this season, hitting .238 and scoring 3.0 RPG.
Florida is 5-1 in their last 6 road games and 5-1 in their last 6 meetings in Baltimore.Florida is 11-1 in their last 12 meetings with the Orioles....
also:
It’s not like Baltimore has a tremendous offense to offset their pitching woes, ranked 12th in on-base percentage in the American League at .310, averaging a league low 3.3 RPG. Oddsmakers have this contest set for 9.5 total and in this spot look to go below the number as AL teams with on-base percentage .310 or worse on the season, having allowed seven runs or more three straight games are 38-12 UNDER.
over Baltimore
over Toronto
Toronto (38-34) leads all of baseball with 108 home runs; however they are dead last in the AL in batting average (.239) and on-base percentage (.307).
As good as the Jays starting pitching has been, St. Louis (40-31) is the type of team that can match or surpass Toronto’s pitchers and keep their bats under control like they have the first two games of the series. With the Blue Jays a +116 home underdog against Adam Wainwright (10-4, 2.23) and Redbirds, consider playing against underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher, with below average AL hitting team (BA .265 or less), against a good NL starting pitcher with an ERA of 3.70 or lower, who are batting .250 or worse over their last 20 games. The favorite this situation is 97-28 since 1997.
Nate Robertson is 5-5 with a 4.44 ERA. Millwood is 1-8 with a 5.12 ERA and 1.490 WHIP in 15 starts this year. Millwood is 1-3 with an 8.74 ERA over his last 4 starts, allowing 6 or more earned runs in three of them. Millwood is also just 6-9 with a 5.47 ERA in 23 career starts vs. Florida. Baltimore is 6-19 vs. lefty starters this season, hitting .238 and scoring 3.0 RPG.Florida is 5-1 in their last 6 road games and 5-1 in their last 6 meetings in Baltimore.Florida is 11-1 in their last 12 meetings with the Orioles....
also:
It’s not like Baltimore has a tremendous offense to offset their pitching woes, ranked 12th in on-base percentage in the American League at .310, averaging a league low 3.3 RPG. Oddsmakers have this contest set for 9.5 total and in this spot look to go below the number as AL teams with on-base percentage .310 or worse on the season, having allowed seven runs or more three straight games are 38-12 UNDER.
over Baltimore over TorontoToronto (38-34) leads all of baseball with 108 home runs; however they are dead last in the AL in batting average (.239) and on-base percentage (.307).
As good as the Jays starting pitching has been, St. Louis (40-31) is the type of team that can match or surpass Toronto’s pitchers and keep their bats under control like they have the first two games of the series. With the Blue Jays a +116 home underdog against Adam Wainwright (10-4, 2.23) and Redbirds, consider playing against underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher, with below average AL hitting team (BA .265 or less), against a good NL starting pitcher with an ERA of 3.70 or lower, who are batting .250 or worse over their last 20 games. The favorite this situation is 97-28 since 1997.
