Why not Just bet Yankee ML every game?

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  • BookieOweMe
    SBR MVP
    • 05-01-10
    • 2106

    #1
    Why not Just bet Yankee ML every game?
    Risk 1 unit each game. Guaranteed profit at the end of the season.
  • warriorfan707
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 03-29-08
    • 13698

    #2


    Google the term "juice"

    Proceed to examine your first 10000 links
    Comment
    • MexicanStallion
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 09-08-08
      • 20429

      #3
      Not sure what it would look like if you risked 1 unit every play, but probably wouldn't be any kind of huge gain if it was profitable.
      Comment
      • Sunde91
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 11-26-09
        • 8325

        #4
        Sharp Strat
        Comment
        • BookieOweMe
          SBR MVP
          • 05-01-10
          • 2106

          #5
          Originally posted by warriorfan707


          Google the term "juice"

          Proceed to examine your first 10000 links
          You'll still win a lot more than u lose.
          Comment
          • Sunde91
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 11-26-09
            • 8325

            #6
            They're 42-26.

            Let's say they have an average juice of -160 (sounds about right??) a game.

            You're betting 1 unit every game.

            42/1.60 = 26.25

            26.25 - 26 = .25 unit profit.

            The exact juice average could mean + or - a unit or two, but I think -160 is a solid guesstimate.
            Comment
            • MexicanStallion
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 09-08-08
              • 20429

              #7
              Originally posted by BookieOweMe
              You'll still win a lot more than u lose.
              Then create a thread and keep track of juice and see how that works. It's not going to be a quick money making system or anything.
              Comment
              • MUHerd37
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 10-23-09
                • 12816

                #8
                You should chase them really. You gotta get your money back after each loss to make it worth while. Season high losing streak for Yankees is probably 3.
                Comment
                • Sunde91
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 11-26-09
                  • 8325

                  #9
                  It could be closer to -180 ish average...their last 5 were -350, -115, -210, - 220, -200...

                  In that case you're down almost 3 units.

                  If you want to do a dumb strat like this, play RL and you're up 12 units easy (they didn't cover RL but won SU 4-5 times this year)
                  Comment
                  • stealthyburrito
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 05-12-09
                    • 21562

                    #10
                    turrible idea, one poor run and you will be down big.
                    Comment
                    • HoulihansTX
                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                      • 02-12-09
                      • 30566

                      #11
                      This is why the Bookies overprice the Yanks, b/c someone out their wants to do something ludicris like this.
                      Comment
                      • shoebox
                        Restricted User
                        • 11-26-08
                        • 5710

                        #12
                        Originally posted by BookieOweMe
                        Risk 1 unit each game. Guaranteed profit at the end of the season.

                        This is genius im on it!
                        Comment
                        • IrishTim
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 07-23-09
                          • 983

                          #13
                          I think it would work BookieOweMe. Go for it.
                          Comment
                          • Sunde91
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 11-26-09
                            • 8325

                            #14
                            Yanks projected win total is about 100.

                            100-62 at -180 juice

                            100/1.8 = 55 - 62 = -7 units for the year for doing zero "capping"

                            Chase on RLs is the only solid strat with this team. This, clearly, is retarded.
                            Comment
                            • DeluxeLiner
                              SBR MVP
                              • 01-29-08
                              • 4132

                              #15
                              Didn't somebody do this last year except it was fade the yankees for value. It lost units I believe.
                              Comment
                              • nbt3428
                                SBR Sharp
                                • 01-13-10
                                • 366

                                #16
                                If only it was this easy
                                Comment
                                • Sunde91
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 11-26-09
                                  • 8325

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by DeluxeLiner
                                  Didn't somebody do this last year except it was fade the yankees for value. It lost units I believe.
                                  Would have lost a lot.

                                  Surely they weren't juiced as high as they are now, but let's give some super generous +160 average.

                                  103-59

                                  59*1.6 = 94

                                  94-103 = -9 units (could easily be more like -15 if it was closer to +150)
                                  Comment
                                  • BookieOweMe
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 05-01-10
                                    • 2106

                                    #18
                                    Bookie always has the advantage
                                    Comment
                                    • jtmurray89
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 04-26-10
                                      • 655

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by Sunde91
                                      They're 42-26.

                                      Let's say they have an average juice of -160 (sounds about right??) a game.

                                      You're betting 1 unit every game.

                                      42/1.60 = 26.25

                                      26.25 - 26 = .25 unit profit.

                                      The exact juice average could mean + or - a unit or two, but I think -160 is a solid guesstimate.
                                      if you go to Bodog.com, they have the money won/lost on each team if you bet $100 on every money line for the season.

                                      $30 of profit the entire season betting $100 on every new york yankees moneyline... don't waste your time
                                      Comment
                                      • yisman
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 09-01-08
                                        • 75682

                                        #20
                                        .
                                        [quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
                                        [/quote]

                                        [quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]
                                        Comment
                                        • drfunkmaster
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 11-29-08
                                          • 11162

                                          #21
                                          interesting read
                                          Comment
                                          • warriorfan707
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 03-29-08
                                            • 13698

                                            #22
                                            Try betting the RL every day and you might not drown in juice
                                            Comment
                                            • empty cookie jar
                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                              • 05-14-10
                                              • 876

                                              #23
                                              i hate the yankees
                                              Comment
                                              • stikymess
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 05-19-10
                                                • 3288

                                                #24
                                                Too big of a fav most days, maybe value on the RL, maybe go the other way and bet against them it has to average out right?
                                                Comment
                                                • yisman
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 09-01-08
                                                  • 75682

                                                  #25
                                                  anyone who bets yankees ML every game is either nuts or wants to lose their money.

                                                  Just send me your cash instead of giving it to bookies.
                                                  [quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
                                                  [/quote]

                                                  [quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]
                                                  Comment
                                                  • thirtytwo
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 01-07-10
                                                    • 1784

                                                    #26
                                                    I thought everyone knows it at this point. You dont bet Yankees ML every game, you bet Yankees RL. They have 43 wins this season and they covered RL in 37 of 43 wins. They are up 9.45 units on the RL this season to date.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Sawyer
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 06-01-09
                                                      • 7761

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by BookieOweMe
                                                      Risk 1 unit each game. Guaranteed profit at the end of the season.
                                                      I have a better idea. Pick Yanks RL every game!

                                                      Yanks ML is a sin guys. They often win by 2+ runs..

                                                      Btw, you would go broke if you had bet on Yanks straight in previous seasons. Same goes for cubs too.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Intuitive_Edge
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 07-22-09
                                                        • 1644

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by Sunde91
                                                        They're 42-26. Let's say they have an average juice of -160 (sounds about right??) a game. You're betting 1 unit every game. 42/1.60 = 26.25 26.25 - 26 = .25 unit profit. The exact juice average could mean + or - a unit or two, but I think -160 is a solid guesstimate.
                                                        Juice is far higher than -160 on average. I dont think you've ever seen ML odds for this team this year
                                                        Comment
                                                        • LT Profits
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 10-27-06
                                                          • 90963

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by BookieOweMe
                                                          Risk 1 unit each game. Guaranteed profit at the end of the season.
                                                          Because you would have lost 8 of the last 10 years?
                                                          Comment
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