MLB (June 18th)

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  • The Expert
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 01-31-10
    • 745

    #1
    MLB (June 18th)
    YTD (since 16th June): 5W-0V-2L (71,43%), +8.004 (138% ROI)





    vs.
    MLB (PNC Park, Pittsburgh) - 19.06.2010, 1:05 CET
    Double Dime (4 units): Pittsburgh Pirates - Cleveland Indians
    I think that right now Pirates are the major fading material and there's huge value to bet agains them, especially that their opponents seem to be underrated for this contest and we've got @ 1.971 price for their loss, which represents rare value. First of all, hosts 11-games losing streak looks pathetic and it exactly shows how they've been playing of late. Hitting is mediocre at best, while whole pitching staff is struggling big time, that's why they've been swept third time in a row yesterday, losing 4-5 against White Sox. What's worse this series was at PNC Park, so I doubt home-field factor will be an important advantage for them. Paul Maholm (4-4, 3.63 ERA) may be the best pitcher in their rotation, though he's still way worse than his statistics show and to be honest he ain't capable of lasting more than 6-7 innings, while bullpen is really average at the moment. He's been struggling at home with 4.58 ERA, so the Tribe should produce some runs against him, adding a few facing bullpen as well. On the contrary Indians really need a win after being swept at home by high-flying Mets (won seven games in a row) because they have to break 4-games losing streak. They were rock solid before that small slump (that's why they're 4-4 in last 8 matches), so they ought to bounce back against Pirates, especially that Fausto Carmona (5-5, 3.23 ERA) has been in superb form of late and what's more he's got a lot better stamina than his vis-a-vis and can last even 8 innings in here. He had complete game in last outing (against Nationals, earned 1 run), so adding the fact he's 2.77 ERA on road and 1.96 ERA in June, he ought to be money in this spot. One of these teams have to break their losing streaks and I suppose that hosts will continue their huge slump, while Indians will be back on winning track. Taking it early because odds will most probably drop. Double Dime selection for me because it's extreme value.
    4 units (Double Dime) on Cleveland Indians (ML) (@ 1.971 Pinnacle)
  • Crnjak
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 03-11-09
    • 588

    #2
    Only one thing ...Travis Hafner no play!!
    For me Pirates ML
    Comment
    • Augustus
      SBR MVP
      • 09-05-06
      • 2787

      #3
      Thanks for the info!
      Comment
      • AL1322
        SBR MVP
        • 12-07-09
        • 1944

        #4
        hard to believe just how bad both these teams are
        Comment
        • superman613
          Restricted User
          • 06-15-10
          • 906

          #5
          GL tonight

          Comment
          • The Expert
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 01-31-10
            • 745

            #6
            vs.
            MLB (Wrigley Field, Chicago) - 19.06.2010, 20:20 CET
            Single Dime (3 units): Chicago Cubs - Los Angeles Angels
            Playing it because of the fact that 11.5 total runs line is ridiculous taking into account fact that both Silva and Kazmir are solid pitchers, while neither Cubs nor Angels have been hitting well of late. Under should be reasonable choice, no matter the fact how the wind is blowing at Wrigley. Do not expect double digits number of runs - Silva is 1.93 ERA in June, while Kazmir is 2.12 ERA, so adding the fact Angels produced just 8 runs in last 3 games, while Cubs weren't shining either in latest games, something like 5-4 for either side should be the final scoreline.
            3 units (Single Dime) on UNDER 11.5 RUNS (@ 1.901 Pinnacle)
            Comment
            • The Expert
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 01-31-10
              • 745

              #7
              Early game UNDER looks quite good so far with 3 runs in 4 innings, although with this wind everything may happen in next 5 innings. Hope it will cash, now I'm off to watch England (have them ML with all SBR points and -1.5 as a pick)
              Comment
              • The Expert
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 01-31-10
                • 745

                #8
                LOL @ England, they were totally pathetic and this group is going to be extremely interesting in third round games
                Comment
                • The Expert
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 01-31-10
                  • 745

                  #9
                  I can't believe what i saw
                  Comment
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