Doug Fister vs Jays!

[dodger33]

I know Seattle does not score very many runs but with an ERA at home of 1.2 and a 6 to 1 K to BB ratio against a. Seattle put up 5 runs tonight against Sheets and if they can put up 3 runs for this kid tomorrow he will win. He is even better through the frst 5 innings. If you are afraid of Seattle not hitting play the under. He will go 7+ and give up 2 runs or less! He just beat Tampa on the road and this is going to be the cheapest you see him at home for a very long time. Lock it up! Seattle -125

[Bob Loblaw]

He won't keep it up like he has been but I guess you ride him while he's hot. Good luck. I willl probably be too chicken shit to play him thinking the one time I back him is the one time he finally gets rocked.

[cro]

im going big on toronto

[Eagle1958]

I agree that Fister is the play.

[dodger33]

im going big on toronto

Reasoning??

[cro]

i don't think his style will match up well with jays bats
and i'm relying on that, more than jays pitcher/s.

[dodger33]

Night game in seattle ball will not be jumping off the bats and he does not walk anyone. Jays are going to have to earn it. He is a contact pitcher with one of the best defenses in the league. I don't disagree with what you are saying but there is a reason why he is so succesful in that park.

[dodger33]

-113 now looks like the public is getting behind the Jays. If you are going to bet on Seattle you might as well wait till game time because this line is going down! I still love Fister to shut them down.

[Patrickz0rs]

My Write Up:

The problem is that as much as I like Fister, the Mariners have no business being favored over anyone at this point. He does his job, but his team is so lousy–particularly on offense–that even when he pitches his ass off it doesn’t guarantee a win. The Mariners are 3-4 in his starts this season, including 2-2 at home. And try and figure out how this works–Fister has allowed 4 ER total in his last three starts for an ERA during that span of 1.80 and somehow the Mariners have lost two of those games.

Interestingly, the two games the Mariners’ lost in that span were against left handed pitching and they’re facing a southpaw today in Brett Cecil. Cecil has been up and down this year, but its funny how much easier the game becomes when your team can actually hit the ball–for example, Cecil had by all accounts an awful outing in his last start giving up 8 ER to Texas. His teammates bailed him out with an offensive onslaught, and the Jays ended up winning by the football like score of 16-10. That bad outing was very likely just that–a rough day at the office against a team that can bang. On May 3 against Cleveland, Cecil pitched 8 innings of 1 hit baseball with 10 k’s.

Toronto is the play.

[TobiasFunke]

Not sure if Fister can keep this up for much longer...

[reverend]

i agree. i just wonder why the line has dropped so much?

[TenBagger]

I'm on the Blue Jays

- TOR league high .831 OPS vs RHP
- SEA near the bottom with .608 OPS vs LHP
- Fister one of the luckiest pitchers in the league so far in terms of BABIP and strand rates

[nobs]

Love the M's here

[dodger33]

Fister one of the luckiest pitchers in the league so far in terms of BABIP and strand rates

I don't think it is luck. The man has the best defense in baseball and he is a contact pitcher, so of course he is going to have a skewed babip. What he doesn't do is walk people and he locates even better when people are on base. I doubt he can keep up this 1.2 era at home but i bet he ends the year under 3.

[Footballtime]

Best of luck, Seattle cant hit and fister can pitch well, thinking of possible Under with Seattle play. Best of luck FBT

[brock]

Just played Seatle run line. -1.5

[dodger33]

Hell if Seattle scores 4 or less runs the under will be money

[jagaf22]

Fister looks solid saw him pitch against Tampa...with Seattle's inability to score runs I like the UNDER!

[TenBagger]

I don't think it is luck. The man has the best defense in baseball and he is a contact pitcher, so of course he is going to have a skewed babip. What he doesn't do is walk people and he locates even better when people are on base. I doubt he can keep up this 1.2 era at home but i bet he ends the year under 3.

Fister has a BABIP of .230. I challenge you to find me a pitcher in the history of baseball who has maintained that rate over a large sample size. Greg Maddux and Tom Glavine, 40+ years of HOF "contact" pitching seasons have never had a BABIP of less than .250. But I guess that isn't luck, Fister just knows how to get people out.

[dodger33]

He is 2nd in HR per 9 innings in the MLB. If they are hitting the ball so well why isn't it going out of the park?

[TenBagger]

who said that they are hitting the ball well vs fister?

all I'm saying is that his current BABIP is unsustainable since I don't think it has ever been done over the course of a full major league season, say 200+ IP.

Just ask yourself this question, maddux and glavine haven't even come within 20 points of that number over a combined 40+ major league seasons. What does fister have over maddux and glavine that he can accomplish something this season that they have not been able to in over 40? and by a margin of 20 points!

[dodger33]

Maybe it won't stay that low but what he has is a very forgiving ballpark and a way better defense than either of those two had. Does that equate to 20 points maybe not but time will tell.

[bigsmitty]

I was impressed with Fister but as was mentioned, TOR is somewhat known for scoring in bunches which to me meant trouble if the pitches started going awry. Even if he pitches nearly perfectly they could easily lose 6-3 or so. I bailed out-good luck all!

[LT Profits]

I'm on the UNDER in this game.

[Patrickz0rs]

my write up: The problem is that as much as i like fister, the mariners have no business being favored over anyone at this point. He does his job, but his team is so lousy–particularly on offense–that even when he pitches his ass off it doesn’t guarantee a win. The mariners are 3-4 in his starts this season, including 2-2 at home. And try and figure out how this works–fister has allowed 4 er total in his last three starts for an era during that span of 1.80 and somehow the mariners have lost two of those games. Interestingly, the two games the mariners’ lost in that span were against left handed pitching and they’re facing a southpaw today in brett cecil. Cecil has been up and down this year, but its funny how much easier the game becomes when your team can actually hit the ball–for example, cecil had by all accounts an awful outing in his last start giving up 8 er to texas. His teammates bailed him out with an offensive onslaught, and the jays ended up winning by the football like score of 16-10. That bad outing was very likely just that–a rough day at the office against a team that can bang. On may 3 against cleveland, cecil pitched 8 innings of 1 hit baseball with 10 k’s. Toronto is the play.

winner winner!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

[dodger33]

Nice cash. I can't believe he hit the game winning run in. M's had 10 hits and plenty of chances.

[cro]

[dodger33]

Interesting fact. There has only been 1 game out of 9 in which Fister has pitched where a run was scored in the first inning. That was the Tampa game and Seattle put up 2.

[betplom]

Interesting fact. There has only been 1 game out of 9 in which Fister has pitched where a run was scored in the first inning. That was the Tampa game and Seattle put up 2.

Why is that interesting?

An interesting fact would be:
There has only been 1 game out of 9 in which Fister has pitched and maintained an erection for the entire first inning.

Now THAT is interesting, but that info is hard to come by!

[encephalization]

Why is that interesting?

An interesting fact would be:
There has only been 1 game out of 9 in which Fister has pitched and maintained an erection for the entire first inning.

Now THAT is interesting, but that info is hard to come by!

Now thats some interesting facts!

[konck]

I needed Seattle tonight I usually play plus numbers but the card didnt look good so I took Seattle