Mariners@Rays

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  • PorkyPig
    SBR Sharp
    • 08-05-09
    • 257

    #1
    Mariners@Rays
    I've written this on my blog, but since I'm sure no one has read it I'll put it here too

    Mariners at Rays : not for the thrill seekers

    5/15/2010 11:52:01 AM by PorkyPig
    There are games which keep you on the edge on your seat, with home runs, double plays, lead changes, ejections, the whole shebang. And then there are games like this one, an afternoon meeting of the Seattle Mariners and the Tampa Bay Rays. And the reason is simple : the starting pitchers.

    There couldn't be a worse break for James Shields in the last game he pitched, as he and his teammates could only watch Dallas Braden pitch the 19th perfect game in Major League history. Unfortunate for him, as he presented his 5th quality start in 7 games he started this season. And he certainly knows how to pitch against Seattle, as he struck out 10 Mariners through 8.0 innings in his last start against them a week and a half ago, allowing only 2 runs in the process. With that win he is now 3-2 lifetime against Seattle with an ERA of just 2.32. But today he faces IMO one of the most underrated pitchers in the MLB today, Jason Vargas.

    Vargas is coming off his best performance this season, after shutting out the Angels with only 4 hits allowed in 7.1 IP, and in that game he had something he didn't have all season long : proper run support. The Mariners drove in only 13 runs in his 5 previous starts, and that has to be frustrating for the lefty, as he had 4 quality starts in those 5 games, but some sloppy defense from his teammates are the reason why he is only 3-2 on the season. He has been rocked only once this season, in his first game, against hitting-happy Texas, where he surrendered 5 runs on 8 hits in 5.1 IP, but he has been improving ever since, dropping his ERA to 3.00. As being one of the rare bright spots in this year's struggling Mariners lineup, he must stay patient and hope his offense can assist him with more runs.

    Although the Rays are nearly the best offensive team in the league, driving in 192 runs (2nd only to the Yankees) and their ballpark favors hitters, they have been in a bit of an offensive slump the last couple of games, scoring a bit more than 3 runs in average in their last 6 games. Furthermore, Seattle is struggling big time with their offense, scoring only 118 runs this season (only the Astros are worse), and they should have problems figuring out Shields, who's usually stellar at the Tropicana. Vargas has been under the radar so far, but I'm pretty confident he can contain the Rays, which is crucial for a winning effort, considering how bad his team has been on both sides of the ball. All in all this has all the makings of being a pitching duel, and with that said, the total which opened at 8.5 is just a bit too high.
    Pick : Seattle Mariners at Tampa Bay Rays UNDER 8.5 @ -115 (5Dimes)
    Game starts at 4:10 PM ET

    Opinions are welcome.
  • mandude
    SBR MVP
    • 12-16-09
    • 1474

    #2
    I just got done capping this game & agree with you 100%. The Rays are in a serious offensive funk right now. Theyre only hitting .225 overall & .242 vs lefties the last 10 & even worse their last 5 at .218 overall & .165 vs lefties. This game has under written all over it & Youre right on when it's too high at 8.5. I also might take a small play on Sea +1.5. I see this being another tight ball game in the end. Sea has a good chance at another upset here but I would rather take the +1.5 instead of the M/L.
    Comment
    • PorkyPig
      SBR Sharp
      • 08-05-09
      • 257

      #3
      They will probably hit both, but I feel like the under is a stronger play. I'll probably take the +1.5 for a small amount. Thanks for your opinion
      Comment
      • PorkyPig
        SBR Sharp
        • 08-05-09
        • 257

        #4
        My 2nd posted play wins!
        Comment
        • mandude
          SBR MVP
          • 12-16-09
          • 1474

          #5
          Nice job. Liked your write up too. It was nice to see the Sea r/l hit too.
          Comment
          • Sawyer
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 06-01-09
            • 7761

            #6
            Nice call on Under, Congrats!
            Comment
            • Sawyer
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 06-01-09
              • 7761

              #7
              But horrible avatar, LoL!
              Comment
              • mandude
                SBR MVP
                • 12-16-09
                • 1474

                #8
                Originally posted by Sawyer
                But horrible avatar, LoL!

                Sometimes it takes big balls.
                Comment
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