Do you think beating "Totals" in baseball is a little bit harder then other sports?

[Sawyer]

First of all, baseball is the most profitable sport in my opinion..but I think this way for side bets only..

Majority of my plays are Total Bets (U/O) in hockey and basketball. However, baseball is a different story. I play totals very rare in bases and I don't have a sexy winning percentage in baseball when it comes to totals. This year, I'm 116-74 (%61) in NBA Totals but I can't even get close to this number in baseball totals. The problem about baseball totals is, they're very unpredictable. There's too many X factors. In NBA, they can't score 100 points in a quarter but in baseball they can score even 12 runs in a single inning since there's no clock. Bullpen can ruin your game (bad for Under), they may not score when all bases loaded (bad for Over). Do you feel the same way too? Do you think side bets are easier then totals in baseball? Do you think beating totals is easier in other sports then baseball?

[sLim901]

i can see what ur saying since theres no clock, but i find totals to be more reliable then even sides in baseball.

i prefer totals over sides for all sports tho so maybe its just me

[unusialsusp5]

totals nerve wracking

totals are not really a fun bet. have to worry all the time. takes enjoyment out of game. most players go over so they can win their bet by the sixth inning. risky and nerve wracking

[CashMoney]

I'm terrible in baseball totals and rely on money lines with occasional run line bets that are far and few between.

Way to unpredicable for me to bet on total. You can have two Aces on the mound with a total of 8 and it goes over in the 5th and two 5 starters throwing with a total of 7 and the final is 3-1

[Sawyer]

I'm testing a system for MLB Totals. Under bets are very close to %50 but Over bets looking promising. Over bets are easier to spot in baseball in my opinion. You can have field/weather/bullpen in your favor but still not easier like NBA Totals. Books are vulnerable in NBA Totals that's why limits are lower. I'm on Orlando vs Charlotte Under 187 today btw, GL!

[wantitall4moi]

Baseball is good to find correlaries that might not be defined as correlaries. So plenty of subsets to offer possible parlays.

[Domestic]

Baseball is tough, never know when a 6 run inning will pop up.

[milwaukee mike]

i guess i have been more profitable with totals because of my homerness and the brewers pitching staff.
brewers offense = awesome
brewers pitching staff = one of the worst in the history of the world

so usually on totals for milwaukee i go over which has worked quite well this year/last.
when you're scoring 5.3/game and giving up 5.9/game you can find some good value on the over in quite a few different pitching matchups.

[wantitall4moi]

Baseball is tough, never know when a 6 run inning will pop up.

Mike Sciossia the smartest guy in baseball one said quite awhile ago..."The team that has a big inning will usually win the game, and most of the time a team will score more runs in one inning to win than the other teams does the whole game". And that is pretty accurate. A team might scored 5 or 6 runs total with 1 here and a couple there, but a lot of times a team will score that many and usually more and beat them. If they win that is.

[Brock Landers]

http://forum.sbrforum.com/baseball-handicapping/188376-wise-sharp-gambler-told-me-person.html

[Willie Bee]

You can't average out scoring in baseball as easily as you can in other sports. And this is what the Pythagorean win-loss theory in baseball attempts to do. It can be a useful tool, but hardly a tell-all as many purport it to be. Baseball games are not all 5-4 as the Pythagorean theory might suggest.

Take the Astros this year, for example. Houston 'exploded' for seven runs last night, its highest output thus far in 2010. It was Lance Berkman's first game of the season. Coincidence? Maybe. Carlos Lee and Hunter Pence had good evenings with Berkman batting in front of them, but they were going to come out of their funks at some point, with or without Fat Elvis back in the lineup.

If you want a prime example of how poorly the Pythagorean theory works, go look at the 1960 World Series. Everyone remembers it for Bill Mazeroski's walk-off blast in the bottom of the ninth of Game 7 to give the Pirates the improbable upset over the Yankees. New York outscored Pittsburgh 55-27 in that Series. Pythagorean tells you that a team that outscores another by that much should have won 5-6 of the seven games played.

[rolltide10]

totals are not really a fun bet. have to worry all the time. takes enjoyment out of game. most players go over so they can win their bet by the sixth inning. risky and nerve wracking

The fun, is winning. The nervousness is the high gamblers play for; o/u are profitable in money line sports with less juice.....leading to more $$$. O/U's are hard in baseball but they definately have the most profit potential!

[wantitall4moi]

Krackman was a stooge and was disgraced when it was discovered he was pimping a book when he knew they were going under just so he could get his money out. What made it worse was he came in a few months after the rumors had started (once he got all his money out) and then admitted they were in trouble, and eventually it came out and he admitted that he knew the book was folding but wanted to get his money out first.

I guess the people that have been around awhile forgot that or just didnt mention it in that thread.

[Willie Bee]

Krackman was a stooge...

And this relates to baseball totals how exactly?

[wantitall4moi]

And this relates to baseball totals how exactly?

it relates to the link Brock posted. guess i should have quoted the link.

[Holtgetsback]

I usually don't play baseball totals until June.
Let everyone get settled in

[Sawyer]

You can't average out scoring in baseball as easily as you can in other sports. And this is what the Pythagorean win-loss theory in baseball attempts to do. It can be a useful tool, but hardly a tell-all as many purport it to be. Baseball games are not all 5-4 as the Pythagorean theory might suggest.

Take the Astros this year, for example. Houston 'exploded' for seven runs last night, its highest output thus far in 2010. It was Lance Berkman's first game of the season. Coincidence? Maybe. Carlos Lee and Hunter Pence had good evenings with Berkman batting in front of them, but they were going to come out of their funks at some point, with or without Fat Elvis back in the lineup.

If you want a prime example of how poorly the Pythagorean theory works, go look at the 1960 World Series. Everyone remembers it for Bill Mazeroski's walk-off blast in the bottom of the ninth of Game 7 to give the Pirates the improbable upset over the Yankees. New York outscored Pittsburgh 55-27 in that Series. Pythagorean tells you that a team that outscores another by that much should have won 5-6 of the seven games played.

Well Said Willie..

[rgbraves]

I agree totals are hard in baseball. The best bet in baseball is the underdog. Way to many times teams are big favorites when they shouldn't be. Even the best teams lose 60 games a year.

[pat venditto]

Never bet unders in baseball.

[Sawyer]

Pat Venditto,

Yeah, Unders are tough.. For example, Really liked Phillies (Halladay) vs Braves (Hudson) game today but still doubtful about the total. I won't be surprised if they score 4 runs in last inning, LoL!

I'll focus more on Overs and share results with you soon. NY vs OAK Over looks good today..Dodgers vs Reds game tomorrow (Thursday) looks good for Over too.

Have a nice day everyone!

May the Lady Luck be with you..

[pat venditto]

Pat Venditto, Yeah, Unders are tough.. For example, Really liked Phillies (Halladay) vs Braves (Hudson) game today but still doubtful about the total. I won't be surprised if they score 4 runs in last inning, LoL! I'll focus more on Overs and share results with you soon. NY vs OAK Over looks good today..Dodgers vs Reds game tomorrow (Thursday) looks good for Over too. Have a nice day everyone! May the Lady Luck be with you..

Good info will look into those games thanks.

[scarp]

yea, I think taking the over on totals is the thing to do if you are not positive.

[wantitall4moi]

Never bet unders in baseball.

LMAO since the start of the 2004 season up to yesterday...

O/U: 6950-7269-722 (0.4 rpg) average total: 9.0

[vic]

Team batting Avg. does not mean much. Look at KC last 03 games in Tor. all lost & und. for the year 10-4 on the over/und. GL Sawyer. Hope you come up w/ a system, will be checking back.

[whatsgood5]

They're very inconsistent