Just sticking to one thread in here, think it will be definitely way easier to find out my picks instead of having new each day. Hope I help someone with my posts/insights about baseball (and often other sports).
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1 UNIT PLAY - 1:05 CET
MLB - Chicago Cubs @ New York Mets
I think that there's some value on Cubs today because although they're away from home and has been rather in struggling mode offensively so far, they're meeting exhausted Mets, who's been way worse in that aspect. Hosts had to play tough series against Cardinals, which was extremely tired - not only because of this twenty-innings game. Their bats seem to be ice cold right now and I don't have any faith they'll change it overnight, playing against solid Randy Wells (1-0, 2.92 ERA), who started season with similar fashion as pitched last year - consistently well. It's certain that mediocre Jonathon Niese (0-1, 6.55 ERA) is worse than his vis-a-vis and he'll face a bit better offense (at least right now), so I'm giving a an edge for the guests. Pitching match-up should be a X-factor for this match-up, so adding tiredness, I think that Cubs with @ 1.813 possesses some value tonight.
Chicago Cubs (ML) (@ 1.813 Pinnacle)Comment -
1 UNIT PLAY - 4:05 CET
MLB - San Francisco Giants @ San Diego Padres
I'm sure that Giants would be one of the biggest favorites to win World Series this season if they possess a bit better offense - simply because of amazing pitching rotation. Unfortunately for them their offense won't produce as much as other contenders and that's why they'll probably struggle against big opponents, in important matches. It's not the case today as Padres offense ain't surely better and they're starting with Clayton Richard (0-2, 4.38 ERA), who's just an average pitcher and will keep his numbers relatively good because of PETCO Park factor. On the other hand are sending Matt Cain (0-0, 4.26 ERA) to the mound, who's fired up after mediocre (as for his standards) start of the season (still didn't get a decision) and I think that he'll totally shut down the Padres tonight. It's going to be a lowscoring game (though with such a low line under has no value) and I believe that Giants have better shot to win it outright with better offense and more quality pitcher.
San Francisco Giants (ML) (@ 1.847 Pinnacle)Comment -
1 UNIT PLAY - 1:05 CET
NHL - Buffalo Sabres @ Boston Bruins
I hate playing unders in the NHL with low total lines (like this 5 goals), though this match-up has a lowscoring outcome written all over it. Bruins offense has had problems during whole season, so although their offensive unit started playing much better, I'm still not considering them to be offensive-minded in such an important game like this one. Series is tied 1-1 and they've got homefield advantage at the moment, so knowing the fact that Sabres has got Ryan Miller as a goalkeeper, who's having a terrific year, they'll be trying not to allow any goals tonight. First two matches were really different (2-1 and 3-5) and I'm expecting a lot more something like in first one than in the second. Defensive will show up and though there might be many shots on goal, both goalkeepers are good enough to keep a low result on the scoreboard. I think that in worst scenario this one will be a push.
under 5 goals (@ 1.833 Pinnacle)Comment -
1 UNIT PLAY - 1:05 CET
MLB - Kansas City Royals @ Toronto Blue Jays
I really wasn't going to play the Royals today because odds weren't good enough when opened for me, though I think that after some serious rising (Blue Jays from -109 to -116 now), especially that it remains yesterday Brewers @ Nationals game, where nearly the same odds changing led to rising side winning the game. So far this season, theoretically mediocre guests, showed great offense and I think that they won't have any problems with continuing that trend against average Blue Jays, who're overrated after strong start, though were considered as one of the worst teams in the league just before start of 2010 season. De Jesus, Callaspo, Butler, Guillen, Ankiel and Betancourt are all hitting the ball hard and I expect them (all are in line-up) to pound Brandon Morrow (0-1, 12.00 ERA), who started season really bad (allowed 12 earned runs in 9 innings of pitching), so adding the fact that he's typical fly-ball pitcher (already has given up 3 homeruns), all these guys have a shot of big hits as well. On the contrary Brian Bannister (0-0, 2.19 ERA), who's pitching for guests is a bit better pitcher and though his solid start of the season can't be exaggerated because his numbers will be worse in the near future surely, he's got some confidence after allowing just 3 earned runs in 12.1 innings. Royals shouldn't be an underdog, so with such a price, I have to play them in that spot.
Kansas City Royals (ML) (@ 2.080 Pinnacle)Comment