To track a model-based approach to picking games. All 1 unit, but maybe will look next year at bet-sizing based on spread of prediction vs money line, if things work out okay
Today’s games
Mariners -119
White Sox +137
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05-13-19 01:03 PM #1
Logistic Regression 2019
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05-13-19 03:49 PM #2
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05-14-19 11:19 AM #3
Yesterday 2-0 +237
Today’s games
Twins -128
Mariners +101
Dbacks-152
Phillies +100
Nats +127
Braves +114
White Sox +174
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05-15-19 12:10 PM #4
Yesterday 2-5 -3.52
Year 4-5 -1.52
Had an error in a transformation. Good to catch it now. Would have only played 1 game yesterday, ouch.
1 game today
Red Sox -149
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05-16-19 11:52 AM #5
Yesterday 1-0 +1
Year 5-5 -.52
Today’s games
Pirates +118
Cubs +127
Brewers +111
Braves -112
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05-17-19 12:12 PM #6
Yesterday 2-2 +.11
Year 7-7 -.41
Today
Twins -111
Angels -163
White Sox -116
Cubs +144
Reds +116
As -183
Mets -206
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05-19-19 10:47 AM #7
Friday 4-3 +.22
Year 11-10 -.19
Didn't update on Saturday
Today's games
Dodgers -175
Mets -199
Astros +164
White Sox -116
Dbacks -172
Rangers +155
Angels -165
Cubs -135
Twins -102
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05-20-19 11:05 AM #8
Yesterday 3-6 -499
Year 14-16 -51
1 game today — Cubs -121
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05-20-19 04:28 PM #9
Added Yankees -180
Originally Posted by KaiSquared
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05-21-19 12:18 PM #10
Yesterday 1-1 -21
Year 15-17 -539
Today
Red Sox -160
Cubs -135
Brew -140
Rockies -123
Twins +104
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05-22-19 02:30 PM #11
Yesterday 3-2 +4
Year 18-18 -535
Today
Atlanta -163
Minn -121
Boston -150
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05-23-19 11:44 AM #12
Yesterday 2-0 +200
Year 20-18 -335
Today
Braves -116
Twins -138
Marlins +135
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05-24-19 12:03 PM #13
Yesterday 3-0 +335
Year 23-18 0
Back to even - funny how that works
Today’s games
Cubs -178
Rays -133
Twins -195
Rangers +144
Brew -128
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05-25-19 11:45 AM #14
Yesterday 2-3 -195
year 25-21 -195
Today
Orioles +155
Rangers +113
Dodgers -190
Cubs -150
Braves - 109
As -126
Brew -131
Astros -128
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05-26-19 10:12 AM #15
Yesterday 5-3 +215
Year 30-24 +20
Today's games
Braves +135
Dodgers -160
Astrots -175
As -147
Cubs -165
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05-27-19 11:55 AM #16
Yesterday 3-2 -5
Year 33-26 +15
Today's games
Twins +103
Royals +103
Dbacks -105
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05-28-19 01:19 PM #17
Yesterday 0-2 -205
Year 33-28 -190
Added 3 new variables, and collecting data for a 4th
Today’s games
Cubs +129
Mets +183
Dbacks +122
Phillies -126
Tigers -111
Biggest disparity in line vs my probability is Tigers
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05-29-19 12:02 PM #18
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05-29-19 12:05 PM #19
Originally Posted by KaiSquared
Yesterday 3-2 +183
Year 36-30 -7
Today’s games
Yankees -140 (from earlier)
Cubs -104
Orioles -118
As -102
Dodgers -180
Braves -165
Giants -111
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05-30-19 12:04 PM #20
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05-30-19 12:09 PM #21
Yesterday 3-4 -196 Originally Posted by KaiSquared
Year 39-34 -203
Today
Brewers -131
Rangers -150
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05-31-19 01:14 PM #22
Yesterday 1-1 -50
Year 40-35 -253
Today’s game - won’t be back until Tuesday, playing all games today vs picking games where spreads are va their money lines
Today’s games
Indians -168
Jays +239
Angels -133
Astros -126
Dodgers -160
Marlins +147
Orioles +105
Braves -180
Brewers -129
Red Sox -153
Reds +101
Rangers -114
Cards -126
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06-07-19 12:15 PM #23
Friday 5/31 6-7 -357
Year 46-42 -610
Today’s games
Cubs -124
Tigers +111
Mets -200
Marlins +162
Reds +107
Royals -121
Rangers -110
Padres -102
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06-08-19 11:45 AM #24
Yesterday 3-5 -310
Year 49-47 -920
Today
Phillies -136
Pirates +151
Royals +125
Braves -150
Diamondbacks -130
Cards -111
Dodgers -215
Nats -167
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06-09-19 11:11 AM #25
Yesterday 5-3 +189
Year 54-50 -731
Today's games
Jays +126
Phillies -137
Mets -163
Braves -140
Pirates +179
Astros -185
Dodgers -161
As -190
Cards +153
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06-10-19 01:27 PM #26
Yesterday 5-4 +63
Year 59-54 -668
Today
Angels +153
Cubs +116
Phils -136
Cards -141
Yanks -190
Bosox -240
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06-11-19 12:41 PM #27
Yesterday 2-3 -223
Year 61-57 -891
Today
Orioles +105
Indians -127
Giants +131
Royals -140
Astros -119
Phils -137
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06-12-19 10:40 AM #28
Yesterday 6-0 +636
Year 67-57 -255
Today
Lots of variance between the 2 model variations where they’re picking opposing teams. Only 3 games are agreed upon —
Phils -139
Bosox -144
Astros -128
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06-13-19 11:55 AM #29
Yesterday 1-2 -167
Year 68-59 -422
Today
Can’t log into Bmaker at the moment so I’ll have to grab some lines to use,but today’s games are
Twins
Rays
Royals
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06-13-19 12:28 PM #30
Lines from today’s picks — Originally Posted by KaiSquared
Twins -175
Rays -150
Royals +114
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06-14-19 09:20 AM #31
Yesterday 2-1 +64
Year 70-60 -358
Today
Twins -212
As -184
Rockies -123
Dodgers -131
Nats -174
Rays -163
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06-15-19 11:28 AM #32
Yesterday 4-2 +93
Year 74-62 -265
Today
Yanks -170
Reds -114
Phils -113
As -219
Rockies -170
Dodgers -185
Mets -135
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06-16-19 12:02 PM #33
Yesterday 5-2 +216
Year 79-64 -49
Today
Dodgers -174
Reds -180
Nationals -141
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06-16-19 10:14 PM #34
Today 3-0 +300
Year 82-64 +251
last 4 days — 14-4 +673
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06-17-19 01:41 PM #35
Today
Rangers +110
Braves -161
Twins -140
Yankees -129
As -225
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