Sorry for my ignorance, what is UCP?Originally Posted by spankmythighs
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04-02-19 12:12 PM #71
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04-02-19 12:42 PM #72
win/loss ratio for System 2 Originally Posted by spankmythighs
Using this chase the results from the past few years...
2018 60-2 (Losing Teams - Royals -10.368, Orioles -5.58)
2017 54-0
2016 46-5 (Losing Teams - Royals, Phillies, Rays, Twins, Angels)
2015 52-5 (Losing Teams - Braves, Rockies, Tigers, Reds, Brewers)
2014 53-2 (Losing Teams - Cubs -12.42, Rangers -8.39)
2013 43-0
2012 51-4 (Losing Teams -Astros (2), Indians, Rockies)
2011 53-4 (Losing Teams - Twins, Mariners, O's, Padres)
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04-02-19 01:14 PM #73
Oh come on! Are you not from Alberta? I was guessing. Sorry Originally Posted by oilcountry99
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04-02-19 01:20 PM #74
Ok cool thanks. So I have an average of 18 to 1 and then I divide by 2 so I will go with a 9 series recoup on all losses for your System 2. What about System #1? This will wipe those losses away and we can focus on just bringing in the number on the left side of the dash Originally Posted by Looking4Winners
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04-02-19 01:30 PM #75
lol, no I'm not. so what is UCP? Originally Posted by spankmythighs
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04-02-19 01:32 PM #76
UCP = United Conservative Party Originally Posted by oilcountry99
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04-02-19 01:41 PM #77
What do you do if you encounter another loss or more during recovery? Originally Posted by spankmythighs
Ok cool thanks. So I have an average of 18 to 1 and then I divide by 2 so I will go with a 9 series recoup on all losses for your System 2. What about System #1? This will wipe those losses away and we can focus on just bringing in the number on the left side of the dash
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04-02-19 02:38 PM #78
I will add it in and throw it on top. The odds of this happening is quite rare. Originally Posted by oilcountry99
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04-02-19 02:41 PM #79
SYSTEM #3
2019 System to Date: 0-0 (finished series)
System Profit/Loss: +200.0 (finished series)
Current Open Series: 0
G1 - (A) 2-0
G2 - (B) 0-0
G3 - (C) 0-0
April 2nd: Rockies A Bet +RL -140
SYSTEM #4 - No Play
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04-02-19 02:45 PM #80
SYSTEM #3
2019 System to Date: 2-0 (finished series)
System Profit/Loss: +200.0 (finished series)
Current Open Series: 0
G1 - (A) 2-0
G2 - (B) 0-0
G3 - (C) 0-0
April 2nd: Rockies A Bet +RL -140
SYSTEM #4 - No Play
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04-02-19 04:17 PM #81
I’m assuming these plays are ‘action’ not listed pitchers.
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04-02-19 10:54 PM #82
SYSTEM #3
2019 System to Date: 2-0 (finished series)
System Profit/Loss: +200.0 (finished series)
Current Open Series: 1
G1 - (A) 2-1
G2 - (B) 0-0
G3 - (C) 0-0
April 2nd: Rockies A Bet +RL -140 LOSS
SYSTEM #4 - No Play
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04-03-19 09:17 AM #83
SYSTEM #3
2019 System to Date: 2-0 (finished series)
System Profit/Loss: +200.0 (finished series)
Current Open Series: 1
G1 - (A) 2-1
G2 - (B) 0-0
G3 - (C) 0-0
April 3rd: Rockies B Bet +RL -175 --- $420 to win $660
SYSTEM #4 - No Play
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04-03-19 09:49 AM #84
^ probably mean the opposite right? Risk more to win less at -175. Also at those odds it would be something like Risk $735 to win $420?
Thanks for posting spankmythighs and Looking4Winners
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04-03-19 10:07 AM #85
Im not sure I follow. I am wagering $420 to win a total of $660 because I lost $140 last night and I still need to win my $100 for a total of $240. Thanks Originally Posted by msetai
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04-03-19 10:09 AM #86
SYSTEM #1
Look for teams that lost 3 games in a row SU and RL (lose by 2 or more runs).
Start a 3 game chase. If the dog, bet on the +RL, if favorite take the ML.
2019 System to Date: 2-0 (finished series)
System Profit/Loss: 2.0 (finished series)
Current Open Series: 1 (Rockies -1.5)
G1 - (A) 2-1
G2 - (B) 0-0
G3 - (C) 0-0
April 1st: Braves A Bet
, Astros A Bet
April 2nd: Rockies A Bet
April 3rd: Rockies B Bet (+RL -185)
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04-03-19 10:10 AM #87
SYSTEM #2
Look for teams that have lost 4 games SU and against the RL (lose by 2 or more runs). We will than start a 3-game chase. Whether a dog or favorite we will play the +RL.
2019 System to Date: 0-0 (finished series)
System Profit/Loss: 0.0 (finished series)
Current Open Series: 0
G1 - (A) 0-0
G2 - (B) 0-0
G3 - (C) 0-0
April 3rd: Rockies A Bet (+RL -185)
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04-03-19 10:14 AM #88
Yes this makes sense, your payout is $660, 420 + 240. Was initially thinking you were trying to win 420 not 240. Thanks! Originally Posted by spankmythighs
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04-03-19 10:24 AM #89
Originally Posted by spankmythighs
You dropped 140 last night. So to recover the $140 and make $100 you bet $240. Not seeing why you need to bet $420.
Last edited by Looking4Winners; 04-03-19 at 10:45 AM.
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04-03-19 10:45 AM #90
Originally Posted by msetai
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04-03-19 10:47 AM #91
Lost $140 + basically Lost out on $100 = $240, Odds are -175 on Bet365 so in order to get my $240 I need to wager $420 Originally Posted by Looking4Winners
You dropped 140 last night. So to recover the $140 and make $100 you bet $240. Not seeing why you need to bet $420.
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04-03-19 12:58 PM #92
google sheet would have cleared this betting amount mess up real easy...just sayin [had to bust spanky's balls]
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04-03-19 01:21 PM #93
I actually just do it all in my head. My excel sheet merely highlights games that would be part of the plays. Just sayin Originally Posted by oilcountry99
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04-03-19 01:30 PM #94
BetOnline has a publicly viewable ALT line if you want to use that Spank.
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04-03-19 01:33 PM #95
Sounds good sir. Me thinks I need to shop around based on what Bet365 supplied me the other day. I think someone said that WilliamHill has that line too. I will have to dig up my account for them. Originally Posted by betwithdaniel
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04-03-19 02:53 PM #96
it seems as though other's are not as mathematically inclined as you Originally Posted by spankmythighs
I actually just do it all in my head. My excel sheet merely highlights games that would be part of the plays. Just sayin
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04-03-19 06:35 PM #97
Originally Posted by oilcountry99
it seems as though other's are not as mathematically inclined as you
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04-03-19 06:36 PM #98
SYSTEM #3
2019 System to Date: 3-0 (finished series)
System Profit/Loss: +300.0 (finished series)
Current Open Series: 0
G1 - (A) 2-1
G2 - (B) 0-0
G3 - (C) 0-0
April 3rd: Rockies B Bet +RL -175 --- $420 to win $660 - WIN
SYSTEM #4 - No Play
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04-03-19 06:37 PM #99
Missed the G2 Originally Posted by spankmythighs
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04-03-19 06:43 PM #100
I don't mind +$700 for the week between them all
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04-04-19 07:35 AM #101
Hi. Aren’t System 1 and 3 basically the same thing except playing the RL on favs in one of them? Or am I missing something. Thank you for all the hard work here.
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04-04-19 08:08 AM #102
You are absolutely right. Looking4Winners - System #1 plays the favorite on the moneyline whereas spankmythighs - System #3 plays the favorite on the +1.5 runline Originally Posted by KingofKOP
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04-04-19 10:40 AM #103
SYSTEM #1
Look for teams that lost 3 games in a row SU and RL (lose by 2 or more runs).
Start a 3 game chase. If the dog, bet on the +RL, if favorite take the ML.
2019 System to Date: 3-0 (finished series)
System Profit/Loss: 3.0 (finished series)
Current Open Series: 0
G1 - (A) 2-1
G2 - (B) 1-0
G3 - (C) 0-0
April 1st: Braves A Bet, Astros A Bet
April 2nd: Rockies A Bet
April 3rd: Rockies B Bet
April 4th: No Play
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04-04-19 10:41 AM #104
SYSTEM #2
Look for teams that have lost 4 games SU and against the RL (lose by 2 or more runs). We will than start a 3-game chase. Whether a dog or favorite we will play the +RL.
2019 System to Date: 1-0 (finished series)
System Profit/Loss: 1.0 (finished series)
Current Open Series: 0
G1 - (A) 1-0
G2 - (B) 0-0
G3 - (C) 0-0
April 3rd: Rockies A Bet
April 4th: No Play
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04-04-19 01:13 PM #105
SYSTEM #3
2019 System to Date: 3-0 (finished series)
System Profit/Loss: +300.0 (finished series)
Current Open Series: 0
G1 - (A) 2-1
G2 - (B) 1-0
G3 - (C) 0-0
April 4th: No Play
SYSTEM #4 - No Play
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