TE [Wednesday]

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  • The Expert
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 01-31-10
    • 745

    #1
    TE [Wednesday]
    Cubs (ML) (@ 1.758 Pinnacle)
    Giants (-1.0) (@ 1.800 Pinnacle)
    Phillies (-1.5) (@ 1.962 Pinnacle)
    Cardinals (-1.5) (@ 2.010 Pinnacle)
    Tigers (-1.0) (@ 1.855 Pinnacle)


    MLB: 31-23-2, 57.4%, +6.908 units
    YTD [ALL SPORTS]: 52-37-5, 58.4%, +13.838 units
  • Sawsi
    SBR High Roller
    • 01-29-10
    • 182

    #2
    I agree with the cubs and cards for sure!
    Comment
    • NKI
      SBR Hustler
      • 02-19-10
      • 57

      #3
      Im on the

      TIGERS
      RAYS
      PHILLIES

      CARDS

      like most of your plays BOL hope to cash this one in
      Comment
      • The Expert
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 01-31-10
        • 745

        #4
        One tennis play for today, should cash in easily IMO.

        The difference between these two players might not be big generally, especially that Youzhny, who's underdog today, is leading h2h 2-0, though I think that surface will be by far decisive in here and that's why Argentinian should have no problems with winning that second round. He really needs ranking points at the moment and he seems to be fully recovered after an injury and although his form is still far from the best, he's doing ok and I expect him to make a solid run in Monte Carlo. He was rock solid against Beck (63 61) in first round and he ought to continue playing like that; in my opinion consistency will be enough to beat Russian in this match-up. Mikhail has been mediocre on claycourts during his career and in fact he didn't play an official game on that surface since Gstaad, which was in July of 2009. His form is certainly great in 2010 and that's why he's 13th in the rankings now, though on the slower surface I think that his performance will be extremely different than on hardcourts, where he feels best. By the way his both wins against David were on fast courts. I think that Nalbandian will be too experience and consistent in here to lose against Youzhny, who definitely isn't prepared to these circumstances yet; @ 1.637 is good enough to give it a shoot.

        Nalbandian (ML) (@ 1.637 Pinnacle)
        Comment
        • cappinthepigs
          SBR MVP
          • 10-07-09
          • 1864

          #5
          good luck to you today
          Comment
          • The Expert
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 01-31-10
            • 745

            #6
            Marlins (ML) (@ 1.787 Pinnacle)
            [Angels/Yankees] OVER 10 RUNS (@ 1.909 Pinnacle)
            Comment
            • cadillac pete
              SBR MVP
              • 01-15-06
              • 1675

              #7
              solid card!
              Comment
              • playersonly69
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 01-04-08
                • 12827

                #8
                I like the Tigers alot today
                Comment
                • Facepunch
                  SBR MVP
                  • 11-17-09
                  • 2090

                  #9
                  With the Orioles bullpen pitching the way that they have been Tampa is a solid play.

                  May want to check out the 5th inning line if the O's are up like they were yesterday.
                  Comment
                  • The Expert
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 01-31-10
                    • 745

                    #10
                    Definitely agree, had that play in mind already.

                    Rays (-1.0) (@ 1.833 Pinnacle)
                    Comment
                    • The Expert
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 01-31-10
                      • 745

                      #11
                      A lot of favorites today in my card but I don't feel bad with that because they're expected to win their games in my opinion. Any points appreciated, I hope that I helped someone with these short previews.



                      Astros has been by far the worst team in the league in this beginning of the season and in fact they're still without a win, legitimating 0-7 record. I feel pity for them, though their first win ain't gonna happen tonight because they'll face in-form Cards, who shouldn't have any problems with beating them comfortably. Hosts line-up looks really impressive and especially Pujols and Holliday are hitting extremely well so far - that's why I expect hosts to put up big numbers against mediocre Myers, who started season with 4 earned runs in 6 innings, though faced much worse Giants offense. By the way he was hit 12 times (which was his career high) and I think that his form ain't best. On the other hand Astros, who're averaging just 1.86 RPG won't run a lot again because experienced Penny, though known to be shaky and inconsistent, showed stability, allowing only one earned run in 7.1 innings in first apperance. Everything shows that a lot better team, who's playing at home will win, so I'm jumping on it certainly.

                      Cardinals (-1.5) (@ 2.010 Pinnacle)


                      Tigers are already known from huge comebacks this season because they won after trailing big two times. First was against Indians (won 9-8 being 1-7 earlier) and second just yesterday against the same Royals, coming back from 0-5 to 6-5. In fact opponents bullpen is terrible this season and I think that a lot of runs for hosts are sure again, especially that starting pitcher Davies is average as well (posted 4.50 ERA against Red Sox). Hosts have had problems with pitching as well but it shouldn't be the case with sophomore Porcello, who's extremely talented and was rock solid against Indians in his first start, allowing 2 earned runs in 5 innings. Tigers are 6-2 with 4-1 at home and I think that they'll win this game to break the tie in the series. Odds are definitely good enough to give it a solid shoot.

                      Tigers (-1.0) (@ 1.855 Pinnacle)


                      Pitching won't be the difference in this match-up because both Stammen and Kendrick are mediocre at best and they started this season bad (7.20 ERA and 11.25 ERA respectively) but to be honest it's certain that Phillies are at least class above Nationals. Hosts are hitting crazy, they're 6-1 so far and didn't run at least five only once so far. Craig will have huge troubles against such an offense, so bullpen, who's just average will have to show up early - that means a lot of runs for Phillies in my opinion. Kyle will be hit as well, though guests have much less power and they'll be outsocred surely. Runline is priced nearly even and that what's value in my eyes.

                      Phillies (-1.5) (@ 1.962 Pinnacle)


                      Giants are coming to this game from a horrible loss yesterday, in which they looked really bad - both offensively and defensively. I think that they're simply too good to lose against one of the worst teams in the league at home twice in a row, so they're automatic bet for me. They should be hitting much better today, being fired up and motivated for a bounce back and honestly I rate Morton as a perfect pitcher for hosts to run a lot. He's really easily hittable flyball pitcher and that's why he's already given up a GrandSlam in his first start - posting 21.60 ERA with 8 earned runs allowed in just 3.1 innings. Sanchez isn't definitely hosts ace but that's particularly because of the fact that they've got one of the best rotations with guys like Lincecum, Cain or Zito. He posted 6.23 ERA in his first start but it's still a lot better than Morton and faced better offensive (Braves, while Charlie played against Diamondbacks) and what's more Pirates offense isn't able to repeat yesterday performance. I simply can't believe that guests will win two road games in a row against a team who started season with 6-1 record (now 6-2).

                      Giants (-1.0) (@ 1.800 Pinnacle)


                      It might be the best bet of the day because although Cubs are priced quite high (@ 1.758), they seem to be big favorites and should win the game comfortably. Brewers are generally really solid with line-up who's got big power but they're simply struggling in this beginning of the season, being 3-4 and I expect them to be mediocre again, just like the did in their first away match, losing 5-9 against the same opponent in this series. They probably won't hit too much again because Wells is extremely competetive pitcher, being still way underrated by the public. He showed his ablities against Braves, shuting them down, with no earned runs in 6 innings - he should continue pitching like that in my opinion. On the other hand Brewers starts with Bush, who isn't trustable, at least for me, and though he wasn't bad, posting 4.76 ERA against solid Cardinals, I doubt he'll be solid against Cubs offense, which seems to be hitting better than in very first matches. What's more their bullpen has already blown two saves. Hosts need wins after a slow start (3-4 record as well) and at Wrigley Field they ought to win second in a row.

                      Cubs (ML) (@ 1.758 Pinnacle)


                      Reds line-up is one of the worst in the league in my opinion, while they are quite respected by the public, so I think that they're perfect fading material today. Their offense hasn't got the power to hit a lot and that's why decent Volstad, who's coming from solid outing against Dodgers (2 earned runs in 6.1 innings), is expected to have a solid start again. On the other hand hosts, who're quite solid this season and should be probably followed, being a bit underrated, are 4-4 this season and are hitting really well - averaging 5.0 RPG so far. They lost both two games in this series (which is surprising for me) and I'm sure that they'll be extremely motivated to already avoid a sweep tonight, with a hope for a split tomorrow. Reds Bailey is really a pitcher to fade for me because he's inconsistent and shaky - it was visible already against Cubs, where he had 3 earned runs in 5 innings and needed 106 pitches in such a short time. @ 1.787 is definitely a good price for Marlins who're generally underrated and even more after these two, tight, losses - both were after extra innings (5-6 in 10th inning and 8-10 in 11th inning).

                      Marlins (ML) (@ 1.787 Pinnacle)


                      I don't like Rays too much in this beginning of the season because though they possess huge offensive potential, they're quite overrated, while they form hasn't been the best. Still, they're 5-3 although and seem to be a lot better offensively, combining 13 runs in two games of this series. In fact they're already 4-1 this season against O's with a chance of a road sweep today. Price will be on the mound today and he's one of these young and talented pitchers, who're hungry for solid outings. He's already stopped Yankees offense (which is terrific), allowing only 3 earned runs in 7.2 innings and getting the win, so I'm sure that Orioles offense can't be a problem for him. Hosts are really bad so far, starting season with 1-6 record (0-5 at home), so not much of a hope for them in here in my opinion. They're starting with Bergesen, who's already posted 9.64 ERA against mediocre Blue Jays and will have even bigger problems in my opinion here. What's worse for their defense, bullpen is one of the worsts in the whole MLB and they've already struggled big time, posting 6.03 ERA with 0-3 W/L and 3 blown saves. Rays offense will roll over it, that's why this is a solid offer on them (@ 1.833 for -1.0 spread).

                      Rays (-1.0) (@ 1.833 Pinnacle)


                      Yankees offense has been definitely the best unit in whole MLB so far, hitting amazingly good so I see no reasons to believe that it'll change today. These two teams played first game of the series yesterday and hosts won it 7-5 and though on the first sight, after looking on scoreboard, this big result may be looking lucky, these two teams left so much runners on base without scoring, that the over should have been done much earlier. Angels offense may not be in best form, though they're really dangerous with players like Matsui, Abreu, Aybar, Hunter or Kendrick. In fact I think that Vazquez, who's pitching for Yankees today, is really overrated this season because of his 2009 statistics, while it was in the National League, where pitchers are putting up a lot better numbers. I think that he'll struggle in American League, the way he did through his career already (he played with this team one season, in 2004, posting mediocre 4.91 ERA). He's already shown that he's overpayed, allowing 8 earned runs in 5.2 innings against Rays (12.71 ERA) and guests should hit against him comfortably. There's no doubts that hosts will many runs as well, being in terrific form and I think that Pineiro is a bit overrated as well, coming from a good year with Cardinals last season. 10 runs is a big total line, though with these two teams it can't be lower.

                      [Angels/Yankees] OVER 10 RUNS (@ 1.909 Pinnacle)
                      Comment
                      • dskibin2
                        SBR Sharp
                        • 07-09-09
                        • 313

                        #12
                        Like the rays a lot today. No wieters or Roberts for the Os. Price looking good ad well
                        Comment
                        • The Expert
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 01-31-10
                          • 745

                          #13
                          4-2-0 day so far, so not that bad. Adding three NHL plays and though I hate going the same way public does, I think that these favorites are gonna win games comfortably tonight.


                          Red Wings (ML) (@ 1.862 Pinnacle)
                          Devils (-0.5) (@ 2.020 Pinnacle)
                          Penguins (-0.5) (@ 1.840 Pinnacle)
                          Comment
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