TE [Tuesday]

crokkettt · 04-13-10, 03:09 AM

Take a look at my tennisparlay melzer + cilic @1.95 .. Good luck with troicki

The Expert · 04-13-10, 09:08 AM

[Royals/Tigers] UNDER 9 RUNS (@ 2.170 Pinnacle)

Already 1-0, +0.667 units today after Troicki's win over Kubot.

The Expert · 04-13-10, 09:39 AM

It’s true that there isn’t too much value with Yankees team generally because they’re main contenders to win the world series and public is pounding them heavily in all matches; still I think that Angels are really overestimated in the beginning of the season after great 2008 and 2009 years, while they aren’t that superior anymore, losing a lot of offensive power in the off-season. Guests started season with 2-5 record and I frankly doubt that they won against in-form hosts. Yankees are known from slow starts to the season, though it’s not the case this time, as they’re 4-2 after two road series against powerful opponents – Rays and Red Sox. They’ve already combined 36 runs in these six games, which gives 6.0 RPG and I think that they should hit as good today because Santana didn’t start season well, allowing 4 earned runs in 6 innings against Twins. I think that he’ll continue pitching the way he did last season, ending with 5.03 ERA. What’s more I doubt that Angels offense will hit a lot against Pettite – first of all Andy showed strong start in his first appearance against Red Sox, allowing just 1 earned run in 6 innings, while secondly Angels are really cold at bat so far. I can’t see any other outcome than comfortable Yankees win.

Yankees (-1.0) (@ 1.769 Pinnacle)

Match-up against Dodgers and Diamondbacks will be really interesting because these two teams both surprised in their very first matches of the season. Hosts of this series disappointed so far, having mediocre 2-4 results, though faced poor Pirates and average Marlins, while guests are 4-2, winning both series against Pirates and Padres. Still, the difference is that D’Backs played both at home, while Dodgers will play today their home season opener and that’s why I expect things to go different way. Hosts lost games mainly because of mediocre pitching because their offense has been hitting pretty well, so I believe that Kershaw should be good enough to shut down mediocre opponents offense in here. He posted 5.79 ERA in his first start and it was definitely disappointing but he’s talented pitcher and especially at home ought to do the job much better. On the other hand Kennedy, who’ll pitch for the guests, isn’t trustful for me and he wasn’t impressive in his first start either, allowing 3 earned runs in 5 innings against mediocre Padres bats. Generally speaking Dodgers are way better, so as they’re finally at home, with a better pitcher, they must be heavy favorites.

Dodgers (-1.0) (@ 1.847 Pinnacle)

Yesterday, in first game of the series and already fourth in the season between Rays and Orioles, under cashed in easily and I think that there’s opportunity to hit that play again today, especially that circumstances are extremely similar, while under with the same line (8.5 runs) is priced @ 2.050 again. These two teams played lowscoring matches in all four duels (4-3, 4-3, 4-5 and 5-1), so as today both starters are possessing huge talents and already pitched good games, I don’t expect both offenses to show up overnight. Matusz and Niemann are both young, though possess great arms and to be honest they posted 3.50 ERA and 0.00 ERA respectively so far this season. Orioles are hitting bad and that’s why they’re 1-6, so however their bullpen ain’t great, they shouldn’t allow that much. On the other hand Rays are struggling a lot offensively, though possessing terrific lineup, so O’s Matusz should repeat solid outings against them.

[Rays/Orioles] UNDER 8.5 RUNS (@ 2.050 Pinnacle)

I’m surprised that the under is priced @ 2.170 for this contest, even though the line is set on quite high 9 runs, simply because of the fact public is overreacting after couple of highscoring games for both sides. In fact Royals offense ain’t that superiors, though they’ve been hitting well so far and they must be finally shut down – even though Willis isn’t even decent, he wasn’t bad in his first start, allowing only 2 earned runs in 6 innings against the same team, so it’s expected to see him doing pretty much the same, especially now at home. On the other hand Tigers has been doing good offensively and they’ll probably put up some numbers but Bannister is a really good pitcher, who’s coming from a rock solid start against them, with 1 earned run allowed in 6 innings. Royals bullpen is terrible but Brain should play at least 6 or 7 innings and that should be enough for the under. Way too high price, especially that these two teams have been playing over expectations offensively in this beginning of the season.

[Royals/Tigers] UNDER 9 RUNS (@ 2.170 Pinnacle)

The Expert · 04-13-10, 11:34 AM

Giants (-1.0) (@ 1.758 Pinnacle)

The Expert · 04-13-10, 11:55 AM

The difference between Giants and Pirates is really huge, in every aspect of baseball abilities, so as the better team is playing at home, with terrific pitcher, who's coming from an amazing 2009 year (14-8, 2.09 ERA), I've got no doubts that the hosts should have no problems with beating mediocre opponents tonight. Cain maybe didn't start this season that well, though posting 4.05 ERA in his first start ain't bad either; in fact he should improve today because it won't be tough for him to deal with Pirates batters, while Giants started season 6-1 generally and should help him with a run support. Guests surprised positively so far because their 3-4 record is great for their standards, as they've been constant losers for more than ten years. Still, after 3-2 start, they now lost last two consecutive, including first match of this series, 3-9, and I franjly doubt they stand any chances to hit against Cain and not allow runs with Maholm on the mound. Paul has been mediocre last year and though he's rated as a solid pitcher as for Pirates rotation, he'll be hit easily again, the same as Dodgers did in his first start, when he allowed 4 earned runs in 6 innings. He's rather a ground-ball pitcher, so the fact that he's already given up a homerun in his first match, is showing that his form ain't too good. I'm taking Giants with quite a big confidence, as there're a lot of edges favoring them.

Giants (-1.0) (@ 1.758 Pinnacle)