teecee's MLB under(s)dogs 2010

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  • teecee
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 09-18-09
    • 6298

    #211
    Originally posted by dvb02
    Teecee, I have all the same as you except I have the White Sox in stead of the Marlins. My book had Fla -115 and CWS -105.

    Also, are you not playing Det due to the line being higher than +150?
    dvb, I do like Det, but I will try (I will, I promise) to stick to the system that's been laid out.
    Comment
    • dvb02
      SBR MVP
      • 06-30-09
      • 2941

      #212
      Originally posted by teecee
      dvb, I do like Det, but I will try (I will, I promise) to stick to the system that's been laid out.
      Yeah, I may play them depending on how the night is going.
      Comment
      • dvb02
        SBR MVP
        • 06-30-09
        • 2941

        #213
        Teecee, this is what I have for tomorrow. Let me know if you have any different.

        Florida +105LA Angels +125Baltimore +125Kansas City +105Milwaukee +110Boston +120
        SF/Oak UNDER 7 -105
        Comment
        • teecee
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 09-18-09
          • 6298

          #214
          Just got off work. About to start checking out plays for tomorrow, dvb. See if we're on the same track here.
          Comment
          • teecee
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 09-18-09
            • 6298

            #215
            The Mariners are +100 at my book. Why not play the M's? What line did you see on their game?
            Comment
            • teecee
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 09-18-09
              • 6298

              #216
              May 22nd:

              Marlins, +113 1u
              LAA, +129 1u
              O's, +129 1u
              Brewers, +121 1u
              Red Sox, +127 1u

              I'll see what happens with the total later. It's at 7.5 (-125) at my book right now. I'm not playing the Royals, as Jeff Francis is highly rated in the C category.

              Ending up adding the total for S.F./Oak:

              Added:

              S.F./Oak U7.5, -115 t/w 1u

              Not system plays:

              A's, -115 t/w 1u
              Rays, -148 t/w 1u
              Rays -1.5, +110 1u
              Yankees, -158 t/w 1u (I see shanty has the Mets, so I'm f-ed.)
              Yankees -1.5, +100 1u
              Comment
              • arthur
                SBR Rookie
                • 05-10-10
                • 32

                #217
                went 1-5 yesterday unless i'm mistaken?- i think the record needs updating
                Comment
                • KATCHASE
                  SBR MVP
                  • 01-06-10
                  • 1755

                  #218
                  Teecee...Congrats on a great season to date!

                  If you don't mind me asking, what sites do you use to reference your stats?
                  Comment
                  • GGPLAYER
                    SBR MVP
                    • 03-26-09
                    • 2981

                    #219
                    Originally posted by teecee
                    May 21st:

                    BoSox, +122 1u
                    NYMets, +138 1u
                    Marlins, -101 t/w 1u
                    K.C., +100 1u
                    Brewers , +147 1u
                    LAA, +133 1u
                    B. Jays, +142 1u

                    Added for kicks:

                    4-teamer
                    Indians +1.5
                    Angels +1.5
                    B. Jays +1.5
                    M's -1.5 .5u to win 4.5u
                    I'm new to this system and way of betting so forgive me for all my questions. But I only started following you and Bad_Cat about a week and half ago and I'm wondering how these bets make a profit. I know your up since you started but I have had more losing days than winners since I began. Bad_Cat is gone after she flaked out in PiMikes Thread so now I've only been tailing your plays for the most part. But she did seem to find or add some filters that avoided many of the loses you seem to be having. Last Friday the system went 2-6 and last night it went 1-6....maybe there is something to having favs win on Friday night? I really don't know and I just throwing things out there for discussion at this point. But I also like to wait on these and watch the line movement. That saved me with the NYM and Mil games. There was also some difference of opinion on the Fla/ChiW game between you and DVB and I was leaning ChiW myself but went with Fla once I saw the line move to +105 on my book. Now looking back I should have seen that as a red flag and bet ChiW. Since you have been doing this most of the season I thought there might be some trends your seeing which we could use to filter out some plays? The going over +150 seems to be a good one....saved me a loss on Det because I almost bet that one as well. Something I have been doing is using the +1.5 line where it makes sense. I have noticed enough plays where the underdog only loses by 1 run and the +1.5 line had low enough juice to play it. Last night the Mets were only like -110 and to me that is safe and low enough to bet the "insurance" and avoid a cheap loss. Again this is all food for thought and I'm not knocking anything your doing. I really want to try and help and figure something out to where we're hitting a slightly higher number of plays. I see the value in these plays and I have given up playing high chalk games and getting crushed. Thanks for doing the work and posting the plays. It is much appreciated.
                    Comment
                    • bigsmitty
                      SBR MVP
                      • 04-12-10
                      • 3026

                      #220
                      Luck TeeCee et al. Ciao
                      Comment
                      • dvb02
                        SBR MVP
                        • 06-30-09
                        • 2941

                        #221
                        Originally posted by teecee
                        The Mariners are +100 at my book. Why not play the M's? What line did you see on their game?
                        The only reason I did not take the Mariners was because Richard was ranked 25th and I upped the pitcher filter to not going against the top 30; therefore, i guess they would be an official play by the system.

                        I ended up taking KC because Francis has only pitched 7 innings; but you are correct. His era is very good so maybe I should have laid off of it.

                        On another note, since I started playing this system just over a week ago, I am down just a little. I know you started playing it from the beginning of the season. Are you up so many units from the system or your personal plays (which I thought I read you were doing earlier in the season)?
                        Comment
                        • teecee
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 09-18-09
                          • 6298

                          #222
                          Originally posted by arthur
                          went 1-5 yesterday unless i'm mistaken?- i think the record needs updating

                          No shit. I don't feel like doing it everyday. where's your record?

                          Look, I'm sorry for that outburst, but I don't ever ask anyone what their record is and I don't need anyone asking for mine. I can delete my sig altogether. If people don't wanna find their own system, or cap their own games, that is beyond my problem.
                          Comment
                          • teecee
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 09-18-09
                            • 6298

                            #223
                            Originally posted by dvb02
                            The only reason I did not take the Mariners was because Richard was ranked 25th and I upped the pitcher filter to not going against the top 30; therefore, i guess they would be an official play by the system.

                            I ended up taking KC because Francis has only pitched 7 innings; but you are correct. His era is very good so maybe I should have laid off of it.

                            On another note, since I started playing this system just over a week ago, I am down just a little. I know you started playing it from the beginning of the season. Are you up so many units from the system or your personal plays (which I thought I read you were doing earlier in the season)?

                            A large, large, majority of the plays are system plays. About three weeks ago, I went 27-13, and was playing 1.5 and 2u. That is why I'm showing such a profit for a sorry record.
                            Comment
                            • teecee
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 09-18-09
                              • 6298

                              #224
                              Originally posted by GGPLAYER
                              I'm new to this system and way of betting so forgive me for all my questions. But I only started following you and Bad_Cat about a week and half ago and I'm wondering how these bets make a profit. I know your up since you started but I have had more losing days than winners since I began. Bad_Cat is gone after she flaked out in PiMikes Thread so now I've only been tailing your plays for the most part. But she did seem to find or add some filters that avoided many of the loses you seem to be having. Last Friday the system went 2-6 and last night it went 1-6....maybe there is something to having favs win on Friday night? I really don't know and I just throwing things out there for discussion at this point. But I also like to wait on these and watch the line movement. That saved me with the NYM and Mil games. There was also some difference of opinion on the Fla/ChiW game between you and DVB and I was leaning ChiW myself but went with Fla once I saw the line move to +105 on my book. Now looking back I should have seen that as a red flag and bet ChiW. Since you have been doing this most of the season I thought there might be some trends your seeing which we could use to filter out some plays? The going over +150 seems to be a good one....saved me a loss on Det because I almost bet that one as well. Something I have been doing is using the +1.5 line where it makes sense. I have noticed enough plays where the underdog only loses by 1 run and the +1.5 line had low enough juice to play it. Last night the Mets were only like -110 and to me that is safe and low enough to bet the "insurance" and avoid a cheap loss. Again this is all food for thought and I'm not knocking anything your doing. I really want to try and help and figure something out to where we're hitting a slightly higher number of plays. I see the value in these plays and I have given up playing high chalk games and getting crushed. Thanks for doing the work and posting the plays. It is much appreciated.
                              You should have started from the beginning of the season. April's plays led to ~+60u. May has been relatively bad, and that's probably when you started. Sorry you jumped in late, bud.

                              I've noticed alot of close losses, you are right. I've thought about hitting up the +1.5RL as well as the ML, but that adds to my total exposure, and I don't have a large enough bankroll to feel safe proceeding in that manner.
                              Comment
                              • Wilforth
                                Restricted User
                                • 05-10-08
                                • 16309

                                #225
                                Teecee,

                                I like what you're doing but don't waste your money on the Brewers. They can't "brew" anything.
                                Comment
                                • teecee
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 09-18-09
                                  • 6298

                                  #226
                                  Too late, Wilforth, already wasted.
                                  Comment
                                  • teecee
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 09-18-09
                                    • 6298

                                    #227
                                    Originally posted by KATCHASE
                                    Teecee...Congrats on a great season to date!

                                    If you don't mind me asking, what sites do you use to reference your stats?

                                    For the underdog system: USA Today; Sagarin pitcher ratings

                                    Anything else: Clean-up hitter, ESPN, Vegas Insider (probably forgetting something else).
                                    Comment
                                    • GGPLAYER
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 03-26-09
                                      • 2981

                                      #228
                                      Originally posted by teecee
                                      You should have started from the beginning of the season. April's plays led to ~+60u. May has been relatively bad, and that's probably when you started. Sorry you jumped in late, bud.

                                      I've noticed alot of close losses, you are right. I've thought about hitting up the +1.5RL as well as the ML, but that adds to my total exposure, and I don't have a large enough bankroll to feel safe proceeding in that manner.
                                      Wish I did follow since the start of the season. I was too busy doing chase systems until I got burned bad and found your and Bad_Cat's threads. I started to apply some of my own "common sense" filters the past few days. #1 rule I will NOT bet Mil. I skipped them last night and today. I also passed on KC because of what you said regarding Francis was spot on. I did not like Balt either in this spot. Maybe if they lost last night I would have considered it. There are some factors I use when looking at a game and taking the Birds today did not fit. So with that in mind I can't back Bos with Dice-K on the mound. I know your not suppose to pick and choose with a system like this but it's worked out pretty well this week. I went 2-1 with LAA and the Under hitting so I can live with that.
                                      Comment
                                      • teecee
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 09-18-09
                                        • 6298

                                        #229
                                        Cool, bro. Having a winning day is what it is all about. Nice job.
                                        Comment
                                        • teecee
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 09-18-09
                                          • 6298

                                          #230
                                          Originally posted by Wilforth
                                          Teecee,

                                          I like what you're doing but don't waste your money on the Brewers. They can't "brew" anything.

                                          Sure they can ... may I count heartache?
                                          Comment
                                          • TodaysAction
                                            Restricted User
                                            • 08-01-08
                                            • 12762

                                            #231
                                            GGPLAYER and teecee, belated, thank you.
                                            Comment
                                            • teecee
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 09-18-09
                                              • 6298

                                              #232
                                              Nooo. Thank you, TA.
                                              Comment
                                              • KATCHASE
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 01-06-10
                                                • 1755

                                                #233
                                                Originally posted by teecee
                                                For the underdog system: USA Today; Sagarin pitcher ratings

                                                Anything else: Clean-up hitter, ESPN, Vegas Insider (probably forgetting something else).
                                                Thanks teecee!!!
                                                Good Luck to you today!!!
                                                Comment
                                                • teecee
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 09-18-09
                                                  • 6298

                                                  #234
                                                  Comment
                                                  • teecee
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 09-18-09
                                                    • 6298

                                                    #235
                                                    May 23rd:

                                                    Cle, +110 1u
                                                    Orioles, +102 1u
                                                    Padres, +134 1u
                                                    LAA/StL U7, +100
                                                    NYM, +122 1u

                                                    Added:

                                                    K.C. -1.5, +145 1u
                                                    K.C., -146 t/w 2u
                                                    Comment
                                                    • teecee
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 09-18-09
                                                      • 6298

                                                      #236
                                                      Originally posted by teecee
                                                      May 21st:

                                                      BoSox, +122 1u
                                                      NYMets, +138 1u
                                                      Marlins, -101 t/w 1u
                                                      K.C., +100 1u
                                                      Brewers , +147 1u
                                                      LAA, +133 1u
                                                      B. Jays, +142 1u

                                                      Added for kicks:

                                                      4-teamer
                                                      Indians +1.5
                                                      Angels +1.5
                                                      B. Jays +1.5
                                                      M's -1.5 .5u to win 4.5u

                                                      1-7, -6u
                                                      Comment
                                                      • teecee
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 09-18-09
                                                        • 6298

                                                        #237
                                                        Originally posted by teecee
                                                        May 22nd:

                                                        Marlins, +113 1u
                                                        LAA, +129 1u
                                                        O's, +129 1u
                                                        Brewers, +121 1u
                                                        Red Sox, +127 1u

                                                        I'll see what happens with the total later. It's at 7.5 (-125) at my book right now. I'm not playing the Royals, as Jeff Francis is highly rated in the C category.

                                                        Ending up adding the total for S.F./Oak:

                                                        Added:

                                                        S.F./Oak U7.5, -115 t/w 1u

                                                        Not system plays:

                                                        A's, -115 t/w 1u
                                                        Rays, -148 t/w 1u
                                                        Rays -1.5, +110 1u
                                                        Yankees, -158 t/w 1u (I see shanty has the Mets, so I'm f-ed.)
                                                        Yankees -1.5, +100 1u

                                                        6-5, +1.1u
                                                        Comment
                                                        • teecee
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 09-18-09
                                                          • 6298

                                                          #238
                                                          Originally posted by teecee
                                                          May 23rd:

                                                          Cle, +110 1u
                                                          Orioles, +102 1u
                                                          Padres, +134 1u
                                                          LAA/StL U7, +100
                                                          NYM, +122 1u

                                                          Added:

                                                          K.C. -1.5, +145 1u
                                                          K.C., -146 t/w 2u

                                                          3-4, -2.3u
                                                          Comment
                                                          • teecee
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 09-18-09
                                                            • 6298

                                                            #239
                                                            May 24th:

                                                            Boston, +121 1u
                                                            Toronto, +106 1u

                                                            That's it for today, unless I decide to try and cap some losers! Good luck, boys and girls.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • teecee
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 09-18-09
                                                              • 6298

                                                              #240
                                                              May 25th:

                                                              Braves +1.5, -185 t/w 1u
                                                              Braves, +115 1u
                                                              Mets +1.5, -150 t/w 1u
                                                              Mets, +120 1u
                                                              Cubs, -105 t/w 1u
                                                              Astros +1.5, -155 t/w 1u
                                                              Astros, +138 1u
                                                              Nationals +1.5, -210 t/w 1u
                                                              Nationals, +105 1u

                                                              Indians +1.5, -145 t/w 1u
                                                              Indians, +123 1u
                                                              A's/O's U8, -110 t/w 1u
                                                              R. Sox +1.5, -210 t/w 1u
                                                              R. Sox, +105 1u
                                                              Twins +1.5, -160 t/w 1u
                                                              Twins, +102 1u
                                                              Royals +1.5, -130 t/w 1u
                                                              Royals, +125 1u
                                                              B. Jays, -112 t/w 1u
                                                              Tigers/M's U6.5, -110 t/w 1u

                                                              Ahh, yes indeed, it's fun times!
                                                              Comment
                                                              • bigsmitty
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 04-12-10
                                                                • 3026

                                                                #241
                                                                Good luck teecee.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • bigsmitty
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 04-12-10
                                                                  • 3026

                                                                  #242
                                                                  I like that A's/O's under call as well-should be a close game. Ciao
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • GGPLAYER
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 03-26-09
                                                                    • 2981

                                                                    #243
                                                                    Good luck tonight! When I suggested playing the +1.5 line I did not mean every game....just when the price was right. But I guess you have a plan here. I hope it pays out for you!!
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • teecee
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 09-18-09
                                                                      • 6298

                                                                      #244
                                                                      I understand the skepticism. I'm just tired of losing by an f-ing run. This roll started off as a free play, so it's not as if I'll be out anything if I do lose big.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • SportsPicks3434
                                                                        Restricted User
                                                                        • 05-20-10
                                                                        • 1338

                                                                        #245
                                                                        Hi teecee i see you play a few over/under's. Totals are what i do..I do not play any sides. Good luck to you and it will be fun to compare and contrast out total plays. I just started posting tonight.

                                                                        2010 MLB Totals Only Spreadsheet Plays
                                                                        Comment
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