Teecee, this post is not all all to bash or put down your work- I like seeing you win and I check ya out now and then. You are an underdog player and what I noticed is from time to time you play a big fave ml and runline, sometimes both plays with the same fav. If you stuck with just the dogs and did not play them occasional favs (ml or run line or sometimes both) your record would be even higher. Glad you are up units even with those favs that lose. I was curious as to the reasoning to play these favs when you do best with dogs? Keep up the good work and always stay positive.
-
Comment -
B/c I think I know what I'm doing, when in actuality, I really don't. I'm generally following a system for unders/dogs, of which I did not create, then add stupid gut picks that lose more often than they win.
I'm not offended at all, dude. Alot of the fave picks I come up with on my own flat out suck, so any criticism they may receive is warranted. I need to realize that if I'm not willing to spend some time actually breaking down matchups, I should just stick to the system. That is hard at times, and I need to try harder to not deviate from what I set out to do, which is play the unders/dogs system. Thanks for stopping by the thread, spippen.
Comment -
Teecee, I may be wrong, but it looks like there will be about 8 plays tonight also.Comment -
May 20th:
Cubs, +105 1u
Mets, +105 1u
Reds/Braves U7.5, -115 t/w 1u
Rocks/'stros U6.5, -125 t/w 1u
Royals, +115 1u
Angels, +109 1u
B. Jays/M's U7, -115 t/w 1u
Twins/R. Sox U8.5, -110 t/w 1u
Added:
A's, +100 1u
Brew Crew -2.5, +200 1u
looks as though you were correct, dvbComment -
Not that it matters a whole, but I hate when teams change pitchers overnight. I guess I could be wrong, but last night I saw that Buerhle was throwing against the Halos today. Oh well.Comment -
Buerhle is ranked A36 at Sagarin
Peavy is ranked A27 at Sagarin
The play does fit the mold, as you play the dog if the fave starter is outside the top 20, but as you can see, the play is not as strong. I locked these in last night, so I have no choice but to go with it.Comment -
I like your calls TeeCee. Changing the lineup last minute is annoying-almost as much as rain delays/postpones. Good luck Mr. Mohawk-I wonder why he's always laughing...?Comment -
Teecee, why did Pitt not make your plays?Comment -
[quote=bigsmitty;4645617]I like your calls TeeCee. Changing the lineup last minute is annoying-almost as much as rain delays/postpones. Good luck Mr. Mohawk-I wonder why he's always laughing...?[/quote]
He would not be laughing if he just saw that 2nd inning Hanson just puked on.Comment -
Hmmm, Braves or Indians fan I guess. Thought maybe it was the peace pipe thing-at any rate I was just funning around. Cheerio then.Comment -
My bad, smitty. I've been a Braves fan for 20+ years now. Not such a good day to be that, but hey, I live in the Cincinnati area, so at least I can say my hometown team rolled today.Comment -
No Worries TeeCee I didn't tail completely. Only needed a one run win for either side which I got, kind of a runline wager but not really-for 330 odds. Looked good this morning on paper but I had serious doubts at 9-1. CheersComment -
Teecee,
I'm also liking the Padres (+141).Comment -
Bases loaded, go TO you gutless jagoffs...CheersComment -
I don't know why I was b*tching about the pitching change in LAA/CWS game. It got cancelled b/c Buerhle was scheduled to pitch today. All that complaining and I forget to go back and make another wager on it.Comment -
4-4, +/-0u (EV)May 20th:
Cubs, +105 1u
Mets, +105 1u
Reds/Braves U7.5, -115 t/w 1u
Rocks/'stros U6.5, -125 t/w 1u
Royals, +115 1u
Angels, +109 1u
CANCELLED
B. Jays/M's U7, -115 t/w 1u
PUSH/CANCELLED
Twins/R. Sox U8.5, -110 t/w 1u
Added:
A's, +100 1u
Brew Crew -2.5, +200 1u 
looks as though you were correct, dvbComment -
May 21st:
BoSox, +122 1u
NYMets, +138 1u
Marlins, -101 t/w 1u
K.C., +100 1u
Brewers
, +147 1u
LAA, +133 1u
B. Jays, +142 1u
Added for kicks:
4-teamer
Indians +1.5
Angels +1.5
B. Jays +1.5
M's -1.5 .5u to win 4.5uComment -
10pts for anyone who starts at post #148 and figures my sides and totals record, as well as units won (May 14th thru the 20th). I know, I'm a lazy f*ck.Comment -
Presuming dogs were risking 1 unit ...
Your overall record is 173-165-0, 51.18% win rate and +46.85 units.
148/ 3-10, -6.25
160/ 5-2, +3.00
161/ 1-3, -1.80
170/ 1-7, -6.50
179/ 5-4, +2.20
195/ 4-4, even
I'll "settle" for five.
Comment -
Teecee, I have all the same as you except I have the White Sox in stead of the Marlins. My book had Fla -115 and CWS -105.
Also, are you not playing Det due to the line being higher than +150?Comment -
Today's Action: Thank you, sir.
dvb: You are correct. The Tigers did not meet ML requirement. The Marlins were -101 at my book, and the W. Sox were -109 (I believe).Comment -
I've Just decided to drop the sides and totals records from my sig. I get tired of trying to keep track of the individual categories, so I'll just go with the overall, which is all that really matters anyway.Comment -
Here's my advice, fwiw. If I logged in to my acct. and saw that the line was above/below (however it's said) +150, I would make it a no play. I selected my plays as soon as the lines came out at my book, so I'm already locked into the game.
The number on the Mets is now +144 at my book. If I were to make my plays now, the Mets would make the cut.
Just use your best judgment, GG. If the opening line had a team as a dog, and they move to a fave, I would still play it since they opened as dog. If a team opens as a +145 dog, and I go to make my play and they are at +155, I won't play it. Do what you think is best, it's your money.Comment -
good luck todayComment -
Thanks, buddy!
Comment -
Thanks TeeCee. CheersComment -
I really wanna take the Indians today, but they've lost 4 in row.
Comment
