So if you would of took Twins too, you would at least got 1-1. Haven't fully tried to understand to incremental bets you're doing to see if it makes since.
I haven't checked recent years but it seems more profitable to fade the teams off a shut out who are above 50%, as shown below. If you look at teams off getting shut out below 50% and at Home their next game, they actually have +0.9 ROI, while team above 50% and on the Road their next game are -4.0% ROI. I can add more filters and I'm sure increase the ROI even more, maybe later. In short, to increase your odds at hitting that first game or your overall chases, only bet on teams off a shut out who are above 50% winning percentage and on the Road, and don't play on teams below 50% and at Home after getting shutout, but of course, that's just the first game. And systems are nice, but match-ups should always be taken into to effect. GL
Teams after they got shut out
SU: |
1904-1987 (-0.06, 48.9%) |
avg line: -100.2 / -112.5 |
on / against: -$9,520 / -$10,322 |
ROI: -2.0% / -2.1% |
Teams that got shut out who are under 50%.
SU: |
950-1083 (-0.24, 46.7%) |
avg line: 116.0 / -129.2 |
on / against: -$2,811 / -$8,083 |
ROI: -1.2% / -2.9% |
Teams that got shut out who are over 50%.
SU: |
874-816 (0.19, 51.7%) |
avg line: -119.0 / 106.7 |
on / against: -$5,450 / -$2,701 |
ROI: -2.5% / -1.4% |
Teams that got shut out and under 50% and at Home their next game
SU: |
503-461 (-0.04, 52.2%) |
avg line: -107.9 / -103.3 |
on / against: +$1,017 / -$5,936 |
ROI: +0.9% / -5.2% |
Teams that got shut out and over 50% and on the Road their next game
SU: |
448-495 (0.04, 47.5%) |
avg line: 100.9 / -112.2 |
on / against: -$4,318 / -$43 |
ROI: -4.0% / -0.0% |