CK's 2025 MLB Thread

[atthehalf]

Load up on Cade Horton (Cubs) for tomorrow for the CRUMBS. Only 19% rostership and he has an arsenal that should work well against the Sailors bats. I'm excited to watch Horton develop this year with his cut-fastball and legit breakers. The Saiklors aren't enough of an obstacle to bench Horton

[atthehalf]

Ok now for my CRUMBS POD. I like Edward Cabrera (Fish) but he keeps getting removed early which isn't good for my league. I need 5 frames no matter what in order to qualify for a payout.

So I am just gonna be ignorant with it today and take a guy that absolutely NOBODY wants to get my 5/3/1/K/W.

Charlie Morton (Orioles)...just hear me out on this. Against Rays hitters he has K'd up 27.5% with a .133 AVG with an average exit velo of just 88.9 MPH. Then his xwOBA is .317 on top of that. He only has (with good reason) 10% rostership. He's been better since returning to the rotation, but we all know how low the floor is. I just need him to be good TODAY and give me an opportunity at a share split on 90% and I can bring home close to 5 grand or more (if he has better stats straight up against Rasmussen) as Rasmussen has 80% of the pot and then there are the additional 10% of scragglers who drafted Rasmussen for today. Those guys are willfully dumb as they should have already had Rasmussen rostered up from day 1

[atthehalf]

OMG the boos in Yankee Stadium are insane

[atthehalf]

Oh wow! The Twinkies and the Red Leggins are blasting away! Well 0-1 to start the day with this one

[atthehalf]

SIDES


2: 00 Pale Hose+0.5 FF-125 Burke
2:00 Brews+110 Peralta
4:00 Giants-1.5 +120 RL Webb

[atthehalf]

I predict a few week Heater for you! Thanks for your knowledge and writeups!

I am on a heater-just in fantasy league LOL! I am demolishing the competition 59-24. Conventional is much harder because of managerial decisions (for example bringing in a guy to close out a game with a 6.58 ERA

[atthehalf]

TOTALS


12:30 Twinkies/Red Leggins UNDER 9.5 Paddack/Martinez
1:00 Rox/Nats UNDER 9.5 Dollander/Williams
2:00 Brews/Cubs UNDER 8.5 Peralta/Tallon
2:00 Cardinals/Pale Hose UNDER 9 Fedde/Burke

[matt711]

I predict a few week Heater for you! Thanks for your knowledge and writeups!

[atthehalf]

Then I turn the channel and the Royals bullpen is giving it up too LOL! I don't se how anyone can get ahead to far in MLB conventional betting-the bullpens are the ones that kiss your money goodbye

[atthehalf]

Mitchel Parker needs to be removed from the game RIGHT NOW! 6 frames with 8 K's and 0 walks sounds like a wonderful payday for me fantasy wise

[atthehalf]

The Orioles bullpen is uh..yeah...NO! How do you go from being up 8-0 to being tied 8-8 LOL! I have taken some of the weirdest losses this season

[atthehalf]

SIDES

8:00 Royals-135 Bubic
7:35 Orioles-104 (Rogers)
9:30 Guardians+115 Allen
8:00 Brews+130 Misiorowski


TOTALS


7:00 Snakes/Jays UNDER 9 Rodriguez/Lauer
7:00 Twinkies/Red leggins UNDER 9 Ober/Lodolo
7:30 Orioles/Rays UNDER 9 Rogers/Bradley
8:00 Brews/Cubs UNDER 8 Misiorowski/Taillon
7:30 Cardinals.Pale Hose UNDER 8.5 Gray/Burke

EXOTICS

Brews+130/UNDER 8 +335 ODDS

[atthehalf]

Soroka yesterdays win with 6 frames 9 K's and 2 walks gave me a tidy profit of an 82% share bringing my CRUMBS POD Streamer record to 58-24.

Today's CRUMBS POD is Mitchellparker (Nats) with a stunning 8% rostership and an arsenal that's pretty decent against the Rox lineup. Of course if you take them their bullpen will kill your money. I had some awful bullpen losses yesterday but it is what it is. Okay my sides and totals are on the next post

[atthehalf]

Red Sox-125 Crochet 3 UNITS

[teecee]

My lord, the Nats are getting punked by the Rockies. I'm sure they'll be -250 tomorrow. Sheesh!

I was wrong. -175 or greater for every game of the series for a nearly last place team. Wow!

[atthehalf]

Damn. Interesting stat

The Guardians have struck out against lefties 33.5% of the time with 182 K's in 61 games...YIKES!

So Robbie Ray has a K's line of 6.5 but it's juiced. I say the juice is worth the squeeze. Vic Carapazza averages 17.4 K's per game

Squeeze it man. Squeeze it

Giants (Ray) OVER 6.5 K's -122

[atthehalf]

Ok just added on some more moves for the LATE SLOT


9:30 Guardians/Giants OVER 7 Cecconi/Ray
10:00 Astronauts/A's UNDER 11 Alexander/Sears
10:00 Fathers/Dodgers UNDER 10 Vasquez/Dreyer
10:00 A's+108 Sears 2 UNITS

[atthehalf]

https://www.facebook.com/share/r/1AWApU594r/

[atthehalf]

Let's get it!

[atthehalf]

TOTALS


6:45 Rox/Nats UNDER 9 Senzatela/Soroka 3 UNITS
8:00 Brews/Cubs UNDER 9.5 Patrick/Brown 3 UNITS

SIDES

7:00 Snakes+105 Pfaadt
7:00 Twinkies+108 Festa
7:30 Orioles+103 Kremer

6 WAY ML PARLAY +1302 ODDS


Tigers -208 ML Mize
Sailors-173 ML Woo
Braves-141 Holmes
Bombers-225 Warren
Nats-200 ML Soroka
Giants-151 Ray

[atthehalf]

My CRUMBS POD for today is

Michael Soroka (Nats) (Rostership 5%) It's the Rox and he should throw his curve incessantly; and with a return of a 95% share makes this one an easy choice folks

[atthehalf]

Bullpen implosion in Washington. And the collateral damage continues for me. Everything was set up with a 4-3 top of the ninth-now tied up at 4

[atthehalf]

No way Ohtani is going to be sharp nor going a long time for first start-and yet to a man almost everyone in the group is streaming him-he's at 94%....they are being willfully ignorant and donating money given the fact that he won't go the 5 frames...

[atthehalf]

Ah there it is! Irvin is out for the 7th. Cha ching!

[atthehalf]

Ah man! Irvin with 6 frames so far and 5 K's and 1 walk on 91 pitches. All of me hopes that their manager removes him from the game so that I can get my share of that 82% payout. Fingers crossed

[atthehalf]

Big discussion in the discord about the Bombers offensive woes recently against mediocre arms. In my opinion it's not so much the amount of hits which is fine-it's when they are happening that's the cause for concern. Over the last 10 days the Bombers lead the league in a bad category-runners left on base and are 28th in 2 out hits. Without Soto they don't really have guys around Judge that are the quintessential prototypes for hitting for average-also without Giancarlo Stanton in the lineup Judge has not real protection. So he's gonna see a lions share of high and inside 4 seamers and sinkers

[atthehalf]

Don't worry y'all-the UNDERS are going to make a big comeback this week starting today. Fantasy wise I have looked over this week's matchups and found some really good arms in action against one another-which is key.

Tyler Holton ended up starting for the Tigers yesterday which cancelled my move on Gipson-Long. Today I am on Jake Irvin (18% rostership) against the Rox who are fresh off of beating the stuffing out of the Braves Grant Holmes. He's not the best arm around but this is the Rox and I seriously doubt that they can repeat that performance.

My CRUMBS Streamer record stands at 56-23 since yesterday was a cancel. Just need to get straight on these conventional moves LOL! I will post my record at the end of the day today for those once The Action network posts everything

[atthehalf]

Adding on

Astronauts-150 McCullers

Huge arm advantage in this one

[atthehalf]

6/16/25

Blunts/Fish UNDER 8.5 Abel/Alcantara
Rox/Nats UNDER 9 Palmquist/Irvin
Fathers/Dodgers UNDER 9 Cease/Casparius
Halos/Bombers UNDER 8.5 Soriano/Schmidt
Orioles/Rays UNDER 9 Eflin/Pepiot
Red Sox/Sailors UNDER 7.5 Giolito/Gilbert
Dodgers-138 Casparius
Fish+116 Alcantara

CRUMBS POD Jake Irvin (Nats) 18% ownership

[atthehalf]

Strange but true-this is Hard Rock sportsbook backed

Giants+154 Harrison

[atthehalf]

Giants/Dodgers UNDER 9 Harrison/May (Bucknor 8.08)

[atthehalf]

Alright-first move

12:00 Red Leggins/Tigers UNDER 9 Miley/Gipson-Long (Barrett 8.85)

I didn't have my notes in front of me-I was supposed to go to another site for the umpire CURRENT information after finding the assignment info on swish. Swish gives numbers complied over 3 seasons and not the current season. This was the only one I messed up on

[atthehalf]

Big board has been updated.

[atthehalf]

The A's and Royals bullpens are SHOT and this one could hit that over late in the game as desperation sets in for the Royals who don't want to be swept at home

[atthehalf]

A's/Royals UNDER 4.5 FF Springs/Cameron

There's a method to the madness yall