2-0-0 on Friday and planning to sleep ALOT on Saturday, so figured I'd chime in early. Feel free to discuss your favorite overs today.
Reds-Marlins Over 9.5 (-120)
Livingston makes his 4th start for Cincy in this one. His totals have gone over in 2 of 3 starts despite him pitching pretty well. Marlins finally broke out at home last night vs. Lohse and they've hit lefties above .280 at home, so I think they can get to this guy for a few. BK Kim on the other side is a great over bet at home. He got hit for 5 runs against STL earlier this week and despite that under, his home starts have gone over in 4 of 6. This will be a nail biter, but I think we can squeak this one out.
Giants-Brewers Over 8.5 (-120)
Lincecum has been pitching lights out lately ... but, there's always a BUT. His day starts have hit the over 4 of 4 and his away starts 4 of 6. That includes Milwaukee hitting him hard for 6 runs back in June at Miller Park, so despite his stuff, they know they can hit him. Dave Bush has been equally impressive of late for MIL. However, 3 of his last 5 home starts have gone over today's posted total. This one may also be a close call, but I like Bonds to stick it to Selig somewhere on this trip for the Giants - so why not today?
KC-DET Over 9 (-120)
De La Rosa is the key to this one. If he perserveres and can get the ball to the bullpen, the over is shot. However, I think DET can get to him. He had one great start vs. DET at home and one mediocre one at Comerica where he yielded 5 runs in a 7-6 game. I expect DET to come back with a vengeance on SAT after being shut down on FRI. They've hit over .300 vs. lefties at home. Verlander meanwhile has been downright hittable of late. His games have also gone OVER an incredible 8 of 9 at home this season. So no matter what he throws, it seems El Tigres find a way to pile those runs on.
Reds-Marlins Over 9.5 (-120)
Livingston makes his 4th start for Cincy in this one. His totals have gone over in 2 of 3 starts despite him pitching pretty well. Marlins finally broke out at home last night vs. Lohse and they've hit lefties above .280 at home, so I think they can get to this guy for a few. BK Kim on the other side is a great over bet at home. He got hit for 5 runs against STL earlier this week and despite that under, his home starts have gone over in 4 of 6. This will be a nail biter, but I think we can squeak this one out.
Giants-Brewers Over 8.5 (-120)
Lincecum has been pitching lights out lately ... but, there's always a BUT. His day starts have hit the over 4 of 4 and his away starts 4 of 6. That includes Milwaukee hitting him hard for 6 runs back in June at Miller Park, so despite his stuff, they know they can hit him. Dave Bush has been equally impressive of late for MIL. However, 3 of his last 5 home starts have gone over today's posted total. This one may also be a close call, but I like Bonds to stick it to Selig somewhere on this trip for the Giants - so why not today?
KC-DET Over 9 (-120)
De La Rosa is the key to this one. If he perserveres and can get the ball to the bullpen, the over is shot. However, I think DET can get to him. He had one great start vs. DET at home and one mediocre one at Comerica where he yielded 5 runs in a 7-6 game. I expect DET to come back with a vengeance on SAT after being shut down on FRI. They've hit over .300 vs. lefties at home. Verlander meanwhile has been downright hittable of late. His games have also gone OVER an incredible 8 of 9 at home this season. So no matter what he throws, it seems El Tigres find a way to pile those runs on.
