Ugly start to Wednesday, but the night plays showed a nice profit to get most of it back. Still lost about a unit and a half, but considering where things stood around 5:00, I'm not complaining. The first one is a pretty big play for me, the second I played for a regular amount.
Twins +116 (Baker/Bonderman)
I'm starting to really like Baker, I've played him a couple times recently and won both times. He's 3-1 with four very good starts his last five outings. The lone loss was to these Tigers, but he gave up only three hits and one walk in a complete game loss. His last two home starts have been brilliant (12 K and 11 baserunners in 13 IP), and the righty-righty splits and bullpens both favor the Twins here.
Bonderman was great in beating Baker in that recent meeting, but his career numbers at the Metrodome (1-5, 6.86 ERA, 1.77 WHIP, .360 BAA) and his very ordinary overall road numbers suggest that he isn't likely to repeat that performance.
Blue Jays +205 (McGowan/Wang)
Interesting game here. The Yankees go for the sweep with their best pitcher, and even though Wang has been impeccable at home recently, McGowan is the kind of pitcher that really shouldn't ever be receiving 2-1. He has the potential to be dominant, and he has shown the ability to follow a bad start with a great one. Seven of his last ten starts were quality starts. After the first two non-quality starts, here's how he responded:
9.0 IP, 1 hit, 1 BB, 0 runs
7.0 IP, 4 hits, 2 BB, 0 runs
The Yankees might beat him 10-3. But when he's on, he's good enough to shut them down. The Blue Jays have a similar bullpen and only a slightly inferior lineup. Overlay.
That's it and that's all. I did take a little Tiger at 3-1 to win the Open.
Twins +116 (Baker/Bonderman)
I'm starting to really like Baker, I've played him a couple times recently and won both times. He's 3-1 with four very good starts his last five outings. The lone loss was to these Tigers, but he gave up only three hits and one walk in a complete game loss. His last two home starts have been brilliant (12 K and 11 baserunners in 13 IP), and the righty-righty splits and bullpens both favor the Twins here.
Bonderman was great in beating Baker in that recent meeting, but his career numbers at the Metrodome (1-5, 6.86 ERA, 1.77 WHIP, .360 BAA) and his very ordinary overall road numbers suggest that he isn't likely to repeat that performance.
Blue Jays +205 (McGowan/Wang)
Interesting game here. The Yankees go for the sweep with their best pitcher, and even though Wang has been impeccable at home recently, McGowan is the kind of pitcher that really shouldn't ever be receiving 2-1. He has the potential to be dominant, and he has shown the ability to follow a bad start with a great one. Seven of his last ten starts were quality starts. After the first two non-quality starts, here's how he responded:
9.0 IP, 1 hit, 1 BB, 0 runs
7.0 IP, 4 hits, 2 BB, 0 runs
The Yankees might beat him 10-3. But when he's on, he's good enough to shut them down. The Blue Jays have a similar bullpen and only a slightly inferior lineup. Overlay.
That's it and that's all. I did take a little Tiger at 3-1 to win the Open.
