Questions on your system....TA...in layman's terms...it grades plays....how ???, do you" tweak it' after a few losers ???..none of my business...just looking for the fundamentals.......on totals,sides,runlines, etc...do not have to answer this....I am not a systems guy...................
I stick to the system for it provides a good return for each season. If things need an adjustment because a high or low frequency has been happening, over 70% for 100 games) there is room to tweak, most times once it's set for the season, there is no need to adjust it. To me, at some point you'll find a system is a good way to good.
Originally posted by dodger33
Real strong feeling about the Dodger under tomorrow.
Thanks for sharing it in here.
Originally posted by dodger33
With Wakefield on the mound this game will have plenty of runs. I like it!
Whole number is the better play, in my opinion.
Comment
TodaysAction
Restricted User
08-01-08
12762
#5883
Originally posted by Kimbu
Anytime Terry. All that hard work doesn't go unappreciated!
Sent you mail since your PM inbox has been full.
Response sent.
Originally posted by dynamitappletini
Good Luck on the Second Half TA!
Thank you and to you you as well.
Originally posted by jolmscheid
Alright TA Baby, let's start off this second half with a bang! Let's go big score for the Red Sox!
One game does not define a season, with your action.
Comment
TodaysAction
Restricted User
08-01-08
12762
#5884
Originally posted by Full Time Hobo
Going to be tailing all of your plays man to us!
We should have a good time Full Time Hobo.
Comment
TTA_President
SBR MVP
07-14-10
1434
#5885
Cant wait to see the new half
Comment
DaProfessor23
SBR MVP
12-07-08
1180
#5886
Originally posted by TodaysAction
7:10pm, TX & BOS, 10 +100 PIN & DIA,
to those on this wager.
looks good . im on it
Comment
dodger33
SBR MVP
08-14-09
3962
#5887
Originally posted by TodaysAction
7:10pm, ATL, -164 5D, 8:15pm, STL, -119 BJM, 8:10pm, MN, -108 BM, to those on these teams and wagers.
Getting to it early, I love it! Good luck on the start of the 2nd half!
Got the email, thank you!
Comment
VegasPlayer
SBR MVP
07-27-09
3676
#5888
Thank for the early plays - New shift starts 2 hours before 1st pitch. Stuck there for 6 months.
Comment
Tomasitas
SBR MVP
02-17-10
1174
#5889
Thanks for EARLY plays ,lets have fun
Comment
tony_come
SBR Posting Legend
03-31-10
21695
#5890
Twins/wsox under Thursday
"it's your money"
Comment
sweethook
SBR Posting Legend
11-21-07
12667
#5891
looking up texas game. i like the over as well and even boston at home BOL.
Comment
scyred
SBR Sharp
03-10-10
304
#5892
good luck TA.
lets have a successful 2nd half!
Comment
SEAHAWKHARRY
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
11-29-07
26068
#5893
looks good ta
Comment
JR007
SBR Hall of Famer
02-21-10
5279
#5894
Thanks for responding
Comment
JR007
SBR Hall of Famer
02-21-10
5279
#5895
Let's start in the National League, where THREE surprise teams would have won their divisions if the playoffs started today. Can Atlanta, Cincinnati, and San Diego hold on and reach October? Or, are more traditional favorites like Philadelphia, St. Louis, and the LA Dodgers ready to make their move? NL EAST
As we mentioned over the weekend, Atlanta has a bigger lead than it seems in the NL East because they've only played 40 home games, compared to 48 road games. The second place NY Mets are 46-42 the other direction. Philadelphia is 42-45 with more road games...which means they're better than it looks in relation to the Mets, but not the Braves.
So...that four-game lead you see in your Thursday morning newspaper is more like five or five and a half. And, it's being held by a talented, balanced, productive squad that's just obliterating people at home. Atlanta's in great shape!
There are no sure things in baseball, particularly with more than 70 games left. Philadelphia showed signs of life with that four-game sweep of the Reds. If the back end of their starting rotation steadies...then we could see a real fight at the top. The Mets have some work to do, with their pitching tough to trust, and a misleading schedule creating a bit of an illusion. NL CENTRAL
Cincinnati is similar to the Mets in both won-lost record and home/road split. That means we're not as enthusiastic about their chances as others might be. St. Louis has a 42-46 home/road split in favor of road games...meaning they're basically the same as Philadelphia. We think the Phils have a good chance to outlast the Mets (but less so the Braves). Therefore, we think St. Louis has a good chance to outlast the Reds.
We're also very skeptical of Dusty Baker. He tends to be successful when his best pitchers are getting overworked, then his teams collapse once the arms break down. This first half has seen some overwork. Baker just doesn't have the pedigree of a guy who can win a division unless he catches breaks in the injury department.
It's really a two-team division at this point. Nobody else is within eight games of .500. Nobody else really matters except in the role of potential spoiler against the contenders come September. NL WEST
This could be a really great race.
*San Diego is in first place by two games, but has had a slightly home friendly schedule (46-42), and is so inexperienced that it's tough to expect them to stay on top the whole way.
*Colorado has enjoyed an even friendlier schedule so far (47-41 in the home road split), which means they may be a false contender in a sense. This is a team that reached the postseason two years ago, and one with veterans who know how to stay focused over the long haul.
*The LA Dodgers have the same 46-42 home/road split as San Diego, but has a lot more going for it in our view. Los Angeles had a brutal Interleague schedule, which has them further back in the standings than they should be. If only National League games were counted, they'd be in first place by three games. If you only look at the NL West head-to-head, then the Dodgers stand out BY A MILE NL WEST VS. EACH OTHER
LA Dodgers 23-6
Colorado 21-16
San Diego 16-15
San Francisco 9-20
Arizona 10-22
These teams will see a lot of each other because of the unbalanced divisional schedules. The Dodgers are still the favorite to win the division unless one of these other teams can establish some superiority head-to-head
*San Francisco is only four games back, which is closer than Philadelphia is to Atlanta. We're pessimistic about the Giants because their starting rotation began to look tired in recent weeks. They did end well against the struggling Nationals. You just saw their poor record within the division. Tough to support their cause.
We make the Dodgers the favorites here, with Colorado most likely to hang with them the longest. Great futures in San Diego and San Francisco though with their young talent. AL EAST
What's there to say? You know the NY Yankees, Tampa Bay, and Boston are likely to be in a dogfight. A rash of injuries could end up disqualifying one of them (which is possibly happening to Boston already). It's a three-team reace like usual.
We will point out again though that the Yankees have been battling a poor home/road split much of the season. That will eventually even out. Right now They've played 41 home games and 47 road games, compared to 46-42 for Tampa Bay and Boston both. So, the two-game and five-game leads you see in the standings are actually bigger than that. The Yankees have the best record in baseball despite an unfriendly schedule. They're even BETTER than you think.
You have to make the Yanks the favorites to win this division, the league, and the World Series given their level of play, and given their ability to buy replacement parts if needed. AL CENTRAL
The Chicago White Sox got hot during Interleague play, and kept right on winning. So much for regression to the mean! The key has been quality pitching from the full rotation rather than just the top. You get that for six months and you're the winner. Can the guys behind John Danks pull that off? Or, is 'normal' enough to get the job done? In the AL East we'd say know. In the AL Central, somebody has to win, and 'normal' may actually do it.
Detroit is just a half game back, but is dealing with inconsistency from its rotation. More specifically they're pitching great at home but lousy on the road. Detroit's actually one of the worst road teams in the AL thus far. You don't win a division without at least treading water on the road.
Minnesota has been in a bit of a freefall lately. Their pitchers have let them down. The buzz of the new stadium is wearing off. If an offensive stud gets hurt and misses a couple of days, there's not a lot of depth to pick up the slack. The good news is that they're right back where they need to be if veteran pitchers find their old form. Currently, things aren't looking very good.
It's hard to love somebody here because the White Sox kind of HAVE to cool off, and the other two teams have blemishes. For now, the Sox have the most going for them. AL WEST
Texas has been the big story of the year in this division. Just be aware that they've played 50 home games and 38 road games, by far the friendliest schedule in baseball. The glut of road games coming up may actually be good news though. Newly acquired Cliff Lee has a very poor history in Texas! A lost series to Baltimore to wrap up the first half may have been a sign of fatigue...or a reminder that the Rangers aren't quite as good as everyone thinks. We like the young pitchers. We like the can-do attitude Nolan Ryan has brought to the team. We're keeping our heads on straight though.
The Angels looked like they'd be great competition for the Rangers, but dropped eight of their last 10 games to end the first half. At least they weren't losing to Baltimore! Still, that temporary run of championship caliber baseball a few weeks ago looks to be a case of a team playing over its heads.
Oakland and Seattle are way off the pace, really only having a chance of Texas falls off the map.
Okay...that sets the stage for your weekend baseball. Here are the series we'll be paying the most attention to:
Tampa Bay at NY Yankees
Texas at Boston
Chicago White Sox at Minnesota
LA Dodgers at St. Louis
Colorado at Cincinnati
NY Mets at San Francisco
Comment
bdavies26
SBR High Roller
07-06-10
188
#5896
Picks look good tonight TA. Here's to a good second half!
Comment
VegasPlayer
SBR MVP
07-27-09
3676
#5897
Good luck on the second half Terry even though I believe one makes one's own.
Comment
Ditaln1
SBR Wise Guy
11-26-07
588
#5898
Hey Terry. I haven't been around all year, been taking it easy this year. Just wanted to drop by and say hello to you. Hope all is well, family and all !
Comment
bolekblues
SBR Sharp
12-06-08
420
#5899
Let's start the second part off the season from a high note. GL with today's picks.
Comment
godhelpme
SBR Rookie
07-05-10
47
#5900
With you TA, except for the Twinkies w no Morneau, wont make a play on that game(also the Sox are my team). GL to all lets get this 2nd half money!!!!!!
Comment
TodaysAction
Restricted User
08-01-08
12762
#5901
Originally posted by VegasPlayer
Thank for the early plays - New shift starts 2 hours before 1st pitch. Stuck there for 6 months.
Sorry your shift got moved again.
Originally posted by Tomasitas
Thanks for EARLY plays ,lets have fun
Originally posted by tony_come
Twins/wsox under Thursday
"it's your money"
Thanks for sharing tony_come and
Originally posted by sweethook
looking up texas game. i like the over as well and even boston at home BOL.
Originally posted by scyred
good luck TA.
lets have a successful 2nd half!
Thank you scyred and to you as well.
Comment
TodaysAction
Restricted User
08-01-08
12762
#5902
Originally posted by SEAHAWKHARRY
looks good ta
Thank you Harry.
Originally posted by JR007
Thanks for responding
Anytime JR, anytime.
Originally posted by bdavies26
Picks look good tonight TA. Here's to a good second half!
Thank you bdavies25 and to you this second half as well.
Originally posted by VegasPlayer
Good luck on the second half Terry even though I believe one makes one's own.
Thank you VP - the fate of wishing one well is a good thing that rewards it's senders ten fold.
Originally posted by Ditaln1
Hey Terry. I haven't been around all year, been taking it easy this year. Just wanted to drop by and say hello to you. Hope all is well, family and all !
Nice to see you again Ditaln/Ixxx! It is what it is and that's all that it is.
Comment
WalkingLuckCharm
SBR MVP
06-07-10
4192
#5903
best of luck. on texas hard
Comment
TodaysAction
Restricted User
08-01-08
12762
#5904
Originally posted by bolekblues
Let's start the second part off the season from a high note. GL with today's picks.
As Hanabel would say, "I love it when a plan comes together!"
Originally posted by godhelpme
With you TA, except for the Twinkies w no Morneau, wont make a play on that game(also the Sox are my team). GL to all lets get this 2nd half money!!!!!!
It's ok godhelpme, it's your money and I wish you much success.
Comment
TodaysAction
Restricted User
08-01-08
12762
#5905
Originally posted by JR007
Let's start in the National League, where THREE surprise teams would have won their divisions if the playoffs started today. Can Atlanta, Cincinnati, and San Diego hold on and reach October? Or, are more traditional favorites like Philadelphia, St. Louis, and the LA Dodgers ready to make their move? NL EAST
As we mentioned over the weekend, Atlanta has a bigger lead than it seems in the NL East because they've only played 40 home games, compared to 48 road games. The second place NY Mets are 46-42 the other direction. Philadelphia is 42-45 with more road games...which means they're better than it looks in relation to the Mets, but not the Braves.
So...that four-game lead you see in your Thursday morning newspaper is more like five or five and a half. And, it's being held by a talented, balanced, productive squad that's just obliterating people at home. Atlanta's in great shape!
There are no sure things in baseball, particularly with more than 70 games left. Philadelphia showed signs of life with that four-game sweep of the Reds. If the back end of their starting rotation steadies...then we could see a real fight at the top. The Mets have some work to do, with their pitching tough to trust, and a misleading schedule creating a bit of an illusion. NL CENTRAL
Cincinnati is similar to the Mets in both won-lost record and home/road split. That means we're not as enthusiastic about their chances as others might be. St. Louis has a 42-46 home/road split in favor of road games...meaning they're basically the same as Philadelphia. We think the Phils have a good chance to outlast the Mets (but less so the Braves). Therefore, we think St. Louis has a good chance to outlast the Reds.
We're also very skeptical of Dusty Baker. He tends to be successful when his best pitchers are getting overworked, then his teams collapse once the arms break down. This first half has seen some overwork. Baker just doesn't have the pedigree of a guy who can win a division unless he catches breaks in the injury department.
It's really a two-team division at this point. Nobody else is within eight games of .500. Nobody else really matters except in the role of potential spoiler against the contenders come September. NL WEST
This could be a really great race.
*San Diego is in first place by two games, but has had a slightly home friendly schedule (46-42), and is so inexperienced that it's tough to expect them to stay on top the whole way.
*Colorado has enjoyed an even friendlier schedule so far (47-41 in the home road split), which means they may be a false contender in a sense. This is a team that reached the postseason two years ago, and one with veterans who know how to stay focused over the long haul.
*The LA Dodgers have the same 46-42 home/road split as San Diego, but has a lot more going for it in our view. Los Angeles had a brutal Interleague schedule, which has them further back in the standings than they should be. If only National League games were counted, they'd be in first place by three games. If you only look at the NL West head-to-head, then the Dodgers stand out BY A MILE NL WEST VS. EACH OTHER
LA Dodgers 23-6
Colorado 21-16
San Diego 16-15
San Francisco 9-20
Arizona 10-22
These teams will see a lot of each other because of the unbalanced divisional schedules. The Dodgers are still the favorite to win the division unless one of these other teams can establish some superiority head-to-head
*San Francisco is only four games back, which is closer than Philadelphia is to Atlanta. We're pessimistic about the Giants because their starting rotation began to look tired in recent weeks. They did end well against the struggling Nationals. You just saw their poor record within the division. Tough to support their cause.
We make the Dodgers the favorites here, with Colorado most likely to hang with them the longest. Great futures in San Diego and San Francisco though with their young talent. AL EAST
What's there to say? You know the NY Yankees, Tampa Bay, and Boston are likely to be in a dogfight. A rash of injuries could end up disqualifying one of them (which is possibly happening to Boston already). It's a three-team reace like usual.
We will point out again though that the Yankees have been battling a poor home/road split much of the season. That will eventually even out. Right now They've played 41 home games and 47 road games, compared to 46-42 for Tampa Bay and Boston both. So, the two-game and five-game leads you see in the standings are actually bigger than that. The Yankees have the best record in baseball despite an unfriendly schedule. They're even BETTER than you think.
You have to make the Yanks the favorites to win this division, the league, and the World Series given their level of play, and given their ability to buy replacement parts if needed. AL CENTRAL
The Chicago White Sox got hot during Interleague play, and kept right on winning. So much for regression to the mean! The key has been quality pitching from the full rotation rather than just the top. You get that for six months and you're the winner. Can the guys behind John Danks pull that off? Or, is 'normal' enough to get the job done? In the AL East we'd say know. In the AL Central, somebody has to win, and 'normal' may actually do it.
Detroit is just a half game back, but is dealing with inconsistency from its rotation. More specifically they're pitching great at home but lousy on the road. Detroit's actually one of the worst road teams in the AL thus far. You don't win a division without at least treading water on the road.
Minnesota has been in a bit of a freefall lately. Their pitchers have let them down. The buzz of the new stadium is wearing off. If an offensive stud gets hurt and misses a couple of days, there's not a lot of depth to pick up the slack. The good news is that they're right back where they need to be if veteran pitchers find their old form. Currently, things aren't looking very good.
It's hard to love somebody here because the White Sox kind of HAVE to cool off, and the other two teams have blemishes. For now, the Sox have the most going for them. AL WEST
Texas has been the big story of the year in this division. Just be aware that they've played 50 home games and 38 road games, by far the friendliest schedule in baseball. The glut of road games coming up may actually be good news though. Newly acquired Cliff Lee has a very poor history in Texas! A lost series to Baltimore to wrap up the first half may have been a sign of fatigue...or a reminder that the Rangers aren't quite as good as everyone thinks. We like the young pitchers. We like the can-do attitude Nolan Ryan has brought to the team. We're keeping our heads on straight though.
The Angels looked like they'd be great competition for the Rangers, but dropped eight of their last 10 games to end the first half. At least they weren't losing to Baltimore! Still, that temporary run of championship caliber baseball a few weeks ago looks to be a case of a team playing over its heads.
Oakland and Seattle are way off the pace, really only having a chance of Texas falls off the map.
Okay...that sets the stage for your weekend baseball. Here are the series we'll be paying the most attention to:
Tampa Bay at NY Yankees
Texas at Boston
Chicago White Sox at Minnesota
LA Dodgers at St. Louis
Colorado at Cincinnati
NY Mets at San Francisco
Thanks for posting this JR007. It makes a good read and could be helpful.
Comment
TodaysAction
Restricted User
08-01-08
12762
#5906
Special thanks to Gee and JR007, they are appreciated.
Comment
TodaysAction
Restricted User
08-01-08
12762
#5907
10:15pm, SF, -166 5D,
10:05pm, LAA -154 BOL,
to those on these teams and wagers.
Comment
dvb02
SBR MVP
06-30-09
2941
#5908
Good luck tonight TA.
Comment
Ryan138
SBR MVP
05-24-10
1345
#5909
Gl!!
Comment
TodaysAction
Restricted User
08-01-08
12762
#5910
8:05pm, PHI, +124 5D,
to those on this team and wager.
Comment
TodaysAction
Restricted User
08-01-08
12762
#5911
Originally posted by dvb02
Good luck tonight TA.
Originally posted by Ryan138
Gl!!
Thank you and you both as well.
Comment
jolmscheid
Restricted User
02-20-10
3256
#5912
Let's get some W's tonight TA!
Comment
TodaysAction
Restricted User
08-01-08
12762
#5913
Originally posted by jolmscheid
Let's get some W's tonight TA!
I hope so jolmscheid. Win or lose, one night should not define a season and it will be yesterday's news after the last game. Then it'll be time to start on Friday's card.
Comment
mebaran
SBR MVP
09-16-09
1540
#5914
Lot of plays from you tonight, hopefully all teams are playing close to their "pre-break" ability tonight.
on all of them.
Comment
TodaysAction
Restricted User
08-01-08
12762
#5915
Straight action can be found at the link below as well: