Santana +500 to win Cy Young?

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  • rjt721
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 02-06-07
    • 7929

    #1
    Santana +500 to win Cy Young?
    Greek has odds up for the AL Cy Young. I'm very surprised to see Santana at +500. Haren (+300) and Verlander (+350) have the smallest odds, while Sabathia is also +500.

    Haren was the best pitcher for the first half, but he's been far less effective lately, and with Oakland's anemic offense he will have a hard time getting enough W's to win the award.

    Verlander's been relatively consistent and the no-hitter will likely help his chances, but his numbers are less impressive than Santana's. Verlander also tailed off considerably down the stretch last season and, being a young pitcher who's still yet to throw 200+ innings in a season, as he's on pace to do this year, another late season slump is a possibility.

    Sabathia's been hit hard in each of his last two starts and his ERA is more than a full run higher than Santana.

    Beckett (+800) had a great first half, but I think a drop off in the second half is likely.

    Putz (+2500) may be worth a shot as well, and he's definitely deserving, but a closer winning the Cy, although not unprecedented, (Gagne a few years back) seems unlikely.

    After not pitching great much of the first half (by his standards at least) Santana's been virtually unhittable in his last five starts, earning the W in each outing, while allowing only 4 R in his last 35 IP. He's currently second in the league in ERA and WHIP (2.60, 1.02). Johan also ranks second in the AL in strikeouts. Furthermore, Santana's 45-10 in his career after the All-Star break.

    Any thoughts on this?? I think +500 is a very generous price.
  • rjt721
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 02-06-07
    • 7929

    #2
    Looks like Greek stopped taking action on this.
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    • LT Profits
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 10-27-06
      • 90963

      #3
      I agree that both Santana and Putz had value at those prices. Personally I like Verlander, as I do not expect him to fade again this season, and he should end up with more wins than than the other contenders with the Detroit offense behind him. Wins shouldn't be the defining statistic, but the Cy Young voters usually favor the win leaders.
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