Going to make a play on the DET/CWS game.....
I like the under 10.5 (+105)...you may be able to get U11 but you'll have to pay a hefty price (-115 to -125).
On the surface this seems like an easy over with two struggling pitchers going at it once again and the way DET and CWS have been scoring runs lately.
However, a closer inspection at the numbers reveals that both Durbin and Jenks have started 3 games each a piece (N=6) and five of those six games have gone under so you could say that the trend here is under in that respect.
Also something to consider is that DET's batting average is about 20 points lower against left-handed pitching so far this season and their road batting average is even lower than that. Combine those two together and the fact that a number of Tiger players have yet to get it going (i.e. Shefield and Casey most notably) you have the recipie for an under.
In terms of intangebiles...a couple things to consider. Both teams, especially Detroit, are coming back from the road. DET from LA and CWS from KC. DET has already been complaining vociferously about this. As a result, I expect the bats to be somewhat tired after both teams travelled and both teams played some wild games on Monday and Tuesday. So shouldn't the same hold true for the pitching? Actually Durbin never went with DET to LA....instead he went straight to Chicago to prepare. And having seen these guys a week before he should, hopefully learn from his mistakes.
Another intangible is that the weather is somewhat cold and damp in Chicago today with rain in the forecast. It's going to be tough for hitters to get a good feel for things today.
Moreoever, should Detroit lead and win this game dont expect to see Todd Jones in but instead you'll have the more reliable Joel Zumaya in. And should Chicago win, well you have the advantage of having the under and not haviing the home team take their final at bats and most likely Bobby Jenks in.
The final intangible is that this is an ESPN game so it is nationally televised thus the linesmaker has shaded the over a bit...consider the line opened up at U10 (-111).
Interesting trends here that favor the under include that this has long been an under series the past 10 years (67-92-5) and that DETROIT is 44-20 UNDER (+21.3 Units) in Road games after 2 or more consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons.
PLAY: DET/CHIC UNDER 10.5 (+105)
On the surface this seems like an easy over with two struggling pitchers going at it once again and the way DET and CWS have been scoring runs lately.
However, a closer inspection at the numbers reveals that both Durbin and Jenks have started 3 games each a piece (N=6) and five of those six games have gone under so you could say that the trend here is under in that respect.
Also something to consider is that DET's batting average is about 20 points lower against left-handed pitching so far this season and their road batting average is even lower than that. Combine those two together and the fact that a number of Tiger players have yet to get it going (i.e. Shefield and Casey most notably) you have the recipie for an under.
In terms of intangebiles...a couple things to consider. Both teams, especially Detroit, are coming back from the road. DET from LA and CWS from KC. DET has already been complaining vociferously about this. As a result, I expect the bats to be somewhat tired after both teams travelled and both teams played some wild games on Monday and Tuesday. So shouldn't the same hold true for the pitching? Actually Durbin never went with DET to LA....instead he went straight to Chicago to prepare. And having seen these guys a week before he should, hopefully learn from his mistakes.
Another intangible is that the weather is somewhat cold and damp in Chicago today with rain in the forecast. It's going to be tough for hitters to get a good feel for things today.
Moreoever, should Detroit lead and win this game dont expect to see Todd Jones in but instead you'll have the more reliable Joel Zumaya in. And should Chicago win, well you have the advantage of having the under and not haviing the home team take their final at bats and most likely Bobby Jenks in.
The final intangible is that this is an ESPN game so it is nationally televised thus the linesmaker has shaded the over a bit...consider the line opened up at U10 (-111).
Interesting trends here that favor the under include that this has long been an under series the past 10 years (67-92-5) and that DETROIT is 44-20 UNDER (+21.3 Units) in Road games after 2 or more consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons.
PLAY: DET/CHIC UNDER 10.5 (+105)
