Originally posted by Nickelicious
W/L record: 3-8
Total units bet: 58
Net units: -28
Total risk: $2900
Net gain: -$1372
Season Total:
Number of bets: 113
W/L record: 64-48-1
Total units bet: 307.
Net units: +50
Total risk: $11,300
Net gain: +$2611
Well, there it is. -28 units for the night, which is a catastrophic number. But I do have to put things in perspective. In the last 10 days, I am up 50 units and over $2,500. I could not have made that kind of profit without taking significant risk.
As for the JM system play on Toronto, which JM has already scored as a WIN for the system, I am still torn. If Toronto loses, it won't matter to JM because his system has already recorded a victory and nothing that happens on Sunday will change that. Then again, I'm telling you, I have seen magical things happen for the JM system. Played plenty of C bets before, riding big money, and they have come through.
Yes, there have been losses on B bets before, including one in the NBA last season that JM declared a win because of a moving line. I emailed him after MY loss and told him, "look you fukker, it might not matter to you, but I need to know whether or not to play this C bet tomorrow. $3,500 might be chump change for you, but for me it would be a MAJOR disaster for me not to win this bet!"
He emailed me back and said, "Hey, it's an excellent bet. If you lost the B bet, you should bet this C bet." I emailed him back again; "Okay, John, I will do it. I'm gonna be laying almost all of my bankroll on this and if it loses you just remember what I did on your advice!"
But I couldn't go through with it. Not $3,500. I bet less than half of that, which was still a huge risk for me. If I won the bet, it wouldn't cover all of my losses but it would make up for a lot of it.
The C bet won by 15 points or something. It was no contest.
So here I am this morning, wondering whether to drop 40 units on one game to get back to where I was. And giving up -160 odds to stay honest with the system.
Well guess what? I'm not doing it. But I probably will do what I did last time. Bet enough to recoup half my losses or more. And if it loses, then I take a hit, but not a 40 unit hit. The worst thing about the Toronto system play tomorrow that it isn't an official play, just like the last one I did in the NBA. It doesn't matter to John if I win or lose. And I am not confident that the Jays can come back and win this 3rd game. They are a train wreck with a tailspin.
Still trying to figure it all out. Don't be surprised by anything you might see here in my next post.