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  • Nickelicious
    SBR MVP
    • 05-21-09
    • 2647

    #36
    Originally posted by Nickelicious
    NYY RL -130 5 units
    Tor ML -110 16 units
    Tor RL (-1.5) +170 4 units
    Pit ML +130 3 units
    Atl ML +120 2 units
    Sea RL +115 3 units

    Bos RL -110 10 units
    Col ML -160 2 units

    Hou ML -135 8 units
    LAD/Fla U9 -110 3 units
    LAD RL +115 2 units
    Number of bets: 11
    W/L record: 3-8

    Total units bet: 58
    Net units: -28

    Total risk: $2900
    Net gain: -$1372

    Season Total:
    Number of bets: 113
    W/L record: 64-48-1

    Total units bet: 307.
    Net units: +50

    Total risk: $11,300
    Net gain: +$2611

    Well, there it is. -28 units for the night, which is a catastrophic number. But I do have to put things in perspective. In the last 10 days, I am up 50 units and over $2,500. I could not have made that kind of profit without taking significant risk.

    As for the JM system play on Toronto, which JM has already scored as a WIN for the system, I am still torn. If Toronto loses, it won't matter to JM because his system has already recorded a victory and nothing that happens on Sunday will change that. Then again, I'm telling you, I have seen magical things happen for the JM system. Played plenty of C bets before, riding big money, and they have come through.

    Yes, there have been losses on B bets before, including one in the NBA last season that JM declared a win because of a moving line. I emailed him after MY loss and told him, "look you fukker, it might not matter to you, but I need to know whether or not to play this C bet tomorrow. $3,500 might be chump change for you, but for me it would be a MAJOR disaster for me not to win this bet!"

    He emailed me back and said, "Hey, it's an excellent bet. If you lost the B bet, you should bet this C bet." I emailed him back again; "Okay, John, I will do it. I'm gonna be laying almost all of my bankroll on this and if it loses you just remember what I did on your advice!"

    But I couldn't go through with it. Not $3,500. I bet less than half of that, which was still a huge risk for me. If I won the bet, it wouldn't cover all of my losses but it would make up for a lot of it.

    The C bet won by 15 points or something. It was no contest.

    So here I am this morning, wondering whether to drop 40 units on one game to get back to where I was. And giving up -160 odds to stay honest with the system.

    Well guess what? I'm not doing it. But I probably will do what I did last time. Bet enough to recoup half my losses or more. And if it loses, then I take a hit, but not a 40 unit hit. The worst thing about the Toronto system play tomorrow that it isn't an official play, just like the last one I did in the NBA. It doesn't matter to John if I win or lose. And I am not confident that the Jays can come back and win this 3rd game. They are a train wreck with a tailspin.

    Still trying to figure it all out. Don't be surprised by anything you might see here in my next post.
    Comment
    • Nickelicious
      SBR MVP
      • 05-21-09
      • 2647

      #37
      The odds on the Rays RL are just too attractive for me to turn down. The Rays should be favored by -140 odds or more, but here they sit on -115. I will take the Rays on the RL and hope for another gutless performance by the Jays at home. I also have plenty of other underdog picks going, attempting to rectify the bankroll losses with some heavy + betting. If it fails, it fails.

      I hate Sunday, because there are so many day games and that forces me to scratch out my card before I can get a handle on what's going on. I will not be awake at 10 this morning and by the time I have revived my brain at noon, it's too late to do much more capping (even though I try). The only night game on Sunday is the White Sox and the Tigers. Watch out, because if I lose my ass during the day I may be coming with a 15-unit play on that puppy.

      TB RL +150 6 units
      NYY RL +120 3 units
      StL/Phi O10 -115 4 units
      Mil RL -160 2 units
      Tex/KC O9.5 -110 3 units
      LAA RL +150 4 units
      SF ML +175 3 units
      LAD ML -130 3 units
      LAD RL +170 3 units
      Pit ML +155 2 units
      Comment
      • IcE
        SBR MVP
        • 07-18-09
        • 1089

        #38
        hey man glad your not betting 40 units your already up 50. That is still great. Your still in the green.
        Stay cool and Good luck.
        Comment
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