Other than the 1st Inning prop, is anyone actually making a profit on baseball this season?
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50 units and counting, this game you speak of is not THAT difficult to handicap.Comment -
Nice work jasonComment -
Most are losing
the game is not that easy
Jason your having a luck year, next season it could be the opposite.Comment -
Yes. I agree with jason. It was rough going at the beginning of the season, but it's gotten increasingly easy for me at least. I wouldn't say it's "easy" per se.... but it's a lot less difficult than hoops or football, imo. You just gotta know the teams, know the pitchers, and develop a feel for the season. I know that sounds cliche, but it's true. A baseball season is like a living entity to me. It has an ebb and flow about it and each team is a part of that. You can develop a feel for when a certain team of sometimes more importantly a certain pitcher is in a groove (or about the bust out of a bad spot) and get on them and then get off. Like I said, pick the right spots.
Don't listen to the haters and long time losers like JJ tell you differently. We're not all destined to fail at handicapping in the long run. I simply refuse to believe that. It's a fallacy perpetrated by those who haven't been able to succeed at it. It's an ego thing for them. If they couldn't do it, then nobody can.Comment -
I guess because I follow the NBA closer it's easier for me. There's just too much to keep track of in baseball unless you have the time.
Anyway, I'll be keeping an eye on the J&J Boys (Jason and Jello) picks.
Thanks guys.Comment -
My "California unders" system will out perform 93% of these guys the rest of the way. But most people bet on sports to proove they are a genius, not make $. This is why most lose. They bet too many games (me included) bet too much , instead of just sticking to what we know.Comment -
I used to make money before Interleague.
During interleague, I lost almost %20 of my bankroll. (sigh)
The funny thing is, same thing happened last season as well
Now, i'm waiting for this damn interleague to end, LoL!Comment -
Roag, check out the stats from that Pick 3 contest at the top of the page. I'm not telling stories here. And that's based on every play being for a single unit. There's a lot of people making money in that thing. Just for June that has me up like 13 units (again...all 1 unit plays). That's after going through about the worst 3 days I've had in baseball all season the past few nights. I was up like 19 units in that thing 4 days ago.
I've played some other stuff in addition to those 3 picks a day, and probably broken about even on those. And I play them for more than a single unit in reality. I'm probably up a good 20-30 units this month, fwiw.Comment -
I hit two yesterday (RL Boston and Arizona) so now I'm up 5 units. It's a roller coaster ride, but I enjoy it.Comment -
I am up about 30 units on the season... MOST of it came last week with betting all the totals blind...Comment -
JJ, I've been doing it for many years. The key in baseball, more than most sports, is to go against the norm. If a wager looks too good to be true...it is. I've recently been having success with the Grand Salami, it leaves room for error, especially if you try and cap each game.Comment -
I'm positive in regular season, negative in interleagueComment -
I'm doing very well on baseball this year but I don't bet every single day...I took Sunday and Monday off and came back last night with an easy play on Lincecum as he embarassed the A's...my suggestion is to be more moderate with betting on baseball than you would on basketball for example, some people bet up to 5 baseball games a night, I'm more of the guy who would just load up on the 1 game I love the most, and it's done me great thus far...knock on woodComment -
up about 40 units. risk between 1 and 3 per game, 1-5 games per day. last season i started with 5 g and ended with 11.5 g this year is going much betterComment -
Pair of 5s is +9 units ( and more importantly, all his plays are posted)Comment -
I've profited in NBA, WNBA, and Baseball this season. Check my challenge thread with King Bookie on NBA. Look at my WNBA Thread, and check my Thursday Baseball Thread for proof of my claims. Though I'm still humble, since at anytime I know the wheels can fall off with a substantial losing streak.
The trick is to save enough money to be able to do straight bets. I started gambling this Feburary, with Grant money I was awarded from my college. It was enough to do anywhere between $50- $100 on three games a day. Then dont start betting until you can gather enough data, that you can gain an advantage on the books with research.
Or you can just FADE BRANDON LANG.
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not sure i get your logic of why saving for straight bets means anything?I've profited in NBA, WNBA, and Baseball this season. Check my challenge thread with King Bookie on NBA. Look at my WNBA Thread, and check my Thursday Baseball Thread for proof of my claims. Though I'm still humble, since at anytime I know the wheels can fall off with a substantial losing streak.
The trick is to save enough money to be able to do straight bets. I started gambling this Feburary, with Grant money I was awarded from my college. It was enough to do anywhere between $50- $100 on three games a day. Then dont start betting until you can gather enough data, that you can gain an advantage on the books with research.
Or you can just FADE BRANDON LANG.
as far as the data - if its public information, the books have it as well. so i dont see how you get an advantage over them. whatever you're doing to come up with your plays though - good jobComment -
Well when I first moved to LAs Vegas, and was introduced to sports gambling I use to parlay my ass off. I got no where, and stopped gambling. With straight bets, losses don't hurt as bad because you always have another bet left. Or another day with conservative use of your money. I say save b/c I know most of us have day jobs, and want to take a portion of our check and bet it. But when you already have money in place you can make a plan for you funds, and map out how you want to bet it. I'm no professional on these matters. I just talk from personal experience.
And on the topic of public information... we must agree that some are better than most with the data presented to them.
Truthfully I seen you work Dexter, and I think you should be letting us into your thought process.
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MLB
Is actually one of if not the most profitable sports to play. Its funny there are many systems within systems that can be played and profits can be had.
The trick is finding a couple of time tested ones and then modifiy them to your liking.
Example.......... The 6 game -1.5 runline chase. I dont play until its hits game 3 and from there I play fairly heavy on it. Its not going to go another 6 games not to mention I will take + money allday.
Another Unreal system is in the american league with bullpens that gave up 10 runs in a game. Without going into details could be one of the best time tested systems EVER CREATED. It actually went 8 years without one system failure.
Study the game,pick your spots and stick to it........................
PAW
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Yes...click on my thread... and I will continue to win...Comment -
Since developing a system and being methodical about my investments I'm hitting 61% so far and making a tidy profitComment -
Myself I play about 3 systems total. I modifed the Run-line system to my liking I also added the over/under american league system + I have a system that took my about a year to finalize in which I use top teams in the division and play them on a chase also.
Like I said in the earlier post you can make nice profits if you stick to what you know and have the displine to play thru it. In any one season there are going to be draw-down periods and short-term loses its just part of the course of gambling.
Rule 1. Have a bankroll that you can afford to lose.
Rule2. If you should lose your entire bankroll stop wagering alltogther until you can save up enough to start-over.
Rule 3. Stay displined and do not come off your system or systems on how you bet.
Rule 4. Do not chase bad money with good money.
Rule 5. Do not quit your day job because you had a winning month and now you think you can become a professional gambler. Pro gamblers ALL GO BROKE at one time or another.
Rule 6. See rules 1-5.Comment -
My new system I play is not bad...
I am only playing the Sunday matches and I am playing all 15 matches at one day.
My result so far...:
Total Games: 233
Games won: 137
Games lost: 96
Winning %: 59%
Bankroll at beginning 01.03.09: 3.000,-- EUR
+ Money made= 2.451,-- EUR
Bankroll now: 5.451,-- EUR
This is my first Baseball season... It its a tough game to bet (for me). I really like more NBA, because I am above the 65% (I watch it since the early 90ies).
Moneymanagement is the key and every bet is a chance or a loose...
Normally I do not wager a bet more than 1 unit.
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I never make a baseball bet before Memorial Day weekend, until the season trends have been established.
I got crushed early, but have put together back to back winning weeks and finally moved into the black last night thanks to the Royals.Comment -
Baseball = System in my opinion. As long as you stick to your system, you should be fine.
I remember LT's post about a bullpen system. You play TOP 10 Bullpen Team when playing against Bottom 10. Anyone tracking it?Comment -
I made a run for awhile and got up like 50 units but I have come back to earth but still up for season.Comment
