Looking good on that Padres call...
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Comment -
thanks but come on, don't jinx me!
it's tight, 3-1 right now lateComment -
Final 3-1....Sorry i didn't think of the jinx aspect...Comment -
appreciate it. Bottom 9th was 1st and 3rd base runners with nobody out, and somehow Nationals didn't score, whew!Comment -
Friday May 25
CHW WHITE SOX -0.5 +125 first five innings // 1 unit to win 1.25
PLAYER PROP
JOSH DONALDSON
+225 YES HOMERUN PROP // 1 unit to win 2.25
+100 TOTAL BASES OVER 1.5 // 1 unit to win 1
This is a very low +plus odds number for a homerun prop. So the books seem to think he might hit one tonight. Word has it that the Phillies are possibly interested in trading for him, so Donaldson will be looking to impress tonight.Comment -
Friday May 25 - adding ::
TORONTO -110 ML // 2.20 units to win 2
TORONTO -1.5 +154:runline // 1 unit to win 1.54
TEXAS -125 first five innings ML // 1.25 units to win 1
*push if tie score end of five inningsComment -
adding :: two more Player props
NIKO GOODRUM TOTAL BASES OVER 0.5 -160 // 1.60 units to win 1
HUNTER DOZIER TOTAL BASES OVER 0.5 -166 // 1.66 units to win 1Comment -
get hotComment -
net +3.65 yesterday, Toronto had a big lead early but let it get close at the end and won 6-5 so didn't cover the runline.
Up +3.15 for the week, will do summary after Sunday's gamesComment -
Saturday May 26 - early game
OVER 10.5 -110 ATL@BOS // 2.20 units to win 2Comment -
Looking good, gonna catch a streak?Comment -
I'm trying man
Didn't see anything I liked on the 4pm gamesComment -
Sunday May 27
HOMERUN PROPS
+425 NICK CASTELLANOS - DETROIT // 1 unit to win 4.25
+475 MATT CARPENTER - ST.LOUIS // 1 unit to win 4.75Comment -
Another ATL BOS over? Let's rockComment -
I wouldn't be surprised, but passing due to the weatherComment -
CHW WHITE SOX +119 ML // 3 units to win 3.57
this is a forum fade pick
also they matchup well against DetroitComment -
OVER 12.5 -105 CIN@COL // 2.10 units to win 2
HOMERUN PROP -
+380;WHIT MERRIFIELD - KANSAS CITY // 1 unit to win 3.80Comment -
Looks like ATL BOS will go over ... who knows maybe they hold serve there at Braves 6-1. Funny how occasionally Sale is the one who gets blown up.Comment -
Sale games have gone Over every time but once this year (off the top of my head, have to double-check)Comment -
Classic over example of this season, scoring goes in the way least expected (Folty holds Boston to 1 run, Sale gives up a lot) ... and then the under is teased until Atlanta gets an extra "insurance" run in the top of the 9th, 7-1, to put it over 7.5. HaComment -
yep
then in Colorado, Unders been coming in at a high rate
8-1 score late, Reds load the bases in both the top 8th and 9th WITH the good hitters on deck, but managed to score just one more.
As for White Sox losing 3-2, seems like the ol' forum fade only works when I don't do it. Every thread had Tigers, and mostly because of James Shields starting, but people don't realize he's much better this yea, been working with the pitching coach. He went deep into the game and gave up the winning runs late. Tigers starter Blaine Hardy was just better.
Terrible 0-for day. Not seeing much I like wirh the early games today. Guess I need to stick with high percentage boring picks.Comment -
White Sox scored a lot the day before, score nothing (which has been the problem), but usually the bad teams like they are end up getting hot and evening out how bad they've been. As you said, Shields is way better than what they think, even though long term he's no answer. They were fortunate, from a value point of view yours was the right play --- if you keep playing bets like that you'll win, and they'll lose, and not even that far into the long term.Comment -
Fade the Yankees and Rays
Take Verlander and Cahill MLComment -
May 21 thru May 27 results:
-------Tue. May 22-----------
-1.00 COREY DICKERSON (PITT) +290 HOMERUN ---> went 0-for-3 with a Walk
-1.00 COREY DICKERSON TOTAL BASES OVER 1.5 +115
-1.00 ARIZONA -0.5 +155 first five innings ---> score 0-0 end 5th (final 1-0 road loss at MILW)
-3.90 OVER 5 -130 ARIZ@MILW first five innings
+2.00 UNDER 5 -110 DET@MINN ---> score 3-0 MINN lead end 5th (final 6-0 MINN home win vs DET)
--------Wed. May 23----------
+4.40 SAN DIEGO -1.5 +220 alternate runline ---> score 3-1 road win at WSH
-------Fri. May 25-----------
+1.25 CHW WHITE SOX -0.5 +125 first five inn. ---> score 4-2 CHW lead end 5th (final 5-4 DET home win)
-1.00 JOSH DONALDSON (TOR) +225 HOMERUN PROP
+1.00 JOSH DONALDSON (TOR) +100 TOTAL BASES OVER 1.5 ---> went 1-for-4 with a Double and a Walk
+2.00 TORONTO -110 ML ---> score 6-5 road win at PHI
-1.00 TORONTO -1.5 +154 runline
+1.00 TEXAS -125 first five innings ML ---> score 6-3 TEX lead end 5th (final 8-4 home win vs KC)
-1.60 NIKO GOODRUM (DET) TOTAL BASES OVER 0.5 -160 ---> went 0-for-4
+1.00 HUNTER DOZIER (KC) TOTAL BASES OVER 0.5 -166 ---> went 2-for-4 with an infield single and a double
-------Sat. May 26-----------
+2.00 OVER 10.5 -110 ATL@BOS ---> 8-6 BOS home win vs ATL
-------Sun. May 27-----------
-1.00 NICK CASTELLANOS (DET) +425 HOMERUN ---> went 1-for-4 a single
-1.00 MATT CARPENTER (STL) +475 HOMERUN ---> went 2-for-4 both doubles
-3.00 CHW WHITE SOX +119 ML ---> score 3-2 road loss at DET
-2.10 OVER 12.5 -105 CIN@COL ---> score 8-2 CIN road loss at COL
-1.00 WHIT MERRIFIELD (KC) +290 HOMERUN ---> went 1-for-3 with a Walk
------------------
May 21 thru 27th = -3.95 units (W/L = 8-12 = .400 pct)
OVERALL THREAD = -5.56 units (W/L = 59-67-3 = .468 pct)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Comment -
Tuesday May 29 - late game
SAN DIEGO -164 ML // 3.28 units to win 2
starting pitchers Dan Straily at Tyson Ross, so why doesn't the line make sense??
I don't completely trust either of them, but when Ross is on he's pretty untouchable. Righties batting .142 against him so far this year
Surprisingly also righties just .128 against Straily
With this battle of the titans Marlins at Padres about to begin, pointing out the Padres at -164 right now are by far the highest favorite line they've been this year
April 28 they closed -140 favorite at home vs NY Mets, pitching matchup Jason Vargas vs Joey Lucchesi
Padres won 12-2
interesting comparison. Marlins not equal to the Mets. Vargas not equal to Straily. Or is he?
Padres gonna win, not sure if they cover runline.Comment -
Padres leading 5-4 into the bottom of the 8th, explode for 4 more runs and won 9-5 final. Runline was in question until then (although I opted not to play runline). In fact the game was in question in the bottom of the 6th they found themselves trailing 4-3 after not scoring since the bottom of the 1st. Hosmer led off the bottom 6th with a double, then makes a bonehead play with zero outs, trying to advance to third base on a groundball hit right in front of him to the shortstop, making him the first out of the inning at third base....Drives me nuts, don't understand how these highly-paid players do such stupid things. Fortunately, this rookie Franmil Reyes with his monster physique absolutely destroyed a ball for a deep homerun to grab the 5-4 lead....dude is a disaster fielding in the outfield though. Has a big swing too, so he can certainly do damage when he gets ahold of one, but it's not gonna happen often with his .176 average to prove it.Comment -
Wed. May 30
OVER 9 -107 WSH@BALT // 2.14 units to win 2
Max Scherzer at David HessComment -
PITTSBURGH +122 ML // 3 units to win 3.66
sorry for last minute posts, will be more to come....Comment -
LA DODGERS -1.5 +118 runline // 3 units to win 3.54Comment -
UNDER 8 -115 TB@OAK // 2.30 units to win 2
Nathan Eovaldi at Sean Manaea
the Tampa lineup looks putrid tonight. And I have a feeling Eovaldi is gonna pitch a good game. This series so far has been nothing doing on offense.Comment -
I like it too buddy. Got cute yesterday and sold it down to under 7 at plus money and rooster suckers scored 3 meaningless runs in 9th to push it.. glComment -
and Manaea getting shelled early, makes no sense. I mean he has not looked great past couple outings, but come on, against this lineup??
guess Tampa was the better play if I thought Eovaldi would be good tonightComment -
Eovaldi with a no-hitter into the bottom 7th, finally Oakland got a hit. Then a long fly-ball but it was caught.
Wind pattern blows out always in this stadium, the Oakland Coliseum. Somehow it's knocking down some fly balls tonight. Cool temperature might help explain.
Well it's 5-0 Tampa in the top of the 8th after a solo-bomb by Johnny Field (that's his name, plays Centerfield for Tampa) off the reliever.Comment -
alright 3-1 W/L tonight for +7.06 units, with the lone loss being that questionable Under pick in the Nationals game which Scherzer started. And it wasn't that I thought Baltimore pitcher David Hess would be awful, in fact he's looked decent a couple games now. But Scherzer got hit in his last game at Miami, plus the warm humid weather tonight in Baltimore is what influenced me more than anything in that hitter-friendly ballpark. Scherzer does give up the longball even when having a good game. But the final score was 2-0 Washington, so not even close.
+9.06 units so far on the week, including the Padres win from Tuesday night. Will do the detailed tally at the end of the week.Comment
