Tuesday April 17
SAN FRANCISCO -1.5 +200 alternate runline // 1 unit to win 2
Cueto at Corbin listed
SAN FRANCISCO -1.5 +200 alternate runline // 1 unit to win 2
Cueto at Corbin listed
-
Comment -
Tuesday April 17 - adding. ::
UNDER 8 -115 COL@PITT // 4.60 units to win 4Comment -
April 17 results:
-1.00 SAN FRANCISCO -1.5 +200 alternate runline ----> score 1-0 SF road loss at ARIZ
+4.00 UNDER 8 -115 COL@PITT ----> score 2-0 COL road win (Chad Bettis -R at Trevor Williams - R)
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April 17 = +3.00 units (W/L = 1-1)
OVERALL THREAD = +5.29 units (W/L = 20-20-1 = .500 pct)
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Wed. April 18 - early game
COLORADO +114 ML // 3 units to win 3.42Comment -
bad loss with Colorado, mistake with that pick, not just because it lost, I'll explain later.
Wed. April 18 - Puerto Rico game
MINNESOTA +105 ML // 3 units to win 3.15
Carrasco at Berrios listedComment -
Wed. April 18 - adding ::
SAN FRANCISCO -1.5 +223 alternate runline // 1 unit to win 2.23
probably stupid, but following thru from last night's 1-0 score. Giants didn't use much of their bullpen, and Dbacks didn't use any.Comment -
April 18 results:
-3.00 COLORADO +114 ML ----> score 10-2 road loss at PITT
+3.15 MINNESOTA +105 ML ----> score 2-1 home win (Puerto Rico) vs CLE in 16 innings
-1.00 SAN FRANCISCO -1.5 +223 alternate runline ----> score 4-3 SF road win at ARIZ in 10 inn.
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April 18 = -0.85 units (W/L = 1-2)
OVERALL THREAD = +4.44 units (W/L = 21-22-1 = .488 pct)
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Colorado was a bad pick because Nolan Arenado still out serving his 5-game suspension for previous brawl at the San Diego Padres game. He is just too crucial of a player to have out of the game for that team. Now, I did look at the starting pitchers, who are both capable of getting hit hard, and I saw that Pittsburgh had about 3 regular players out of their lineup for a getaway game type of roster....so I figured that Colorado looked better than what Pittsburgh was putting on the field. But without Arenado in that situation, shoulda passed on the game if not taking Pirates. To top it off, when down 3-1 in the top of the 5th, Colorado got two men on base and Carlos Gonzalez due up to bat....instead they put in a pinch hitter for him, stating a precautionary move after Car-Go just made a diving catch in the bottom 4th in which he might have bruised his pancreas....whatever, taking the fukkin AB and see what happens....showed right there they didn't want to win that game.....went on to lose 10-2Comment -
Thursday April 19
PHILADELPHIA +108 ML // 2 units to win 2.16
OVER 7.5 +110 PITT@PHI // 2 units to win 2.20
*selling 0.5 runs
Listed pitchers Jameson Taillon at Jake Arrieta; homeplate ump Bill WelkeComment -
April 19 results:
+2.16 PHILADELPHIA +108 ML ----> score 7-0 home win vs PITT (Taillon -R at Arrieta -R)
-2.00 OVER 7.5 +110 PITT@PHI (sell 0.5 runs)
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April 19 = +0.16 units (W/L = 1-1)
OVERALL THREAD = +4.60 units (W/L = 22-23-1 = .488 pct)
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instead of a push on 7 runs for the total, turned it into a loss by selling the 0.5 runs
Phillies scored 5 in the bottom of the 2nd off Taillon. But Pittsburgh had 2 hits the whole game, as Arrieta was on his game in the cold weather. He's been good this year, allowing 0 ER this game, and only 2 and 2 ER in the two previous games. Pirates traveled in from yesterday's home game in which they scored 10 runs, so thought they'd do better tonight.Comment -
Saturday April 20
UNDER 7.5 -106 MINN@TB // 1.06 units to win 1
Listed pitchers Kyle Gibson at Blake Snell; homeplate ump James Hoye
Yesterday in the series opener on Friday night, Tampa won 8-7 in what appeared to be a pitcher's duel game of the starters Lance Lynn at Chris Archer - well if you wanna say Lance Lynn isn't worthy of a pitcher's duel, fine.
The o/u line was set at 7.5 on that game, and it went way over. Yet we have the same line offered tonight. Blake Snell is better at home, but all of his previous starts have resulted in Overs this year. He's 2-1 W/L with 1.08 WHIP on the season.
Kyle Gibson actually performs better on the road. You'd expect him to be the leak link here, but it is the Rays he's facing tonight.Comment -
sorry, today's date is April 21.
Wanted to mention I was too busy yesterday Friday to play anything, and my San Francisco Giants -1.5 alternate runline finally woulda hit, as they exploded for 8 runs in the first game of an interleague series at suddenly ice-cold LA Angels in an 8-1 SF win. Didn't play it, but would have!Comment -
April 21 results:
-1.06 UNDER 7.5 -1.06 MINN@TB ----> score 10-1 MINN road loss
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April 21 = -1.06 units (W/L = 0-1)
OVERALL THREAD = +3.54 units (W/L = 22-24-1 = .478 pct)
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I shouldn't try to pick Unders across all sports, said it before. Will I ever learn?
This game was 2-1 Tampa end of 5th inning, so maybe I coulda taken under first half only. Minnesota didn't do jack all game, while the bulk of Tampa's runs came off the bullpen, scoring 5 in the bottom 7th, and 3 in the bottom 8th.Comment -
Sunday April 22
COLORADO +103 ML // 2 units to win 2.06
I'm not worried about Quintana starting for the Cubs. Line is also dropping in favor of the home team, so I'm hopping on it.Comment -
Sunday April 22 - adding ::
OAKLAND +113 ML // 2 units to win 2.26
Pitching matchup David Price at Daniel Mengden; homeplate ump Adrian Johnson
Think this will be tight. Mendgen doesn't walk a lot of batters, Price does so maybe Oakland power bats can blast a 2- or 3-run homerun.Comment -
April 22 results:
-2.00 COLORADO +103 ML ----> score 9-7 home loss vs CHC
+2.26 OAKLAND +113 ML ----> score 4-1 home win vs BOS
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April 22 = +0.26 units (W/L = 1-1)
OVERALL THREAD = +3.80 units (W/L = 23-25-1 = .479 pct)
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called it right on Oakland, Khris Davis blasted a 3-run homer in the bottom of the 8th for the lead.Comment -
Monday April 23
HOUSTON -193 ML // 1.93 units to win 1
UNDER 8.5 +100 LAA@HOU // 1 unit to win 1
Put some work on numbers for today and going forward.Comment -
Who you got todayComment -
Wed. April 25 - Coors Field
rare under
UNDER 5.5 -110 first five inn. SD@COL // 2.20 units to win 2Comment -
April 23 & 25 results:
-1.93 HOUSTON -193 ML ----> score 2-0 home loss vs LAA
+1.00 UNDER 8.5 +100 LAA@HOU
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+2.00 UNDER 5.5 -110 first five inn. SD@COL ----> score 4-0 COL lead end 5th (final 5-2 COL home win)
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April 23 & 25 = +1.07 units (W/L = 2-1)
OVERALL THREAD = +4.87 units (W/L = 25-26-1 = .490 pct)
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I am still putting extensive time on numbers and research. Will be looking to play less volume, and high-quality picks, which may not result in daily picks. However, if a pick loses, anticipate there is a high probability I will follow-thru with the same pick the following day for that particular team (it does not guarantee a winning pick, unfortunately, but this will be part of my strategy).Comment -
Who you liking today, HC?Comment -
I'm not really loving this card, and missed out on the morning games - the Over in Cincinnati was probably obvious.
Round 2 of the NHL Hockey Playoffs begin tonight, and I have Washington winning game 1, so will take another look at the MLB card now.Comment -
Thursday April 26
CHICAGO -1 -103 // 1.03 units to win 1
Instead of the -1.5 runline, playing it this way to mitigate the juice on the Cubs.
Milwaukee has been streaking, winning 8 in a row. The past two games were pretty easy wins in Kansas City. Prior to that, it was a 4-game sweep of the Marlins, and winning the last 2 of a 3-game series with Cincinnati.
Meantime the Cubs have been either putting up big totals, or hardly scoring. They are 5-5 in their past 10 games and Kris Bryant is still out. However the Cubs won 3 out of 4 games at the earlier series in Milwaukee.
Kyle Hendricks is starting for the Cubs, and has done a good job of keeping his walks down. He pitched well in Colorado in his last outing, giving up 3 runs in 5 innings.
Chase Anderson starting for Milwaukee has also done well. Both starters tonight are prone to giving up the homerun. Kyle Schwarber has been hot for the Cubs, although he went hitless in yesterday's loss at Cleveland.Comment -
Saturday April 28
KANSAS CITY -1.5 +148 runline // 1 unit to win 1.48
*game 1 of Doubleheader
UNDER 10 +101 CIN@MINN // 1 unit to win 1.01
If the KC picks loses, will double-up with it on Game 2 of the doubleheader.
Still working on later scheduled games.Comment -
Saturday April 28
KANSAS CITY +1.5 -240 alternate runline // 2.40 units to win 1
*game 2 of Doubleheader
HOUSTON -1.5 +100 runline // 2 units to win 2Comment -
April 26 & 28 results:
+0 push CHICAGO CUBS -1 -103 ---> score 3-2 home win vs MIL
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-1.00 KANSAS CITY -1.5 +148 runline GAME 1 Doubleheader ----> score 8-0 home loss vs CHW
+1.01 UNDER 10 +101 CIN@MINN ---> score 3-1 MINN home win
+1.00 KANSAS CITY +1.5 -240 alternate runline GAME 2 Doubleheader ----> score 5-2 home win vs CHW
+2.00 HOUSTON -1.5 +100 runline ----> score 11-0 home win vs OAK
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April 26 & 28 = +3.01 units (W/L = 3-1-1)
OVERALL THREAD = +7.88 units (W/L = 28-27-2 = .509 pct)
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More disciplined approach to finalizing picks I think paying off so far. W/L back over .500 on the season.
I did kind chicken out on playing the -1.5 runline Kansas City in the second game of the Doubleheader. Didn't think they'd lose both games, but at the last minute I was envisioning them blowing the game late or something, so I played the high-juice +1.5 line for insurance, which was probably stupid, but had my reasons....at least it won.Comment -
Sunday April 29
CUBS TEAM TOTAL OVER 4 -130 // 2.60 units to win 2
SEATTLE -108 first five innings ML // 2.16 units to win 2
*push if tied after five inningsComment -
adding -
TORONTO -1.5 -125 runline // 1.25 units to win 1Comment -
Monday April 30
PITTSBURGH -106 first five innings ML // 1.06 units to win 1
*push if tied after 5th inn.
OVER 7.5 -110 PHILLY@MIAMI // 3.30 units to win 3
still looking at a couple later games....Comment -
Monday April 30 - adding ::
SAN DIEGO +150 first five innings ML // 1 unit to win 1.50
*push if tied after 5th inn.
SAN DIEGO -0.5 +195 first five innings // 1 unit to win 1.95
Don't trust Samardzija even though he's had good numbers in previous years vs the Padres, he looked like not much command currently. And Padres have been playing decently lately, plus let's not forget they won 3 out of 4 games against the Giants in the first series they played this year. I'm not buying into the Giants team being "hot" based on them winning 3 out of 4 from the Dodgers this past weekend. One unknown element is Padres starting pitcher Lauer but his first start at Colorado was a mixed bag, took the loss and gave up 3 HR, but also had 9 strikeouts...and I feel there are a lot of strikeouts to be had in the Giants lineup. Game starts in about 7 minutes.Comment -
excuse me, just wanted to correct the mis-information about Lauer stated above. His first start in Colorado was only 3 innings pitched, 3 strikeouts, 4 walks, and 6 ER with 1 HR given up. Not sure how I said 9 strikeouts, well I do, it would be his K/9 innings rate. Point is tho, I don't hold that bad outing against him because they threw him out on the mound in Colorado for his first ever start in the big leagues.Comment -
lost those fuccan Padres picks, but it was closer than it looked. Ended yesterday with net -0.06 units.
Tuesday May 1 - 6pm eastern start game
UNDER 9.5 -105 TEX@CLE // 1.05 units to win 1
more picks to come....playing some volume tonight......Comment -
Tuesday May 1 - adding ::
OVER 9 +120 KC@BOS // 1 unit to win 1.20
*selling 1 whole run
Pitching matchup Jakob Junis @ Chris Sale
more picks to come....Comment -
Tuesday May 1 - adding ::
DETROIT +1.5 -117 runline // 1.17 units to win 1
COLORADO -1.5 +265 alternate runline // 1 unit to win 2.65
more picks to come....Comment -
Tuesday May 1 - adding ::
CINCINNATI +110 ML // 1 unit to win 1.10
CINCINNATI -1.5 +205 alternate runline // 1 unit to win 2.05
more picks to come....Comment